This opponent (Excelsior Virton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Excelsior Virton
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.57
1.06
1.19
1.21
2.00
vs Stronger (26)
1.19
1.62
1.14
1.21
1.25
2.08
vs Similar (4)
0.75
1.25
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Eupen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Beerschot VA
2.00
Dender
1.77
Liège
1.66
Patro Eisden
1.59
AS Eupen
1.47
Lokeren-Temse
1.31
KAA Gent II
1.28
K. Lierse S.K.
1.19
Seraing United
1.13
Francs Borains
1.09
Sporting Hasselt
1.01
RSC Anderlecht II
0.97
KRC Genk II
0.97
Excelsior Virton
0.95
Club Brugge II
0.66
AS Eupen is 0.52 points better than Excelsior Virton in terms of average points per game (1.47 vs 0.95).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dender
1.82
Beerschot VA
1.62
Lokeren-Temse
1.50
RSC Anderlecht II
1.44
Patro Eisden
1.38
Liège
1.38
AS Eupen
1.38
KAA Gent II
1.31
KRC Genk II
1.31
Seraing United
1.19
K. Lierse S.K.
1.09
Sporting Hasselt
1.04
Club Brugge II
1.03
Francs Borains
1.03
Excelsior Virton
0.97
AS Eupen is 0.41 goals better than Excelsior Virton in terms of goals scored per game (1.38 vs 0.97).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Beerschot VA
0.97
Dender
1.09
AS Eupen
1.12
Liège
1.22
Patro Eisden
1.25
K. Lierse S.K.
1.31
Seraing United
1.32
Lokeren-Temse
1.41
Francs Borains
1.47
KAA Gent II
1.59
Club Brugge II
1.72
RSC Anderlecht II
1.72
KRC Genk II
1.84
Sporting Hasselt
1.92
Excelsior Virton
2.05
AS Eupen is 0.93 goals better than Excelsior Virton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.12 vs 2.05).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
KAA Gent II
57%
Club Brugge II
56%
Lokeren-Temse
54%
Beerschot VA
53%
RSC Anderlecht II
52%
KRC Genk II
52%
AS Eupen
51%
K. Lierse S.K.
47%
Francs Borains
45%
Liège
44%
Seraing United
41%
Patro Eisden
38%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
AS Eupen
For 4.4 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.0 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.4 · Against 12.6 · Total 28.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Excelsior Virton
For 4.0 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 7.0 · Against 6.0 · Total 13.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AS Eupen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.8
10.0
2.2
2.4
2.0
25.2
25.3
25.1
vs Stronger (6)
13.3
12.0
14.0
2.0
2.5
1.8
23.0
23.0
23.0
vs Similar (42)
9.6
9.8
9.4
2.1
2.3
1.9
25.9
25.4
26.6
vs Weaker (2)
8.0
8.0
8.0
4.5
4.0
5.0
20.0
26.0
14.0
% over line
53%
59%
46%
24%
29%
19%
73%
71%
77%
% under line
47%
41%
54%
76%
71%
81%
27%
29%
23%
This opponent (Excelsior Virton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Excelsior Virton
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (44)
9.0
-
9.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
13.0
-
13.0
vs Stronger (40)
9.0
-
9.0
0.1
0.0
0.1
13.0
-
13.0
vs Similar (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
0%
-
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
% under line
100%
-
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
-
100%
This opponent (AS Eupen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lokeren-Temse
