This opponent (Villarreal II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Villarreal II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.40
0.80
1.07
0.73
1.73
vs Stronger (22)
0.82
1.45
0.75
1.25
0.90
1.70
vs Similar (8)
0.62
1.25
1.00
0.33
0.40
1.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Amorebieta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.1%
Under 1.5
32.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.1%
@ 2.07-6.4%
Under 2.5
60.9%
@ 1.73+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.1%
Under 3.5
80.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.5%
No
54.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
1-0
12.8%
0-0
11.8%
2-0 ✓
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
4.4%
Amorebieta goals ↓
Villarreal II goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
8.4%
4.4%
1.3%
0.3%
1
13%
14%
5.9%
1.8%
0.4%
2
9.4%
8.6%
3.9%
1.2%
0.3%
3
4.2%
3.8%
1.8%
0.5%
0.1%
4
1.4%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Amorebieta goals (down), columns = Villarreal II goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Leganes
1.76
Valladolid
1.71
Espanyol
1.65
Eibar
1.64
Oviedo
1.54
Racing Santander
1.52
Sporting Gijon
1.50
Burgos
1.40
Levante
1.40
Elche
1.40
Racing Ferrol
1.40
Tenerife
1.33
FC Cartagena
1.21
Zaragoza
1.21
Albacete
1.21
Eldense
1.19
Huesca
1.17
Mirandes
1.17
Amorebieta
1.07
Alcorcon
1.05
Villarreal II
1.02
FC Andorra
1.02
Amorebieta is 0.05 points better than Villarreal II in terms of average points per game (1.07 vs 1.02).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Eibar
1.64
Racing Santander
1.50
Espanyol
1.35
Leganes
1.33
Oviedo
1.26
Burgos
1.24
Valladolid
1.21
Albacete
1.19
Levante
1.17
Racing Ferrol
1.17
Sporting Gijon
1.16
Mirandes
1.12
Eldense
1.10
Elche
1.02
Zaragoza
1.00
Villarreal II
0.98
Tenerife
0.90
Amorebieta
0.88
FC Cartagena
0.88
Huesca
0.86
FC Andorra
0.79
Alcorcon
0.76
Amorebieta is 0.10 goals worse than Villarreal II in terms of goals scored per game (0.88 vs 0.98).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Leganes
0.64
Huesca
0.79
Valladolid
0.86
Oviedo
0.89
Espanyol
0.89
Tenerife
0.98
Sporting Gijon
0.98
Zaragoza
1.00
Levante
1.07
Elche
1.10
Eibar
1.14
FC Cartagena
1.21
Racing Ferrol
1.24
Amorebieta
1.26
FC Andorra
1.26
Alcorcon
1.26
Burgos
1.29
Racing Santander
1.31
Mirandes
1.31
Eldense
1.33
Albacete
1.33
Villarreal II
1.48
Amorebieta is 0.21 goals better than Villarreal II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.26 vs 1.48).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Andorra
63%
Elche
58%
Valladolid
56%
Eibar
55%
Oviedo
54%
Sporting Gijon
54%
Levante
52%
Racing Ferrol
52%
Espanyol
51%
Zaragoza
50%
Villarreal II
50%
Tenerife
50%
Albacete
49%
Racing Santander
47%
Burgos
47%
Amorebieta
46%
Leganes
46%
Eldense
45%
Huesca
45%
Mirandes
45%
FC Cartagena
44%
Alcorcon
42%
Amorebieta is 3.3 percentage points worse than Villarreal II in terms of average possession (46% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Amorebieta
For 3.3 · Against 4.6 · Total 7.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 9.7 · Total 20.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Villarreal II
For 5.4 · Against 4.7 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 12.8 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Amorebieta
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.6
8.6
4.4
4.8
4.0
24.3
25.3
23.2
vs Stronger (32)
9.2
9.6
8.8
4.3
4.9
3.9
23.7
24.9
22.6
vs Similar (18)
9.0
9.6
8.2
4.5
4.7
4.2
25.4
26.0
24.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
40%
52%
28%
62%
64%
60%
66%
80%
52%
% under line
60%
48%
72%
38%
36%
40%
34%
20%
48%
This opponent (Villarreal II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Villarreal II
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.5
9.3
3.5
3.3
3.7
25.3
25.7
24.8
vs Stronger (31)
9.8
10.3
9.2
3.1
2.9
3.4
25.0
24.9
25.0
vs Similar (19)
8.8
8.1
9.4
4.1
3.9
4.3
25.8
27.0
24.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
42%
37%
47%
58%
48%
68%
76%
79%
74%
% under line
58%
63%
53%
42%
52%
32%
24%
21%
26%
This opponent (Amorebieta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Oviedo
10.2
Mirandes
10.1
Racing Santander
10.0
Espanyol
9.9
Sporting Gijon
9.9
Levante
9.8
Huesca
9.7
Burgos
9.6
Eibar
9.6
Elche
9.6
Valladolid
9.5
Eldense
9.5
Villarreal II
9.4
Tenerife
9.2
Amorebieta
9.1
FC Cartagena
9.0
Leganes
8.9
Albacete
8.9
Alcorcon
8.7
Zaragoza
8.7
FC Andorra
8.7
Racing Ferrol
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Racing Santander
5.9
Espanyol
5.8
Tenerife
5.5
Elche
5.4
Leganes
5.3
Oviedo
5.3
Huesca
5.3
Valladolid
5.3
Sporting Gijon
5.2
FC Cartagena
5.1
Levante
5.0
Mirandes
5.0
Alcorcon
4.9
Eibar
4.9
FC Andorra
4.9
Albacete
4.8
Zaragoza
4.8
Villarreal II
4.7
Burgos
4.6
Amorebieta
4.5
Eldense
4.2
Racing Ferrol
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Racing Santander
29.9
Espanyol
28.3
Leganes
27.8
Oviedo
27.2
Elche
26.9
Tenerife
26.8
Valladolid
26.8
Albacete
26.4
Eldense
26.3
Huesca
26.1
Levante
26.0
Zaragoza
25.9
FC Cartagena
25.6
Racing Ferrol
25.5
Villarreal II
25.3
FC Andorra
25.1
Alcorcon
25.0
Amorebieta
24.3
Mirandes
23.9
Sporting Gijon
23.5
Eibar
23.4
Burgos
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
47.3%
Under 9.5
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
72.0%
Under 3.5
28.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
71.6%
Under 21.5
28.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Amorebieta
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.57
0.53
0.53
0.20
0.60
vs Stronger (21)
0.33
0.57
0.45
0.55
0.20
0.60
vs Similar (9)
0.44
0.56
0.75
0.50
0.20
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Villarreal II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Villarreal II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.50
0.47
0.47
0.40
0.53
vs Stronger (22)
0.50
0.59
0.58
0.50
0.40
0.70
vs Similar (8)
0.25
0.25
0.00
0.33
0.40
0.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Amorebieta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Amorebieta over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amorebieta over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amorebieta over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Amorebieta
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.83
0.33
0.60
0.47
1.07
vs Stronger (21)
0.52
0.90
0.36
0.45
0.70
1.40
vs Similar (9)
0.11
0.67
0.25
1.00
0.00
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Villarreal II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Villarreal II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.90
0.33
0.60
0.33
1.20
vs Stronger (22)
0.32
0.86
0.17
0.75
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (8)
0.38
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Amorebieta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Amorebieta over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amorebieta over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amorebieta over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Amorebieta
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Iker Unzueta Arregui25%
Eneko Jauregi16%
Félix Garreta13%
Manu Hernando9%
Javier Eraso9%
Ryan Edwards8%
Jon Morcillo8%
Josué Dorrio7%
Javier Avilés7%
Unai Bustinza6%
Álvaro Núñez5%
Josep Gayá5%
Rayco Rodriguez3%
Kwasi Sibo3%
Jürgen Locadia0%
Erik Morán0%
Jorge Mier0%
Daniel Lasure0%
Àlex Carbonell0%
Xabier Etxeita0%
Jorge Yriarte0%
Cosimo Marco Da Graca0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Iker Seguin0%
Pablo Cunat0%
Angel Troncho0%
Luis Quintero0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Josep Gayá33%
Unai Bustinza29%
Manu Hernando23%
Kwasi Sibo21%
Álvaro Núñez21%
Iker Seguin20%
Félix Garreta19%
Xabier Etxeita19%
Erik Morán19%
Daniel Lasure17%
Àlex Carbonell16%
Jorge Mier10%
Javier Eraso9%
Cosimo Marco Da Graca8%
Eneko Jauregi8%
Josué Dorrio7%
Javier Avilés7%
Jorge Yriarte7%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia6%
Ryan Edwards6%
Luis Quintero6%
Jon Morcillo5%
Pablo Cunat4%
Rayco Rodriguez3%
Jürgen Locadia0%
Iker Unzueta Arregui0%
Angel Troncho0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Erik Morán12%
Josué Dorrio12%
Daniel Lasure7%
Rayco Rodriguez7%
Luis Quintero6%
Eneko Jauregi5%
Jon Morcillo5%
Álvaro Núñez5%
Xabier Etxeita4%
Félix Garreta3%
Kwasi Sibo0%
Jürgen Locadia0%
Ryan Edwards0%
Jorge Mier0%
Àlex Carbonell0%
Unai Bustinza0%
Javier Eraso0%
Javier Avilés0%
Jorge Yriarte0%
Iker Unzueta Arregui0%
Cosimo Marco Da Graca0%
Manu Hernando0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Iker Seguin0%
Josep Gayá0%
Pablo Cunat0%
Angel Troncho0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jürgen Locadia25%
Jon Morcillo14%
Eneko Jauregi11%
Josué Dorrio7%
Iker Unzueta Arregui5%
Javier Eraso4%
Daniel Lasure3%
Àlex Carbonell3%
Álvaro Núñez3%
Kwasi Sibo0%
Ryan Edwards0%
Erik Morán0%
Jorge Mier0%
Rayco Rodriguez0%
Unai Bustinza0%
Javier Avilés0%
Xabier Etxeita0%
Jorge Yriarte0%
Cosimo Marco Da Graca0%
Manu Hernando0%
Jon Mikel Magunagoitia0%
Iker Seguin0%
Josep Gayá0%
Pablo Cunat0%
Angel Troncho0%
Félix Garreta0%
Luis Quintero0%
Villarreal II
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Álex Forés38%
Javier Ontiveros21%
Víctor Moreno11%
Stefan Leković10%
Jorge Pascual8%
Pau Navarro8%
Alberto del Moral5%
Lanchi4%
Andrés Ferrari3%
Dani Tasende3%
Diego Collado3%
Daniel Requena3%
Miguel Ángel Morro0%
Pablo Íñiguez0%
Adrià Altimira0%
Hugo Novoa Ramos0%
Iker Álvarez0%
Carlo Adriano García0%
Carlos Romero0%
Abraham Rando0%
Aitor Gelardo Vegara0%
Hugo Pérez0%
Marcos Sánchez0%
Tiago Geralnik0%
Rodrigo Alonso0%
Antonio Espigares0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Javier Ontiveros39%
Stefan Leković24%
Abraham Rando24%
Dani Tasende21%
Lanchi20%
Marcos Sánchez20%
Daniel Requena18%
Carlos Romero18%
Pablo Íñiguez18%
Rodrigo Alonso17%
Jorge Pascual15%
Alberto del Moral14%
Tiago Geralnik12%
Adrià Altimira11%
Carlo Adriano García11%
Antonio Espigares10%
Iker Álvarez9%
Pau Navarro8%
Andrés Ferrari6%
Álex Forés5%
Diego Collado3%
Miguel Ángel Morro0%
Hugo Novoa Ramos0%
Aitor Gelardo Vegara0%
Hugo Pérez0%
Víctor Moreno0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Carlos Romero18%
Dani Tasende12%
Javier Ontiveros11%
Jorge Pascual10%
Hugo Novoa Ramos9%
Carlo Adriano García6%
Lanchi4%
Adrià Altimira4%
Rodrigo Alonso3%
Álex Forés3%
Miguel Ángel Morro0%
Pablo Íñiguez0%
Iker Álvarez0%
Alberto del Moral0%
Diego Collado0%
Abraham Rando0%
Aitor Gelardo Vegara0%
Hugo Pérez0%
Marcos Sánchez0%
Tiago Geralnik0%
Antonio Espigares0%
Stefan Leković0%
Andrés Ferrari0%
Víctor Moreno0%
Daniel Requena0%
Pau Navarro0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Javier Ontiveros39%
Álex Forés26%
Jorge Pascual8%
Diego Collado6%
Carlo Adriano García6%
Carlos Romero5%
Lanchi4%
Tiago Geralnik4%
Adrià Altimira4%
Andrés Ferrari3%
Dani Tasende3%
Daniel Requena3%
Miguel Ángel Morro0%
Pablo Íñiguez0%
Hugo Novoa Ramos0%
Iker Álvarez0%
Alberto del Moral0%
Abraham Rando0%
Aitor Gelardo Vegara0%
Hugo Pérez0%
Marcos Sánchez0%
Rodrigo Alonso0%
Antonio Espigares0%
Stefan Leković0%
Víctor Moreno0%
Pau Navarro0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →