Altrincham are tipped to lift the trophy, with a 43% chance of a home win, 29% for a draw and 29% for Eastleigh to triumph. The model’s pick is a home victory, and the average goal tally sits at 2.6, with the most likely total being two goals at 27%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.8% probability. Altrincham, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, average 1.23 goals scored and 1.15 conceded, while Eastleigh, on the road, average 1.21 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 goals (99.5%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.6% with a 6% edge), Under 6.5 (98.4% with a 3% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.8% with a 7% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.2% with a 6% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (97.2% with a 4% edge), Under 5.5 (95.4% with a 5% edge) and Home under 2.5 2H goals (94.9% with a 6% edge). The match is likely to be a tight affair, with Altrincham’s recent win giving them a slight edge.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Altrincham win
42.6%
Avg Implied 45.3% · @ 2.02
Edge
-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.08
Betano
2.07
Dafabet
2.07
Unibet
2.07
William Hil
2.05
Draw
28.8%
Avg Implied 26.8% · @ 3.41
Edge
+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
3.55
Pinnacle
3.53
BetVictor
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Dafabet
3.50
Eastleigh win
28.6%
Avg Implied 27.9% · @ 3.28
Edge
+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.50
Pinnacle
3.41
Betano
3.40
Superbet
3.35
Bet365
3.30
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Altrincham
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.37
1.29
1.07
1.00
1.62
vs Stronger (3)
2.00
1.00
3.00
1.00
1.50
1.00
vs Similar (27)
1.04
1.41
1.15
1.08
0.93
1.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Eastleigh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Eastleigh
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.83
1.56
1.94
1.21
1.71
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
1.43
1.86
1.53
1.93
1.31
1.77
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
7% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Altrincham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
73.6%
@ 1.22-2.4%
Under 1.5
26.4%
@ 3.85+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Bet365
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Pinnacle
3.99
BetVictor
3.90
Superbet
3.85
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
47.0%
@ 1.74-6.6%
Under 2.5
53.0%
@ 2.00+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.78
10Bet
1.77
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.73
Betfair
1.73
Under
Bet365
2.08
Betano
2.05
Pinnacle
2.04
Betfair
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
25.4%
@ 2.79-7.7%
Under 3.5
74.6%
@ 1.38+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.90
Pinnacle
2.89
Betfair
2.88
Unibet
2.80
Bet365
2.75
Under
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Superbet
1.40
BetVictor
1.39
Both teams to score
Yes
52.6%
@ 1.61-4.6%
No
47.4%
@ 2.15+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.67
Superbet
1.62
William Hil
1.62
1xBet
1.61
Marathonbet
1.61
No
Betfair
2.25
Betano
2.20
William Hil
2.20
Superbet
2.17
1xBet
2.16
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%@ 6.11+6.7%
1-0
9.8%@ 7.79+4.3%
0-0
9.0%@ 10.83+5.1%
2-1
8.9%@ 7.64+3.3%
2-0
7.9%@ 9.94+3.6%
0-1
7.5%@ 10.04+3.2%
1-2
7.1%@ 10.11+2.8%
2-2
5.0%@ 11.15+1.2%
Altrincham goals ↓
Eastleigh goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.0%
7.5%
4.9%
1.9%
0.5%
1
9.8%
14%
7.1%
2.6%
0.7%
2
7.9%
8.9%
5.0%
1.9%
0.5%
3
3.8%
4.2%
2.4%
0.9%
0.3%
4
1.3%
1.5%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Altrincham goals (down), columns = Eastleigh goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Barrow
2.18
Harrogate
2.08
Carlisle
2.04
Boreham Wood
1.90
Scunthorpe
1.77
Forest Green
1.74
Southend
1.72
Halifax
1.52
Hartlepool
1.48
Fylde
1.38
Kidderminster
1.38
Woking
1.37
Tamworth
1.35
Boston Utd
1.28
Altrincham
1.24
Wealdstone
1.22
Solihull
1.22
Yeovil
1.11
Eastleigh
1.09
Gateshead
1.09
Sutton
1.02
Aldershot
1.00
Altrincham is 0.15 points better than Eastleigh in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.09).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Barrow
2.30
Harrogate
2.20
Boreham Wood
2.00
Carlisle
1.87
Southend
1.77
Forest Green
1.74
Scunthorpe
1.69
Solihull
1.54
Halifax
1.50
Aldershot
1.50
Woking
1.50
Wealdstone
1.48
Fylde
1.45
Kidderminster
1.45
Boston Utd
1.37
Tamworth
1.37
Sutton
1.28
Eastleigh
1.24
Altrincham
1.20
Hartlepool
1.17
Gateshead
1.17
Yeovil
1.04
Altrincham is 0.04 goals worse than Eastleigh in terms of goals scored per game (1.20 vs 1.24).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Barrow
0.92
Harrogate
0.96
Southend
1.02
Carlisle
1.11
Forest Green
1.11
Woking
1.17
Boreham Wood
1.24
Hartlepool
1.28
Scunthorpe
1.35
Altrincham
1.41
Halifax
1.43
Boston Utd
1.46
Fylde
1.46
Kidderminster
1.46
Yeovil
1.48
Tamworth
1.54
Solihull
1.57
Wealdstone
1.65
Sutton
1.72
Eastleigh
1.74
Aldershot
1.89
Gateshead
1.96
