Arsenal’s recent unbeaten run and a strong home form that averages 2.25 goals per game suggest a potent attack, while Chelsea’s away side has only managed 1.4 goals on the road. The model sees a 47% chance of a home win, 24% for a draw and 30% for an away victory, making a home win the favoured result. With an expected total of 3.5 goals, the most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 10.1% probability. The match is projected to be high-scoring, with Arsenal expected to score and concede 1.0 goal at home and Chelsea to score 1.4 and concede 1.2 away. Suggested selections include Under 7.5 goals at 97.4%, Under 6.5 at 93.6%, Away under 3.5 goals at 93.0%, Home under 3.5 goals at 86.6%, Under 5.5 cards at 86.3%, Under 5.5 at 85.9%, and Home over 0.5 goals at 85.8%. The model also lists Over 1.5 at 87.2% but marks it as a miss.
Results analysis
Arsenal’s unbeaten run in their last five, highlighted by a 3-0 win over Coventry, carried into the League Cup clash against Chelsea, who were on a two-game winning streak. The model’s pre-match favourite, a Home win at 47 percent, proved correct as Arsenal edged Chelsea 1-0. The predicted 3-goal total fell short, but the model’s selections largely hit: Under 7.5 (97.4 percent) and Under 6.5 (93.6 percent) were both correct, as were Away under 3.5 goals (93.0 percent), Home under 3.5 goals (86.6 percent), Under 5.5 cards (86.3 percent), Under 5.5 (85.9 percent) and Home over 0.5 goals (85.8 percent). Only the Over 1.5 (87.2 percent) missed, reflecting the tight 1-0 scoreline.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Arsenal win✓ Hit
46.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Chelsea win✗ Miss
29.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Arsenal
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.23
0.77
2.27
0.73
2.20
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
2.29
1.14
2.25
1.00
2.33
1.33
vs Weaker (23)
2.22
0.65
2.27
0.64
2.17
0.67
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chelsea
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.07
1.23
2.00
1.13
2.13
1.33
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (15)
1.80
1.27
2.00
1.30
1.40
1.20
vs Weaker (14)
2.43
1.21
2.00
0.80
2.67
1.44
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
87.2%
Under 1.5
12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
67.7%
Under 2.5
32.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
46.1%
Under 3.5
53.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
68.3%
No
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
6.9%
3-1
5.8%
2-0
5.8%
1-0 ✓
5.0%
3-2
4.5%
Arsenal goals ↓
Chelsea goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.0%
3.8%
3.6%
1.8%
0.7%
1
5.0%
10%
7.0%
3.6%
1.4%
2
5.8%
8.9%
6.9%
3.5%
1.4%
3
3.8%
5.8%
4.5%
2.3%
0.9%
4
1.8%
2.8%
2.2%
1.1%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Arsenal goals (down), columns = Chelsea goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Newcastle
2.71
Sheffield Weds
2.50
Tottenham
2.40
Fleetwood Town
2.33
Crystal Palace
2.25
Coventry
2.00
Blackpool
2.00
Fulham
2.00
Wycombe
2.00
Watford
2.00
Leyton Orient
2.00
Everton
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Liverpool
2.00
Brighton
2.00
Derby
2.00
Arsenal
1.80
Southampton
1.75
Stoke
1.75
Brentford
1.75
Preston
1.75
Walsall
1.67
Cardiff
1.50
West Ham
1.50
Sheffield United
1.50
Doncaster
1.50
Birmingham
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Rotherham
1.50
Crawley Town
1.50
Chelsea
1.50
Swansea
1.50
Millwall
1.50
Norwich
1.50
Plymouth
