This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liège
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.50
1.60
1.07
1.40
1.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.43
1.57
1.57
1.07
1.29
2.07
vs Weaker (2)
2.50
0.50
2.00
1.00
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Eupen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.1%
Under 1.5
14.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
64.0%
Under 2.5
36.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.9%
Under 3.5
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
66.2%
No
33.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.1%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-2
6.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-0 ✓
5.2%
0-1
5.0%
0-2
4.9%
AS Eupen goals ↓
Liège goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.7%
5.0%
4.9%
2.7%
1.1%
1
5.2%
11%
8.2%
4.4%
1.8%
2
5.2%
8.4%
6.8%
3.7%
1.5%
3
2.9%
4.7%
3.8%
2.1%
0.8%
4
1.2%
2.0%
1.6%
0.9%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AS Eupen goals (down), columns = Liège goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
SK Beveren
2.75
Kortrijk
2.06
Beerschot VA
2.00
Liège
1.66
Lommel United
1.66
Patro Eisden
1.59
AS Eupen
1.47
Lokeren-Temse
1.31
KAA Gent II
1.28
K. Lierse S.K.
1.19
Seraing United
1.13
RWDM
1.12
Francs Borains
1.09
RSC Anderlecht II
0.97
KRC Genk II
0.97
Club Brugge II
0.66
Olympic Charleroi
0.50
AS Eupen is 0.19 points worse than Liège in terms of average points per game (1.47 vs 1.66).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
SK Beveren
2.31
Lommel United
1.84
Kortrijk
1.81
Beerschot VA
1.62
RWDM
1.56
Lokeren-Temse
1.50
RSC Anderlecht II
1.44
Liège
1.38
Patro Eisden
1.38
AS Eupen
1.38
KAA Gent II
1.31
KRC Genk II
1.31
Seraing United
1.19
K. Lierse S.K.
1.09
Francs Borains
1.03
Club Brugge II
1.03
Olympic Charleroi
0.81
AS Eupen and Liège are level in goals scored per game (both 1.38).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
SK Beveren
0.72
Beerschot VA
0.97
Kortrijk
1.06
AS Eupen
1.12
Liège
1.22
Patro Eisden
1.25
K. Lierse S.K.
1.31
Seraing United
1.32
Lokeren-Temse
1.41
Lommel United
1.44
Francs Borains
1.47
KAA Gent II
1.59
RWDM
1.69
Club Brugge II
1.72
RSC Anderlecht II
1.72
KRC Genk II
1.84
Olympic Charleroi
2.12
AS Eupen is 0.09 goals better than Liège in terms of goals conceded per game (1.12 vs 1.22).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
KAA Gent II
57%
Club Brugge II
56%
SK Beveren
56%
Lommel United
55%
Lokeren-Temse
54%
Kortrijk
53%
Beerschot VA
53%
RSC Anderlecht II
52%
KRC Genk II
52%
AS Eupen
51%
Olympic Charleroi
48%
K. Lierse S.K.
47%
RWDM
47%
Francs Borains
45%
Liège
44%
Seraing United
41%
Patro Eisden
38%
AS Eupen is 6.6 percentage points better than Liège in terms of average possession (51% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
AS Eupen
For 5.0 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 12.8 · Total 23.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Liège
For 7.3 · Against 4.9 · Total 12.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 12.4 · Total 23.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AS Eupen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
8.8
9.9
4.3
4.5
4.0
25.5
25.2
25.9
vs Stronger (21)
10.1
9.6
10.6
4.0
4.8
3.1
24.3
25.8
22.7
vs Similar (29)
8.9
8.2
9.4
4.4
4.3
4.6
26.4
24.7
27.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
46%
30%
61%
56%
56%
56%
76%
78%
74%
% under line
54%
70%
39%
44%
44%
44%
24%
22%
26%
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liège
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.4
11.5
11.3
5.1
5.0
5.2
25.2
25.8
24.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (45)
11.2
10.8
11.6
5.2
5.1
5.2
25.4
26.3
24.4
vs Weaker (5)
13.2
16.3
8.5
4.4
4.0
5.0
23.6
22.3
25.5
% over line
62%
54%
70%
74%
76%
72%
79%
83%
74%
% under line
38%
46%
30%
26%
24%
28%
21%
17%
26%
This opponent (AS Eupen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Liège
