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Aragvi Dusheti vs Kolkheti Khobi Result & Analysis

Date: 15/09/2024
Time: 14:00
Final 2-1
Aragvi Dusheti
Aragvi Dusheti
Vs
61%
20%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kolkheti Khobi
Kolkheti Khobi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Aragvi Dusheti win✓ Hit
60.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kolkheti Khobi win✗ Miss
19.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Aragvi DushetiAragvi Dusheti

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-662W12L32W12L11D02L12L20W11D31WH·WIT24/05A·KOL28/05H·DIN02/06A·LOK31/07H·SHT05/08A·GAR10/08H·SIO17/08A·SPA23/08H·RUS27/08A·WIT31/08
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.441.402.081.920.850.92
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)1.441.402.081.920.850.92
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %24% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolkheti Khobi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kolkheti KhobiKolkheti Khobi

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W21W33D00D01L11D24L01L00D24LH·RUS24/05H·ARA28/05A·LOK01/06H·GAR31/07A·SPA05/08A·WIT10/08H·DIN17/08A·SHT23/08H·SIO27/08A·RUS31/08
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.971.071.200.932.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.001.971.071.200.932.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Aragvi Dusheti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%15%20%3%07%117%220%319%415%519%6+
The model estimates around 3.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
90.1%
Under 1.5
9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
73.3%
Under 2.5
26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
52.9%
Under 3.5
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
68.7%
No
31.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1 ✓
9.0%
1-1
8.1%
3-1
7.4%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-0
5.4%
3-2
5.0%
1-2
5.0%
Aragvi Dusheti goals ↓
Kolkheti Khobi goals →
01234
02.9%2.3%2.0%0.9%0.3%
14.7%8.1%5.0%2.3%0.8%
26.7%9.0%6.1%2.8%0.9%
35.4%7.4%5.0%2.3%0.8%
43.3%4.5%3.1%1.4%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Aragvi Dusheti goals (down), columns = Kolkheti Khobi goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Saburtalo II
2.00
Gareji
1.86
Rustavi
1.81
Sioni
1.69
Merani Martvili
1.50
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
1.42
Dinamo Tbilisi II
1.42
Spaeri
1.42
Aragvi Dusheti
1.32
Shturmi
1.26
WIT Georgia
1.14
Kolkheti Khobi
0.56
Aragvi Dusheti is 0.76 points better than Kolkheti Khobi in terms of average points per game (1.32 vs 0.56).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Gareji
2.14
Sioni
1.83
Rustavi
1.72
Saburtalo II
1.50
Dinamo Tbilisi II
1.42
Aragvi Dusheti
1.39
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
1.39
Spaeri
1.39
WIT Georgia
1.36
Shturmi
1.13
Kolkheti Khobi
0.83
Merani Martvili
0.50
Aragvi Dusheti is 0.56 goals better than Kolkheti Khobi in terms of goals scored per game (1.39 vs 0.83).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Merani Martvili
0.50
Saburtalo II
1.00
Rustavi
1.14
Sioni
1.17
Gareji
1.22
Spaeri
1.31
Shturmi
1.32
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
1.36
Aragvi Dusheti
1.39
WIT Georgia
1.64
Dinamo Tbilisi II
1.72
Kolkheti Khobi
2.36
Aragvi Dusheti is 0.97 goals better than Kolkheti Khobi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.39 vs 2.36).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Aragvi DushetiAragvi Dusheti

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W10W10W02L11D00D11D00D11D00DH·WIT24/05A·KOL28/05H·DIN02/06A·LOK31/07H·SHT05/08A·GAR10/08H·SIO17/08A·SPA23/08H·RUS27/08A·WIT31/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.560.920.830.310.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.600.560.920.830.310.31
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolkheti Khobi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kolkheti KhobiKolkheti Khobi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L01L00D00D11D12L01L00D02LH·RUS24/05H·ARA28/05A·LOK01/06H·GAR31/07A·SPA05/08A·WIT10/08H·DIN17/08A·SHT23/08H·SIO27/08A·RUS31/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.770.530.530.401.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.470.770.530.530.401.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Aragvi Dusheti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Aragvi Dusheti over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aragvi Dusheti over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aragvi Dusheti over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolkheti Khobi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolkheti Khobi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolkheti Khobi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Aragvi DushetiAragvi Dusheti

