PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Apollon Pontou vs Iraklis 1908 Result & Analysis

Date: 14/02/2024
Time: 13:00
Final 0-1
Apollon Pontou
Apollon Pontou
Vs
27%
31%
43%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Iraklis 1908
Iraklis 1908
Greece: Super League 2
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Apollon Pontou win✗ Miss
26.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Iraklis 1908 win✓ Hit
42.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Apollon PontouApollon Pontou

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D10W01L13L21W03L01L01L01L20WH·AEK11/11A·IRA15/11H·AIO19/11A·MAK26/11H·ANA03/12A·LAR11/12H·PAO18/12H·LEV13/01A·KOZ28/01H·KAM04/02
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.400.811.310.431.50
vs Stronger (20)0.701.701.001.730.331.67
vs Similar (10)0.500.800.400.400.601.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Iraklis 1908) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Iraklis 1908Iraklis 1908

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-531W10W11D11D51W12L11D11D02L10WA·KAM19/11H·AEK25/11H·KOZ03/12A·AIO10/12H·MAK18/12A·ANA03/01H·LAR07/01A·PAO15/01A·LEV04/02H·NIK11/02
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.530.931.620.691.431.21
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.061.061.000.671.141.57
vs Weaker (14)2.070.792.430.711.710.86
Clean sheet %27% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Apollon Pontou) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%021%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
68.0%
Under 1.5
32.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.1%
Under 2.5
59.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.8%
Under 3.5
80.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.9%
No
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
0-1 ✓
12.0%
0-0
11.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
4.8%
Apollon Pontou goals ↓
Iraklis 1908 goals →
01234
011%12%8.7%3.8%1.2%
18.6%14%8.5%3.7%1.2%
24.8%6.4%4.2%1.8%0.6%
31.6%2.1%1.4%0.6%0.2%
40.4%0.5%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Apollon Pontou goals (down), columns = Iraklis 1908 goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Levadiakos
2.47
Kallithea
2.13
Larisa
1.97
Kissamikos
1.90
Ionikos
1.57
Ilioupoli
1.53
PAOK II
1.53
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.38
Iraklis 1908
1.38
Niki Volos
1.37
Makedonikos Neapolis
1.33
Egaleo
1.31
Diagoras
1.31
AEK Athens II
1.27
Kalamata
1.27
Panachaiki FC
1.25
Kampaniakos Chalastra
1.25
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.22
Kozani
1.19
Giouchtas
1.00
Panathinaikos II
0.94
Tilikratis
0.82
Aiolikos
0.75
Apollon Pontou
0.50
Apollon Pontou is 0.88 points worse than Iraklis 1908 in terms of average points per game (0.50 vs 1.38).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kissamikos
1.93
Levadiakos
1.77
Kallithea
1.63
PAOK II
1.62
Larisa
1.60
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.50
Ionikos
1.43
Niki Volos
1.37
Makedonikos Neapolis
1.23
Iraklis 1908
1.09
Panachaiki FC
1.09
AEK Athens II
1.07
Ilioupoli
1.03
Kalamata
0.97
Kampaniakos Chalastra
0.94
Diagoras
0.91
Giouchtas
0.88
Anagennisi Karditsas
0.88
Aiolikos
0.84
Panathinaikos II
0.78
Kozani
0.78
Egaleo
0.78
Tilikratis
0.77
Apollon Pontou
0.55
Apollon Pontou is 0.55 goals worse than Iraklis 1908 in terms of goals scored per game (0.55 vs 1.09).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Levadiakos
0.47
Kallithea
0.63
Larisa
0.87
Iraklis 1908
0.88
Kozani
0.91
Kissamikos
0.93
Egaleo
0.94
Ionikos
0.97
Kalamata
1.00
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.06
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.06
Diagoras
1.12
AEK Athens II
1.17
Niki Volos
1.17
Makedonikos Neapolis
1.27
Kampaniakos Chalastra
1.28
Panachaiki FC
1.31
Giouchtas
1.34
PAOK II
1.38
Ilioupoli
1.40
Panathinaikos II
1.47
Aiolikos
1.59
Tilikratis
1.68
Apollon Pontou
2.05
Apollon Pontou is 1.17 goals worse than Iraklis 1908 in terms of goals conceded per game (2.05 vs 0.88).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Apollon PontouApollon Pontou