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Oxford
1.50
Tranmere
1.50
Huddersfield
1.50
Harrogate
1.50
Wolves
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.50
Barnsley
1.33
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
QPR
1.33
Barrow
1.33
Leicester
1.33
Bolton
1.33
Exeter
1.00
Reading
1.00
Notts County
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Ipswich
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Luton
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Barnet
0.77
Oldham
0.72
Grimsby
0.50
Shrewsbury
0.50
Colchester
0.50
Bristol City
0.00
Cheltenham
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Salford
0.00
Burton
0.00
Port Vale
0.00
Wrexham
0.00
Leeds
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Stockport
0.00
Cambridge
0.00
Stevenage
0.00
Accrington
0.00
West Brom
0.00
Bromley
0.00
Gillingham
0.00
Bournemouth
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Hull
0.00
Lincoln
0.00
Burnley
0.00
Charlton
0.00
Sunderland
0.00
Portsmouth
0.00
Swindon
0.00
Chesterfield
0.00
Newport County
0.00
Crewe
0.00
Peterboro
0.00
Arsenal is 0.30 points better than Chelsea in terms of average points per game (1.80 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester United
5.00
Blackburn
3.50
Stevenage
3.00
Notts County
3.00
Brighton
3.00
Watford
2.67
Cardiff
2.50
Southampton
2.50
Chelsea
2.50
Stoke
2.50
Liverpool
2.50
Huddersfield
2.50
Crystal Palace
2.50
Sheffield Weds
2.25
Arsenal
2.20
Sheffield United
2.00
Port Vale
2.00
Wrexham
2.00
Blackpool
2.00
Reading
2.00
Crawley Town
2.00
Leicester
2.00
Leyton Orient
2.00
Everton
2.00
Norwich
2.00
Ipswich
2.00
Swindon
2.00
Wolves
2.00
Preston
2.00
Newcastle
1.86
Tottenham
1.80
Fleetwood Town
1.67
Rotherham
1.50
Shrewsbury
1.50
Fulham
1.50
Swansea
1.50
Plymouth
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Brentford
1.50
Tranmere
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.50
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
QPR
1.33
Wycombe
1.33
Walsall
1.33
Bolton
1.33
Barnet
1.01
Coventry
1.00
Exeter
1.00
West Ham
1.00
Grimsby
1.00
Doncaster
1.00
Stockport
1.00
Cambridge
1.00
West Brom
1.00
Barrow
1.00
Bromley
1.00
Gillingham
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Hull
1.00
Lincoln
1.00
Oxford
1.00
Derby
1.00
Chesterfield
1.00
Newport County
1.00
Harrogate
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Crewe
1.00
Luton
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Colchester
1.00
Oldham
0.94
Barnsley
0.67
Birmingham
0.50
Millwall
0.50
Bristol City
0.00
Cheltenham
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Salford
0.00
Burton
0.00
Leeds
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Accrington
0.00
Bournemouth
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Burnley
0.00
Charlton
0.00
Sunderland
0.00
Portsmouth
0.00
Peterboro
0.00
Arsenal is 0.30 goals worse than Chelsea in terms of goals scored per game (2.20 vs 2.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Newcastle
0.43
Fulham
0.50
Everton
0.50
Millwall
0.50
Oxford
0.50
Derby
0.50
Coventry
0.67
Blackpool
0.67
Wycombe
0.67
Watford
0.67
Sheffield Weds
0.75
Bristol City
1.00
Exeter
1.00
Fleetwood Town
1.00
Birmingham
1.00
Chelsea
1.00
Bournemouth
1.00
Swansea
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Plymouth
1.00
Stoke
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Charlton
1.00
Portsmouth
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Walsall
1.00
Preston
1.00
Luton
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Liverpool
1.17
Brentford
1.25
Crystal Palace
1.25
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
