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Arouca vs Guimaraes Prediction & Stats

Date: 17/01/2027
Time: 16:00
Arouca
Arouca
Vs
44%
28%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Guimaraes
Guimaraes
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arouca win
44.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
27.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Guimaraes win
27.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AroucaArouca

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L10W12L22D31W31W10W40W02L21WA·SC 12/04H·EST19/04A·ALV24/04H·SAN02/05A·GIL11/05H·TON16/05A·GUI08/08H·MOR16/08A·FC 23/08H·MAR29/08
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.501.861.431.191.56
vs Stronger (8)0.882.001.252.500.501.50
vs Similar (22)1.731.322.101.001.421.58
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Guimaraes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GuimaraesGuimaraes

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D10W20W15L01L02L01L23L10W01LA·AVS11/04A·GIL18/04H·RIO25/04A·SPO04/05H·CAS11/05A·NAC16/05H·ARO08/08A·SPO14/08H·NAC23/08A·SC 31/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.331.500.810.931.93
vs Stronger (7)0.862.860.502.501.003.00
vs Similar (8)0.880.621.000.600.670.67
vs Weaker (15)1.601.002.000.561.001.67
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Arouca) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
75.8%
Under 1.5
24.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
49.9%
Under 2.5
50.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
27.9%
Under 3.5
72.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
54.6%
No
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
8.1%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
7.0%
0-1
6.8%
2-2
5.3%
Arouca goals ↓
Guimaraes goals →
01234
08.1%6.8%4.6%1.8%0.5%
19.3%13%7.0%2.7%0.8%
27.9%9.2%5.3%2.0%0.6%
34.0%4.6%2.7%1.0%0.3%
41.5%1.8%1.0%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Arouca goals (down), columns = Guimaraes goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Porto
2.59
Sporting CP
2.41
Benfica
2.35
SC Braga
1.74
Famalicao
1.65
GIL Vicente
1.47
Moreirense
1.26
Arouca
1.24
Guimaraes
1.24
Estoril
1.15
Alverca
1.15
Maritimo
1.12
Academico Viseu
1.10
Rio Ave
1.06
Santa Clara
1.06
Nacional
1.00
Casa Pia
0.94
Estrela
0.88
Arouca and Guimaraes are level in average points per game (both 1.24).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sporting CP
2.62
Benfica
2.18
FC Porto
1.94
SC Braga
1.88
Estoril
1.59
Arouca
1.38
GIL Vicente
1.38
Famalicao
1.24
Guimaraes
1.15
Estrela
1.12
Moreirense
1.09
Nacional
1.09
Maritimo
1.08
Academico Viseu
1.06
Rio Ave
1.03
Alverca
1.03
Santa Clara
0.94
Casa Pia
0.92
Arouca is 0.24 goals better than Guimaraes in terms of goals scored per game (1.38 vs 1.15).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Porto
0.53
Sporting CP
0.71
Benfica
0.74
Famalicao
0.85
SC Braga
1.06
GIL Vicente
1.12
Santa Clara
1.21
Nacional
1.32
Moreirense
1.44
Guimaraes
1.50
Alverca
1.53
Maritimo
1.55
Academico Viseu
1.58
Casa Pia
1.58
Estrela
1.65
Estoril
1.68
Rio Ave
1.68
Arouca
1.88
Arouca is 0.38 goals worse than Guimaraes in terms of goals conceded per game (1.88 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
SC Braga
63%
Sporting CP
62%
Benfica
58%
FC Porto
55%
Estoril
53%
Guimaraes
51%
Famalicao
51%
Arouca
50%
GIL Vicente
50%
Moreirense
50%
Santa Clara
48%
Rio Ave
47%
Estrela
47%
Nacional
46%
Alverca
45%
Casa Pia
41%
Arouca is 1.2 percentage points worse than Guimaraes in terms of average possession (50% vs 51%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AroucaArouca

For 3.5 · Against 5.6 · Total 9.1

🚩 Corners

14023212532556265636435651487118119711H·MARA·FC H·MORA·GUIH·TONA·GILH·SANA·ALVH·ESTA·SC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 1.8 · Total 5.0

🟨 Cards

802113462311243651233178437665H·MARA·FC H·MORA·GUIH·TONA·GILH·SANA·ALVH·ESTA·SC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 10.4 · Total 22.0

⚠️ Fouls

300898161097912121713158128151112917241916243023202621H·MARA·FC H·MORA·GUIH·TONA·GILH·SANA·ALVH·ESTA·SC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

GuimaraesGuimaraes

For 4.1 · Against 3.9 · Total 8.0

🚩 Corners

130224315526264713531045476781088139A·SC H·NACA·SPOH·AROA·NACH·CASA·SPOH·RIOA·GILA·AVS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.4

🟨 Cards

8032214426342124422155388732846A·SC H·NACA·SPOH·AROA·NACH·CASA·SPOH·RIOA·GILA·AVS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 11.8 · Total 25.3

⚠️ Fouls

330181118821129713171116137713161191629263316302720202725A·SC H·NACA·SPOH·AROA·NACH·CASA·SPOH·RIOA·GILA·AVS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AroucaArouca

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.19.88.34.15.13.225.225.425.1
vs Stronger (14)9.610.88.74.96.83.525.025.224.8
vs Similar (36)8.89.48.23.84.53.125.325.425.2
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line46%53%39%56%70%44%74%71%78%
% under line54%47%61%44%30%56%26%29%22%
This opponent (Guimaraes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GuimaraesGuimaraes

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.39.27.43.63.83.428.928.329.4
vs Stronger (11)7.07.86.44.55.83.528.930.227.8
vs Similar (17)10.311.29.23.74.23.130.127.832.8
vs Weaker (22)7.68.46.73.02.73.527.927.828.1
% over line34%50%18%50%46%54%86%83%88%
% under line66%50%82%50%54%46%14%17%12%
This opponent (Arouca) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Famalicao
10.5
Rio Ave
10.4
Nacional
10.2
Benfica
10.1
Sporting CP
9.8
Casa Pia
9.6
Academico Viseu
9.5
GIL Vicente
9.1
Estoril
9.0
Santa Clara
9.0
Estrela
9.0
Alverca
8.9
FC Porto
8.9
Arouca
8.9
Guimaraes
8.5
Maritimo
8.1
SC Braga
8.1
Moreirense
7.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Santa Clara
5.9
Maritimo
5.8
Academico Viseu
5.8
Casa Pia
5.6
Arouca
5.6
Estrela
5.5
Famalicao
5.4
Nacional
5.4
Guimaraes
5.2
Moreirense
5.2
FC Porto
5.2
Sporting CP
5.1
Benfica
5.0
Rio Ave
5.0
GIL Vicente
4.9
SC Braga
4.9
Alverca
4.8
Estoril
4.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Famalicao
32.0
Santa Clara
30.1
Estrela
29.9
Moreirense
29.5
Casa Pia
29.2
Guimaraes
28.9
GIL Vicente
27.9
Rio Ave
27.0
Nacional
26.9
Estoril
26.7
Sporting CP
26.2
FC Porto
26.1
Arouca
26.0
Benfica
25.8
Academico Viseu
25.3
SC Braga
24.7
Maritimo
24.6
Alverca
23.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
37.1%
Under 9.5
62.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
77.5%
Under 3.5
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
85.1%
Under 21.5
14.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Arouca or Draw
77.8%
Avg Implied -
44%
28%
28%
covers Arouca + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Arouca or Guimaraes
75.0%
Avg Implied -
44%
28%
28%
covers Arouca + Guimaraes
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Guimaraes
47.2%
Avg Implied -
44%
28%
28%
covers Draw + Guimaraes
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Arouca over/under 0.5
Over
84.1%
Under
15.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arouca over/under 1.5
Over
54.8%
Under
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arouca over/under 2.5
Over
27.9%
Under
72.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arouca over/under 3.5
Over
11.5%
Under
88.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guimaraes over/under 0.5
Over
67.7%
Under
32.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guimaraes over/under 1.5
Over
31.2%
Under
68.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guimaraes over/under 2.5
Over
10.6%
Under
89.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guimaraes over/under 3.5
Over
2.8%
Under
97.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Arouca, so a minus line means Arouca give that many goals of a start and Guimaraes receive them. At -1, Arouca must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Arouca win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Arouca)
Arouca -2
14.1%
Draw -2
16.5%
Guimaraes +2
69.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Arouca)
Arouca -1
30.6%
Draw -1
22.2%
Guimaraes +1
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Arouca)
Arouca +1
77.8%
Draw +1
13.3%
Guimaraes -1
8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Arouca)
Arouca +2
91.1%
Draw +2
6.2%
Guimaraes -2
2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AroucaArouca

