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Annan Athletic vs Albion Rvs Result & Analysis

Date: 07/11/2020
Time: 15:00
Final 2-3
Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic
Vs
54%
25%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Annan Athletic win✗ Miss
54.1%
Avg Implied 55.4% · @ 1.66
Edge
-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.9%
Avg Implied 22.0% · @ 4.18
Edge
+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs win✓ Hit
21.0%
Avg Implied 22.6% · @ 4.07
Edge
-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-323L02L03L03L21W02L00D30W11D01LH·STI18/01A·COV25/01H·STE01/02A·EDI08/02H·ALB22/02A·QUE29/02H·COW07/03A·COW17/10H·STR24/10A·STI31/10
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.871.671.530.802.20
vs Stronger (19)1.631.842.331.441.002.20
vs Similar (10)0.502.000.601.800.402.20
vs Weaker (1)1.001.001.001.00--
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D41W01L12L12L12L03L13L02L02LH·COV01/02H·BRE08/02A·STE15/02A·ANN22/02H·ELG29/02A·COW03/03A·EDI07/03H·STE17/10A·QUE24/10H·BRE31/10
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.272.001.602.000.932.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.251.751.751.880.751.62
vs Weaker (14)1.292.291.432.141.142.43
Clean sheet %7% (-20pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%014%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.9%
Under 1.5
20.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.8%
@ 1.44-9.0%
Under 2.5
44.2%
@ 2.65+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
33.4%
Under 3.5
66.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.6%
No
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.1%
1-0
8.9%
0-0
6.5%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.6%
Annan Athletic goals ↓
Albion Rvs goals →
01234
06.5%4.8%3.1%1.1%0.3%
18.9%12%5.8%2.1%0.6%
29.1%9.9%5.3%1.9%0.5%
35.6%6.0%3.3%1.2%0.3%
42.6%2.8%1.5%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Annan Athletic goals (down), columns = Albion Rvs goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Queens Park
2.45
Stranraer
1.73
Edinburgh City
1.73
Elgin
1.73
Stirling
1.64
Stenhousemuir
1.18
Albion Rvs
1.14
Annan Athletic
1.00
Cowdenbeath
0.95
Brechin
0.45
Annan Athletic is 0.14 points worse than Albion Rvs in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.14).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Queens Park
1.95
Edinburgh City
1.82
Elgin
1.77
Stranraer
1.64
Stirling
1.45
Annan Athletic
1.14
Stenhousemuir
1.14
Albion Rvs
1.14
Cowdenbeath
0.68
Brechin
0.59
Annan Athletic and Albion Rvs are level in goals scored per game (both 1.14).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Queens Park
0.59
Stirling
1.00
Stranraer
1.14
Annan Athletic
1.23
Edinburgh City
1.23
Elgin
1.27
Cowdenbeath
1.45
Stenhousemuir
1.59
Albion Rvs
1.73
Brechin
2.09
Annan Athletic is 0.50 goals better than Albion Rvs in terms of goals conceded per game (1.23 vs 1.73).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

For 4.8 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

17021110498552456312732741314171061149511A·STIH·STRA·COWH·COWA·QUEH·ALBA·EDIH·STEA·COVH·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.3 · Total 2.9

ðŸŸĻ Cards

502113222223222123404225243A·STIH·STRA·COWH·COWA·QUEH·ALBA·EDIH·STEA·COVH·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 11.9 · Total 24.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

3301271415101115181311129111316109891719292133242124261726A·STIH·STRA·COWH·COWA·QUEH·ALBA·EDIH·STEA·COVH·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AR
Albion Rvs

For 4.7 · Against 5.5 · Total 10.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

160243652958956545796269791314119168H·BREA·QUEH·STEA·EDIA·COWH·ELGA·ANNA·STEH·BREH·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.1

ðŸŸĻ Cards

70113132133222521442452072H·BREA·QUEH·STEA·EDIA·COWH·ELGA·ANNA·STEH·BREH·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.2 · Against 9.5 · Total 18.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

290141046813991514969121165981024102118291521171418H·BREA·QUEH·STEA·EDIA·COWH·ELGA·ANNA·STEH·BREH·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.19.510.83.74.03.424.726.423.0
vs Stronger (33)10.59.211.73.94.23.624.726.822.8
vs Similar (14)9.610.19.13.43.93.024.625.723.4
vs Weaker (3)8.39.56.03.73.54.025.026.023.0
% over line56%52%60%52%56%48%76%84%68%
% under line44%48%40%48%44%52%24%16%32%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.610.410.83.13.23.021.921.722.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (26)11.511.211.83.02.83.220.820.920.8
vs Weaker (24)9.59.59.63.13.52.723.022.623.3
% over line56%48%64%38%40%36%50%52%48%
% under line44%52%36%62%60%64%50%48%52%
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.8
Stenhousemuir
10.7
Brechin
10.7
Albion Rvs
10.6
Stranraer
10.3
Annan Athletic
10.1
Queens Park
10.1
Elgin
10.0
Cowdenbeath
9.7
Edinburgh City
8.9

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Cowdenbeath
4.3
Stenhousemuir
4.0
Annan Athletic
3.7
Elgin
3.7
Queens Park
3.7
Edinburgh City
3.7
Stirling
3.6
Brechin
3.6
Albion Rvs
3.1
Stranraer
2.9

