Arbroath vs Queen's Park Result & Analysis

Queen’s Park are tipped to win this match, with a 50% chance of triumph, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 24% chance of an Arbroath win. The expected total of goals is 2.7, but the model most likely sees a 2-goal game, with the single most probable scoreline 1-1 at 12.8%. Arbroath, playing at home against a similarly ranked side, averages 1.11 goals scored and 1.56 conceded. Queen’s Park, on the road, averages 1.31 goals scored and 1.69 conceded against comparable opposition. Suggested picks include Under 25.5 fouls at 87.8%, Under 5.5 cards at 86.7%, Under 23.5 fouls at 77.3%, Over 1.5 at 77.0% (hit), Under 4.5 cards at 73.9%, Under 3.5 at 70.5% (miss), and Under 11.5 corners at 70.1%. The model’s selection favours an away victory, with Queen’s Park likely to edge Arbroath in this encounter.

Arbroath’s five-goal rout of Queen’s Park sent the home side’s two-game winning streak to an abrupt end, while the visitors extended their recent win streak. The final score of 0-5 confirmed the away win that the model had picked, and the probability of 50% made that choice correct. The model had expected a total of 2.7 goals, far below the actual tally, and the most likely scoreline of 1-1 was missed. The Over 1.5 selection hit with a 77% probability, whereas the Under 3.5 pick missed despite a 70.5% chance. The match finished with an away victory, matching the model’s forecast.