11.5
Beerschot VA
11.0
Seraing United
10.7
Lokeren-Temse
10.6
RWDM
10.6
KRC Genk II
10.5
Kortrijk
10.2
Francs Borains
9.9
SK Beveren
9.8
Club Brugge II
9.7
Patro Eisden
9.7
K. Lierse S.K.
9.6
AS Eupen
9.6
RSC Anderlecht II
9.5
Lommel United
9.0
KAA Gent II
6.0
Olympic Charleroi
6.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lokeren-Temse
6.2
Francs Borains
5.9
K. Lierse S.K.
5.5
Liège
5.5
Patro Eisden
5.4
Seraing United
5.2
KRC Genk II
5.0
RSC Anderlecht II
5.0
SK Beveren
4.9
Lommel United
4.8
Kortrijk
4.7
AS Eupen
4.7
Beerschot VA
4.4
Club Brugge II
4.4
RWDM
4.2
KAA Gent II
2.0
Olympic Charleroi
2.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
KAA Gent II
34.0
Olympic Charleroi
34.0
Francs Borains
27.8
Lokeren-Temse
27.6
Patro Eisden
26.7
K. Lierse S.K.
26.1
KRC Genk II
26.1
Seraing United
26.0
RSC Anderlecht II
25.6
AS Eupen
25.3
Liège
25.3
SK Beveren
25.0
Club Brugge II
24.9
Lommel United
24.0
RWDM
23.3
Beerschot VA
22.5
Kortrijk
21.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
56.8%
Under 9.5
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
75.9%
Under 3.5
24.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
74.2%
Under 21.5
25.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
AS Eupen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.67
0.60
0.73
0.60
0.60
vs Stronger (8)
0.88
0.88
1.00
1.25
0.75
0.50
vs Similar (22)
0.50
0.59
0.45
0.55
0.55
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liège
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.60
0.93
0.53
0.53
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.71
0.64
0.93
0.57
0.50
0.71
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Eupen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AS Eupen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Eupen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Eupen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
AS Eupen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.07
0.80
1.20
0.73
0.93
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
1.62
0.75
1.75
0.75
1.50
vs Similar (22)
0.77
0.86
0.82
1.00
0.73
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liège
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.90
0.67
0.53
0.87
1.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.71
0.93
0.64
0.50
0.79
1.36
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Eupen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AS Eupen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Eupen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AS Eupen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
89.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
85.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
AS Eupen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Isaac Nuhu27%
Logan Delaurier-Chaubet25%
Daniel Kasper22%
Zakaria Atteri20%
Yoram Zague14%
Kevin Möhwald11%
Nathan Bitumazala11%
Merveille Bokadi9%
Kikas9%
Bertan Caliskan6%
Scott Kennedy6%
Nicolas Gavory6%
Yentl Van Genechten5%
Mark Müller5%
Rune Paeshuyse4%
Oriol Busquets0%
Igor Plastun0%
Marco Hiller0%
Mostafa Mashaal0%
Gabriel Bares0%
Mondy Prunier0%
Amadou Keita0%
Lorenzo Youndje0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kevin Möhwald39%
Igor Plastun25%
Lorenzo Youndje25%
Isaac Nuhu23%
Mondy Prunier20%
Scott Kennedy17%
Gabriel Bares16%
Oriol Busquets14%
Yoram Zague14%
Mark Müller14%