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D00D01L10W02L00D00D01L10WH·AEK11/11A·IRA15/11H·AIO19/11A·MAK26/11H·ANA03/12A·LAR11/12H·PAO18/12H·LEV13/01A·KOZ28/01H·KAM04/02
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.470.560.310.140.64
vs Stronger (20)0.500.550.730.450.220.67
vs Similar (10)0.100.300.200.000.000.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Iraklis 1908) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Iraklis 1908Iraklis 1908

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W10W01L21W01L11D01L02L00DA·KAM19/11H·AEK25/11H·KOZ03/12A·AIO10/12H·MAK18/12A·ANA03/01H·LAR07/01A·PAO15/01A·LEV04/02H·NIK11/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.470.810.310.430.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.310.500.330.330.290.71
vs Weaker (14)1.000.431.430.290.570.57
Clean sheet %57% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Apollon Pontou) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Apollon Pontou over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon Pontou over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon Pontou over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis 1908 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis 1908 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis 1908 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Apollon PontouApollon Pontou

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W01L12L11D01L01L01L00D10WH·AEK11/11A·IRA15/11H·AIO19/11A·MAK26/11H·ANA03/12A·LAR11/12H·PAO18/12H·LEV13/01A·KOZ28/01H·KAM04/02
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.270.930.251.000.290.86
vs Stronger (20)0.201.150.271.270.111.00
vs Similar (10)0.400.500.200.400.600.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Iraklis 1908) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Iraklis 1908Iraklis 1908

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D01L10W30W11D00D10W00D10WA·KAM19/11H·AEK25/11H·KOZ03/12A·AIO10/12H·MAK18/12A·ANA03/01H·LAR07/01A·PAO15/01A·LEV04/02H·NIK11/02
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.470.810.381.000.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.750.560.670.330.860.86
vs Weaker (14)1.070.361.000.431.140.29
Clean sheet %60% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Apollon Pontou) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Apollon Pontou over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon Pontou over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon Pontou over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis 1908 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis 1908 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis 1908 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.580.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEV (24)
€16m
KAL (28)
€11m
I1 (25)
€9m
EGA (40)
€6m
NV (24)
€6m
PI (21)
€5m
KAL (27)
€5m
LAR (23)
€5m
AK (25)
€4m
OPI (22)
€4m
ILI (31)
€4m
MN (29)
€3m
KC (26)
€2m
AP (16)
€2m
Apollon Pontou's squad is €7m less valuable than Iraklis 1908's (€2m vs €9m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEV (11)
€5m
KAL (8)
€4m
EGA (19)
€3m
I1 (6)
€2m
PI (9)
€2m
NV (7)
€2m
OPI (9)
€2m
LAR (7)
€2m
KAL (9)
€2m
AK (7)
€1m
ILI (10)
€1m
MN (10)
€1m
AP (6)
€1m
KC (8)
€1m
Apollon Pontou's attack is €2m less valuable than Iraklis 1908's (€1m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEV (4)
€5m
I1 (7)
€3m
KAL (6)
€2m
NV (6)
€1m
PI (4)
€1m
EGA (6)
€1m
ILI (6)
€1m
AK (6)
€1m
KC (7)
€1m
LAR (3)
€1m
KAL (4)
€1m
AP (4)
€1m
MN (4)
€0m
OPI (3)
€0m
Apollon Pontou's midfield is €2m less valuable than Iraklis 1908's (€1m vs €3m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEV (9)
€5m
KAL (14)
€5m
I1 (12)
€4m
KAL (14)
€3m
NV (11)
€3m
EGA (15)
€2m
LAR (13)
€2m
PI (8)
€2m
OPI (10)
€2m
AK (12)
€2m
ILI (15)
€2m
MN (15)
€1m
KC (11)
€1m
AP (6)
€1m
Apollon Pontou's defence is €3m less valuable than Iraklis 1908's (€1m vs €4m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
AP wins
0
Draws
2
I1 wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Apollon Pontou vs Iraklis 1908 · H/A from AP
DateH/AGameScore
15/11/23AIraklis 1908 Vs AP0-1
02/05/23HAP Vs Iraklis 19080-5
22/12/22AIraklis 1908 Vs AP2-0

Apollon PontouApollon Pontou

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/02/24HAP Vs Kampaniakos Chalastra2-0
28/01/24AKozani Vs AP1-0
13/01/24HAP Vs Levadiakos0-1
18/12/23HAP Vs PAOK II0-1
11/12/23ALarisa Vs AP3-0
03/12/23HAP Vs Anagennisi Karditsas2-1
26/11/23AMakedonikos Neapolis Vs AP3-1
19/11/23HAP Vs Aiolikos0-1
15/11/23AIraklis 1908 Vs AP0-1
11/11/23HAP Vs AEK Athens II2-2

