The encounter between Altrincham and Halifax is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win but the odds still close. Altrincham, who have struggled in their last five matches, have scored and conceded an average of 1.17 goals in similar opposition at home, while Halifax, fresh from a 4-1 victory, average 1.5 goals scored and 1.25 conceded on the road. The predicted outcome is a home win, with a 40 % chance, a draw at 28 %, and an away win at 32 %. The expected total is 2.7 goals, most likely a 2-goal match, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1 with a 13.5 % probability. Suggested selections include Under 7.5 goals at 99.4 %, Under 6.5 at 98.1 % with a 3 % edge, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 97.8 % with a 6 % edge, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.5 % with a 5 % edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.8 % with a 7 % edge, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 96.3 % with a 6 % edge, Away under 3.5 goals at 96.3 % with a 4 % edge, and Under 5.5 at 94.6 % with a 4 % edge.
Results analysis
Altrincham’s win over Halifax extended their recent run, with the 2-1 result matching the model’s predicted home victory and confirming the pre-match favourite. The Pythia model had assigned a 40% probability to a home win, and its call was right. The match finished 2-1, a home win that also satisfied the most likely scoreline of 1-1 or 2-1, each with a 13.5% and 8.7% chance respectively. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 goals hit at 99.4%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.2%, Under 6.5 at 98.1%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.7%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.3%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 96.3%, Away under 3.5 goals at 96.3%, and Under 5.5 at 94.6%. All these picks were correct.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Altrincham win✓ Hit
40.0%
Avg Implied 38.7% · @ 2.37
Edge
+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.50
Pinnacle
2.46
Betano
2.40
Superbet
2.40
Dafabet
2.39
Draw✗ Miss
28.4%
Avg Implied 27.1% · @ 3.38
Edge
+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.62
Betano
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Dafabet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.40
Halifax win✗ Miss
31.6%
Avg Implied 34.2% · @ 2.68
Edge
-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.80
Superbet
2.77
Dafabet
2.75
Pinnacle
2.73
Betano
2.72
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Altrincham
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.47
1.43
1.14
0.88
1.75
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
1.00
3.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
1.07
1.50
1.31
1.15
0.87
1.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Halifax) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Halifax
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
1.47
1.94
1.59
1.46
1.31
vs Stronger (3)
1.67
2.33
2.00
2.50
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (27)
1.74
1.37
1.93
1.47
1.50
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Altrincham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.7%
@ 1.22-0.1%
Under 1.5
24.3%
@ 3.81+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Superbet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Under
Pinnacle
4.08
Bet365
4.00
BetVictor
3.90
Superbet
3.85
Betfair
3.80
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.7%
@ 1.75-3.6%
Under 2.5
50.3%
@ 1.99+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.80
Pinnacle
1.77
10Bet
1.77
Betano
1.75
Unibet
1.74
Under
Bet365
2.08
Pinnacle
2.07
Betano
2.05
Superbet
2.00
1xBet
1.99
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.7%
@ 2.84-4.7%
Under 3.5
72.3%
@ 1.37+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.20
10Bet
2.95
Pinnacle
2.90
Unibet
2.90
Betano
2.80
Under
Pinnacle
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.40
BetVictor
1.39
Superbet
1.39
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.1%
@ 1.60-2.5%
No
44.9%
@ 2.17+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.62
William Hil
1.62
Betano
1.60
10Bet
1.60
Superbet
1.60
No
BetVictor
2.25
Betfair
2.20
William Hil
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Superbet
2.20
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%@ 5.96+6.3%
2-1 ✓
8.7%@ 8.21+3.5%
1-0
8.7%@ 8.30+3.5%
0-0
8.2%@ 10.66+4.2%
1-2
7.6%@ 8.80+2.7%
0-1
7.4%@ 8.94+2.6%
2-0
7.1%@ 11.68+3.3%
2-2
5.4%@ 11.08+1.5%
Altrincham goals ↓
Halifax goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.2%
7.4%
5.4%
2.2%
0.7%
1
8.7%
14%
7.6%
3.2%
1.0%
2
7.1%
8.7%
5.4%
2.2%
0.7%
3
3.3%
4.1%
2.6%
1.1%
0.3%
4
1.2%
1.5%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Altrincham goals (down), columns = Halifax goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Barrow
2.18
Harrogate
2.08
Carlisle
2.04
Boreham Wood
1.90
Scunthorpe
1.77
Forest Green
1.74
Southend
1.72
Halifax
1.52
Hartlepool
1.48
Fylde
1.38
Kidderminster
1.38
Woking
1.37
Tamworth
1.35
Boston Utd
1.28
Altrincham
1.24
Wealdstone
1.22
Solihull
1.22
Yeovil
1.11
Eastleigh
1.09
Gateshead
1.09
Sutton
1.02
Aldershot
1.00
Altrincham is 0.28 points worse than Halifax in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.52).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Barrow
2.30
Harrogate
2.20
Boreham Wood
2.00
Carlisle
1.87
Southend
1.77
Forest Green
1.74
Scunthorpe
1.69
Solihull