QPR
1.33
Leyton Orient
1.33
Arsenal
1.40
Sheffield United
1.50
Doncaster
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Rotherham
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Huddersfield
1.50
Wolves
1.50
Colchester
1.50
Leicester
1.67
Brighton
1.67
Tottenham
1.80
Bristol Rvs
2.00
Salford
2.00
Southampton
2.00
Reading
2.00
Northampton
2.00
Cambridge
2.00
West Brom
2.00
Bromley
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Hull
2.00
Lincoln
2.00
Burnley
2.00
Sunderland
2.00
Ipswich
2.00
Chesterfield
2.00
Tranmere
2.00
Crewe
2.00
Peterboro
2.00
Bolton
2.00
Barrow
2.33
Barnet
2.48
Cardiff
2.50
West Ham
2.50
Shrewsbury
2.50
Middlesbrough
2.50
Oldham
2.66
Barnsley
2.67
Cheltenham
3.00
Grimsby
3.00
Port Vale
3.00
Leeds
3.00
Crawley Town
3.00
Accrington
3.00
Notts County
3.00
Gillingham
3.00
Harrogate
3.00
Norwich
3.50
Burton
4.00
Wrexham
4.00
Stevenage
4.00
Swindon
4.00
Newport County
4.00
Milton Keynes Dons
5.00
Stockport
6.00
Arsenal is 0.40 goals worse than Chelsea in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Arsenal
For 7.6 · Against 3.6 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 10.5 · Total 22.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Chelsea
For 7.0 · Against 4.7 · Total 11.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.3 · Against 11.9 · Total 21.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Arsenal
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.0
10.1
3.2
3.0
3.5
21.6
21.3
22.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
8.6
7.6
9.5
4.5
3.4
5.4
24.1
22.9
25.1
vs Weaker (35)
9.9
9.5
10.4
2.7
2.8
2.6
20.6
20.7
20.5
% over line
48%
40%
56%
46%
44%
48%
50%
44%
56%
% under line
52%
60%
44%
54%
56%
52%
50%
56%
44%
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chelsea
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
11.0
9.0
4.5
4.6
4.5
22.7
22.7
22.6
vs Stronger (2)
9.0
-
9.0
5.0
-
5.0
22.5
-
22.5
vs Similar (21)
9.6
10.2
8.7
5.5
5.9
4.9
23.8
22.8
25.1
vs Weaker (27)
10.2
11.8
9.1
3.8
3.1
4.2
21.8
22.5
21.2
% over line
60%
70%
52%
66%
65%
67%
62%
65%
59%
% under line
40%
30%
48%
34%
35%
33%
38%
35%
41%
This opponent (Arsenal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.4
Crawley Town
11.3
Wigan
11.2
Oxford
11.1
Sheffield United
11.0
Huddersfield
10.9
Coventry
10.8
Plymouth
10.7
Bournemouth
10.7
Bromley
10.7
Liverpool
10.6
Hull
10.6
Swindon
10.5
Sheffield Weds
10.5
Barnet
10.4
Millwall
10.4
Doncaster
10.4
Harrogate
10.4
Luton
10.4
Oldham
10.4
Preston
10.3
Norwich
10.3
QPR
10.2
Portsmouth
10.2
Chesterfield
10.2
Cheltenham
10.2
Blackburn
10.2
Grimsby
10.1
Barrow
10.1
Middlesbrough
10.1
Nottingham Forest
10.1
Southampton
10.1
Salford
10.0
Port Vale
10.0
Rotherham
10.0
Barnsley
10.0
Ipswich
10.0
Watford
10.0
West Ham
10.0
Leicester
9.9
Chelsea
9.9
Fulham
9.8
Shrewsbury
9.8
West Brom
9.8
Tottenham
9.8
Manchester United
9.8
Stoke
9.7
Brentford
9.7
Leyton Orient
9.7
Bristol Rvs
9.7
Exeter
9.7
Burton
9.7
Blackpool
9.7
Derby
9.6
Bolton
9.6
Everton
9.6
Walsall
9.6
Swansea
9.6
Cardiff
9.6
Wrexham
9.6
Peterboro
9.5
Arsenal
9.5
Fleetwood Town
9.5
Newport County
9.5
Brighton
9.4
Leeds
9.4
Bristol City
9.4
Wycombe
9.4
Aston Villa
9.4
Birmingham
9.4
AFC Wimbledon
9.4
Northampton
9.3
Crewe
9.3
Accrington
9.3
Reading
9.3
Bradford
9.2
Notts County
9.2
Wolves
9.2
Mansfield
9.1
Lincoln
9.1
Tranmere
9.1
Stockport
9.0
Charlton
9.0
Cambridge
9.0
Burnley
9.0
Sunderland
8.9
Colchester
8.9
Manchester City
8.9
Crystal Palace
8.8
Stevenage
8.6
Milton Keynes Dons
8.6
Gillingham
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Gillingham
