This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
E
Eupen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
2.13
0.87
2.00
0.73
2.27
vs Stronger (26)
0.88
2.23
0.92
1.92
0.85
2.54
vs Similar (4)
0.25
1.50
0.50
2.50
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Anderlecht) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.9%
Under 1.5
17.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.7%
@ 1.61+2.3%
Under 2.5
39.3%
@ 2.26-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
38.4%
Under 3.5
61.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.3%
No
48.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
9.2%
1-1
9.1%
3-0
9.0%
3-1
7.4%
4-0
5.2%
0-0
5.2%
Anderlecht goals ↓
Eupen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.2%
2.7%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
1
9.2%
9.1%
3.4%
0.9%
0.2%
2
12%
9.6%
3.9%
1.1%
0.2%
3
9.0%
7.4%
3.0%
0.8%
0.2%
4
5.2%
4.3%
1.8%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Anderlecht goals (down), columns = Eupen goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Antwerp
2.16
Union St. Gilloise
2.16
Genk
2.11
Gent
1.91
Club Brugge KV
1.68
Charleroi
1.62
Cercle Brugge
1.61
Anderlecht
1.57
OH Leuven
1.37
Standard Liege
1.35
St. Truiden
1.34
KVC Westerlo
1.32
KV Mechelen
1.16
Kortrijk
1.08
Zulte Waregem
0.92
Oostende
0.84
Eupen
0.82
AS Eupen
0.82
Seraing United
0.59
Seraing
0.59
Anderlecht is 0.74 points better than Eupen in terms of average points per game (1.57 vs 0.82).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Genk
2.30
Gent
2.16
Union St. Gilloise
1.95
Club Brugge KV
1.89
Antwerp
1.73
OH Leuven
1.71
KVC Westerlo
1.70
Cercle Brugge
1.68
Zulte Waregem
1.66
Anderlecht
1.57
Charleroi
1.46
Standard Liege
1.42
KV Mechelen
1.38
Eupen
1.18
AS Eupen
1.18
Oostende
1.16
St. Truiden
1.13
Kortrijk
1.11
Seraing United
0.82
Seraing
0.82
Anderlecht is 0.39 goals better than Eupen in terms of goals scored per game (1.57 vs 1.18).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Antwerp
0.80
Gent
1.02
St. Truiden
1.13
Club Brugge KV
1.14
Genk
1.14
Anderlecht
1.19
Union St. Gilloise
1.20
Charleroi
1.32
Cercle Brugge
1.34
OH Leuven
1.45
Standard Liege
1.51
Kortrijk
1.66
KVC Westerlo
1.66
KV Mechelen
1.86
Seraing United
2.00
Seraing
2.00
Oostende
2.18
Eupen
2.21
AS Eupen
2.21
Zulte Waregem
2.24
Anderlecht is 1.02 goals better than Eupen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.19 vs 2.21).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Anderlecht
For 4.5 · Against 4.2 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 13.5 · Total 25.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
E
Eupen
For 5.9 · Against 5.4 · Total 11.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 12.1 · Total 25.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Anderlecht
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.1
9.6
2.8
3.1
2.4
21.7
22.4
21.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
10.2
10.5
9.9
4.1
4.8
3.5
25.3
26.2
24.6
vs Weaker (34)
8.8
8.4
9.4
2.1
2.3
1.9
19.6
20.6
18.2
% over line
42%
42%
41%
40%
50%
29%
51%
58%
44%
% under line
58%
58%
59%
60%
50%
71%
49%
42%
56%
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
E
Eupen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.8
9.7
4.3
4.5
4.2
22.2
22.0
22.3
vs Stronger (44)
10.4
11.0
9.8
4.1
4.2
4.0
22.0
22.1
21.9
vs Similar (6)
9.3
9.7
9.0
6.3
6.7
6.0
23.2
21.0
25.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
62%
68%
56%
62%
72%
52%
52%
52%
52%
% under line
38%
32%
44%
38%
28%
48%
48%
48%
48%
This opponent (Anderlecht) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
KV Mechelen
11.7
Antwerp
11.0
KVC Westerlo
11.0
Gent
10.7
Club Brugge KV
10.5
OH Leuven
10.5
Eupen
10.2
Oostende
10.2
Kortrijk
10.2
Charleroi
10.1
Union St. Gilloise
10.0
Genk
10.0
Zulte Waregem
9.9
St. Truiden
9.3
Cercle Brugge
9.3
Seraing
9.2
Standard Liege
9.2
Anderlecht
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Standard Liege
5.3
OH Leuven
4.9
Union St. Gilloise
4.9
Antwerp
4.9
Club Brugge KV
4.7
Cercle Brugge
4.7
Kortrijk
4.7
Gent
4.4
Seraing
4.4
Eupen
4.3
Oostende
4.1
St. Truiden
4.1
Anderlecht
4.0
KV Mechelen
4.0
Genk
3.8
Zulte Waregem
3.8
Charleroi
3.7
KVC Westerlo
2.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Standard Liege
27.7
Cercle Brugge
26.8
Kortrijk
25.4
Union St. Gilloise
25.1
St. Truiden
24.0
Gent
23.2
KV Mechelen
23.1
Seraing
23.0
Genk
22.8
Oostende
22.8
Club Brugge KV
22.6
KVC Westerlo
22.5
OH Leuven
22.5
Eupen
22.2
Anderlecht
22.1
Zulte Waregem
22.0
Charleroi
21.5
Antwerp
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
48.2%
Under 9.5
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
62.9%
Under 3.5
37.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
