Antalyaspor are set to host Sarıyer in a high-scoring encounter, with the model projecting an average of 3.2 goals and a 47% chance of a home win, 25% for a draw and 28% for an away win. The most likely outcome is a 1-1 draw, with a 11.4% probability. Antalyaspor have scored 1.4 and conceded 1.6 goals at home against similar opposition, while Sarıyer have managed 0.64 goals and allowed 1.71 away. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.4%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (96.5%), Under 6.5 (95.8%), Away under 3.5 goals (95.2% with a 3% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (93.6% with a 3% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (91.5%), Under 5.5 (90.0%) and Home under 3.5 goals (89.0%). Antalyaspor’s recent form shows two straight defeats before a win, while Sarıyer return after a loss.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, a home win for Antalyaspor, did not materialise as the game finished 1-2 in favour of Sarıyer, extending their winning run. The model had given the home side a 47% chance, yet the outcome proved wrong. The final score of 1-2 matched the away victory, a result the model had not predicted. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 98.4%; Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 96.8%; Under 6.5 hit at 95.8%; Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 95.6%; Away under 3.5 goals hit at 95.2%; Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 91.7%; Under 5.5 hit at 89.9%; Home under 3.5 goals hit at 89.0%. The model’s selection of a home win was incorrect, but the other predictions all proved accurate.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Antalyaspor win✗ Miss
47.4%
Avg Implied 48.5% · @ 1.88
Edge
-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
SBO
2.00
10Bet
1.91
Pinnacle
1.91
Betano
1.91
Dafabet
1.89
Draw✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied 27.2% · @ 3.36
Edge
-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.58
Dafabet
3.45
Superbet
3.40
BetVictor
3.40
Betfair
3.40
Sarıyer win✓ Hit
27.6%
Avg Implied 24.3% · @ 3.75
Edge
+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.00
Dafabet
3.95
BetVictor
3.90
Betano
3.90
1xBet
3.85
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Antalyaspor
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.67
1.40
1.73
0.40
1.60
vs Stronger (8)
1.38
2.25
1.40
2.00
1.33
2.67
vs Similar (22)
0.73
1.45
1.40
1.60
0.17
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Sarıyer) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sarıyer
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.17
1.81
0.69
0.64
1.71
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (29)
1.28
1.14
1.87
0.60
0.64
1.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Antalyaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.3%
@ 1.29+11.7%
Under 1.5
16.7%
@ 3.27-11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
Pinnacle
1.31
Unibet
1.30
Superbet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Pinnacle
3.46
BetVictor
3.30
Superbet
3.25
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
61.1%
@ 1.93+13.0%
Under 2.5
38.9%
@ 1.80-13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
2.00
Pinnacle
1.97
Bet365
1.95
Superbet
1.95
Betano
1.95
Under
Pinnacle
1.87
Bet365
1.85
1xBet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.80
Betfair
1.80
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.8%
@ 3.29+10.6%
Under 3.5
61.2%
@ 1.29-10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.39
Superbet
3.30
BetVictor
3.30
Under
Pinnacle
1.32
Betfair
1.30
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
62.9%
@ 1.78+11.0%
No
37.1%
@ 1.92-11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betano
1.80
Betfair
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.80
BetVictor
1.78
No
Betfair
1.95
William Hil
1.95
10Bet
1.93
BetVictor
1.93
1xBet
1.92
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%@ 6.01+4.1%
2-1
9.4%@ 7.66+3.7%
1-2 ✓
7.0%@ 11.51+3.2%
2-0
7.0%@ 8.33+1.7%
1-0
6.7%@ 6.53-0.1%
2-2
6.3%@ 13.16+3.0%
3-1
5.7%@ 14.01+2.5%
0-0
5.3%@ 8.77+0.3%
Antalyaspor goals ↓
Sarıyer goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.3%
4.7%
3.9%
1.7%
0.6%
1
6.7%
11%
7.0%
3.1%
1.1%
2
7.0%
9.4%
6.3%
2.8%
1.0%
3
4.2%
5.7%
3.8%
1.7%
0.6%
4
1.9%
2.6%
1.7%
0.8%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Antalyaspor goals (down), columns = Sarıyer goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Batman Petrolspor
2.60
Bursaspor
2.40
Sarıyer
2.00
Kayserispor
2.00
Iğdır FK
1.80
Mardin 1969
1.80
Keçiörengücü
1.60
Manisa F.K.