4.7
Bournemouth
4.7
Chelsea
4.6
Accrington
4.6
Peterboro
4.5
Bradford
4.4
Colchester
4.3
Sunderland
4.3
Shrewsbury
4.3
Crawley Town
4.2
Crewe
4.2
Brighton
4.2
Manchester United
4.2
Plymouth
4.2
Grimsby
4.2
Tottenham
4.2
Watford
4.2
Tranmere
4.2
Notts County
4.1
Bristol Rvs
4.1
Nottingham Forest
4.1
Crystal Palace
4.1
Ipswich
4.0
Walsall
4.0
Portsmouth
4.0
Stoke
4.0
Aston Villa
4.0
Salford
3.9
Chesterfield
3.9
Newcastle
3.9
Bromley
3.9
Port Vale
3.9
Oldham
3.9
Lincoln
3.9
Manchester City
3.9
Bolton
3.8
Doncaster
3.8
Barnet
3.8
Wolves
3.8
Exeter
3.8
Swansea
3.8
Hull
3.7
Everton
3.7
Huddersfield
3.7
Milton Keynes Dons
3.7
Leyton Orient
3.7
Southampton
3.7
Coventry
3.7
Swindon
3.7
Derby
3.7
Fleetwood Town
3.7
Blackburn
3.7
Rotherham
3.6
West Ham
3.6
Newport County
3.6
QPR
3.6
Brentford
3.6
Charlton
3.6
Middlesbrough
3.6
Birmingham
3.6
Cambridge
3.6
Sheffield United
3.6
Reading
3.6
Burton
3.6
Fulham
3.5
Cheltenham
3.5
Luton
3.5
Norwich
3.5
Preston
3.5
Oxford
3.5
Northampton
3.5
Wycombe
3.4
Cardiff
3.4
Stockport
3.4
Mansfield
3.4
Barnsley
3.4
AFC Wimbledon
3.4
Stevenage
3.4
Leicester
3.4
Millwall
3.4
West Brom
3.4
Arsenal
3.3
Burnley
3.3
Barrow
3.3
Bristol City
3.3
Wrexham
3.2
Blackpool
3.2
Sheffield Weds
3.2
Leeds
3.1
Liverpool
3.1
Harrogate
3.1
Wigan
2.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Oldham
26.2
Crewe
25.9
Colchester
25.4
Milton Keynes Dons
25.0
Grimsby
24.8
Gillingham
24.6
Cheltenham
24.5
Wolves
24.4
Peterboro
24.4
Salford
24.4
Barnet
24.3
Crawley Town
24.2
Bradford
24.2
Bournemouth
24.0
Cambridge
23.8
Stevenage
23.8
Plymouth
23.8
Rotherham
23.6
Notts County
23.5
Bristol Rvs
23.4
Accrington
23.2
Huddersfield
23.2
Tranmere
23.2
Shrewsbury
23.2
Fleetwood Town
23.2
West Ham
23.2
Walsall
23.2
Exeter
23.2
Bolton
23.1
Luton
23.1
Lincoln
23.1
Aston Villa
23.1
Blackburn
23.0
Swansea
23.0
Stockport
23.0
AFC Wimbledon
23.0
Northampton
23.0
Doncaster
22.9
Southampton
22.9
Nottingham Forest
22.8
Ipswich
22.8
Newport County
22.8
Wigan
22.7
Blackpool
22.7
Chelsea
22.7
Mansfield
22.7
Brighton
22.5
Everton
22.5
Reading
22.5
Portsmouth
22.4
Tottenham
22.3
Middlesbrough
22.3
Wycombe
22.3
Sunderland
22.2
QPR
22.2
Millwall
22.1
Birmingham
22.1
Cardiff
22.1
Burton
22.0
Bromley
22.0
Sheffield United
21.9
Charlton
21.9
Swindon
21.9
Chesterfield
21.9
Manchester United
21.7
Stoke
21.7
Harrogate
21.6
Arsenal
21.6
West Brom
21.6
Leyton Orient
21.6
Leicester
21.5
Sheffield Weds
21.5
Norwich
21.5
Hull
21.5
Derby
21.4
Oxford
21.3
Leeds
21.3
Port Vale
21.2
Barnsley
21.1
Burnley
21.0
Watford
21.0
Preston
20.8
Newcastle
20.7
Coventry
20.7
Barrow
20.5
Bristol City
20.4
Crystal Palace
20.2
Wrexham
20.1
Fulham
20.1
Manchester City
19.9
Liverpool
19.5
Brentford
18.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
36.7%
Under 9.5
63.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
45.5%
Under 3.5
54.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
49.4%
Under 21.5
50.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Arsenal or Draw✓ Hit
70.3%
Avg Implied -
47%
24%
30%
covers Arsenal + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Arsenal or Chelsea✓ Hit
76.3%
Avg Implied -
47%
24%
30%
covers Arsenal + Chelsea
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Chelsea✗ Miss
53.4%
Avg Implied -
47%
24%
30%
covers Draw + Chelsea
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Arsenal over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
85.8%
Under
14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
58.1%
Under
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
31.1%
Under