1.54
Halifax
1.50
Aldershot
1.50
Woking
1.50
Wealdstone
1.48
Fylde
1.45
Kidderminster
1.45
Boston Utd
1.37
Tamworth
1.37
Sutton
1.28
Eastleigh
1.24
Altrincham
1.20
Hartlepool
1.17
Gateshead
1.17
Yeovil
1.04
Altrincham is 0.30 goals worse than Halifax in terms of goals scored per game (1.20 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Barrow
0.92
Harrogate
0.96
Southend
1.02
Carlisle
1.11
Forest Green
1.11
Woking
1.17
Boreham Wood
1.24
Hartlepool
1.28
Scunthorpe
1.35
Altrincham
1.41
Halifax
1.43
Boston Utd
1.46
Fylde
1.46
Kidderminster
1.46
Yeovil
1.48
Tamworth
1.54
Solihull
1.57
Wealdstone
1.65
Sutton
1.72
Eastleigh
1.74
Aldershot
1.89
Gateshead
1.96
Altrincham is 0.02 goals better than Halifax in terms of goals conceded per game (1.41 vs 1.43).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Boreham Wood
58%
Wealdstone
57%
Sutton
54%
Aldershot
54%
Forest Green
53%
Southend
52%
Altrincham
52%
Gateshead
50%
Woking
50%
Scunthorpe
49%
Carlisle
49%
Solihull
48%
Halifax
48%
Hartlepool
47%
Yeovil
47%
Eastleigh
41%
Tamworth
38%
Altrincham is 4.1 percentage points better than Halifax in terms of average possession (52% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Altrincham or Draw✓ Hit
68.4%
Avg Implied 66.2% · @ 1.39
Edge
+2.2%
40%
28%
32%
covers Altrincham + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.44
Betfair
1.44
William Hil
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Altrincham or Halifax✓ Hit
71.6%
Avg Implied 72.9% · @ 1.26
Edge
-1.3%
40%
28%
32%
covers Altrincham + Halifax
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Betano
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Draw or Halifax✗ Miss
60.0%
Avg Implied 60.9% · @ 1.51
Edge
-0.9%
40%
28%
32%
covers Draw + Halifax
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.57
10Bet
1.57
William Hil
1.55
Superbet
1.53
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Altrincham over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
75.9%
@ 1.22+0.4%
Under
24.1%
@ 3.77-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.25
Betano
1.25
Pinnacle
1.23
Superbet
1.23
BetVictor
1.22
Under
Bet365
4.00
Pinnacle
3.98
Superbet
3.80
BetVictor
3.80
1xBet
3.74
Altrincham over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
41.5%
@ 2.13-1.9%
Under
58.5%
@ 1.64+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.25
Pinnacle
2.22
BetVictor
2.15
Betano
2.12
Marathonbet
2.12
Under
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.67
Superbet
1.66
Pinnacle
1.66
10Bet
1.65
Altrincham over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
17.2%
@ 4.69-2.6%
Under
82.8%
@ 1.16+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
4.75
Marathonbet
4.65
1xBet
4.60
Bet365
4.50
Under
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
BetVictor
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Altrincham over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.6%
@ 10.38-3.5%
Under
94.4%
@ 1.04+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
10.00
Betfair
10.00
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Halifax over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
71.1%
@ 1.26-2.1%
Under
28.9%
@ 3.45+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.26
Under
Pinnacle
3.67
BetVictor
3.60
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Marathonbet
3.48
Halifax over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
35.2%
@ 2.31-4.8%
Under
64.8%
@ 1.54+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.39
Betfair
2.38
10Bet
2.35
1xBet
2.32
Superbet
2.30
Under
Pinnacle
1.58
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.57
Marathonbet
1.55
Superbet
1.55
Halifax over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
12.9%
@ 5.31-4.5%
Under
87.1%
@ 1.12+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.25
1xBet
5.25
Marathonbet
5.20
Under
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
Betfair
1.11
Halifax over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.7%
@ 11.62-4.4%
Under
96.3%
@ 1.03+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
12.00
Betfair
10.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Altrincham, so a minus line means Altrincham give that many goals of a start and Halifax receive them. At -1, Altrincham must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Altrincham win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Altrincham)Actual: Halifax
Altrincham -2
7.3%
@ 9.80-1.7%
Draw -2
12.2%
@ 6.50-1.4%
Halifax +2
80.4%
@ 1.15+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
13.00
Bet365
11.00
Superbet
9.00
Marathonbet
6.20
Draw
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
7.00
Superbet
6.40
Marathonbet
4.60
Away
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.13
Betfair
1.10
Handicap -1 (Altrincham)Actual: Draw
Altrincham -1
19.6%
@ 4.50+0.0%
Draw -1
20.4%
@ 4.00-1.5%
Halifax +1
60.0%
@ 1.50+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
4.55
Bet365
4.50
Superbet
4.40
10Bet
4.33
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
4.10
Superbet
4.10
10Bet
3.90
Away
10Bet
1.57
Superbet
1.54
Bet365
1.53
Marathonbet
1.48
Unibet
1.45
Handicap +1 (Altrincham)Actual: Altrincham
Altrincham +1
68.4%
@ 1.40+6.0%
Draw +1
17.7%
@ 4.23-3.0%
Halifax -1
14.0%
@ 5.16-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.44
Betfair
1.44
Superbet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.38
Unibet
1.34
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Superbet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.35