61.6%
Under 21.5
38.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Anderlecht
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.37
0.76
0.18
0.54
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.42
0.50
0.57
0.29
0.20
0.80
vs Weaker (18)
0.83
0.28
0.90
0.10
0.75
0.50
Clean sheet %
70% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
E
Eupen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
1.17
0.47
1.20
0.40
1.13
vs Stronger (26)
0.50
1.19
0.54
1.08
0.46
1.31
vs Similar (4)
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Anderlecht) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Anderlecht over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anderlecht over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anderlecht over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Anderlecht
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.53
1.06
0.59
0.77
0.46
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.33
0.50
0.29
0.71
0.40
0.20
vs Weaker (18)
1.33
0.56
1.60
0.50
1.00
0.62
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Eupen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
E
Eupen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.97
0.40
0.80
0.33
1.13
vs Stronger (26)
0.38
1.04
0.38
0.85
0.38
1.23
vs Similar (4)
0.25
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Anderlecht) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Anderlecht over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anderlecht over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Anderlecht over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Eupen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home win
70.1%
1.44
-
-
-
-
-
+4.8%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Anderlecht
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Islam Slimani44%
Fábio Silva30%
Anders Dreyer25%
Anouar Ait El Hadj25%
Benito Raman16%
Julien Duranville11%
Sebastiano Esposito11%
Michael Murillo10%
Lior Refaelov10%
Mario Stroeykens8%
Majeed Ashimeru8%
Yari Verschaeren8%
Jan Vertonghen6%
Hannes Delcroix5%
Francis Amuzu4%
Amadou Diawara3%
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad2%
Adrien Trebel0%
Kristoffer Olsson0%
Hendrik Van Crombrugge0%
Wesley Hoedt0%
Marco Kana0%
Killian Sardella0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Theo Leoni0%
Moussa N'Diaye0%
Ishaq Abdulrazak0%
Zeno Debast0%
Nilson Angulo0%
Lucas Stassin0%
Noah Sadiki0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kristoffer Olsson40%
Islam Slimani25%
Adrien Trebel25%
Michael Murillo22%
Fábio Silva22%
Amadou Diawara22%
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad20%
Ishaq Abdulrazak20%
Nilson Angulo20%
Killian Sardella19%
Hannes Delcroix14%
Wesley Hoedt14%
Marco Kana13%
Majeed Ashimeru13%
Lior Refaelov12%
Noah Sadiki12%
Francis Amuzu11%
Mario Stroeykens11%
Zeno Debast11%
Julien Duranville11%
Jan Vertonghen9%
Hendrik Van Crombrugge8%
Yari Verschaeren8%
Anders Dreyer5%
Moussa N'Diaye5%
Benito Raman3%
Sebastiano Esposito0%
Anouar Ait El Hadj0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Theo Leoni0%
Lucas Stassin0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kristoffer Olsson20%
Francis Amuzu18%
Adrien Trebel17%
Anders Dreyer15%
Yari Verschaeren10%
Michael Murillo10%
Killian Sardella10%
Moussa N'Diaye9%
Majeed Ashimeru8%
Lior Refaelov8%
Fábio Silva7%
Benito Raman6%
Islam Slimani6%
Noah Sadiki6%
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad5%
Wesley Hoedt5%
Amadou Diawara3%
Mario Stroeykens3%
Jan Vertonghen0%
Sebastiano Esposito0%
Hannes Delcroix0%
Hendrik Van Crombrugge0%
Anouar Ait El Hadj0%
Marco Kana0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Theo Leoni0%
Ishaq Abdulrazak0%
Zeno Debast0%
Nilson Angulo0%
Lucas Stassin0%
Julien Duranville0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fábio Silva41%
Islam Slimani31%
Anders Dreyer15%
Yari Verschaeren13%
Sebastiano Esposito11%
Benito Raman10%
Francis Amuzu9%
Mario Stroeykens8%
Wesley Hoedt5%
Lior Refaelov2%
Jan Vertonghen0%
Amadou Diawara0%
Hannes Delcroix0%
Adrien Trebel0%
Kristoffer Olsson0%
Michael Murillo0%
Hendrik Van Crombrugge0%
Majeed Ashimeru0%
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad0%
Anouar Ait El Hadj0%
Marco Kana0%
Killian Sardella0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Theo Leoni0%
Moussa N'Diaye0%
Ishaq Abdulrazak0%
Zeno Debast0%
Nilson Angulo0%
Lucas Stassin0%
Noah Sadiki0%
Julien Duranville0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Anderlecht
Antwerp
Union St. Gilloise
Genk
Gent
Club Brugge KV
Cercle Brugge
Charleroi
KVC Westerlo
Standard Liege
OH Leuven
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
Kortrijk
Zulte Waregem
Oostende
AS Eupen
Seraing United