68.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
13.4%
Under
86.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
78.5%
Under
21.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
45.4%
Under
54.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
20.0%
Under
80.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.0%
Under
93.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Arsenal, so a minus line means Arsenal give that many goals of a start and Chelsea receive them. At -1, Arsenal must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Arsenal win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Arsenal)Actual: Chelsea
Arsenal -2
12.6%
Draw -2
14.3%
Chelsea +2
73.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Arsenal)Actual: Draw
Arsenal -1
26.9%
Draw -1
19.8%
Chelsea +1
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Arsenal)Actual: Arsenal
Arsenal +1
70.3%
Draw +1
15.4%
Chelsea -1
14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Arsenal)Actual: Arsenal
Arsenal +2
85.7%
Draw +2
8.9%
Chelsea -2
5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Arsenal
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.30
0.80
0.20
0.87
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.71
0.43
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.33
vs Weaker (23)
0.87
0.26
0.91
0.09
0.83
0.42
Clean sheet %
70% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chelsea
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.53
1.00
0.47
0.67
0.60
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (15)
1.00
0.53
1.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
vs Weaker (14)
0.71
0.50
0.60
0.60
0.78
0.44
Clean sheet %
67% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Arsenal over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Arsenal
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
0.47
1.47
0.53
1.33
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.57
0.71
1.75
0.50
1.33
1.00
vs Weaker (23)
1.35
0.39
1.36
0.55
1.33
0.25
Clean sheet %
60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chelsea
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.70
1.00
0.67
1.47
0.73
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (15)
0.80
0.73
0.80
0.90
0.80
0.40
vs Weaker (14)
1.71
0.71
1.40
0.20
1.89
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Arsenal over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
93.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
93.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Away
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Arsenal
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Viktor Gyökeres30%
Kai Havertz26%
Bukayo Saka22%
Gabriel Jesus19%
Gabriel Martinelli17%
Leandro Trossard16%
Mikel Merino15%
Noni Madueke14%
Eberechi Eze14%
Martín Zubimendi9%
Ethan Nwaneri8%
Gabriel Magalhães8%
Max Dowman8%
Declan Rice7%
Jurriën Timber7%
Ben White3%
Martin Ødegaard3%
Riccardo Calafiori3%
Piero Hincapié3%
William Saliba2%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
David Raya0%
Christian Nørgaard0%
Myles Lewis-Skelly0%
Cristhian Mosquera0%
Marli Salmon0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kepa Arrizabalaga36%
Riccardo Calafiori19%
Martín Zubimendi14%
Cristhian Mosquera14%
Jurriën Timber14%
Myles Lewis-Skelly14%
Declan Rice13%
Mikel Merino12%
Gabriel Jesus11%
Viktor Gyökeres11%
Ben White10%
Gabriel Magalhães10%
Christian Nørgaard10%
Gabriel Martinelli10%
Kai Havertz9%
Piero Hincapié8%
Bukayo Saka6%
Leandro Trossard6%
William Saliba6%
Eberechi Eze4%
Noni Madueke2%
David Raya2%
Martin Ødegaard0%
