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Annan Athletic vs Albion Rvs Result & Analysis

Date: 22/02/2020
Time: 15:00
Final 2-1
Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic
Vs
54%
23%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Annan Athletic win✓ Hit
54.0%
Avg Implied 41.8% · @ 2.19
Edge
+12.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.3%
Avg Implied 24.8% · @ 3.69
Edge
-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs win✗ Miss
22.6%
Avg Implied 33.3% · @ 2.75
Edge
-10.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W02L24L32W13L04L23L02L03L03LA·STE07/12H·EDI14/12A·ALB21/12H·QUE28/12A·COW04/01H·ELG11/01H·STI18/01A·COV25/01H·STE01/02A·EDI08/02
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.832.201.671.002.00
vs Stronger (20)2.051.703.111.561.181.82
vs Similar (10)0.702.100.831.830.502.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-423L20W22D42W00D03L22D22D41W01LA·EDI16/11H·QUE07/12A·ELG14/12H·ANN21/12A·BRE28/12H·STI04/01A·QUE25/01H·COV01/02H·BRE08/02A·STE15/02
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.731.621.881.291.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.471.471.751.881.221.11
vs Weaker (13)1.462.081.501.881.402.40
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.0%
Under 1.5
15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.9%
@ 1.55+3.9%
Under 2.5
36.1%
@ 2.32-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.8%
Under 3.5
58.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.3%
No
36.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.5%
2-1 ✓
9.7%
2-0
7.6%
1-0
6.6%
3-1
6.5%
2-2
6.1%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
5.2%
Annan Athletic goals ↓
Albion Rvs goals →
01234
04.7%3.8%3.0%1.3%0.4%
16.6%10%6.0%2.5%0.8%
27.6%9.7%6.1%2.6%0.8%
35.2%6.5%4.1%1.7%0.6%
42.6%3.3%2.1%0.9%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Annan Athletic goals (down), columns = Albion Rvs goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Cove Rangers
2.43
Edinburgh City
2.04
Elgin
1.54
Cowdenbeath
1.52
Queens Park
1.43
Stirling
1.29
Annan Athletic
1.15
Stenhousemuir
1.04
Albion Rvs
0.92
Brechin
0.63
Annan Athletic is 0.23 points better than Albion Rvs in terms of average points per game (1.15 vs 0.92).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cove Rangers
2.71
Edinburgh City
1.81
Elgin
1.71
Albion Rvs
1.42
Cowdenbeath
1.37
Queens Park
1.32
Annan Athletic
1.22
Stirling
1.21
Brechin
1.15
Stenhousemuir
1.14
Annan Athletic is 0.20 goals worse than Albion Rvs in terms of goals scored per game (1.22 vs 1.42).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Edinburgh City
1.04
Elgin
1.21
Cove Rangers
1.21
Queens Park
1.25
Stirling
1.25
Cowdenbeath
1.30
Stenhousemuir
1.71
Albion Rvs
1.96
Annan Athletic
2.00
Brechin
2.22
Annan Athletic is 0.04 goals worse than Albion Rvs in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.96).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

For 4.3 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

1803127327427352513545484951198718912A·EDIH·STEA·COVH·STIH·ELGA·COWH·QUEA·ALBH·EDIA·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.8

ðŸŸĻ Cards

702322212352311311135243374424A·EDIH·STEA·COVH·STIH·ELGA·COWH·QUEA·ALBH·EDIA·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 12.6 · Total 24.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

3001113161098917157161112189121215121524261726222730212727A·EDIH·STEA·COVH·STIH·ELGA·COWH·QUEA·ALBH·EDIA·STE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AR
Albion Rvs

For 4.5 · Against 7.1 · Total 11.6

ðŸšĐ Corners

18045796246635105132748289168109151891210A·STEH·BREH·COVA·QUEH·STIA·BREH·ANNA·ELGH·QUEA·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.5

ðŸŸĻ Cards

70252111122313122330722244446A·STEH·BREH·COVA·QUEH·STIA·BREH·ANNA·ELGH·QUEA·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 11.7 · Total 22.8

⚠ïļ Fouls

38011659810911915121312911151312211717141820242521262538A·STEH·BREH·COVA·QUEH·STIA·BREH·ANNA·ELGH·QUEA·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.79.210.24.04.33.724.526.222.8
vs Stronger (32)10.19.011.04.24.53.924.426.522.5
vs Similar (15)9.410.08.53.74.13.025.326.124.2
vs Weaker (3)7.35.08.53.33.03.521.723.021.0
% over line50%44%56%56%60%52%78%88%68%
% under line50%56%44%44%40%48%22%12%32%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.910.611.23.03.22.822.221.922.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (27)11.911.612.12.92.92.821.221.221.2
vs Weaker (23)9.79.410.03.13.52.723.322.724.0
% over line62%52%72%34%40%28%56%56%56%
% under line38%48%28%66%60%72%44%44%44%
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Albion Rvs
10.9
Stirling
10.6
Brechin
10.6
Stenhousemuir
10.4
Cove Rangers
10.0
Elgin
9.8
Annan Athletic
9.7
Queens Park
9.6
Cowdenbeath
9.1
Edinburgh City
8.9

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Cowdenbeath
4.5
Annan Athletic
4.0
Stenhousemuir
4.0
Brechin
3.9
Cove Rangers
3.8
Queens Park
3.8
Edinburgh City
3.8
Elgin
3.7
Stirling
3.7
Albion Rvs
3.0

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Annan Athletic
24.5
Cowdenbeath
23.4
Edinburgh City
23.4
Cove Rangers
22.7
Albion Rvs
22.2
Stirling
21.9
Queens Park
21.7
Brechin
21.5
Elgin
21.5
Stenhousemuir
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
53.6%
Under 9.5
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
52.9%
Under 3.5
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
69.3%
Under 21.5
30.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D02L21W03L01L01L01L03L01LA·STE07/12H·EDI14/12A·ALB21/12H·QUE28/12A·COW04/01H·ELG11/01H·STI18/01A·COV25/01H·STE01/02A·EDI08/02
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.900.930.800.271.00
vs Stronger (20)0.800.851.440.670.271.00
vs Similar (10)0.201.000.171.000.251.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W20W10W20W00D03L20W01L21W01LA·EDI16/11H·QUE07/12A·ELG14/12H·ANN21/12A·BRE28/12H·STI04/01A·QUE25/01H·COV01/02H·BRE08/02A·STE15/02
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.770.691.060.790.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.820.650.751.120.890.22
vs Weaker (13)0.620.920.621.000.600.80
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W02L22D11D10W03L22D01L00D02LA·STE07/12H·EDI14/12A·ALB21/12H·QUE28/12A·COW04/01H·ELG11/01H·STI18/01A·COV25/01H·STE01/02A·EDI08/02
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.931.270.870.731.00
vs Stronger (20)1.250.851.670.890.910.82
vs Similar (10)0.501.100.670.830.251.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L00D12L22D00D00D02L21W20W00DA·EDI16/11H·QUE07/12A·ELG14/12H·ANN21/12A·BRE28/12H·STI04/01A·QUE25/01H·COV01/02H·BRE08/02A·STE15/02
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.970.940.810.501.14
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.650.821.000.750.330.89
vs Weaker (13)0.851.150.880.880.801.60
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls82.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards81.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards73.3%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners70.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
4
AA wins
1
Draws
1
AR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Annan Athletic vs Albion Rvs · H/A from AA
DateH/AGameScore
21/12/19AAlbion Rvs Vs AA4-2
17/08/19HAA Vs Albion Rvs3-2
04/05/19AAlbion Rvs Vs AA0-2
23/02/19HAA Vs Albion Rvs4-0
29/12/18AAlbion Rvs Vs AA1-1
06/10/18HAA Vs Albion Rvs3-1

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/02/20AEdinburgh City Vs AA3-0
01/02/20HAA Vs Stenhousemuir0-3
25/01/20ACove Rangers Vs AA2-0
18/01/20HAA Vs Stirling2-3
11/01/20HAA Vs Elgin0-4
04/01/20ACowdenbeath Vs AA3-1
28/12/19HAA Vs Queens Park3-2
21/12/19AAlbion Rvs Vs AA4-2
14/12/19HAA Vs Edinburgh City0-2
07/12/19AStenhousemuir Vs AA1-2

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/02/20AStenhousemuir Vs AR1-0
08/02/20HAR Vs Brechin4-1
01/02/20HAR Vs Cove Rangers2-2
25/01/20AQueens Park Vs AR2-2
04/01/20HAR Vs Stirling0-3
28/12/19ABrechin Vs AR0-0
21/12/19HAR Vs Annan Athletic4-2
14/12/19AElgin Vs AR2-2
07/12/19HAR Vs Queens Park2-0
16/11/19AEdinburgh City Vs AR3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL1.48
HomeLWLLL1.80
AwayWLLLL1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%52%36%
AVG goals3.223.562.88
Over 1.5 %88%92%84%
Over 2.5 %68%68%68%
Over 3.5 %38%52%24%
Scored1.662.201.12
Conceded1.561.361.76
BTTS54%56%52%
Clean Sheet24%28%20%
Corners9.709.2010.20
Cards3.984.283.68
AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDWL0.88
HomeWWLDW1.04
AwayLDDDL0.72
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%28%16%
AVG goals3.043.242.84
Over 1.5 %80%88%72%
Over 2.5 %60%64%56%
Over 3.5 %38%36%40%
Scored1.121.201.04
Conceded1.922.041.80
BTTS50%52%48%
Clean Sheet12%8%16%
Corners10.8810.5611.20
Cards2.983.202.76

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Cove RangersCove Rangers2868
79%
2.4
7634+42
3.9
96%
82%
46%
10.1
46%
3.7
46%
22.5
61%
0
0002.71.2
-
2Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City2755
63%
2.0
4928+21
2.9
78%
63%
30%
9.2
33%
3.6
56%
23.0
59%
0
0001.81.0
-
3ElginElgin2843
43%
1.5
4834+14
2.9
82%
64%
39%
9.7
43%
4.5
75%
22.5
57%
0
0001.71.2
-
4CowdenbeathCowdenbeath2741
44%
1.5
3735+2
2.7
67%
59%
37%
9.9
56%
5.3
85%
25.8
81%
0
0001.41.3
-
5Queens ParkQueens Park2840
39%
1.4
3735+2
2.6
79%
54%
21%
10.1
57%
4.1
46%
22.5
46%
0
0001.31.2
-
6StirlingStirling2836
36%
1.3
3435-1
2.5
64%
43%
21%
10.6
54%
3.6
54%
22.9
68%
0
0001.21.2
-
7Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic2731
33%
1.1
3354-21
3.2
85%
63%
41%
9.3
41%
3.7
56%
25.6
78%
0
0001.22.0
-
8StenhousemuirStenhousemuir2829
25%
1.0
3248-16
2.9
82%
68%
32%
10.2
54%
4.1
64%
21.6
43%
0
0001.11.7
-
9
AR
Albion Rvs
2624
23%
0.9
3751-14
3.4
85%
77%
42%
11.2
62%
3.4
46%
22.2
50%
0
0001.42.0
-
10BrechinBrechin2717
15%
0.6
3160-29
3.4
78%
70%
41%
10.7
67%
3.8
56%
21.1
48%
0
0001.12.2
-
Scotland: League Two 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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