Altrincham is 0.33 goals better than Eastleigh in terms of goals conceded per game (1.41 vs 1.74).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Boreham Wood
58%
Wealdstone
57%
Sutton
54%
Aldershot
54%
Forest Green
53%
Southend
52%
Altrincham
52%
Gateshead
50%
Woking
50%
Scunthorpe
49%
Carlisle
49%
Solihull
48%
Halifax
48%
Hartlepool
47%
Yeovil
47%
Eastleigh
41%
Tamworth
38%
Altrincham is 10.7 percentage points better than Eastleigh in terms of average possession (52% vs 41%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Altrincham or Draw
71.4%
Avg Implied 71.9% · @ 1.28
Edge
-0.4%
43%
29%
29%
covers Altrincham + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Altrincham or Eastleigh
71.2%
Avg Implied 73.5% · @ 1.25
Edge
-2.4%
43%
29%
29%
covers Altrincham + Eastleigh
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
Draw or Eastleigh
57.4%
Avg Implied 54.6% · @ 1.69
Edge
+2.8%
43%
29%
29%
covers Draw + Eastleigh
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.78
William Hil
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Betfair
1.73
Superbet
1.73
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Altrincham over/under 0.5
Over
76.0%
@ 1.18-2.8%
Under
24.0%
@ 4.35+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.18
BetVictor
1.17
Under
Betfair
5.00
BetVictor
4.40
1xBet
4.35
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.30
Altrincham over/under 1.5
Over
41.7%
@ 1.92-6.5%
Under
58.3%
@ 1.79+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.98
10Bet
1.93
BetVictor
1.93
Marathonbet
1.92
1xBet
1.92
Under
Betano
1.83
Superbet
1.82
Pinnacle
1.81
Betfair
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Altrincham over/under 2.5
Over
17.3%
@ 3.89-6.5%
Under
82.7%
@ 1.22+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.10
Pinnacle
4.05
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
3.88
Marathonbet
3.88
Under
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Betfair
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
Altrincham over/under 3.5
Over
5.7%
@ 8.90-4.8%
Under
94.3%
@ 1.05+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
1xBet
9.60
Betfair
9.50
Superbet
8.10
Betano
7.30
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Eastleigh over/under 0.5
Over
67.6%
@ 1.33-2.1%
Under
32.4%
@ 3.05+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.34
Betano
1.34
Pinnacle
1.33
Bet365
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Under
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.16
Betano
3.05
Superbet
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Eastleigh over/under 1.5
Over
31.1%
@ 2.62-4.2%
Under
68.9%
@ 1.43+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.77
Betfair
2.75
Superbet
2.62
Bet365
2.62
1xBet
2.61
Under
Betano
1.47
BetVictor
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.43
Eastleigh over/under 2.5
Over
10.5%
@ 6.31-4.2%
Under
89.5%
@ 1.08+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
BetVictor
6.50
Betfair
6.50
1xBet
6.35
Marathonbet
6.30
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.09
BetVictor
1.08
Betfair
1.08
Eastleigh over/under 3.5
Over
2.8%
@ 15.33-3.4%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.02+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
Superbet
16.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Altrincham, so a minus line means Altrincham give that many goals of a start and Eastleigh receive them. At -1, Altrincham must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Altrincham win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Altrincham)
Altrincham -2
8.0%
@ 8.00-3.3%
Draw -2
13.1%
@ 5.86-2.3%
Eastleigh +2
78.9%
@ 1.23+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.50
Marathonbet
7.50
Superbet
7.00
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
5.95
Superbet
5.50
Away
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Handicap -1 (Altrincham)
Altrincham -1
21.1%
@ 3.60-3.3%
Draw -1
21.5%
@ 3.68-2.3%
Eastleigh +1
57.4%
@ 1.69+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.58
Superbet
3.50
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.80
10Bet
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
Betfair
3.60
Away
Superbet
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Betfair
1.73
10Bet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.65
Handicap +1 (Altrincham)
Altrincham +1
71.4%
@ 1.27+2.6%
Draw +1
16.7%
@ 4.80-1.5%
Eastleigh -1
11.8%
@ 6.78-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.26
Unibet
1.25
Betfair
1.22
Draw
Marathonbet
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Unibet
4.00
Away
Betfair
8.50
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.80
Superbet
6.50
Unibet
5.10
Handicap +2 (Altrincham)
Altrincham +2
88.2%
@ 1.08+2.5%
Draw +2
8.2%
@ 9.87-1.2%
Eastleigh -2
3.6%
@ 18.33-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.05
Draw
Betfair
11.00
Bet365
10.00
Superbet
8.60
Away
Betfair
23.00
Bet365
17.00
Superbet
15.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Altrincham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.47
0.86
0.36
0.31
0.56
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.56