Ethan Nwaneri0%
Max Dowman0%
Marli Salmon0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kai Havertz22%
Leandro Trossard20%
Martin Ødegaard19%
Declan Rice15%
Bukayo Saka14%
Jurriën Timber14%
Gabriel Martinelli13%
Myles Lewis-Skelly11%
Gabriel Magalhães10%
Christian Nørgaard10%
Mikel Merino9%
Eberechi Eze8%
Ben White7%
Viktor Gyökeres6%
Riccardo Calafiori6%
Piero Hincapié5%
Noni Madueke5%
Gabriel Jesus4%
Martín Zubimendi4%
William Saliba2%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
David Raya0%
Ethan Nwaneri0%
Cristhian Mosquera0%
Max Dowman0%
Marli Salmon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Viktor Gyökeres24%
Bukayo Saka18%
Leandro Trossard16%
Eberechi Eze16%
Max Dowman15%
Gabriel Jesus15%
Mikel Merino12%
Noni Madueke10%
Kai Havertz9%
Ethan Nwaneri8%
Gabriel Martinelli8%
Martin Ødegaard6%
Jurriën Timber5%
Declan Rice4%
Martín Zubimendi4%
Riccardo Calafiori3%
Gabriel Magalhães2%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
David Raya0%
Ben White0%
William Saliba0%
Christian Nørgaard0%
Piero Hincapié0%
Myles Lewis-Skelly0%
Cristhian Mosquera0%
Marli Salmon0%
Chelsea
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
João Pedro35%
Enzo Fernández28%
Cole Palmer27%
Tyrique George27%
Estêvão Willian23%
Pedro Neto15%
Marc Guiu15%
Alejandro Garnacho14%
Facundo Buonanotte12%
Moisés Caicedo10%
Andrey Santos7%
Tosin Adarabioyo7%
Josh Acheampong7%
Trevoh Chalobah7%
Malo Gusto6%
Jorrel Hato6%
Reece James5%
Liam Delap5%
Jamie Gittens4%
Marc Cucurella2%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Levi Colwill0%
Mamadou Sarr0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Dário Essugo0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Jesse Derry0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dário Essugo40%
Moisés Caicedo33%
Tyrique George27%
Enzo Fernández26%
Benoît Badiashile25%
Marc Cucurella24%
Wesley Fofana22%
Jorrel Hato20%
Estêvão Willian20%
Andrey Santos19%
Cole Palmer18%
Mamadou Sarr17%
Reece James13%
Liam Delap12%
Facundo Buonanotte12%
João Pedro12%
Pedro Neto12%
Malo Gusto10%
Tosin Adarabioyo10%
Trevoh Chalobah9%
Filip Jørgensen8%
Marc Guiu8%
Alejandro Garnacho7%
Robert Sánchez6%
Roméo Lavia5%
Jamie Gittens4%
Josh Acheampong3%
Levi Colwill0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Jesse Derry0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Facundo Buonanotte25%
Dário Essugo20%
Pedro Neto19%
Reece James15%
Marc Guiu15%
Jamie Gittens15%
Enzo Fernández13%
Malo Gusto10%
João Pedro10%
Andrey Santos10%
Tyrique George9%
Estêvão Willian9%
Marc Cucurella8%
Alejandro Garnacho7%
Cole Palmer6%
Wesley Fofana5%
Jorrel Hato3%
Liam Delap2%
Robert Sánchez2%
Moisés Caicedo2%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Tosin Adarabioyo0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Levi Colwill0%
Mamadou Sarr0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Josh Acheampong0%
Jesse Derry0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alejandro Garnacho19%
João Pedro18%
Cole Palmer18%
Enzo Fernández15%
Liam Delap12%
Facundo Buonanotte12%
Estêvão Willian11%
Pedro Neto8%
Jamie Gittens4%
Reece James3%
Moisés Caicedo2%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Tosin Adarabioyo0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Marc Cucurella0%
Levi Colwill0%
Malo Gusto0%
Mamadou Sarr0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Andrey Santos0%
Dário Essugo0%
Tyrique George0%
Jorrel Hato0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Josh Acheampong0%
Marc Guiu0%
Jesse Derry0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