1.60
Fatih Karagümrük
1.60
Muğlaspor
1.60
Bandırmaspor
1.20
Antalyaspor
1.20
Pendikspor
1.00
Vanspor FK
0.80
Esenler Erokspor
0.80
Bodrum FK
0.80
Sivasspor
0.60
Ümraniyespor
0.60
İstanbulspor
0.40
Boluspor
0.00
Antalyaspor is 0.80 points worse than Sarıyer in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Keçiörengücü
2.40
Batman Petrolspor
2.00
Bursaspor
2.00
Manisa F.K.
2.00
Antalyaspor
1.60
Sarıyer
1.60
Mardin 1969
1.60
Iğdır FK
1.40
Pendikspor
1.40
Kayserispor
1.40
Fatih Karagümrük
1.20
Vanspor FK
1.00
Bandırmaspor
1.00
Sivasspor
1.00
İstanbulspor
1.00
Ümraniyespor
0.80
Muğlaspor
0.60
Esenler Erokspor
0.40
Bodrum FK
0.40
Boluspor
0.20
Antalyaspor and Sarıyer are level in goals scored per game (both 1.60).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Muğlaspor
0.40
Bandırmaspor
0.60
Esenler Erokspor
0.60
Mardin 1969
0.60
Bursaspor
0.60
Kayserispor
0.60
Sarıyer
0.80
Batman Petrolspor
0.80
Iğdır FK
0.80
Bodrum FK
0.80
Ümraniyespor
1.20
Fatih Karagümrük
1.20
Keçiörengücü
1.60
Sivasspor
1.60
Manisa F.K.
1.60
Antalyaspor
2.00
Vanspor FK
2.20
Boluspor
2.20
Pendikspor
2.20
İstanbulspor
2.60
Antalyaspor is 1.20 goals worse than Sarıyer in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 0.80).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Esenler Erokspor
61%
Bandırmaspor
60%
Bursaspor
59%
Manisa F.K.
55%
Antalyaspor
55%
Kayserispor
53%
Batman Petrolspor
52%
Ümraniyespor
52%
Pendikspor
51%
Sarıyer
50%
Iğdır FK
49%
Mardin 1969
49%
Sivasspor
48%
Bodrum FK
46%
Keçiörengücü
45%
Fatih Karagümrük
45%
İstanbulspor
44%
Muğlaspor
43%
Vanspor FK
42%
Boluspor
41%
Antalyaspor is 5.1 percentage points better than Sarıyer in terms of average possession (55% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Antalyaspor
For 4.9 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 3.7 · Total 6.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 16.2 · Total 29.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sarıyer
For 4.2 · Against 3.2 · Total 7.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 11.9 · Total 23.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Antalyaspor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
10.0
9.0
4.5
4.9
4.1
27.2
29.4
25.0
vs Stronger (14)
9.7
10.3
9.0
4.1
2.9
5.8
26.4
26.1
26.7
vs Similar (36)
9.4
9.8
9.0
4.7
5.9
3.6
27.5
30.9
24.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
55%
64%
45%
62%
64%
60%
89%
95%
82%
% under line
45%
36%
55%
38%
36%
40%
11%
5%
18%
This opponent (Sarıyer) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sarıyer
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (46)
8.0
8.0
8.0
4.4
5.0
3.9
23.4
25.8
21.1
vs Stronger (2)
8.5
7.0
10.0
6.5
6.0
7.0
24.5
25.0
24.0
vs Similar (44)
8.0
8.1
7.9
4.3
5.0
3.7
23.4
25.8
20.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
32%
25%
40%
61%
73%
50%
60%
80%
40%
% under line
68%
75%
60%
39%
27%
50%
40%
20%
60%
This opponent (Antalyaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Kayserispor
10.0
Sivasspor
9.7
Antalyaspor
9.3
Bodrum FK
9.3
Bandırmaspor
9.2
Bursaspor
9.1
Muğlaspor
9.0
Ümraniyespor
9.0
Iğdır FK
8.9
Esenler Erokspor
8.8
Fatih Karagümrük
8.8
Mardin 1969
8.7
Manisa F.K.
8.6
Pendikspor
8.5
İstanbulspor
8.3
Batman Petrolspor
8.3
Keçiörengücü
8.3
Vanspor FK
8.3
Boluspor
8.2
Sarıyer
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Muğlaspor
7.0
Batman Petrolspor
6.7
Antalyaspor
5.2
Vanspor FK
5.1
Sarıyer
5.1
Pendikspor
5.0
Esenler Erokspor
5.0
Boluspor
5.0
Sivasspor
5.0
Manisa F.K.
4.9
Iğdır FK
4.8
Keçiörengücü
4.7
İstanbulspor
4.7
Bandırmaspor
4.7
Kayserispor
4.5
Bursaspor
4.4
Fatih Karagümrük
4.4
Ümraniyespor
4.3
Bodrum FK
4.1
Mardin 1969
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Muğlaspor
34.5
Bursaspor
29.1
Fatih Karagümrük
29.0
Vanspor FK
27.8
Antalyaspor
27.1
Pendikspor
26.5
Boluspor
25.5
Batman Petrolspor
25.0
Kayserispor
24.8
Bodrum FK
24.0
Bandırmaspor
23.9
Manisa F.K.
23.6
Keçiörengücü
23.5
Iğdır FK
23.5
Sarıyer
23.4
İstanbulspor
23.4
Sivasspor
23.2
Ümraniyespor
23.2
Esenler Erokspor
22.8
Mardin 1969
21.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
37.2%
@ 2.33-2.2%
Under 9.5
62.8%
@ 1.52+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.42
1xBet
2.34
Superbet
2.32
Marathonbet
2.30
Pinnacle
2.29
Under
Pinnacle
1.57
Superbet
1.54
1xBet
1.51
Betano
1.50
Marathonbet
1.49
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
73.9%
Under 3.5
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
69.4%
Under 21.5
30.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Antalyaspor or Draw✗ Miss
72.4%
Avg Implied 75.5% · @ 1.21
Edge
-3.1%
47%
25%
28%
covers Antalyaspor + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
BetVictor
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Antalyaspor or Sarıyer✓ Hit
75.0%
Avg Implied 73.2% · @ 1.25
Edge
+1.8%
47%
25%
28%
covers Antalyaspor + Sarıyer
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.27
BetVictor
1.25
Draw or Sarıyer✓ Hit
52.6%
Avg Implied 51.3% · @ 1.79
Edge
+1.3%
47%
25%
28%
covers Draw + Sarıyer
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.88
Betfair
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
William Hil
1.80
10Bet
1.80
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Antalyaspor over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
83.7%
@ 1.19+5.8%
Under
16.3%
@ 4.19-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Under
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
BetVictor
4.33
Pinnacle
4.28
1xBet
4.20
Antalyaspor over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
54.0%
@ 1.97+7.0%
Under
46.0%
@ 1.75-7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.01
Betano
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Unibet
1.95
Under
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.77
BetVictor
1.75
Antalyaspor over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
27.2%
@ 4.01+4.2%
Under
72.8%
@ 1.20-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.29
BetVictor
4.10
Superbet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Under
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
Antalyaspor over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
11.0%
@ 8.88+0.5%
Under
89.0%
@ 1.05-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
9.50
1xBet
8.10
Betano
7.90
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Sarıyer over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
74.0%
@ 1.46+10.6%
Under
26.0%
@ 2.53-10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.47
BetVictor
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
Under
Pinnacle
2.69
Betfair
2.63
10Bet
2.55
Superbet
2.52
BetVictor
2.50
Sarıyer over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
38.9%
@ 3.26+10.6%
Under
61.1%
@ 1.29-10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.50
Pinnacle
3.35
BetVictor
3.30
Superbet
3.30
Betano
3.25
Under
Betano
1.31
Betfair
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Pinnacle
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Sarıyer over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
15.4%
@ 8.60+4.5%
Under
84.6%
@ 1.04-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
8.50
Superbet
8.30
1xBet
8.10
Marathonbet
8.10
Under
Betano
1.07
Betfair
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.02
Sarıyer over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.8%
@ 20.75+0.1%
Under
95.2%
@ 1.01-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
29.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Antalyaspor, so a minus line means Antalyaspor give that many goals of a start and Sarıyer receive them. At -1, Antalyaspor must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Antalyaspor win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Antalyaspor)Actual: Sarıyer
Antalyaspor -2
12.0%
@ 7.35-0.1%
Draw -2
14.7%
@ 5.43-1.7%
Sarıyer +2
73.4%