10.9
Liège
10.5
Beerschot VA
10.3
KRC Genk II
10.2
RSC Anderlecht II
9.9
Francs Borains
9.7
Dender
9.7
AS Eupen
9.5
KAA Gent II
9.5
Club Brugge II
9.3
K. Lierse S.K.
9.1
Seraing United
9.1
Excelsior Virton
9.0
Patro Eisden
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lokeren-Temse
5.9
K. Lierse S.K.
5.8
Patro Eisden
5.6
Francs Borains
5.5
Seraing United
5.1
Beerschot VA
4.8
AS Eupen
4.7
RSC Anderlecht II
4.6
Liège
4.6
Club Brugge II
4.4
KAA Gent II
4.0
KRC Genk II
3.7
Dender
3.4
Excelsior Virton
2.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Lokeren-Temse
28.5
Patro Eisden
28.4
K. Lierse S.K.
27.7
RSC Anderlecht II
27.2
Club Brugge II
27.1
Francs Borains
26.7
KAA Gent II
26.3
AS Eupen
25.8
Seraing United
25.7
KRC Genk II
25.4
Liège
24.9
Beerschot VA
24.5
Dender
21.3
Excelsior Virton
13.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
49.0%
Under 9.5
51.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
57.8%
Under 3.5
42.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
75.5%
Under 21.5
24.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
AS Eupen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.63
0.80
0.60
0.53
0.67
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.33
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (25)
0.64
0.56
0.85
0.54
0.42
0.58
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior Virton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Excelsior Virton
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.57
0.33
0.33
0.47
0.80
vs Stronger (26)
0.42
0.58
0.31
0.38
0.54
0.77
vs Similar (4)
0.25
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Eupen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AS Eupen over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Eupen over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Eupen over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior Virton over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior Virton over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior Virton over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
AS Eupen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.63
0.80
0.53
0.60
0.73
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.33
0.00
1.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (25)
0.72
0.56
0.77
0.46
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
2.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior Virton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Excelsior Virton
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.97
0.27
0.67
0.73
1.27
vs Stronger (26)
0.50
1.00
0.31
0.62
0.69
1.38
vs Similar (4)
0.50
0.75
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Eupen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AS Eupen over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Eupen over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Eupen over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior Virton over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior Virton over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior Virton over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Over 19.5 fouls
86.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
75.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
AS Eupen · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Isaac Nuhu27%
Logan Delaurier-Chaubet25%
Daniel Kasper22%
Zakaria Atteri20%
Yoram Zague14%
Kevin Möhwald11%
Nathan Bitumazala11%
Merveille Bokadi9%
Kikas9%
Bertan Caliskan6%
Scott Kennedy6%
Nicolas Gavory6%
Yentl Van Genechten5%
Mark Müller5%
Rune Paeshuyse4%
Oriol Busquets0%
Igor Plastun0%
Marco Hiller0%
Mostafa Mashaal0%
Gabriel Bares0%
Mondy Prunier0%
Amadou Keita0%
Lorenzo Youndje0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kevin Möhwald39%
Igor Plastun25%
Lorenzo Youndje25%
Isaac Nuhu23%
Mondy Prunier20%
Scott Kennedy17%
Gabriel Bares16%
Oriol Busquets14%
Yoram Zague14%
Mark Müller14%
Nicolas Gavory11%
Yentl Van Genechten11%
Amadou Keita11%
Merveille Bokadi9%
Kikas9%
Logan Delaurier-Chaubet6%
Zakaria Atteri5%
Marco Hiller5%
Rune Paeshuyse4%
Mostafa Mashaal0%
Nathan Bitumazala0%
Daniel Kasper0%
Bertan Caliskan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mark Müller18%
Nicolas Gavory17%
Yoram Zague14%
Logan Delaurier-Chaubet12%
Lorenzo Youndje12%
Yentl Van Genechten11%
Kikas9%
Isaac Nuhu9%
Bertan Caliskan6%
Kevin Möhwald6%
Amadou Keita5%
Zakaria Atteri5%
Rune Paeshuyse4%
Oriol Busquets0%
Merveille Bokadi0%
Scott Kennedy0%
Igor Plastun0%
Marco Hiller0%
Mostafa Mashaal0%
Gabriel Bares0%
Nathan Bitumazala0%
Daniel Kasper0%
Mondy Prunier0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kikas18%
Isaac Nuhu18%
Zakaria Atteri15%
Logan Delaurier-Chaubet12%
Kevin Möhwald6%
Oriol Busquets0%
Merveille Bokadi0%
Scott Kennedy0%
Igor Plastun0%
Yentl Van Genechten0%
Marco Hiller0%
Nicolas Gavory0%
Mostafa Mashaal0%
Gabriel Bares0%
Nathan Bitumazala0%
Mark Müller0%
Daniel Kasper0%
Mondy Prunier0%
Amadou Keita0%
Rune Paeshuyse0%
Bertan Caliskan0%
Yoram Zague0%
Lorenzo Youndje0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AE (26)
€12m
BV (26)
€9m
DEN (19)
€8m
RAI (19)
€8m
KGI (18)
€7m
PE (25)
€7m
KGI (19)
€6m
KLS (21)
€5m
LOK (16)
€5m
FB (22)
€4m
SU (15)
€3m
SH (8)
€2m
EV (11)
€2m
AS Eupen's squad is €10m more valuable than Excelsior Virton's (€12m vs €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AE (9)
€7m
BV (13)
€4m
RAI (8)
€3m
KGI (9)
€2m
KGI (7)
€2m
LOK (5)
€2m
KLS (7)
€2m
FB (8)
€2m
DEN (4)
€1m
PE (7)
€1m
SU (4)
€1m
EV (4)
€1m
SH (4)
€1m
AS Eupen's attack is €6m more valuable than Excelsior Virton's (€7m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DEN (6)
€3m
PE (7)
€2m
AE (9)
€2m
KGI (1)
€2m
RAI (3)
€2m
KGI (4)
€1m
FB (5)
€1m
LOK (3)
€1m
SU (3)
€1m
KLS (3)
€1m
BV (2)
€0m
SH (1)
€0m
EV (1)
€0m
AS Eupen's midfield is €2m more valuable than Excelsior Virton's (€2m vs €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BV (11)
€5m
DEN (9)
€4m
PE (11)
€3m
RAI (8)
€3m
AE (8)
€3m
KLS (11)
€3m
KGI (8)
€3m
KGI (8)
€2m
LOK (8)
€2m
FB (9)
€2m
SU (8)
€2m
SH (3)
€1m
EV (6)
€1m
AS Eupen's defence is €2m more valuable than Excelsior Virton's (€3m vs €1m).
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →