Arbroath vs Queen's Park Result & Analysis

Queen’s Park are tipped to win, the model’s pick for an away victory, with a 50% chance of triumph, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 22% chance of an Arbroath win. The match is expected to see 2.6 goals on average, centring on a 2-goal total that carries a 26% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.2% chance. Arbroath, playing at home against a side of similar strength, averages 0.78 goals scored and 1.67 conceded, while Queen’s Park, on the road, averages 2.23 scored and 1.85 conceded against comparable opponents. Suggested picks include Under 25.5 fouls at 84.3%, Under 5.5 cards at 81.1%, Over 8.5 corners at 75.4%, Under 3.5 at 74.2% (hit), Over 1.5 at 73.9% (miss), Over 2.5 cards at 73.6%, and Under 23.5 fouls at 72.3%. The model sees Queen’s Park’s recent form, coming off a draw, as a key factor in the predicted outcome.

The match finished 0-1 to Queen’s Park, extending their two-game winning run after a 1-0 victory over Livingston. The model’s favourite was an away win, with a 50% probability, and it proved correct. The predicted total of 2.6 goals was close to the actual 1, but the most likely scoreline of 1-1 (26%) did not materialise. The model’s selection of Under 3.5 goals hit, with a 74.2% chance, while its Over 1.5 choice missed despite a 73.9% probability. Overall, the model’s call on the winner was right, but its over/under picks delivered mixed results.