0.52
0.85
0.38
0.29
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Eastleigh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Eastleigh
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.73
0.62
0.56
0.50
0.93
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (28)
0.57
0.71
0.60
0.47
0.54
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Altrincham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
67.4%
@ 1.32-2.5%
Under 0.5
32.6%
@ 3.09+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.39
BetVictor
1.35
Pinnacle
1.33
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Under
Betfair
3.30
Pinnacle
3.28
Bet365
3.25
10Bet
3.10
Superbet
3.10
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
32.0%
@ 2.52-4.7%
Under 1.5
68.0%
@ 1.46+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.64
Betano
2.62
Betfair
2.60
1xBet
2.53
Marathonbet
2.53
Under
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.47
Superbet
1.47
Betano
1.47
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
10.3%
@ 6.19-4.7%
Under 2.5
89.7%
@ 1.09+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.00
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.50
1xBet
6.05
Marathonbet
6.05
Under
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Altrincham over/under 0.5 HT
Over
47.3%
@ 1.80-3.8%
Under
52.7%
@ 1.88+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.85
Pinnacle
1.82
Marathonbet
1.81
1xBet
1.81
Superbet
1.78
Under
Pinnacle
1.95
Superbet
1.92
Betano
1.88
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Altrincham over/under 1.5 HT
Over
13.5%
@ 5.08-4.8%
Under
86.5%
@ 1.13+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.30
1xBet
5.30
Betano
4.90
Superbet
4.80
Under
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
Altrincham over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.8%
@ 12.88-4.6%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.02+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
15.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
Eastleigh over/under 0.5 HT
Over
36.6%
@ 2.20-5.2%
Under
63.4%
@ 1.58+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.29
Betano
2.25
Superbet
2.22
Marathonbet
2.19
1xBet
2.19
Under
Pinnacle
1.60
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.59
Unibet
1.58
Marathonbet
1.57
Eastleigh over/under 1.5 HT
Over
8.1%
@ 7.42-4.4%
Under
91.9%
@ 1.05+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.80
Marathonbet
7.80
Superbet
7.20
Betano
6.90
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
Eastleigh over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.3%
@ 19.25-3.7%
Under
98.7%
@ 1.01+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
26.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Altrincham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.90
0.43
0.71
0.69
1.06
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.48
0.89
0.31
0.69
0.64
1.07
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Eastleigh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Eastleigh
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
1.10
0.94
1.38
0.71
0.79
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.86
1.14
0.93
1.47
0.77
0.77
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Altrincham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
78.0%
@ 1.19+0.3%
Under 0.5
22.0%
@ 4.16-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.16
Under
Bet365
4.33
Betano
4.30
Marathonbet
4.10
Superbet
4.10
1xBet
4.10
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
41.8%
@ 1.93-6.1%
Under 1.5
58.2%
@ 1.77+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.95
William Hil
1.95
10Bet
1.95
1xBet
1.93
Marathonbet
1.93
Under
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.77
Superbet
1.77
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
17.7%
@ 3.90-6.0%
Under 2.5
82.3%
@ 1.21+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.90
1xBet
3.88
Marathonbet
3.88
Under
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
William Hil
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Altrincham over/under 0.5 2H
Over
55.9%
@ 1.55-3.9%
Under
44.1%
@ 2.31+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.56
Betano
1.55
1xBet
1.55
Under
Betano
2.35
1xBet
2.30
Superbet
2.27
Altrincham over/under 1.5 2H
Over
20.6%
@ 3.61-5.0%
Under
79.4%
@ 1.24+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.70
Marathonbet
3.65
1xBet
3.60
Betano
3.50
Under
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.24
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
Altrincham over/under 2.5 2H
Over
5.1%
@ 9.43-4.8%
Under
94.9%
@ 1.03+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.50
Superbet
9.80
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Eastleigh over/under 0.5 2H
Over
48.1%
@ 1.84-2.1%
Under
51.9%
@ 1.86+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.87
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.83
Betano
1.82
Under
Betano
1.93
1xBet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.83
Superbet
1.83
Eastleigh over/under 1.5 2H
Over
13.5%
@ 5.25-4.1%
Under
86.5%
@ 1.12+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.45