Betfair
4.20
Unibet
3.60
Away
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.25
Superbet
5.15
Unibet
4.40
Handicap +2 (Altrincham)Actual: Altrincham
Altrincham +2
86.0%
@ 1.12+6.7%
Draw +2
9.3%
@ 7.00-3.4%
Halifax -2
4.6%
@ 11.30-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
Betfair
1.10
Draw
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
7.30
Marathonbet
4.70
Away
Betfair
15.00
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
11.00
Marathonbet
6.20
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Altrincham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.57
0.79
0.43
0.31
0.69
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (28)
0.50
0.61
0.77
0.46
0.27
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Halifax) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Halifax
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.53
0.76
0.65
0.69
0.38
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.74
0.48
0.73
0.60
0.75
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Altrincham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
67.6%
@ 1.32-2.2%
Under 0.5
32.4%
@ 3.07+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
BetVictor
1.35
Pinnacle
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Under
Pinnacle
3.31
Bet365
3.25
William Hil
3.25
10Bet
3.10
Superbet
3.05
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
32.8%
@ 2.54-3.8%
Under 1.5
67.2%
@ 1.47+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.75
Betano
2.65
Pinnacle
2.60
1xBet
2.53
Marathonbet
2.53
Under
Bet365
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
William Hil
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.47
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.1%
@ 6.24-3.8%
Under 2.5
88.9%
@ 1.09+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.00
BetVictor
7.00
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.00
William Hil
6.00
Under
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Altrincham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
45.4%
@ 1.93-2.6%
Under
54.6%
@ 1.77+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.98
Pinnacle
1.95
1xBet
1.95
Superbet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.91
Under
Pinnacle
1.83
Superbet
1.80
Betano
1.78
Marathonbet
1.76
1xBet
1.75
Altrincham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
11.6%
@ 6.00-3.8%
Under
88.4%
@ 1.10+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.00
Superbet
5.50
Betano
5.50
Under
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Altrincham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.3%
@ 14.75-4.1%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.01+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
18.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Halifax over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
43.2%
@ 2.04-2.0%
Under
56.8%
@ 1.68+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.10
Betano
2.07
Pinnacle
2.06
Superbet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.75
Betano
1.70
Superbet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
Unibet
1.64
Halifax over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.6%
@ 6.56-2.5%
Under
88.4%
@ 1.08+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.50
Marathonbet
6.55
Superbet
6.20
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Halifax over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.8%
@ 16.50-4.0%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.02+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
21.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Altrincham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.90
0.64
0.71
0.56
1.06
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.57
0.89
0.54
0.69
0.60
1.07
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Halifax) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Halifax
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.93
1.18
0.94
0.77
0.92
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.33
1.00
1.50
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
1.00
0.89
1.20
0.87
0.75
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Altrincham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.8%
@ 1.20+1.4%
Under 0.5
21.2%
@ 4.09-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.16
Under
Betano
4.25
Superbet
4.10
1xBet
4.10
Marathonbet
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
44.5%
@ 1.96-2.7%
Under 1.5
55.5%
@ 1.75+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Superbet
1.95
William Hil
1.95
1xBet
1.94
Under
Betano
1.83
Marathonbet
1.76
1xBet
1.76
Superbet
1.76
William Hil
1.75
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.4%
@ 3.98-5.9%
Under 2.5
82.6%
@ 1.21+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
William Hil
4.00
1xBet
3.92
Marathonbet
3.92
Superbet
3.90
Under
Betano
1.26
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.18
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Altrincham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
52.5%
@ 1.65-3.7%
Under
47.5%
@ 2.12+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.66
Betano
1.65
Marathonbet
1.64
1xBet
1.63
Under
Betano
2.15
1xBet
2.14
Superbet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.07
Altrincham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
18.3%
@ 4.10-4.2%
Under
81.7%
@ 1.19+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.30
Superbet
4.15
1xBet
4.00
Betano
3.95
Under
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.19
Superbet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.16
Altrincham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.7%
@ 10.50-5.2%
Under
96.3%
@ 1.03+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
Halifax over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
51.2%
@ 1.73-2.3%
Under
48.8%
@ 1.99+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.74
Superbet
1.74
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.71
Under
Betano
2.05
1xBet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.97
Superbet
1.97
Halifax over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.8%
@ 4.55-3.5%
Under
83.2%
@ 1.16+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.70
Marathonbet
4.65
Superbet
4.55
Betano
4.30
Under
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Halifax over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.7%
@ 11.88-4.2%
Under
96.3%
@ 1.02+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.2%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.3%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.3%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
94.6%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
BetVictor
1.02
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
94.4%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.9%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.07
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
88.4%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.4%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
-
+3.8%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
87.1%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
Betfair
1.11
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
86.9%
1.12
Pinnacle
1.16
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
BetVictor
1.11
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
86.0%
1.12
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
Betfair
1.10
-
+6.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
83.2%
1.16
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
82.8%
1.16
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
BetVictor
1.15
1xBet
1.14
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.6%
1.21
Betano
1.26
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.18
+5.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
81.7%
1.19
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.19
Superbet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.16
-
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
80.4%
1.15
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.13
Betfair
1.10
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.8%
1.20
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.16
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
75.9%
1.22
Betfair
1.25
Betano
1.25
Pinnacle
1.23
Superbet
1.23
BetVictor
1.22
+0.4%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
75.7%
1.22
Betano
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Superbet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
-0.1%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
72.3%
1.37
Pinnacle
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.40
BetVictor
1.39
Superbet
1.39
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
71.6%
1.26
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Betano
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
-1.3%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
71.1%
1.26
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.26
-2.1%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (11)
€2m
HAR (14)
€1m
FG (4)
€1m
BU (6)
€1m
EAS (5)
€1m
SOU (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€1m
SOL (3)
€0m
ALT (5)
€0m
ALD (4)
€0m
WOK (3)
€0m
YEO (3)
€0m
SCU (2)
€0m
TAM (4)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
WEA (2)
€0m
HAL (2)
€0m
GAT (1)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
Altrincham and Halifax have a similar squad value (both €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (3)
€0m
FG (2)
€0m
ALD (3)
€0m
HAR (4)
€0m
ALT (3)
€0m
SOL (2)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
SCU (1)
€0m
GAT (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
TAM (2)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
WOK (1)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
SOU (0)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
WEA (0)
€0m
Altrincham and Halifax have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (5)
€1m
HAR (4)
€1m
SOU (2)
€0m
BU (2)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
TAM (2)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
SCU (0)
€0m
FG (0)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
GAT (0)
€0m
ALD (0)
€0m
SOL (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
WOK (0)
€0m
Altrincham and Halifax have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€0m
BU (3)
€0m
EAS (3)
€0m
FG (2)
€0m
WOK (2)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
SOL (1)
€0m
SOU (1)
€0m
SCU (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
ALD (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
GAT (0)
€0m
TAM (0)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
Altrincham and Halifax have a similar defence value (both €0m).
England: National League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: National League stats & trends →