Nicolas Gavory11%
Yentl Van Genechten11%
Amadou Keita11%
Merveille Bokadi9%
Kikas9%
Logan Delaurier-Chaubet6%
Zakaria Atteri5%
Marco Hiller5%
Rune Paeshuyse4%
Mostafa Mashaal0%
Nathan Bitumazala0%
Daniel Kasper0%
Bertan Caliskan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mark Müller18%
Nicolas Gavory17%
Yoram Zague14%
Logan Delaurier-Chaubet12%
Lorenzo Youndje12%
Yentl Van Genechten11%
Kikas9%
Isaac Nuhu9%
Bertan Caliskan6%
Kevin Möhwald6%
Amadou Keita5%
Zakaria Atteri5%
Rune Paeshuyse4%
Oriol Busquets0%
Merveille Bokadi0%
Scott Kennedy0%
Igor Plastun0%
Marco Hiller0%
Mostafa Mashaal0%
Gabriel Bares0%
Nathan Bitumazala0%
Daniel Kasper0%
Mondy Prunier0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kikas18%
Isaac Nuhu18%
Zakaria Atteri15%
Logan Delaurier-Chaubet12%
Kevin Möhwald6%
Oriol Busquets0%
Merveille Bokadi0%
Scott Kennedy0%
Igor Plastun0%
Yentl Van Genechten0%
Marco Hiller0%
Nicolas Gavory0%
Mostafa Mashaal0%
Gabriel Bares0%
Nathan Bitumazala0%
Mark Müller0%
Daniel Kasper0%
Mondy Prunier0%
Amadou Keita0%
Rune Paeshuyse0%
Bertan Caliskan0%
Yoram Zague0%
Lorenzo Youndje0%
Liège
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Frederic Soelle Soelle33%
Simon Paulet25%
Oumar Diouf20%
Kylian Hazard17%
Alexis Lefebvre14%
Alexis De Sart12%
Pierre-Yves Ngawa8%
Kays Ruiz-Atil8%
Lucca Lucker7%
Kevin Shkurti7%
Jonathan D'Ostilio6%
Abian Arslan6%
Damien Mouchamps6%
Benoit Bruggeman5%
Reno Wilmots0%
Victor Corneillie0%
Alexis Andre Jr.0%
Fadel Gobitaka0%
Darío Sarmiento0%
Jordan Bustin0%
Jordi Belin0%
Emrehan Gedikli0%
Flavio Da Silva0%
Martin Wasinski0%
Eric N'jo0%
Stephen Reynaerts0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jordan Bustin45%
Oumar Diouf30%
Reno Wilmots26%
Jonathan D'Ostilio25%
Stephen Reynaerts25%
Kevin Shkurti21%
Alexis Lefebvre19%
Kays Ruiz-Atil15%
Victor Corneillie14%
Pierre-Yves Ngawa8%
Simon Paulet8%
Martin Wasinski8%
Abian Arslan6%
Alexis De Sart6%
Damien Mouchamps6%
Kylian Hazard0%
Alexis Andre Jr.0%
Fadel Gobitaka0%
Darío Sarmiento0%
Benoit Bruggeman0%
Jordi Belin0%
Emrehan Gedikli0%
Flavio Da Silva0%
Lucca Lucker0%
Eric N'jo0%
Frederic Soelle Soelle0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Martin Wasinski21%
Benoit Bruggeman15%
Eric N'jo14%
Jonathan D'Ostilio12%
Kylian Hazard11%
Oumar Diouf10%
Pierre-Yves Ngawa8%
Simon Paulet8%
Kays Ruiz-Atil8%
Alexis De Sart6%
Reno Wilmots4%
Damien Mouchamps0%
Victor Corneillie0%
Alexis Andre Jr.0%
Fadel Gobitaka0%
Darío Sarmiento0%
Jordan Bustin0%
Jordi Belin0%
Emrehan Gedikli0%
Flavio Da Silva0%
Alexis Lefebvre0%
Lucca Lucker0%
Abian Arslan0%
Frederic Soelle Soelle0%
Stephen Reynaerts0%
Kevin Shkurti0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Frederic Soelle Soelle22%
Oumar Diouf20%
Kylian Hazard17%
Kays Ruiz-Atil15%
Benoit Bruggeman15%
Alexis Lefebvre10%
Reno Wilmots9%
Simon Paulet8%
Alexis De Sart0%
Pierre-Yves Ngawa0%
Damien Mouchamps0%
Victor Corneillie0%
Alexis Andre Jr.0%
Fadel Gobitaka0%
Darío Sarmiento0%
Jordan Bustin0%
Jonathan D'Ostilio0%
Jordi Belin0%
Emrehan Gedikli0%
Flavio Da Silva0%
Lucca Lucker0%
Martin Wasinski0%
Abian Arslan0%
Eric N'jo0%
Stephen Reynaerts0%
Kevin Shkurti0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
SK Beveren
Kortrijk
Beerschot VA
Lommel United
Patro Eisden
Lokeren-Temse
KAA Gent II
K. Lierse S.K.
RWDM
Seraing United
Francs Borains
RSC Anderlecht II
KRC Genk II
Club Brugge II
Olympic Charleroi