This opponent (Valladolid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Valladolid
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.23
1.07
1.07
0.94
1.38
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
1.86
0.50
1.50
1.00
2.33
vs Similar (19)
0.95
1.11
1.25
1.00
0.73
1.18
vs Weaker (4)
1.75
0.75
1.50
0.50
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Amorebieta) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.0%
Under 1.5
21.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.4%
@ 2.21+11.8%
Under 2.5
45.6%
@ 1.64-11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
32.1%
Under 3.5
67.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.5%
No
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
7.8%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.0%
0-0
6.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
5.9%
Amorebieta goals ↓
Valladolid goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.9%
7.8%
7.0%
3.6%
1.4%
1
6.3%
13%
9.1%
4.7%
1.8%
2
4.8%
7.5%
5.9%
3.1%
1.2%
3
2.1%
3.3%
2.5%
1.3%
0.5%
4
0.7%
1.1%
0.8%
0.4%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Amorebieta goals (down), columns = Valladolid goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Valladolid
1.93
Almeria
1.93
Eibar
1.90
Las Palmas
1.67
Tenerife
1.64
Girona
1.62
Oviedo
1.62
Ponferradina
1.50
FC Cartagena
1.43
Zaragoza
1.33
Burgos
1.31
Leganes
1.29
Huesca
1.29
Ibiza
1.24
Mirandes
1.24
Lugo
1.19
Sporting Gijon
1.10
Malaga
1.07
Amorebieta
1.02
Real Sociedad II
0.95
Fuenlabrada
0.79
Alcorcon
0.69
Amorebieta is 0.90 points worse than Valladolid in terms of average points per game (1.02 vs 1.93).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Valladolid
1.69
Almeria
1.62
FC Cartagena
1.50
Eibar
1.45
Mirandes
1.38
Girona
1.36
Ponferradina
1.36
Las Palmas
1.36
Oviedo
1.36
Ibiza
1.26
Tenerife
1.26
Leganes
1.19
Huesca
1.17
Lugo
1.10
Amorebieta
1.05
Real Sociedad II
1.02
Sporting Gijon
1.02
Burgos
0.98
Fuenlabrada
0.93
Zaragoza
0.93
Alcorcon
0.88
Malaga
0.86
Amorebieta is 0.64 goals worse than Valladolid in terms of goals scored per game (1.05 vs 1.69).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Almeria
0.83
Tenerife
0.88
Oviedo
0.98
Burgos
0.98
Girona
1.00
Valladolid
1.02
Huesca
1.05
Eibar
1.07
Zaragoza
1.10
Las Palmas
1.12
Sporting Gijon
1.14
Leganes
1.21
Lugo
1.24
Ponferradina
1.31
Malaga
1.36
FC Cartagena
1.36
Ibiza
1.40
Real Sociedad II
1.45
Mirandes
1.48
Amorebieta
1.50
Fuenlabrada
1.55
Alcorcon
1.69
Amorebieta is 0.48 goals worse than Valladolid in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.02).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Amorebieta
For 5.4 · Against 5.5 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 11.5 · Total 24.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Valladolid
For 5.6 · Against 3.8 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 13.9 · Total 26.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Amorebieta
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (13)
10.0
8.8
11.0
3.6
4.3
3.0
25.0
22.8
26.9
vs Stronger (8)
8.5
8.5
8.5
4.4
5.0
3.8
24.8
24.5
25.0
vs Similar (5)
12.4
9.5
14.3
2.4
3.0
2.0
25.4
19.5
29.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
46%
33%
57%
46%
67%
29%
69%
50%
86%
% under line
54%
67%
43%
54%
33%
71%
31%
50%
14%
This opponent (Valladolid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Valladolid
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
8.9
8.8
5.2
5.4
5.1
27.5
27.9
27.2
vs Stronger (13)
8.8
9.2
8.6
5.2
6.0
4.6
24.4
25.3
23.6
vs Similar (33)
8.7
8.4
9.0
5.2
5.2
5.2
29.2
29.4
29.0
vs Weaker (4)
10.0
12.0
8.0
5.2
4.5
6.0
24.0
23.0
25.0
% over line
44%
38%
50%
78%
79%
77%
86%
88%
85%
% under line
56%
62%
50%
22%
21%
23%
14%
12%
15%
This opponent (Amorebieta) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Amorebieta
10.0
Ibiza
9.9
Almeria
9.3
Real Sociedad II
9.2
Lugo
9.1
Eibar
9.1
Valladolid
8.9
Huesca
8.8
Fuenlabrada
8.8
Tenerife
8.8
Zaragoza
8.7
Ponferradina
8.6
Girona
8.5
Malaga
8.5
Sporting Gijon
8.5
FC Cartagena
8.5
Mirandes
8.5
Oviedo
8.3
Alcorcon
8.2
Leganes
7.8
Las Palmas
7.7
Burgos
7.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Fuenlabrada
6.2
Girona
5.7
Tenerife
5.6
Almeria
5.5
FC Cartagena
5.5
Oviedo
5.4
Malaga
5.2
Valladolid
5.2
Las Palmas
5.2
Lugo
4.9
Zaragoza
4.8
Alcorcon
4.7
Ponferradina
4.6
Leganes
4.5
Mirandes
4.3
Sporting Gijon
4.3
Huesca
4.0
Real Sociedad II
3.8
Ibiza
3.7
Eibar
3.6
Amorebieta
3.6
Burgos
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Las Palmas
31.9
Fuenlabrada
31.9
FC Cartagena
31.4
Tenerife
30.6
Leganes
30.1
Girona
29.2
Malaga
29.0
Huesca
28.6
Ibiza
28.1
Alcorcon
28.1
Almeria
27.9
Zaragoza
27.5
Valladolid
27.5
Lugo
27.3
Oviedo
27.2
Mirandes
27.0
Ponferradina
26.4
Burgos
25.8
Sporting Gijon
25.7
Amorebieta
25.0
Eibar
24.2
Real Sociedad II
22.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
38.3%
Under 9.5
61.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
71.2%
Under 3.5
28.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
83.2%
Under 21.5
16.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Amorebieta
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.46
0.62
0.83
0.83
0.14
0.43
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
0.62
1.00
0.75
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (5)
0.40
0.60
0.50
1.00
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
38% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Valladolid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Valladolid
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.50
0.57
0.29
0.25
0.69
vs Stronger (7)
0.14
0.71
0.25
0.00
0.00
1.67
vs Similar (19)
0.47
0.53
0.75
0.50
0.27
0.55
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Amorebieta) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Amorebieta over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amorebieta over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amorebieta over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valladolid over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valladolid over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valladolid over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Amorebieta
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.46
0.85
0.67
0.83
0.29
0.86
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
0.88
0.50
0.50
0.25
1.25
vs Similar (5)
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.50
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
38% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Valladolid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Valladolid
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.73
0.50
0.79
0.69
0.69
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
1.14
0.25
1.50
1.00
0.67
vs Similar (19)
0.47
0.58
0.50
0.50
0.45
0.64
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.75
1.00
0.50
1.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Amorebieta) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Amorebieta over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amorebieta over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amorebieta over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valladolid over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valladolid over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valladolid over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Amorebieta · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Iker Unzueta Arregui25%
Eneko Jauregi16%
Félix Garreta13%
Manu Hernando9%
Javier Eraso9%
Ryan Edwards8%
Jon Morcillo8%
Josué Dorrio7%
Javier Avilés7%
Unai Bustinza6%
Álvaro Núñez5%
Josep Gayá5%
Rayco Rodriguez3%
Kwasi Sibo3%
Jürgen Locadia0%
Erik Morán0%
Jorge Mier0%
Daniel Lasure0%
Àlex Carbonell0%
Xabier Etxeita0%
Jorge Yriarte0%
Cosimo Marco Da Graca0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Iker Seguin0%
Pablo Cunat0%
Angel Troncho0%
Luis Quintero0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Josep Gayá33%
Unai Bustinza29%
Manu Hernando23%
Kwasi Sibo21%
Álvaro Núñez21%
Iker Seguin20%
Félix Garreta19%
Xabier Etxeita19%
Erik Morán19%
Daniel Lasure17%
Àlex Carbonell16%
Jorge Mier10%
Javier Eraso9%
Cosimo Marco Da Graca8%
Eneko Jauregi8%
Josué Dorrio7%
Javier Avilés7%
Jorge Yriarte7%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia6%
Ryan Edwards6%
Luis Quintero6%
Jon Morcillo5%
Pablo Cunat4%
Rayco Rodriguez3%
Jürgen Locadia0%
Iker Unzueta Arregui0%
Angel Troncho0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Erik Morán12%
Josué Dorrio12%
Daniel Lasure7%
Rayco Rodriguez7%
Luis Quintero6%
Eneko Jauregi5%
Jon Morcillo5%
Álvaro Núñez5%
Xabier Etxeita4%
Félix Garreta3%
Kwasi Sibo0%
Jürgen Locadia0%
Ryan Edwards0%
Jorge Mier0%
Àlex Carbonell0%
Unai Bustinza0%
Javier Eraso0%
Javier Avilés0%
Jorge Yriarte0%
Iker Unzueta Arregui0%
Cosimo Marco Da Graca0%
Manu Hernando0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Iker Seguin0%
Josep Gayá0%
Pablo Cunat0%
Angel Troncho0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jürgen Locadia25%
Jon Morcillo14%
Eneko Jauregi11%
Josué Dorrio7%
Iker Unzueta Arregui5%
Javier Eraso4%
Daniel Lasure3%
Àlex Carbonell3%
Álvaro Núñez3%
Kwasi Sibo0%
Ryan Edwards0%
Erik Morán0%
Jorge Mier0%
Rayco Rodriguez0%
Unai Bustinza0%
Javier Avilés0%
Xabier Etxeita0%
Jorge Yriarte0%
Cosimo Marco Da Graca0%
Manu Hernando0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Iker Seguin0%
Josep Gayá0%
Pablo Cunat0%
Angel Troncho0%
Félix Garreta0%
Luis Quintero0%
Valladolid · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luis Chacón33%
Julien Ponceau0%
Iván Alejo0%
Juanmi Latasa0%
David Torres0%
Thiago Ojeda0%
Alvaro Aceves0%
Yeray Cabanzon0%
Victor Fernandez0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Thiago Ojeda67%
Julien Ponceau33%
Juanmi Latasa33%
David Torres33%
Yeray Cabanzon33%
Iván Alejo0%
Luis Chacón0%
Alvaro Aceves0%
Victor Fernandez0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Julien Ponceau0%
Iván Alejo0%
Juanmi Latasa0%
Luis Chacón0%
David Torres0%
Thiago Ojeda0%
Alvaro Aceves0%
Yeray Cabanzon0%
Victor Fernandez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Luis Chacón33%
Yeray Cabanzon33%
Julien Ponceau0%
Iván Alejo0%
Juanmi Latasa0%
David Torres0%
Thiago Ojeda0%
Alvaro Aceves0%
Victor Fernandez0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →