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Anagennisi Karditsas vs Thesprotos Result & Analysis

Date: 19/12/2022
Time: 12:45
Final 1-0
Anagennisi Karditsas
Anagennisi Karditsas
Vs
57%
29%
13%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Thesprotos
Thesprotos
Greece: Super League 2
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Anagennisi Karditsas win✓ Hit
57.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Thesprotos win✗ Miss
13.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Anagennisi KarditsasAnagennisi Karditsas

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W20W02L10W30WA·DIA13/11H·IRA21/11A·PAO26/11H·NIK03/12A·APO11/12
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.600.401.500.001.670.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)1.250.501.500.001.001.00
vs Weaker (1)3.000.00--3.000.00
Clean sheet %80% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Thesprotos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ThesprotosThesprotos

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D22D02L11D02L23LA·PAN05/11H·PAN13/11A·MAK20/11H·VER27/11A·LAR04/12H·APO11/12
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.831.672.000.331.67
vs Stronger (3)1.001.672.002.000.501.50
vs Similar (3)1.002.001.502.000.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-35pp vs league)
This opponent (Anagennisi Karditsas) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%15%025%128%218%39%43%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
59.3%
Under 1.5
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
31.2%
Under 2.5
68.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
13.5%
Under 3.5
86.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
32.9%
No
67.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0 ✓
18.8%
0-0
15.2%
2-0
14.1%
1-1
12.0%
2-1
7.7%
0-1
6.6%
3-0
6.6%
3-1
3.6%
Anagennisi Karditsas goals ↓
Thesprotos goals →
01234
015%6.6%2.1%0.4%0.1%
119%12%3.0%0.5%0.1%
214%7.7%2.1%0.4%0.1%
36.6%3.6%1.0%0.2%0.0%
42.3%1.3%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Anagennisi Karditsas goals (down), columns = Thesprotos goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Xanthi FC
3.00
Kifisia
2.33
Kallithea
2.30
Panserraikos
2.26
Larisa
2.04
Apollon Smirnis
2.00
Iraklis 1908
1.85
Niki Volos
1.81
Kissamikos
1.78
PAOK II
1.70
Kalamata
1.68
OF Ierapetra
1.67
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.63
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.52
Ilioupoli
1.46
Panachaiki FC
1.44
Almopos
1.22
Panathinaikos II
1.18
Egaleo
1.15
Makedonikos Neapolis
1.11
Apollon Pontou
1.07
Diagoras
1.04
Veria
1.04
Proodeftiki
0.96
AEK Athens II
0.96
Iraklis Larissa
0.85
Apollon Larissa FC
0.67
Thesprotos
0.63
Episkopi
0.48
PAO Rouf
0.35
Irodotos
0.24
Ergotelis
0.00
Anagennisi Karditsas is 1.00 points better than Thesprotos in terms of average points per game (1.63 vs 0.63).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kifisia
2.15
Iraklis 1908
1.96
Kallithea
1.85
PAOK II
1.78
Larisa
1.74
Panserraikos
1.48
Niki Volos
1.41
Panathinaikos II
1.39
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.37
OF Ierapetra
1.33
Apollon Smirnis
1.32
Diagoras
1.31
Kissamikos
1.30
Ilioupoli
1.29
Kalamata
1.18
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.15
Panachaiki FC
1.07
AEK Athens II
1.00
Xanthi FC
1.00
Veria
0.93
Makedonikos Neapolis
0.93
Egaleo
0.89
Thesprotos
0.85
PAO Rouf
0.85
Proodeftiki
0.74
Almopos
0.74
Apollon Pontou
0.67
Apollon Larissa FC
0.53
Iraklis Larissa
0.52
Episkopi
0.52
Irodotos
0.35
Ergotelis
0.00
Anagennisi Karditsas is 0.30 goals better than Thesprotos in terms of goals scored per game (1.15 vs 0.85).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Xanthi FC
0.00
Panserraikos
0.48
Kifisia
0.59
Kalamata
0.61
Almopos
0.63
Kissamikos
0.67
Larisa
0.70
Apollon Smirnis
0.71
Niki Volos
0.74
Anagennisi Karditsas
0.78
Iraklis 1908
0.81
Kallithea
0.81
OF Ierapetra
0.93
Ergotelis
1.00
Panachaiki FC
1.07
Makedonikos Neapolis
1.11
Ilioupoli
1.14
Egaleo
1.15
Veria
1.19
PAOK II
1.22
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.30
AEK Athens II
1.30
Proodeftiki
1.37
Apollon Pontou
1.37
Panathinaikos II
1.46
Iraklis Larissa
1.56
Diagoras
1.62
Thesprotos
1.81
Episkopi
1.96
Irodotos
2.00
PAO Rouf
2.27
Apollon Larissa FC
3.07
Anagennisi Karditsas is 1.04 goals better than Thesprotos in terms of goals conceded per game (0.78 vs 1.81).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Anagennisi KarditsasAnagennisi Karditsas

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W00D10W20WA·DIA13/11H·IRA21/11A·PAO26/11H·NIK03/12A·APO11/12
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.001.000.001.000.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.750.001.000.000.500.00
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %100% (+65pp vs league)
This opponent (Thesprotos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ThesprotosThesprotos

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W00D10W01L13LA·PAN05/11H·PAN13/11A·MAK20/11H·VER27/11A·LAR04/12H·APO11/12
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.671.001.000.000.33
vs Stronger (3)0.330.331.000.000.000.50
vs Similar (3)0.671.001.001.500.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Anagennisi Karditsas) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Anagennisi Karditsas over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Karditsas over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Karditsas over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Thesprotos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Thesprotos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Thesprotos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Anagennisi KarditsasAnagennisi Karditsas

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W02L00D10WA·DIA13/11H·IRA21/11A·PAO26/11H·NIK03/12A·APO11/12
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.400.500.000.670.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.500.500.500.000.501.00
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %80% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Thesprotos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ThesprotosThesprotos

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D12L02L01L01L10WA·PAN05/11H·PAN13/11A·MAK20/11H·VER27/11A·LAR04/12H·APO11/12
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.170.671.000.331.33
vs Stronger (3)0.671.331.002.000.501.00
vs Similar (3)0.331.000.500.500.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Anagennisi Karditsas) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Anagennisi Karditsas over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Karditsas over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anagennisi Karditsas over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Thesprotos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Thesprotos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Thesprotos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.586.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAL (28)
€11m
KIF (27)
€10m
I1 (25)
€9m
EGA (40)
€6m
PAN (27)
€6m
NV (24)
€6m
PI (21)
€5m
KAL (27)
€5m
LAR (23)
€5m
AK (25)
€4m
OPI (22)
€4m
ILI (31)
€4m
MN (29)
€3m
AP (16)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIF (10)
€4m
KAL (8)
€4m
EGA (19)
€3m
PAN (11)
€2m
I1 (6)
€2m
PI (9)
€2m
NV (7)
€2m
OPI (9)
€2m
LAR (7)
€2m
KAL (9)
€2m
AK (7)
€1m
ILI (10)
€1m
MN (10)
€1m
AP (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
I1 (7)
€3m
KAL (6)
€2m
KIF (6)
€2m
NV (6)
€1m
PI (4)
€1m
EGA (6)
€1m
PAN (3)
€1m
ILI (6)
€1m
AK (6)
€1m
LAR (3)
€1m
KAL (4)
€1m
AP (4)
€1m
MN (4)
€0m
OPI (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAL (14)
€5m
KIF (11)
€4m
I1 (12)
€4m
KAL (14)
€3m
PAN (13)
€3m
NV (11)
€3m
EGA (15)
€2m
LAR (13)
€2m
PI (8)
€2m
OPI (10)
€2m
AK (12)
€2m
ILI (15)
€2m
MN (15)
€1m
AP (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
AK wins
0
Draws
0
THE wins

Head-to-head

Anagennisi Karditsas vs Thesprotos · H/A from AK
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Anagennisi KarditsasAnagennisi Karditsas

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/12/22AApollon Larissa FC Vs AK0-3
03/12/22HAK Vs Niki Volos1-0
26/11/22APAOK II Vs AK2-0
21/11/22HAK Vs Iraklis Larissa2-0
13/11/22ADiagoras Vs AK0-2