@ 1.24+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.50
Marathonbet
6.55
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.30
Away
Marathonbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.22
Handicap -1 (Antalyaspor)Actual: Sarıyer
Antalyaspor -1
26.6%
@ 3.38+0.9%
Draw -1
20.8%
@ 3.47-4.3%
Sarıyer +1
52.6%
@ 1.76+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Betfair
3.50
Marathonbet
3.20
Unibet
3.05
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Marathonbet
3.48
Unibet
2.95
Away
Betfair
1.83
10Bet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.78
Bet365
1.73
Unibet
1.68
Handicap +1 (Antalyaspor)Actual: Draw
Antalyaspor +1
72.4%
@ 1.22-0.5%
Draw +1
15.2%
@ 5.40-1.2%
Sarıyer -1
12.4%
@ 8.30+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.18
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.30
Away
Bet365
8.50
Marathonbet
8.10
Handicap +2 (Antalyaspor)Actual: Antalyaspor
Antalyaspor +2
87.6%
@ 1.06-0.2%
Draw +2
8.1%
@ 12.00+0.4%
Sarıyer -2
4.3%
@ 21.00-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.06
Draw
Bet365
12.00
Away
Bet365
21.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Antalyaspor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.67
0.47
0.33
0.27
1.00
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
0.62
0.80
0.40
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.23
0.68
0.30
0.30
0.17
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Sarıyer) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sarıyer
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.47
0.75
0.31
0.36
0.64
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.59
0.45
0.80
0.27
0.36
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Antalyaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
75.7%
@ 1.38+9.0%
Under 0.5
24.3%
@ 2.78-9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Pinnacle
1.39
Superbet
1.39
Under
Pinnacle
2.98
William Hil
2.90
Betfair
2.88
10Bet
2.85
Superbet
2.77
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
46.6%
@ 2.79+13.4%
Under 1.5
53.4%
@ 1.39-13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.95
Betano
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Superbet
2.80
Marathonbet
2.77
Under
10Bet
1.42
BetVictor
1.40
William Hil
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
18.9%
@ 6.95+5.6%
Under 2.5
81.1%
@ 1.07-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
BetVictor
7.50
Betfair
7.00
William Hil
7.00
Superbet
6.80
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Superbet
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Antalyaspor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
54.5%
@ 1.84+4.1%
Under
45.5%
@ 1.87-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.88
Pinnacle
1.85
Superbet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.82
1xBet
1.80
Under
Pinnacle
1.93
1xBet
1.91
Superbet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.84
Betano
1.82
Antalyaspor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
22.4%
@ 5.23+4.7%
Under
77.6%
@ 1.12-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.50
Marathonbet
5.20
Betano
5.00
Under
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
Antalyaspor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.3%
@ 10.00-0.9%
Under
91.7%
@ 1.02+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Sarıyer over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
47.0%
@ 2.51+10.2%
Under
53.0%
@ 1.46-10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.63
Betano
2.52
Superbet
2.52
Marathonbet
2.48
1xBet
2.40
Under
Pinnacle
1.48
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.45
1xBet
1.44
Sarıyer over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
13.8%
@ 8.90+3.4%
Under
86.2%
@ 1.03-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Marathonbet
9.10
Betano
7.60
Under
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.02
Sarıyer over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.2%
Under
96.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Antalyaspor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
1.00
0.93
1.40
0.13
0.60
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
1.62
0.60
1.60
0.67
1.67
vs Similar (22)
0.50
0.77
1.10
1.30
0.00
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Sarıyer) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sarıyer
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.70
1.06
0.38
0.29
1.07
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.69
0.69
1.07
0.33
0.29
1.07
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Antalyaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
82.8%
@ 1.24+8.2%
Under 0.5
17.2%
@ 3.63-8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
1xBet
1.21
Under
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.65
William Hil
3.60
Betano
3.60
1xBet
3.58
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
54.9%
@ 2.11+11.1%
Under 1.5
45.1%
@ 1.65-11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.15
10Bet
2.15
Superbet
2.12
1xBet
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Under
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.67
Marathonbet
1.65
1xBet
1.65
Superbet
1.64
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
29.0%
@ 4.54+8.6%
Under 2.5
71.0%
@ 1.16-8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
William Hil
4.80
Superbet
4.60
1xBet
4.33
Marathonbet
4.33
Under
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Antalyaspor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
63.9%
@ 1.59+5.7%
Under
36.1%
@ 2.22-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.60
1xBet
1.59
Betano
1.57
Under
Betano
2.25
Superbet
2.20
1xBet
2.20
Antalyaspor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
35.3%
@ 3.68+10.3%
Under
64.7%
@ 1.23-10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.80
Marathonbet
3.65
Betano
3.60
Under
Betano
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Antalyaspor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
11.2%
@ 8.70+0.6%
Under
88.8%
@ 1.03-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.50
Betano
7.90
Under
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
Sarıyer over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
46.6%
@ 2.07+1.9%
Under
53.4%
@ 1.67-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.07
1xBet
2.06
Betano
2.05
Under
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.68
Superbet
1.66
Marathonbet
1.64
Sarıyer over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
15.0%
@ 6.30+0.4%
Under
85.0%
@ 1.07-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.60
Marathonbet
6.60
Betano
5.70
Under
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
Sarıyer over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.4%
@ 10.75-4.2%
Under
95.6%
@ 1.02+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
95.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-0.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.6%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
95.2%
1.01
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-0.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
91.7%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
89.9%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Betfair
1.01
-
-2.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
89.0%
1.05
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.03
-
-0.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
88.8%
1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-0.6%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
87.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
87.6%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-0.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
86.2%
1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.02
-
-
-3.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
85.0%
1.07
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
-
-
-0.4%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
84.6%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Betfair
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.02
-4.5%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
83.7%
1.19
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.20
10Bet
1.18
+5.8%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
83.3%
1.29
Betano
1.32
Pinnacle
1.31
Unibet
1.30
Superbet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
+11.7%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
83.2%
1.11
1xBet
1.11
-
-
-
-
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
82.8%
1.24
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
1xBet
1.21
+8.2%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
81.1%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Superbet
1.07
-5.6%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
78.8%
1.09
Betano
1.11
Pinnacle
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.09
-6.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
77.6%
1.12
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
-
-
-4.7%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
75.7%
1.38
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Pinnacle
1.39
Superbet
1.39
+9.0%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
75.0%
1.25
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.27
BetVictor
1.25