BOL (22)
€17m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
LIN (24)
€12m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
SAL (26)
€8m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
PV (23)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
CHE (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
BR (24)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
ROT (19)
€5m
CRE (20)
€4m
BRO (19)
€4m
BAR (15)
€4m
SWI (22)
€4m
GRI (18)
€4m
TRA (21)
€4m
COL (20)
€4m
SHR (17)
€3m
CT (19)
€3m
NOR (18)
€3m
GIL (16)
€3m
CHE (19)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
WAL (20)
€3m
OLD (21)
€3m
FT (18)
€3m
ACC (18)
€2m
NC (16)
€2m
BAR (11)
€2m
HAR (14)
€1m
Arsenal and Chelsea have a similar squad value (both €1406m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
LIN (7)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
CHE (9)
€3m
SAL (9)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BR (10)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
SWI (8)
€2m
CRE (6)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
CT (7)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
COL (7)
€1m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
GRI (8)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
TRA (7)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
ACC (7)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
FT (6)
€1m
WAL (4)
€1m
BAR (2)
€0m
BAR (3)
€0m
SHR (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
HAR (4)
€0m
Arsenal's attack is €6m less valuable than Chelsea's (€608m vs €614m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
FUL (3)
€28m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
MKD (6)
€7m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
LUT (6)
€4m
BOL (4)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
PV (7)
€2m
SAL (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
GIL (8)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
SHR (4)
€1m
CHE (6)
€1m
TRA (6)
€1m
CRE (7)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
FT (4)
€1m
ROT (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CT (7)
€1m
BAR (5)
€1m
WAL (5)
€1m
BAR (4)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
ACC (5)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
HAR (4)
€1m
BR (4)
€0m
COL (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
GRI (1)
€0m
Arsenal's midfield is €12m more valuable than Chelsea's (€290m vs €278m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
BUR (11)
€37m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CHA (13)
€10m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
PV (11)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
SAL (12)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
BAR (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
BR (10)
€3m
GRI (9)
€2m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
CHE (10)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
ROT (8)
€2m
COL (10)
€2m
WAL (11)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
CRE (7)
€1m
NC (10)
€1m
TRA (8)
€1m
FT (8)
€1m
ACC (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
CT (5)
€1m
BAR (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€0m
Arsenal's defence is €6m less valuable than Chelsea's (€508m vs €514m).
England: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Manchester City
Manchester United
Aston Villa
Liverpool
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Brighton
Brentford
Fulham
Newcastle
Everton
Leeds
Crystal Palace
Nottingham Forest
Tottenham
West Ham
Burnley
Wolves