Aragvi Dusheti vs Shturmi Result & Analysis

Aragvi Dusheti are set to dominate the match, with a 61% chance of victory, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 20% chance of Shturmi winning. The model favours a home win. The expected total of 4.1 goals signals a high-scoring encounter, and the most likely total is 6 + goals, with a 23% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 2-1 for the home side, with an 8.4% chance. Aragvi’s home form shows they average 2.44 goals scored and 2.11 conceded against similar opposition, while Shturmi, in away form, averages only 0.88 scored and 2.38 conceded. Suggested picks include Over 1.5 with a 92.3% probability, Over 2.5 at 77.8%, and BTTS Yes at 72.4%. The home win percentage is 61%, the draw 19%, and the away win 20%. All selections are listed with their exact probabilities.

The pre-match favourite, a home win for Aragvi Dusheti, fell short as the match finished 1-1, a draw that left the model’s call wrong. The game, part of Aragvi’s recent run of DWWLL, saw the team come off a 1-1 draw against Kolkheti Poti, while Shturmi, after two straight defeats, ended with a 1-3 loss to Gori. The model’s prediction of a 61% home win probability proved inaccurate, and the 19% draw chance materialised instead. The suggested picks performed unevenly: Over 1.5 hit at 92.3%, Over 2.5 missed at 77.8%, and BTTS Yes hit at 72.4%. The final score of 1-1 confirmed the draw.