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D01L11D00D10W00D30W00D11DA·SC 12/04H·EST19/04A·ALV24/04H·SAN02/05A·GIL11/05H·TON16/05A·GUI08/08H·MOR16/08A·FC 23/08H·MAR29/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.800.860.930.500.69
vs Stronger (8)0.250.880.501.500.000.25
vs Similar (22)0.820.771.000.700.670.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Guimaraes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GuimaraesGuimaraes

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D00D03L00D00D00D03L10W00DA·AVS11/04A·GIL18/04H·RIO25/04A·SPO04/05H·CAS11/05A·NAC16/05H·ARO08/08A·SPO14/08H·NAC23/08A·SC 31/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.630.500.310.501.00
vs Stronger (7)0.141.570.001.000.201.80
vs Similar (8)0.250.380.200.200.330.67
vs Weaker (15)0.800.330.780.220.830.50
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Arouca) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Arouca over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arouca over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arouca over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guimaraes over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guimaraes over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guimaraes over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AroucaArouca

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W11D11D31W21W10W10W02L10WA·SC 12/04H·EST19/04A·ALV24/04H·SAN02/05A·GIL11/05H·TON16/05A·GUI08/08H·MOR16/08A·FC 23/08H·MAR29/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.701.000.500.690.88
vs Stronger (8)0.621.120.751.000.501.25
vs Similar (22)0.910.551.100.300.750.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Guimaraes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GuimaraesGuimaraes

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W20W12L01L02L01L20W00D01LA·AVS11/04A·GIL18/04H·RIO25/04A·SPO04/05H·CAS11/05A·NAC16/05H·ARO08/08A·SPO14/08H·NAC23/08A·SC 31/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.701.000.500.430.93
vs Stronger (7)0.711.290.501.500.801.20
vs Similar (8)0.620.250.800.400.330.00
vs Weaker (15)0.800.671.220.330.171.17
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Arouca) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Arouca over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arouca over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arouca over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guimaraes over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guimaraes over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guimaraes over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.598.9%-------
Away under 3.5 goals97.2%-------
Under 6.596.8%-------
Over 19.5 fouls92.8%-------
Under 5.591.9%-------
Home +2 handicap91.1%-------
Over 2.5 cards89.8%-------
Away under 2.5 goals89.4%-------
Home under 3.5 goals88.5%-------
Over 21.5 fouls85.1%-------
Home over 0.5 goals84.1%-------
Under 11.5 corners83.2%-------
Under 4.582.1%-------
Home or Draw77.8%-------
Home +1 handicap77.8%-------
Over 3.5 cards77.5%-------
Over 1.575.8%-------
Home or Away75.0%-------
Under 10.5 corners74.2%-------
Over 23.5 fouls73.6%-------
Home under 2.5 goals72.1%-------
Under 3.572.1%-------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Arouca
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ivan Barbero75%
Jose Fontán25%
Dylan Nandín25%
Espen Van Ee25%
Javi Sánchez0%
Orest Lebedenko0%
Naïs Djouahra0%
Ignacio de Arruabarrena0%
Tiago Esgaio0%
Pablo Gozálbez0%
Brian Mansilla0%
Alfonso Trezza0%
Taichi Fukui0%
Pedro Santos0%
Hyun-ju Lee0%
Mateo Flores0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Javi Sánchez50%
Dylan Nandín50%
Hyun-ju Lee33%
Ivan Barbero25%
Orest Lebedenko25%
Ignacio de Arruabarrena25%
Naïs Djouahra0%
Tiago Esgaio0%
Pablo Gozálbez0%
Brian Mansilla0%
Jose Fontán0%
Alfonso Trezza0%
Taichi Fukui0%
Pedro Santos0%
Mateo Flores0%
Espen Van Ee0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Naïs Djouahra50%
Hyun-ju Lee33%
Pablo Gozálbez25%
Alfonso Trezza25%
Javi Sánchez0%
Ivan Barbero0%
Orest Lebedenko0%
Ignacio de Arruabarrena0%
Tiago Esgaio0%
Brian Mansilla0%
Jose Fontán0%
Dylan Nandín0%
Taichi Fukui0%
Pedro Santos0%
Mateo Flores0%
Espen Van Ee0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ivan Barbero25%
Naïs Djouahra25%
Taichi Fukui25%
Javi Sánchez0%
Orest Lebedenko0%
Ignacio de Arruabarrena0%
Tiago Esgaio0%
Pablo Gozálbez0%
Brian Mansilla0%
Jose Fontán0%
Alfonso Trezza0%
Dylan Nandín0%
Pedro Santos0%
Hyun-ju Lee0%
Mateo Flores0%
Espen Van Ee0%
Guimaraes
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Samu25%
Alioune Ndoye25%
Gustavo Silva25%
Oliwier Zych0%
Óscar Rivas0%
João Mendes0%
Beni Mukendi0%
Telmo Arcanjo0%
Lohann Doucet0%
Gonçalo Nogueira0%
Thiago Balieiro0%
Tony Strata0%
Miguel Nogueira0%
Oumar Camara0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Óscar Rivas50%
Gustavo Silva50%
Miguel Nogueira50%
Gonçalo Nogueira25%
Thiago Balieiro25%
Tony Strata25%
Oumar Camara25%
Samu0%
Oliwier Zych0%
João Mendes0%
Beni Mukendi0%
Telmo Arcanjo0%
Alioune Ndoye0%
Lohann Doucet0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Miguel Nogueira50%
Tony Strata25%
Samu0%
Oliwier Zych0%
Óscar Rivas0%
João Mendes0%
Beni Mukendi0%
Telmo Arcanjo0%
Alioune Ndoye0%
Lohann Doucet0%
Gonçalo Nogueira0%
Thiago Balieiro0%
Gustavo Silva0%
Oumar Camara0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alioune Ndoye75%
Gustavo Silva50%
Samu25%
Tony Strata25%
Oliwier Zych0%
Óscar Rivas0%
João Mendes0%
Beni Mukendi0%
Telmo Arcanjo0%
Lohann Doucet0%
Gonçalo Nogueira0%
Thiago Balieiro0%
Miguel Nogueira0%
Oumar Camara0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
ALV (30)
€39m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
AV (27)
€16m
MAR (27)
€16m
Arouca's squad is €18m less valuable than Guimaraes's (€28m vs €46m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ALV (8)
€15m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
AV (11)
€8m
MAR (10)
€7m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
MOR (5)
€5m
Arouca's attack is €11m less valuable than Guimaraes's (€11m vs €22m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
ALV (8)
€6m
CP (7)
€6m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
MAR (6)
€3m
EST (5)
€3m
AV (6)
€3m
Arouca's midfield is €3m less valuable than Guimaraes's (€8m vs €11m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
ALV (14)
€18m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
MAR (11)
€6m
AV (10)
€6m
Arouca's defence is €4m less valuable than Guimaraes's (€8m vs €12m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
ARO wins
2
Draws
3
GUI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Arouca vs Guimaraes · H/A from ARO
DateH/AGameScore
08/08/26AGuimaraes Vs ARO0-1
07/02/26HARO Vs Guimaraes3-2
30/08/25AGuimaraes Vs ARO1-1
18/01/25AGuimaraes Vs ARO2-2
12/08/24HARO Vs Guimaraes0-1
18/05/24HARO Vs Guimaraes1-3
15/01/24AGuimaraes Vs ARO2-1
11/03/23AGuimaraes Vs ARO0-2

AroucaArouca

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HARO Vs Maritimo2-1
23/08/26AFC Porto Vs ARO2-0
16/08/26HARO Vs Moreirense4-0
08/08/26AGuimaraes Vs ARO0-1
16/05/26HARO Vs Tondela3-1
11/05/26AGIL Vicente Vs ARO1-3
02/05/26HARO Vs Santa Clara2-2
24/04/26AAlverca Vs ARO2-1
19/04/26HARO Vs Estrela1-0
12/04/26ASC Braga Vs ARO1-0

GuimaraesGuimaraes

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/26ASC Braga Vs GUI1-0
23/08/26HGUI Vs Nacional1-0
14/08/26ASporting CP Vs GUI3-2
08/08/26HGUI Vs Arouca0-1
16/05/26ANacional Vs GUI2-0
11/05/26HGUI Vs Casa Pia0-1
04/05/26ASporting CP Vs GUI5-1
25/04/26HGUI Vs Rio Ave2-0
18/04/26AGIL Vicente Vs GUI0-1
11/04/26AAVS Vs GUI1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Arouca
Arouca
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLW1.34
HomeWDWWW1.62
AwayLLWWL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%46%31%
AVG goals3.003.122.88
Over 1.5 %78%83%73%
Over 2.5 %62%67%58%
Over 3.5 %40%46%35%
Scored1.381.671.12
Conceded1.621.461.77
BTTS56%58%54%
Clean Sheet24%25%23%
Corners8.909.388.42
Cards5.586.464.71
Guimaraes
Guimaraes
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWL1.34
HomeWWLLW1.65
AwayWLLLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%50%29%
AVG goals2.542.502.58
Over 1.5 %72%73%71%
Over 2.5 %44%50%38%
Over 3.5 %22%19%25%
Scored1.201.500.88
Conceded1.341.001.71
BTTS36%38%33%
Clean Sheet34%38%29%
Corners8.569.487.57
Cards5.255.485.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC PortoFC Porto412
100%
3.0
90+9
2.2
100%
25%
0%
11.0
75%
1.7
33%
22.5
75%
467
2141051482.20.0
55%
2Sporting CPSporting CP410
75%
2.5
125+7
4.2
100%
100%
100%
5.2
0%
4.2
50%
24.0
50%
414
146911763.01.2
62%
3AroucaArouca49
75%
2.2
73+4
2.5
75%
50%
25%
8.5
25%
4.8
50%
19.0
25%
28
11881.80.8
50%
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara48
50%
2.0
53+2
2.0
50%
25%
25%
9.5
50%
3.8
75%
27.5
100%
27
96121.20.8
48%
5BenficaBenfica37
67%
2.3
113+8
4.7
100%
100%
67%
8.3
33%
3.7
67%
25.3
100%
357
172771083.71.0
58%
6GIL VicenteGIL Vicente37
67%
2.3
30+3
1.0
33%
0%
0%
7.7
0%
4.3
67%
24.7
100%
29
118111.00.0
50%
7MaritimoMaritimo47
50%
1.8
65+1
2.8
75%
75%
25%
7.0
0%
4.5
50%
26.2
75%
16
7361.51.2
-
8EstrelaEstrela35
33%
1.7
76+1
4.3
100%
100%
100%
6.0
0%
4.7
67%
23.3
67%
20
63112.32.0
47%
9SC BragaSC Braga24
50%
2.0
32+1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
5.0
0%
5.0
100%
32.0
100%
165
4156681.51.0
63%
10NacionalNacional44
25%
1.0
66+0
3.0
75%
50%
50%
8.2
25%
4.2
50%
25.5
75%
20
6591.51.5
46%
11MoreirenseMoreirense34
33%
1.3
36-3
3.0
67%
67%
67%
6.3
0%
5.3
100%
28.3
67%
22
5891.02.0
50%
12GuimaraesGuimaraes43
25%
0.8
35-2
2.0
25%
25%
25%
6.0
0%
6.0
75%
26.0
75%
46
2211120.81.2
51%
13Rio AveRio Ave43
25%
0.8
27-5
2.2
75%
25%
25%
8.2
25%
3.0
33%
19.8
50%
37
88210.51.8
47%
14FamalicaoFamalicao42
0%
0.5
24-2
1.5
50%
25%
0%
9.5
50%
4.0
50%
28.2
100%
57
1620220.51.0
51%
15Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu42
0%
0.5
48-4
3.0
75%
75%
50%
7.2
25%
4.5
75%
28.8
100%
16
8361.02.0
-
16AlvercaAlverca42
0%
0.5
48-4
3.0
100%
50%
50%
8.2
50%
4.2
50%
20.8
75%
39
156181.02.0
45%
17EstorilEstoril41
0%
0.2
27-5
2.2
100%
25%
0%
10.5
50%
3.2
25%
25.5
100%
42
248100.51.8
53%
18Casa PiaCasa Pia40
0%
0.0
011-11
2.8
50%
25%
25%
6.0
0%
3.5
75%
27.0
100%
27
96120.02.8
41%
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →

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