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Annan Athletic vs Albion Rvs Result & Analysis

Date: 17/08/2019
Time: 15:00
Final 3-2
Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic
Vs
59%
23%
18%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Annan Athletic win✓ Hit
58.7%
Avg Implied 52.7% · @ 1.74
Edge
+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.8%
Avg Implied 24.5% · @ 3.74
Edge
-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs win✗ Miss
18.4%
Avg Implied 22.8% · @ 4.02
Edge
-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-631W12L10W60W22D30W32W20W10W11DH·EDI16/03A·CLY23/03A·ELG30/03H·BER06/04H·STI13/04A·QUE20/04H·COW27/04A·ALB04/05A·BRE03/08H·ELG10/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.930.972.471.001.400.93
vs Stronger (21)2.140.712.800.701.550.73
vs Similar (6)1.831.672.001.751.501.50
vs Weaker (3)0.671.331.001.000.501.50
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W10W01L04L11D32W30W02L32W44DA·ELG23/03H·COW26/03H·CLY30/03H·QUE06/04A·PET13/04H·EDI20/04A·BER27/04H·ANN04/05A·STE03/08H·COV10/08
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.972.000.802.271.131.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.121.880.882.251.381.50
vs Weaker (14)0.792.140.712.290.862.00
Clean sheet %13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%012%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.0%
Under 1.5
17.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.7%
@ 1.66+4.7%
Under 2.5
39.3%
@ 2.12-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
38.4%
Under 3.5
61.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.7%
No
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.1%
1-0
7.9%
3-1
6.8%
3-0
6.3%
2-2
5.4%
0-0
5.3%
Annan Athletic goals ↓
Albion Rvs goals →
01234
05.3%3.7%2.6%0.9%0.3%
17.9%11%5.2%1.9%0.5%
29.1%9.9%5.4%1.9%0.5%
36.3%6.8%3.7%1.3%0.4%
43.2%3.5%1.9%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Annan Athletic goals (down), columns = Albion Rvs goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Cove Rangers
2.43
Edinburgh City
2.04
Elgin
1.54
Cowdenbeath
1.52
Queens Park
1.43
Stirling
1.29
Annan Athletic
1.15
Stenhousemuir
1.04
Albion Rvs
0.92
Brechin
0.63
Annan Athletic is 0.23 points better than Albion Rvs in terms of average points per game (1.15 vs 0.92).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cove Rangers
2.71
Edinburgh City
1.81
Elgin
1.71
Albion Rvs
1.42
Cowdenbeath
1.37
Queens Park
1.32
Annan Athletic
1.22
Stirling
1.21
Brechin
1.15
Stenhousemuir
1.14
Annan Athletic is 0.20 goals worse than Albion Rvs in terms of goals scored per game (1.22 vs 1.42).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Edinburgh City
1.04
Elgin
1.21
Cove Rangers
1.21
Queens Park
1.25
Stirling
1.25
Cowdenbeath
1.30
Stenhousemuir
1.71
Albion Rvs
1.96
Annan Athletic
2.00
Brechin
2.22
Annan Athletic is 0.04 goals worse than Albion Rvs in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.96).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

For 5.6 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.8

ðŸšĐ Corners

140555377764859176422551010141013101367H·ELGA·BREA·ALBH·COWA·QUEH·STIH·BERA·ELGA·CLYH·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.2

ðŸŸĻ Cards

802214112453441131124511688243H·ELGA·BREA·ALBH·COWA·QUEH·STIH·BERA·ELGA·CLYH·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 12.8 · Total 23.9

⚠ïļ Fouls

310111612121113761212131714171011914121027242413243031212322H·ELGA·BREA·ALBH·COWA·QUEH·STIH·BERA·ELGA·CLYH·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AR
Albion Rvs

For 3.3 · Against 5.1 · Total 8.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