1xBet
5.40
Superbet
5.30
Betano
4.85
Under
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Eastleigh over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.3%
@ 13.88-4.6%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.02+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
17.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.7%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.7%
Under 6.5
98.4%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+3.5%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.7%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.6%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.6%
Away under 3.5 goals
97.2%
1.02
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+3.4%
Under 5.5
95.4%
1.04
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.02
+5.0%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.9%
1.03
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+4.8%
Home under 3.5 goals
94.3%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.01
+4.8%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.9%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
-
+4.4%
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.7%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.08
+4.7%
Away under 2.5 goals
89.5%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.09
BetVictor
1.08
Betfair
1.08
+4.2%
Under 4.5
88.4%
1.12
Betano
1.16
Pinnacle
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.11
+6.1%
Home +2 handicap
88.2%
1.08
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.05
-
-
+2.5%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.5%
1.12
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
-
+4.1%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
86.5%
1.13
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
-
+4.8%
Home under 2.5 goals
82.7%
1.22
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Betfair
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
+6.5%
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.3%
1.21
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
William Hil
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
+6.0%
Under 5.5 cards
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
79.4%
1.24
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.24
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
-
+5.0%
Away +2 handicap
78.9%
1.23
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
-
+5.5%
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.0%
1.19
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.16
+0.3%
Home over 0.5 goals
76.0%
1.18
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.18
BetVictor
1.17
-2.8%
Over 2.5 cards
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
74.6%
1.38
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Superbet
1.40
BetVictor
1.39
+7.7%
Over 1.5
73.6%
1.22
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Bet365
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
-2.4%
Home or Draw
71.4%
1.28
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.29
-0.4%
Home +1 handicap
71.4%
1.27
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.26
Unibet
1.25
Betfair
1.22
+2.6%
Home or Away
71.2%
1.25
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
-2.4%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (11)
€2m
HAR (14)
€1m
FG (4)
€1m
BU (6)
€1m
EAS (5)
€1m
SOU (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€1m
SOL (3)
€0m
ALT (5)
€0m
ALD (4)
€0m
WOK (3)
€0m
YEO (3)
€0m
SCU (2)
€0m
TAM (4)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
WEA (2)
€0m
HAL (2)
€0m
GAT (1)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
Altrincham and Eastleigh have a similar squad value (both €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (3)
€0m
FG (2)
€0m
ALD (3)
€0m
HAR (4)
€0m
ALT (3)
€0m
SOL (2)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
SCU (1)
€0m
GAT (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
TAM (2)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
WOK (1)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
SOU (0)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
WEA (0)
€0m
Altrincham and Eastleigh have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (5)
€1m
HAR (4)
€1m
SOU (2)
€0m
BU (2)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
TAM (2)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
SCU (0)
€0m
FG (0)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
GAT (0)
€0m
ALD (0)
€0m
SOL (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
WOK (0)
€0m
Altrincham and Eastleigh have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€0m
BU (3)
€0m
EAS (3)
€0m
FG (2)
€0m
WOK (2)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
SOL (1)
€0m
SOU (1)
€0m
SCU (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
ALD (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
GAT (0)
€0m
TAM (0)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
Altrincham and Eastleigh have a similar defence value (both €0m).
England: National League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: National League stats & trends →