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
74.2%
1.29
Superbet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.26
-
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
74.0%
1.46
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.47
BetVictor
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
+10.6%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
73.4%
1.24
Marathonbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.22
-
-
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
72.8%
1.20
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
-4.2%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
72.4%
1.21
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
BetVictor
1.22
10Bet
1.22
-3.1%
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
72.4%
1.22
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.18
-
-
-
-0.5%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
71.0%
1.16
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
-8.6%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Antalyaspor
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
N. Storm33%
Soner Dikmen33%
Ramzi Safouri33%
M. Şimşek33%
Ensar Bugra Tivsiz25%
Yohan Boli0%
S. van de Streek0%
Bünyamin Balcı0%
D. Sinik0%
E. Yeşilyurt0%
S. Karakoç0%
Hasan Yakub İlçin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Soner Dikmen67%
Yohan Boli33%
Ramzi Safouri33%
Bünyamin Balcı25%
S. Karakoç25%
N. Storm0%
S. van de Streek0%
D. Sinik0%
E. Yeşilyurt0%
Hasan Yakub İlçin0%
Ensar Bugra Tivsiz0%
M. Şimşek0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
S. van de Streek50%
Yohan Boli33%
N. Storm0%
Bünyamin Balcı0%
D. Sinik0%
E. Yeşilyurt0%
Soner Dikmen0%
Ramzi Safouri0%
S. Karakoç0%
Hasan Yakub İlçin0%
Ensar Bugra Tivsiz0%
M. Şimşek0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
M. Şimşek33%
Yohan Boli0%
N. Storm0%
S. van de Streek0%
Bünyamin Balcı0%
D. Sinik0%
E. Yeşilyurt0%
Soner Dikmen0%
Ramzi Safouri0%
S. Karakoç0%
Hasan Yakub İlçin0%
Ensar Bugra Tivsiz0%
Sarıyer
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
B. Kör67%
Tunahan Ergul33%
Eşref Korkmazoğlu33%
C. Osmanpaşa0%
E. Karaca0%
C. Karayel0%
André Poko0%
I. Šehić0%
Doğan Can Davas0%
Marcos Silva0%
H. Yeşilyurt0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marcos Silva67%
C. Osmanpaşa33%
C. Karayel33%
I. Šehić33%
Doğan Can Davas33%
Tunahan Ergul0%
E. Karaca0%
André Poko0%
B. Kör0%
Eşref Korkmazoğlu0%
H. Yeşilyurt0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
E. Karaca33%
B. Kör33%
Marcos Silva33%
C. Osmanpaşa0%
Tunahan Ergul0%
C. Karayel0%
André Poko0%
I. Šehić0%
Doğan Can Davas0%
Eşref Korkmazoğlu0%
H. Yeşilyurt0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
B. Kör33%
C. Osmanpaşa0%
Tunahan Ergul0%
E. Karaca0%
C. Karayel0%
André Poko0%
I. Šehić0%
Doğan Can Davas0%
Marcos Silva0%
Eşref Korkmazoğlu0%
H. Yeşilyurt0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (27)
€19m
ANT (25)
€16m
BF (31)
€13m
FK (23)
€12m
KAY (23)
€12m
EE (23)
€11m
SIV (26)
€10m
IF (26)
€9m
MF (24)
€9m
BP (25)
€9m
İST (28)
€8m
BAN (29)
€7m
ÜMR (25)
€7m
PEN (26)
€6m
M1 (25)
€6m
VF (21)
€6m
KEÇ (25)
€6m
MUĞ (19)
€6m
SAR (20)
€5m
BOL (18)
€3m
Antalyaspor's squad is €10m more valuable than Sarıyer's (€16m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (10)
€10m
BF (10)
€6m
FK (9)
€5m
KAY (9)
€5m
ANT (8)
€5m
EE (8)
€4m
SIV (10)
€4m
BP (10)
€4m
IF (7)
€4m
VF (10)
€3m
İST (10)
€3m
ÜMR (8)
€3m
MUĞ (8)
€3m
M1 (8)
€2m
SAR (7)
€2m
MF (7)
€2m
BAN (8)
€2m
KEÇ (7)
€2m
PEN (10)
€2m
BOL (5)
€1m
Antalyaspor's attack is €2m more valuable than Sarıyer's (€5m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (5)
€4m
ANT (6)
€4m
EE (6)
€3m
FK (3)
€3m
BF (10)
€3m
MF (7)
€3m
SIV (5)
€3m
M1 (8)
€2m
BP (5)
€2m
ÜMR (7)
€2m
IF (7)
€2m
BAN (6)
€2m
KAY (4)
€2m
PEN (5)
€2m
KEÇ (7)
€2m
MUĞ (7)
€2m
SAR (4)
€1m
VF (2)
€1m
İST (5)
€1m
BOL (5)
€1m
Antalyaspor's midfield is €3m more valuable than Sarıyer's (€4m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ANT (11)
€7m
KAY (10)
€5m
BUR (12)
€4m
BF (11)
€4m
FK (11)
€4m
MF (10)
€4m
İST (13)
€4m
IF (12)
€3m
BAN (15)
€3m
PEN (11)
€3m
EE (9)
€3m
BP (10)
€3m
KEÇ (11)
€3m
SIV (11)
€3m
VF (9)
€2m
M1 (9)
€2m
SAR (9)
€2m
ÜMR (10)
€2m
MUĞ (4)
€2m
BOL (8)
€1m
Antalyaspor's defence is €5m more valuable than Sarıyer's (€7m vs €2m).
Turkey: 1. Lig 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: 1. Lig stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Batman Petrolspor
Bursaspor
Kayserispor
Mardin 1969
Iğdır FK
Keçiörengücü
Manisa F.K.
Muğlaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Bandırmaspor
Pendikspor
Esenler Erokspor
Bodrum FK
Vanspor FK
Ümraniyespor
Sivasspor
İstanbulspor
Boluspor