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Annan Athletic
24.7
Cowdenbeath
23.4
Edinburgh City
23.0
Stirling
22.5
Queens Park
22.0
Albion Rvs
21.9
Elgin
21.4
Stenhousemuir
20.9
Brechin
20.7
Stranraer
20.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
60.8%
Under 9.5
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
48.3%
Under 3.5
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
63.6%
Under 21.5
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L03L01L20W02L00D20W11D01LH·STI18/01A·COV25/01H·STE01/02A·EDI08/02H·ALB22/02A·QUE29/02H·COW07/03A·COW17/10H·STR24/10A·STI31/10
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.001.000.800.331.20
vs Stronger (19)0.891.001.440.670.401.30
vs Similar (10)0.201.000.201.000.201.00
vs Weaker (1)1.001.001.001.00--
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L21W01L02L12L11D01L01L02L01LH·COV01/02H·BRE08/02A·STE15/02A·ANN22/02H·ELG29/02A·COW03/03A·EDI07/03H·STE17/10A·QUE24/10H·BRE31/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.030.671.270.530.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.691.000.751.380.620.62
vs Weaker (14)0.501.070.571.140.431.00
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D01L00D02L01L00D00D10W00D00DH·STI18/01A·COV25/01H·STE01/02A·EDI08/02H·ALB22/02A·QUE29/02H·COW07/03A·COW17/10H·STR24/10A·STI31/10
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.870.670.730.471.00
vs Stronger (19)0.740.840.890.780.600.90
vs Similar (10)0.301.000.400.800.201.20
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W20W00D10W00D01L02L12L00D01LH·COV01/02H·BRE08/02A·STE15/02A·ANN22/02H·ELG29/02A·COW03/03A·EDI07/03H·STE17/10A·QUE24/10H·BRE31/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.970.930.730.401.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.560.751.000.500.121.00
vs Weaker (14)0.791.210.861.000.711.43
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Annan Athletic) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Annan Athletic over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annan Athletic over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards84.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.579.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls78.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners72.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards70.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
5
AA wins
1
Draws
1
AR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Annan Athletic vs Albion Rvs · H/A from AA
DateH/AGameScore
22/02/20HAA Vs Albion Rvs2-1
21/12/19AAlbion Rvs Vs AA4-2
17/08/19HAA Vs Albion Rvs3-2
04/05/19AAlbion Rvs Vs AA0-2
23/02/19HAA Vs Albion Rvs4-0
29/12/18AAlbion Rvs Vs AA1-1
06/10/18HAA Vs Albion Rvs3-1

Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/10/20AStirling Vs AA1-0
24/10/20HAA Vs Stranraer1-1
17/10/20ACowdenbeath Vs AA0-3
07/03/20HAA Vs Cowdenbeath0-0
29/02/20AQueens Park Vs AA2-0
22/02/20HAA Vs Albion Rvs2-1
08/02/20AEdinburgh City Vs AA3-0
01/02/20HAA Vs Stenhousemuir0-3
25/01/20ACove Rangers Vs AA2-0
18/01/20HAA Vs Stirling2-3

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/10/20HAR Vs Brechin0-2
24/10/20AQueens Park Vs AR2-0
17/10/20HAR Vs Stenhousemuir1-3
07/03/20AEdinburgh City Vs AR3-0
03/03/20ACowdenbeath Vs AR2-1
29/02/20HAR Vs Elgin1-2
22/02/20AAnnan Athletic Vs AR2-1
15/02/20AStenhousemuir Vs AR1-0
08/02/20HAR Vs Brechin4-1
01/02/20HAR Vs Cove Rangers2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWDL1.60
HomeLLWDD1.96
AwayLLLWL1.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%56%40%
AVG goals3.183.402.96
Over 1.5 %88%88%88%
Over 2.5 %66%64%68%
Over 3.5 %36%48%24%
Scored1.702.201.20
Conceded1.481.201.76
BTTS52%56%48%
Clean Sheet26%32%20%
Corners10.129.4810.76
Cards3.744.043.44
AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL0.86
HomeDWLLL1.00
AwayLLLLL0.72
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%28%16%
AVG goals2.983.282.68
Over 1.5 %80%88%72%
Over 2.5 %60%64%56%
Over 3.5 %36%40%32%
Scored1.081.200.96
Conceded1.902.081.72
BTTS48%52%44%
Clean Sheet12%8%16%
Corners10.5610.3610.76
Cards3.063.162.96

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Queens ParkQueens Park2254
77%
2.5
4313+30
2.5
68%
55%
23%
9.9
41%
3.7
55%
21.8
41%
0
0002.00.6
-
2Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City2238
55%
1.7
4027+13
3.0
73%
55%
36%
9.2
29%
3.7
50%
21.7
48%
0
0001.81.2
-
3ElginElgin2238
55%
1.7
3928+11
3.0
77%
59%
32%
10.5
55%
4.0
55%
21.7
50%
0
0001.81.3
-
4StranraerStranraer2238
50%
1.7
3625+11
2.8
77%
50%
36%
9.6
45%
3.7
50%
23.5
59%
0
0001.61.1
-
5StirlingStirling2236
45%
1.6
3222+10
2.5
55%
45%
32%
10.2
59%
4.2
64%
24.2
64%
0
0001.51.0
-
6StenhousemuirStenhousemuir2226
32%
1.2
2535-10
2.7
82%
45%
36%
9.3
36%
4.0
73%
23.0
55%
0
0001.11.6
-
7
AR
Albion Rvs
2225
32%
1.1
2538-13
2.9
77%
41%
32%
9.9
48%
3.3
45%
23.8
71%
0
0001.11.7
-
8Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic2222
23%
1.0
2527-2
2.4
73%
45%
14%
9.9
50%
3.7
59%
23.5
59%
0
0001.11.2
-
9CowdenbeathCowdenbeath2221
23%
1.0
1532-17
2.1
64%
27%
14%
10.9
64%
3.8
59%
23.2
50%
0
0000.71.5
-
10BrechinBrechin2210
9%
0.5
1346-33
2.7
82%
50%
18%
9.1
41%
3.0
55%
19.5
27%
0
0000.62.1
-
Scotland: League Two 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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