1201514735524163526754865101067881212H·COVA·STEH·ANNA·BERH·EDIA·PETH·QUEH·CLYH·COWA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.5

ðŸŸĻ Cards

6011421234112123311112615533622H·COVA·STEH·ANNA·BERH·EDIA·PETH·QUEH·CLYH·COWA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 11.4 · Total 21.9

⚠ïļ Fouls

29013161015131181314871181218117117629252421221820291813H·COVA·STEH·ANNA·BERH·EDIA·PETH·QUEH·CLYH·COWA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.99.210.63.74.03.523.324.122.3
vs Stronger (32)10.19.810.43.73.93.623.424.122.8
vs Similar (13)10.39.011.83.84.33.222.823.921.7
vs Weaker (5)7.26.38.53.84.03.523.425.021.0
% over line52%38%67%50%58%42%76%85%67%
% under line48%62%33%50%42%58%24%15%33%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.110.210.02.82.82.921.321.321.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (31)10.510.410.62.72.53.020.420.820.0
vs Weaker (19)9.49.89.03.03.22.822.822.323.3
% over line56%54%58%32%35%29%50%46%54%
% under line44%46%42%68%65%71%50%54%46%
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stenhousemuir
10.7
Stirling
10.4
Elgin
10.3
Brechin
10.1
Albion Rvs
10.1
Annan Athletic
9.9
Queens Park
9.5
Cove Rangers
9.5
Edinburgh City
9.2
Cowdenbeath
9.1

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Cove Rangers
4.0
Edinburgh City
3.9
Cowdenbeath
3.8
Annan Athletic
3.7
Queens Park
3.6
Stenhousemuir
3.6
Brechin
3.6
Stirling
3.3
Elgin
3.0
Albion Rvs
2.8

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Cove Rangers
26.5
Edinburgh City
24.5
Annan Athletic
23.3
Cowdenbeath
22.7
Brechin
22.2
Stirling
22.1
Elgin
21.5
Albion Rvs
21.3
Stenhousemuir
20.0
Queens Park
19.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
49.0%
Under 9.5
51.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
50.0%
Under 3.5
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
59.2%
Under 21.5
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D10W00D01L00D20W00D00D00DH·EDI16/03A·CLY23/03A·ELG30/03H·BER06/04H·STI13/04A·QUE20/04H·COW27/04A·ALB04/05A·BRE03/08H·ELG10/08
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.300.730.200.400.40
vs Stronger (21)0.670.190.900.000.450.36
vs Similar (6)0.500.670.500.500.501.00
vs Weaker (3)0.000.330.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %73% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W10W00D01L00D11D20W00D10W13LA·ELG23/03H·COW26/03H·CLY30/03H·QUE06/04A·PET13/04H·EDI20/04A·BER27/04H·ANN04/05A·STE03/08H·COV10/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.870.400.870.670.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.690.880.501.000.880.75
vs Weaker (14)0.360.860.290.710.431.00
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-621W12L00D60W21W30W12L20W10W11DH·EDI16/03A·CLY23/03A·ELG30/03H·BER06/04H·STI13/04A·QUE20/04H·COW27/04A·ALB04/05A·BRE03/08H·ELG10/08
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.370.671.730.801.000.53
vs Stronger (21)1.480.521.900.701.090.36
vs Similar (6)1.331.001.501.251.000.50
vs Weaker (3)0.671.001.000.000.501.50
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D01L03L11D21W10W02L22D31WA·ELG23/03H·COW26/03H·CLY30/03H·QUE06/04A·PET13/04H·EDI20/04A·BER27/04H·ANN04/05A·STE03/08H·COV10/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.431.130.401.400.470.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.441.000.381.250.500.75
vs Weaker (14)0.431.290.431.570.431.00
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards83.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.583.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls74.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners74.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls72.4%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards70.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
3
AA wins
1
Draws
0
AR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Annan Athletic vs Albion Rvs · H/A from AA
DateH/AGameScore
04/05/19AAlbion Rvs Vs AA0-2
23/02/19HAA Vs Albion Rvs4-0
29/12/18AAlbion Rvs Vs AA1-1
06/10/18HAA Vs Albion Rvs3-1