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-332W02L22D10W00D02L01L20W00D31WH·WIT24/05A·KOL28/05H·DIN02/06A·LOK31/07H·SHT05/08A·GAR10/08H·SIO17/08A·SPA23/08H·RUS27/08A·WIT31/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.840.841.171.080.540.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.840.841.171.080.540.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %48% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolkheti Khobi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kolkheti KhobiKolkheti Khobi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W20W32W00D01L00D12L00D00D22DH·RUS24/05H·ARA28/05A·LOK01/06H·GAR31/07A·SPA05/08A·WIT10/08H·DIN17/08A·SHT23/08H·SIO27/08A·RUS31/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.531.200.530.670.531.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.531.200.530.670.531.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Aragvi Dusheti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Aragvi Dusheti over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aragvi Dusheti over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aragvi Dusheti over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolkheti Khobi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolkheti Khobi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolkheti Khobi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.590.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.573.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUS (22)
€2m
SPA (20)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUS (8)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUS (4)
€0m
SPA (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUS (10)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
AD wins
1
Draws
1
KK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Aragvi Dusheti vs Kolkheti Khobi · H/A from AD
DateH/AGameScore
28/05/24AKolkheti Khobi Vs AD2-1
13/04/24HAD Vs Kolkheti Khobi3-3

Aragvi DushetiAragvi Dusheti

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/24AWIT Georgia Vs AD1-3
27/08/24HAD Vs Rustavi1-1
23/08/24ASpaeri Vs AD0-2
17/08/24HAD Vs Sioni1-2
10/08/24AGareji Vs AD2-0
05/08/24HAD Vs Shturmi1-1
31/07/24ALokomotivi Tbilisi Vs AD2-1
02/06/24HAD Vs Dinamo Tbilisi II3-2
28/05/24AKolkheti Khobi Vs AD2-1
24/05/24HAD Vs WIT Georgia6-2

Kolkheti KhobiKolkheti Khobi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/24ARustavi Vs KK4-2
27/08/24HKK Vs Sioni0-0
23/08/24AShturmi Vs KK1-0
17/08/24HKK Vs Dinamo Tbilisi II2-4
10/08/24AWIT Georgia Vs KK1-1
05/08/24ASpaeri Vs KK1-0
31/07/24HKK Vs Gareji0-0
01/06/24ALokomotivi Tbilisi Vs KK3-3
28/05/24HKK Vs Aragvi Dusheti2-1
24/05/24HKK Vs Rustavi2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Aragvi Dusheti
Aragvi Dusheti
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWDW1.20
HomeWWDLD1.25
AwayLLLWW1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%33%31%
AVG goals2.844.001.77
Over 1.5 %72%92%54%
Over 2.5 %52%75%31%
Over 3.5 %28%42%15%
Scored1.442.080.85
Conceded1.401.920.92
BTTS60%92%31%
Clean Sheet24%0%46%
Corners---
Cards---
Kolkheti Khobi
Kolkheti Khobi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLDL0.98
HomeWWDLD1.48
AwayDLDLL0.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%36%8%
AVG goals2.922.323.52
Over 1.5 %76%68%84%
Over 2.5 %52%40%64%
Over 3.5 %36%20%52%
Scored1.141.201.08
Conceded1.781.122.44
BTTS54%52%56%
Clean Sheet24%36%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1GarejiGareji3667
53%
1.9
7744+33
3.4
86%
67%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.2
-
2RustaviRustavi3665
56%
1.8
6241+21
2.9
72%
53%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.1
-
3SioniSioni3661
53%
1.7
6642+24
3.0
72%
61%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.2
-
4SpaeriSpaeri3651
39%
1.4
5047+3
2.7
75%
47%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.3
-
5Lokomotivi TbilisiLokomotivi Tbilisi3651
36%
1.4
5049+1
2.8
78%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
6Dinamo Tbilisi IIDinamo Tbilisi II3651
42%
1.4
5162-11
3.1
81%
67%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.7
-
7Aragvi DushetiAragvi Dusheti3850
37%
1.3
5353+0
2.8
76%
53%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
8ShturmiShturmi3848
34%
1.3
4350-7
2.4
66%
42%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.3
-
9WIT GeorgiaWIT Georgia3641
31%
1.1
4959-10
3.0
83%
56%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
10Kolkheti KhobiKolkheti Khobi3620
11%
0.6
3085-55
3.2
72%
58%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.4
-
11Saburtalo IISaburtalo II24
50%
2.0
32+1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.0
-
12Merani MartviliMerani Martvili23
50%
1.5
11+0
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.50.5
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 stats & trends →

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