This opponent (Çorum FK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Çorum FK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.62
1.03
1.60
1.20
1.64
0.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
1.15
1.00
1.43
1.14
0.83
0.83
vs Weaker (16)
2.00
1.06
1.75
1.25
2.25
0.88
Clean sheet %
38% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Altay) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.9%
Under 1.5
22.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.1%
Under 2.5
46.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.9%
Under 3.5
69.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.9%
No
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
12.4%
0-1
11.3%
1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
0-3
8.4%
0-0
7.0%
1-3 ✓
6.5%
0-4
4.2%
Altay goals ↓
Çorum FK goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.0%
11%
12%
8.4%
4.2%
1
3.8%
11%
9.7%
6.5%
3.3%
2
1.8%
3.7%
3.8%
2.5%
1.3%
3
0.5%
1.0%
1.0%
0.7%
0.3%
4
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Altay goals (down), columns = Çorum FK goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Eyüpspor
2.21
Göztepe
2.06
Sakaryaspor
1.74
Bodrum FK
1.66
Çorum FK
1.65
Kocaelispor
1.57
Boluspor
1.51
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.50
Bandırmaspor
1.47
Erzurumspor FK
1.38
Ümraniyespor
1.26
Keçiörengücü
1.18
Manisa F.K.
1.18
Adanaspor
1.15
Beykoz Anadolu
1.12
Şanlıurfaspor
1.12
Altay
0.56
Giresunspor
0.29
Altay is 1.09 points worse than Çorum FK in terms of average points per game (0.56 vs 1.65).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Eyüpspor
2.26
Göztepe
1.76
Çorum FK
1.57
Sakaryaspor
1.46
Bandırmaspor
1.44
Kocaelispor
1.40
Bodrum FK
1.24
Ümraniyespor
1.18
Manisa F.K.
1.18
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.15
Beykoz Anadolu
1.03
Keçiörengücü
1.00
Boluspor
0.94
Şanlıurfaspor
0.94
Erzurumspor FK
0.88
Adanaspor
0.82
Giresunspor
0.47
Altay
0.47
Altay is 1.10 goals worse than Çorum FK in terms of goals scored per game (0.47 vs 1.57).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Göztepe
0.59
Bodrum FK
0.63
Eyüpspor
0.91
Bandırmaspor
0.94
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0.97
Erzurumspor FK
1.00
Çorum FK
1.03
Sakaryaspor
1.03
Boluspor
1.06
Şanlıurfaspor
1.09
Manisa F.K.
1.18
Kocaelispor
1.23
Keçiörengücü
1.26
Adanaspor
1.32
Ümraniyespor
1.38
Beykoz Anadolu
1.38
Giresunspor
2.09
Altay
2.24
Altay is 1.21 goals worse than Çorum FK in terms of goals conceded per game (2.24 vs 1.03).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Eyüpspor
64%
Manisa F.K.
54%
Kocaelispor
54%
Sakaryaspor
54%
Ümraniyespor
54%
Çorum FK
52%
Bandırmaspor
52%
Göztepe
51%
Boluspor
50%
Beykoz Anadolu
49%
Şanlıurfaspor
48%
Keçiörengücü
48%
Bodrum FK
47%
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
47%
Erzurumspor FK
45%
Altay
44%
Adanaspor
44%
Giresunspor
41%
Altay is 8.0 percentage points worse than Çorum FK in terms of average possession (44% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Altay
For 2.2 · Against 5.6 · Total 7.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 1.1 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.6 · Against 13.1 · Total 29.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Çorum FK
For 4.6 · Against 3.7 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 12.5 · Total 26.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Altay
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.5
8.1
8.8
4.5
4.7
4.4
27.7
27.9
27.5
vs Stronger (32)
8.3
7.2
9.2
4.3
4.9
3.8
27.4
27.1
27.7
vs Similar (18)
8.8
9.4
8.1
5.0
4.5
5.6
28.1
29.0
27.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
31%
30%
31%
54%
62%
46%
90%
96%
85%
% under line
69%
70%
69%
46%
38%
54%
10%
4%
15%
This opponent (Çorum FK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Çorum FK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (29)
8.8
9.1
8.3
3.1
3.4
2.8
22.8
23.6
21.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
9.7
9.5
10.0
2.9
3.3
2.5
24.8
24.7
25.0
vs Weaker (16)
8.1
8.7
7.5
3.2
3.5
3.0
21.2
22.5
20.0
% over line
48%
58%
33%
52%
60%
43%
52%
50%
56%
% under line
52%
42%
67%
48%
40%
57%
48%
50%
44%
This opponent (Altay) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Giresunspor
9.8
Şanlıurfaspor
9.7
Sakaryaspor
9.3
Eyüpspor
9.2
Adanaspor
9.1
Keçiörengücü
9.1
Ümraniyespor
9.0
Boluspor
9.0
Çorum FK
8.8
Beykoz Anadolu
8.7
Kocaelispor
8.5
Erzurumspor FK
8.4
Altay
8.4
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
8.4
Göztepe
8.2
Bandırmaspor
7.9
Bodrum FK
7.9
Manisa F.K.
7.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Ümraniyespor
5.5
Manisa F.K.
5.2
Keçiörengücü
5.1
Sakaryaspor
4.9
Bodrum FK
4.9
Bandırmaspor
4.8
Adanaspor
4.7
Altay
4.7
Beykoz Anadolu
4.7
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
4.7
Eyüpspor
4.5
Erzurumspor FK
4.3
Boluspor
4.3
Çorum FK
4.3
Göztepe
4.2
Kocaelispor
4.1
Şanlıurfaspor
4.0
Giresunspor
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Bodrum FK
28.8
Altay
27.5
Bandırmaspor
27.4
Manisa F.K.
27.0
Beykoz Anadolu
26.7
Erzurumspor FK
26.6
Eyüpspor
26.6
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
26.3
Boluspor
26.3
Keçiörengücü
26.1
Sakaryaspor
25.3
Kocaelispor
24.6
Göztepe
24.2
Adanaspor
23.9
Şanlıurfaspor
23.9
Ümraniyespor
23.8
Giresunspor
23.5
Çorum FK
22.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
33.5%
Under 9.5
66.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
69.0%
Under 3.5
31.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
77.5%
Under 21.5
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Altay
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.23
0.77
0.33
0.53
0.13
1.00
vs Stronger (19)
0.16
0.95
0.22
0.67
0.10
1.20
vs Similar (11)
0.36
0.45
0.50
0.33
0.20
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Çorum FK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Çorum FK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.72
0.55
0.60
0.67
0.86
0.43
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.46
0.69
0.57
0.86
0.33
0.50
vs Weaker (16)
0.94
0.44
0.62
0.50
1.25
0.38
Clean sheet %
59% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Altay) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Altay over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Altay over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Altay over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Çorum FK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Çorum FK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Çorum FK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Altay
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
1.43
0.40
1.40
0.20
1.47
vs Stronger (19)
0.16
1.95
0.11
2.00
0.20
1.90
vs Similar (11)
0.55
0.55
0.83
0.50
0.20
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Çorum FK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Çorum FK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.48
1.00
0.53
0.79
0.43
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.69
0.31
0.86
0.29
0.50
0.33
vs Weaker (16)
1.06
0.62
1.12
0.75
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
69% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Altay) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Altay over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Altay over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Altay over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Çorum FK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Çorum FK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Çorum FK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Altay
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marco Paixão33%
Deniz Kadah14%
Zeki Yildirim11%
Murat Uluç8%
Enes Ogruce8%
Nurettin Kucukdeniz7%
Eren Erdogan6%
İbrahim Öztürk6%
Salih Sarikaya3%
Sefa Özdemir0%
Ceyhun Gülselam0%
Ozan Evrim Özenç0%
Tolga Ünlü0%
Özgür Özkaya0%
Murat Demir0%
Yusuf Tekin0%
Eren Karatas0%
Arda Gezer0%
Kuban Altunbudak0%
Onur Efe0%
Ali Kizilkuyu0%
Tugay Gündem0%
Efe Sarikaya0%
Mustafa Caliskan0%
Erdem Ozcan0%
Mehmet Gunduz0%
Ege Parmaksiz0%
Caner Baycan0%
Enes Yetkin0%
Mehmet Yildiz0%
Emre Tangeldi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tugay Gündem75%
Deniz Kadah33%
Ceyhun Gülselam31%
Enes Ogruce31%
Onur Efe26%
Murat Uluç25%
Eren Erdogan25%
İbrahim Öztürk22%
Kuban Altunbudak22%
Eren Karatas21%
Nurettin Kucukdeniz21%
Özgür Özkaya21%
Marco Paixão20%
Salih Sarikaya19%
Arda Gezer17%
Sefa Özdemir16%
Tolga Ünlü16%
Murat Demir12%
Zeki Yildirim11%
Mustafa Caliskan11%
Ozan Evrim Özenç8%
Efe Sarikaya8%
Caner Baycan7%
Enes Yetkin5%
Yusuf Tekin0%
Ali Kizilkuyu0%
Erdem Ozcan0%
Mehmet Gunduz0%
Ege Parmaksiz0%
Mehmet Yildiz0%
Emre Tangeldi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tolga Ünlü16%
Marco Paixão13%
Deniz Kadah10%
Enes Yetkin5%
Ceyhun Gülselam3%
Salih Sarikaya3%
Sefa Özdemir0%
Ozan Evrim Özenç0%
Zeki Yildirim0%
Özgür Özkaya0%
İbrahim Öztürk0%
Murat Demir0%
Murat Uluç0%
Yusuf Tekin0%
Eren Erdogan0%
Eren Karatas0%
Arda Gezer0%
Kuban Altunbudak0%
Onur Efe0%
Ali Kizilkuyu0%
Nurettin Kucukdeniz0%
Tugay Gündem0%
Efe Sarikaya0%
Mustafa Caliskan0%
Erdem Ozcan0%
Mehmet Gunduz0%
Ege Parmaksiz0%
Enes Ogruce0%
Caner Baycan0%
Mehmet Yildiz0%
Emre Tangeldi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marco Paixão27%
Murat Uluç8%
Mehmet Gunduz8%
Nurettin Kucukdeniz7%
Eren Erdogan6%
Kuban Altunbudak6%
Enes Yetkin5%
Deniz Kadah5%
Sefa Özdemir0%
Ceyhun Gülselam0%
Ozan Evrim Özenç0%
Zeki Yildirim0%
Tolga Ünlü0%
Özgür Özkaya0%
İbrahim Öztürk0%
Murat Demir0%
Yusuf Tekin0%
Salih Sarikaya0%
Eren Karatas0%
Arda Gezer0%
Onur Efe0%
Ali Kizilkuyu0%
Tugay Gündem0%
Efe Sarikaya0%
Mustafa Caliskan0%
Erdem Ozcan0%
Ege Parmaksiz0%
Enes Ogruce0%
Caner Baycan0%
Mehmet Yildiz0%
Emre Tangeldi0%
Çorum FK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Thomas Verheydt30%
Ozan Sol29%
Ahmet Sağat28%
Geraldo24%
Michał Nalepa14%
Murat Yildirim14%
Eren Aydin12%
Atakan Akkaynak11%
Ahmet İlhan Özek8%
Ferhat Yazgan7%
Loïck Landre7%
Suat Kaya6%
Gökhan Karadeniz5%
Michael Ologo4%
Zargo Touré0%
Erkan Kaş0%
Adem Doğan0%
Hakan Barış0%
Ali Turkan0%
Hasan Huseyin Akinay0%
Atakan Cangöz0%
Kerem Kalafat0%
Süleyman Luş0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Hakan Barış41%
Michał Nalepa29%
Murat Yildirim29%
Ferhat Yazgan26%
Thomas Verheydt22%
Ahmet İlhan Özek21%
Erkan Kaş18%
Atakan Cangöz17%
Geraldo16%
Atakan Akkaynak14%
Michael Ologo12%
Kerem Kalafat11%
Gökhan Karadeniz10%
Ozan Sol10%
Eren Aydin8%
Zargo Touré7%
Hasan Huseyin Akinay4%
Ahmet Sağat3%
Loïck Landre0%
Adem Doğan0%
Suat Kaya0%
Ali Turkan0%
Süleyman Luş0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Süleyman Luş33%
Geraldo16%
Michał Nalepa14%
Murat Yildirim14%
Ozan Sol14%
Kerem Kalafat11%
Gökhan Karadeniz10%
Ahmet İlhan Özek8%
Eren Aydin8%
Suat Kaya6%
Hakan Barış6%
Thomas Verheydt4%
Michael Ologo4%
Ferhat Yazgan4%
Erkan Kaş4%
Ahmet Sağat3%
Loïck Landre0%
Atakan Akkaynak0%
Zargo Touré0%
Adem Doğan0%
Ali Turkan0%
Hasan Huseyin Akinay0%
Atakan Cangöz0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Thomas Verheydt22%
Ferhat Yazgan19%
Ahmet Sağat17%
Michał Nalepa14%
Ozan Sol10%
Michael Ologo4%
Geraldo4%
Loïck Landre0%
Atakan Akkaynak0%
Zargo Touré0%
Erkan Kaş0%
Murat Yildirim0%
Adem Doğan0%
Ahmet İlhan Özek0%
Gökhan Karadeniz0%
Hakan Barış0%
Suat Kaya0%
Ali Turkan0%
Hasan Huseyin Akinay0%
Atakan Cangöz0%
Kerem Kalafat0%
Süleyman Luş0%
Eren Aydin0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Turkey: 1. Lig 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: 1. Lig stats & trends →
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Eyüpspor
Göztepe
Bodrum FK
Sakaryaspor
Kocaelispor
Boluspor
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Bandırmaspor
Erzurumspor FK
Ümraniyespor
Manisa F.K.
Keçiörengücü
Adanaspor
Şanlıurfaspor
Beykoz Anadolu
Giresunspor