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/08/19HAA Vs Elgin1-1
03/08/19ABrechin Vs AA0-1
04/05/19AAlbion Rvs Vs AA0-2
27/04/19HAA Vs Cowdenbeath3-2
20/04/19AQueens Park Vs AA0-3
13/04/19HAA Vs Stirling2-2
06/04/19HAA Vs Berwick6-0
30/03/19AElgin Vs AA0-1
23/03/19AClyde Vs AA2-1
16/03/19HAA Vs Edinburgh City3-1

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/08/19HAR Vs Cove Rangers4-4
03/08/19AStenhousemuir Vs AR2-3
04/05/19HAR Vs Annan Athletic0-2
27/04/19ABerwick Vs AR0-3
20/04/19HAR Vs Edinburgh City3-2
13/04/19APeterhead Vs AR1-1
06/04/19HAR Vs Queens Park0-4
30/03/19HAR Vs Clyde0-1
26/03/19HAR Vs Cowdenbeath1-0
23/03/19AElgin Vs AR0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWD1.70
HomeWWDWD1.81
AwayLWWWW1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%50%50%
AVG goals3.003.422.54
Over 1.5 %86%96%75%
Over 2.5 %66%69%62%
Over 3.5 %32%54%8%
Scored1.842.231.42
Conceded1.161.191.12
BTTS62%69%54%
Clean Sheet30%27%33%
Corners9.869.1510.62
Cards3.744.003.46
AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWD0.70
HomeLLWLD0.65
AwayWWDWW0.75
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %18%15%21%
AVG goals2.923.122.71
Over 1.5 %80%81%79%
Over 2.5 %50%58%42%
Over 3.5 %32%31%33%
Scored0.920.960.88
Conceded2.002.151.83
BTTS42%46%38%
Clean Sheet12%12%12%
Corners10.0810.199.96
Cards2.842.772.92

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Cove RangersCove Rangers2868
79%
2.4
7634+42
3.9
96%
82%
46%
10.1
46%
3.7
46%
22.5
61%
0
0002.71.2
-
2Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City2755
63%
2.0
4928+21
2.9
78%
63%
30%
9.2
33%
3.6
56%
23.0
59%
0
0001.81.0
-
3ElginElgin2843
43%
1.5
4834+14
2.9
82%
64%
39%
9.7
43%
4.5
75%
22.5
57%
0
0001.71.2
-
4CowdenbeathCowdenbeath2741
44%
1.5
3735+2
2.7
67%
59%
37%
9.9
56%
5.3
85%
25.8
81%
0
0001.41.3
-
5Queens ParkQueens Park2840
39%
1.4
3735+2
2.6
79%
54%
21%
10.1
57%
4.1
46%
22.5
46%
0
0001.31.2
-
6StirlingStirling2836
36%
1.3
3435-1
2.5
64%
43%
21%
10.6
54%
3.6
54%
22.9
68%
0
0001.21.2
-
7Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic2731
33%
1.1
3354-21
3.2
85%
63%
41%
9.3
41%
3.7
56%
25.6
78%
0
0001.22.0
-
8StenhousemuirStenhousemuir2829
25%
1.0
3248-16
2.9
82%
68%
32%
10.2
54%
4.1
64%
21.6
43%
0
0001.11.7
-
9
AR
Albion Rvs
2624
23%
0.9
3751-14
3.4
85%
77%
42%
11.2
62%
3.4
46%
22.2
50%
0
0001.42.0
-
10BrechinBrechin2717
15%
0.6
3160-29
3.4
78%
70%
41%
10.7
67%
3.8
56%
21.1
48%
0
0001.12.2
-
Scotland: League Two 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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