Iraklis 1908Iraklis 1908

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/02/24HI1 Vs Niki Volos1-0
04/02/24ALevadiakos Vs I12-0
15/01/24APAOK II Vs I11-1
07/01/24HI1 Vs Larisa1-1
03/01/24AAnagennisi Karditsas Vs I12-1
18/12/23HI1 Vs Makedonikos Neapolis5-1
10/12/23AAiolikos Vs I11-1
03/12/23HI1 Vs Kozani1-1
25/11/23HI1 Vs AEK Athens II1-0
19/11/23AKampaniakos Chalastra Vs I11-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Apollon Pontou
Apollon Pontou
Greece: Super League 2
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLW0.95
HomeLWLLW1.00
AwayLWLLL0.90
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%27%25%
AVG goals2.052.092.00
Over 1.5 %52%50%55%
Over 2.5 %38%41%35%
Over 3.5 %19%23%15%
Scored0.640.770.50
Conceded1.401.321.50
BTTS26%32%20%
Clean Sheet24%23%25%
Corners---
Cards---
Iraklis 1908
Iraklis 1908
Greece: Super League 2
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDLW1.68
HomeWDWDW1.92
AwayWDLDL1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%52%40%
AVG goals2.522.482.56
Over 1.5 %76%72%80%
Over 2.5 %38%28%48%
Over 3.5 %22%20%24%
Scored1.641.761.52
Conceded0.880.721.04
BTTS50%56%44%
Clean Sheet32%36%28%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LevadiakosLevadiakos3074
77%
2.5
5314+39
2.2
70%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
5551.80.5
-
2KallitheaKallithea3064
63%
2.1
4919+30
2.3
67%
47%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2131.60.6
-
3LarisaLarisa3059
53%
2.0
4826+22
2.5
83%
40%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.60.9
-
4KissamikosKissamikos3057
57%
1.9
5828+30
2.9
80%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.90.9
-
5PAOK IIPAOK II3249
47%
1.5
5244+8
3.0
78%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.4
-
6IonikosIonikos3047
40%
1.6
4329+14
2.4
63%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.0
-
7IlioupoliIlioupoli3046
47%
1.5
3142-11
2.4
57%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.01.4
-
8Olympiakos Piraeus IIOlympiakos Piraeus II3244
34%
1.4
4834+14
2.6
66%
47%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2021.51.1
-
9Iraklis 1908Iraklis 19083244
31%
1.4
3528+7
2.0
59%
28%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2341.10.9
-
10EgaleoEgaleo3242
34%
1.3
2530-5
1.7
47%
22%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3120.80.9
-
11DiagorasDiagoras3242
34%
1.3
2936-7
2.0
59%
31%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.1
-
12Niki VolosNiki Volos3041
40%
1.4
4135+6
2.5
77%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.41.2
-
13Makedonikos NeapolisMakedonikos Neapolis3040
30%
1.3
3738-1
2.5
73%
47%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.21.3
-
14Panachaiki FCPanachaiki FC3240
31%
1.2
3542-7
2.4
69%
44%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.3
-
15Kampaniakos ChalastraKampaniakos Chalastra3240
38%
1.2
3041-11
2.2
56%
34%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.91.3
-
16Anagennisi KarditsasAnagennisi Karditsas3239
31%
1.2
2834-6
1.9
59%
31%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.91.1
-
17KalamataKalamata3038
33%
1.3
2930-1
2.0
53%
30%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
4251.01.0
-
18AEK Athens IIAEK Athens II3038
30%
1.3
3235-3
2.2
63%
40%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
19KozaniKozani3238
28%
1.2
2529-4
1.7
44%
19%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.9
-
20GiouchtasGiouchtas3232
25%
1.0
2843-15
2.2
62%
44%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.3
-
21Panathinaikos IIPanathinaikos II3230
25%
0.9
2547-22
2.2
69%
41%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.5
-
22AiolikosAiolikos3224
16%
0.8
2751-24
2.4
75%
47%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.6
-
23TilikratisTilikratis2218
23%
0.8
1737-20
2.5
68%
55%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.7
-
24Apollon PontouApollon Pontou2211
14%
0.5
1245-33
2.6
59%
55%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.52.0
-
25AlmoposAlmopos00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Greece: Super League 2 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 2 stats & trends →

← all matches