ThesprotosThesprotos

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/12/22HTHE Vs Apollon Pontou2-3
04/12/22ALarisa Vs THE2-0
27/11/22HTHE Vs Veria1-1
20/11/22AMakedonikos Neapolis Vs THE2-0
13/11/22HTHE Vs Panathinaikos II2-2
05/11/22APanserraikos Vs THE1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Anagennisi Karditsas
Anagennisi Karditsas
Greece: Super League 2
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWW2.40
HomeWW3.00
AwayWLW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %80%100%67%
AVG goals2.001.502.33
Over 1.5 %80%50%100%
Over 2.5 %20%0%33%
Over 3.5 %0%0%0%
Scored1.601.501.67
Conceded0.400.000.67
BTTS0%0%0%
Clean Sheet80%100%67%
Corners---
Cards---
Thesprotos
Thesprotos
Greece: Super League 2
Recent: 0 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDLL0.50
HomeDDL0.67
AwayDLL0.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %0%0%0%
AVG goals2.833.672.00
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %33%67%0%
Over 3.5 %33%67%0%
Scored1.001.670.33
Conceded1.832.001.67
BTTS67%100%33%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KifisiaKifisia2763
70%
2.3
5816+42
2.7
78%
52%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4242.10.6
-
2KallitheaKallithea2762
70%
2.3
5022+28
2.7
74%
56%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2131.90.8
-
3PanserraikosPanserraikos2761
70%
2.3
4013+27
2.0
70%
26%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.50.5
-
4Apollon SmirnisApollon Smirnis2856
57%
2.0
3720+17
2.0
50%
32%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.7
-
5LarisaLarisa2755
63%
2.0
4719+28
2.4
74%
44%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.70.7
-
6Iraklis 1908Iraklis 19082750
52%
1.9
5322+31
2.8
85%
41%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2342.00.8
-
7Niki VolosNiki Volos2749
52%
1.8
3820+18
2.1
70%
33%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.40.7
-
8KissamikosKissamikos2748
48%
1.8
3518+17
2.0
63%
33%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.7
-
9KalamataKalamata2847
46%
1.7
3317+16
1.8
61%
29%
4%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
4251.20.6
-
10PAOK IIPAOK II2746
48%
1.7
4833+15
3.0
74%
56%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.81.2
-
11OF IerapetraOF Ierapetra2745
48%
1.7
3625+11
2.3
70%
37%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.9
-
12Anagennisi KarditsasAnagennisi Karditsas2744
44%
1.6
3121+10
1.9
59%
26%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.10.8
-
13IlioupoliIlioupoli2841
39%
1.5
3632+4
2.4
64%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.31.1
-
14Olympiakos Piraeus IIOlympiakos Piraeus II2741
44%
1.5
3735+2
2.7
70%
48%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2021.41.3
-
15Panachaiki FCPanachaiki FC2739
41%
1.4
2929+0
2.1
59%
44%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
16AlmoposAlmopos2733
22%
1.2
2017+3
1.4
44%
11%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.70.6
-
17Panathinaikos IIPanathinaikos II2833
25%
1.2
3941-2
2.9
82%
50%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
18EgaleoEgaleo2731
26%
1.1
2431-7
2.0
70%
30%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3120.91.1
-
19Makedonikos NeapolisMakedonikos Neapolis2730
26%
1.1
2530-5
2.0
63%
30%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1010.91.1
-
20Apollon PontouApollon Pontou2729
30%
1.1
1837-19
2.0
56%
37%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.71.4
-
21VeriaVeria2728
26%
1.0
2532-7
2.1
74%
33%
7%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.2
-
22DiagorasDiagoras2627
27%
1.0
3442-8
2.9
65%
54%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
23AEK Athens IIAEK Athens II2726
22%
1.0
2735-8
2.3
63%
44%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
24ProodeftikiProodeftiki2726
26%
1.0
2037-17
2.1
63%
41%
7%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.4
-
25Iraklis LarissaIraklis Larissa2723
22%
0.9
1442-28
2.1
56%
41%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.6
-
26ThesprotosThesprotos2717
11%
0.6
2349-26
2.7
74%
37%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.8
-
27EpiskopiEpiskopi2713
11%
0.5
1453-39
2.5
63%
48%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.0
-
28Apollon Larissa FCApollon Larissa FC1510
20%
0.7
846-38
3.6
80%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.53.1
-
29PAO RoufPAO Rouf269
8%
0.3
2259-37
3.1
85%
73%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.3
-
30IrodotosIrodotos174
6%
0.2
634-28
2.4
65%
41%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.42.0
-
31Xanthi FCXanthi FC13
100%
3.0
10+1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.0
-
32ErgotelisErgotelis10
0%
0.0
01-1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.01.0
-
Greece: Super League 2 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 2 stats & trends →

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