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Atmosfera vs Ekranas Result & Analysis

Date: 21/10/2022
Time: 16:00
Final 1-4
Atmosfera
Atmosfera
Vs
34%
24%
42%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ekranas
Ekranas
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atmosfera win✗ Miss
34.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ekranas win✓ Hit
41.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AtmosferaAtmosfera

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W21W31W44D12L12L22D05L23L02LA·TRA06/08H·FA 12/08H·BAN19/08A·ŽAL27/08H·PAN03/09A·ŠIL08/09H·NEV16/09A·DAI30/09H·GAR07/10A·BE115/10
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.382.151.381.921.382.38
vs Stronger (23)1.432.221.331.831.552.64
vs Similar (3)1.001.672.003.000.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %4% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekranas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EkranasEkranas

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L33D02L13L11D14L03L12L20W02LA·DAI12/08H·GAR20/08A·BE127/08H·FA 02/09A·PAN06/09A·BFA10/09A·MIN17/09H·NEP01/10A·TRA07/10H·BAB17/10
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.421.651.311.381.541.92
vs Stronger (23)1.431.701.181.361.672.00
vs Similar (3)1.331.332.001.500.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Atmosfera) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%120%222%319%413%514%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.2%
Under 1.5
12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
67.6%
Under 2.5
32.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
46.0%
Under 3.5
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
68.8%
No
31.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
7.7%
2-2
7.0%
1-3
5.2%
0-2
5.2%
0-1
4.7%
2-3
4.3%
Atmosfera goals ↓
Ekranas goals →
01234
04.0%4.7%5.2%3.2%1.4%
14.1%10%8.5%5.2%2.4%
24.2%7.7%7.0%4.3%2.0%
32.3%4.2%3.9%2.4%1.1%
40.9%1.7%1.6%1.0%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Atmosfera goals (down), columns = Ekranas goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dainava
2.23
Neptūną Klaipėda
2.07
Šiauliai II
2.00
Nevėžis
1.93
Be1 NFA
1.90
Šilas
1.77
Babrungas
1.53
Ekranas
1.37
BFA
1.27
Žalgiris II
1.20
Panevėžys II
1.20
Minija
1.10
Garliava
1.10
Trakai II
1.07
FA Šiauliai II
1.04
Atmosfera
0.80
Banga II
0.67
Atmosfera is 0.57 points worse than Ekranas in terms of average points per game (0.80 vs 1.37).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dainava
2.30
Neptūną Klaipėda
2.20
BFA
1.80
Babrungas
1.73
Nevėžis
1.73
Šilas
1.70
Ekranas
1.60
Panevėžys II
1.57
Šiauliai II
1.50
Žalgiris II
1.47
Atmosfera
1.37
Trakai II
1.37
Be1 NFA
1.30
FA Šiauliai II
1.07
Garliava
1.03
Minija
0.90
Banga II
0.87
Atmosfera is 0.23 goals worse than Ekranas in terms of goals scored per game (1.37 vs 1.60).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Šiauliai II
0.50
Be1 NFA
0.63
Nevėžis
0.87
Dainava
1.03
Babrungas
1.13
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.20
Minija
1.30
Šilas
1.37
BFA
1.57
Žalgiris II
1.60
Trakai II
1.60
Garliava
1.67
Ekranas
1.70
FA Šiauliai II
1.89
Panevėžys II
2.10
Banga II
2.23
Atmosfera
2.23
Atmosfera is 0.53 goals worse than Ekranas in terms of goals conceded per game (2.23 vs 1.70).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AtmosferaAtmosfera

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W10W31W22D11D00D12L04L11D01LA·TRA06/08H·FA 12/08H·BAN19/08A·ŽAL27/08H·PAN03/09A·ŠIL08/09H·NEV16/09A·DAI30/09H·GAR07/10A·BE115/10
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.120.751.000.851.23
vs Stronger (22)0.821.180.731.000.911.36
vs Similar (3)0.670.671.001.000.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %32% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekranas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EkranasEkranas

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D20W00D00D10W11D01L11D00D02LA·DAI12/08H·GAR20/08A·BE127/08H·FA 02/09A·PAN06/09A·BFA10/09A·MIN17/09H·NEP01/10A·TRA07/10H·BAB17/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.620.420.620.380.620.46
vs Stronger (23)0.570.480.450.450.670.50
vs Similar (3)1.000.001.500.000.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %62% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Atmosfera) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Atmosfera over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atmosfera over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atmosfera over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekranas over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekranas over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekranas over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AtmosferaAtmosfera

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D00D22D01L12L10W01L12L01LA·TRA06/08H·FA 12/08H·BAN19/08A·ŽAL27/08H·PAN03/09A·ŠIL08/09H·NEV16/09A·DAI30/09H·GAR07/10A·BE115/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.040.670.920.541.15
vs Stronger (22)0.641.050.640.820.641.27
vs Similar (3)0.331.001.002.000.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %32% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekranas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EkranasEkranas

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L13L02L13L01L03L02L01L20W00DA·DAI12/08H·GAR20/08A·BE127/08H·FA 02/09A·PAN06/09A·BFA10/09A·MIN17/09H·NEP01/10A·TRA07/10H·BAB17/10
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.811.230.691.000.921.46
vs Stronger (23)0.871.220.730.911.001.50
vs Similar (3)0.331.330.501.500.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %38% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Atmosfera) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Atmosfera over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atmosfera over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atmosfera over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekranas over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekranas over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekranas over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.587.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽI (6)
€1m
MIN (3)
€0m
FŠI (4)
€0m
DAI (1)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
BFA (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
Atmosfera and Ekranas have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NK (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
DAI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FŠI (2)
€0m
DAI (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
Atmosfera and Ekranas have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽI (3)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
BFA (0)
€0m
DAI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
ATM wins
0
Draws
1
EKR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Atmosfera vs Ekranas · H/A from ATM
DateH/AGameScore
18/06/22AEkranas Vs ATM1-0

AtmosferaAtmosfera

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/10/22ABe1 NFA Vs ATM2-0
07/10/22HATM Vs Garliava2-3
30/09/22ADainava Vs ATM5-0
16/09/22HATM Vs Nevėžis2-2
08/09/22AŠilas Vs ATM2-1
03/09/22HATM Vs Panevėžys II1-2
27/08/22AŽalgiris II Vs ATM4-4
19/08/22HATM Vs Banga II3-1
12/08/22HATM Vs FA Šiauliai II2-1
06/08/22ATrakai II Vs ATM1-2

EkranasEkranas

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/10/22HEKR Vs Babrungas0-2
07/10/22ATrakai II Vs EKR0-2
01/10/22HEKR Vs Neptūną Klaipėda1-2
17/09/22AMinija Vs EKR3-0
10/09/22ABFA Vs EKR4-1
06/09/22APanevėžys II Vs EKR1-1
02/09/22HEKR Vs FA Šiauliai II1-3
27/08/22ABe1 NFA Vs EKR2-0
20/08/22HEKR Vs Garliava3-3
12/08/22ADainava Vs EKR2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Atmosfera
Atmosfera
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLL0.81
HomeWWLDL0.77
AwayWDLLL0.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %19%15%23%
AVG goals3.543.313.77
Over 1.5 %85%85%85%
Over 2.5 %65%69%62%
Over 3.5 %38%38%38%
Scored1.381.381.38
Conceded2.151.922.38
BTTS65%69%62%
Clean Sheet4%0%8%
Corners---
Cards---
Ekranas
Ekranas
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWL1.23
HomeWDLLL1.38
AwayLDLLW1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %35%38%31%
AVG goals3.082.693.46
Over 1.5 %85%77%92%
Over 2.5 %46%38%54%
Over 3.5 %35%31%38%
Scored1.421.311.54
Conceded1.651.381.92
BTTS50%38%62%
Clean Sheet27%38%15%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DainavaDainava3067
70%
2.2
6931+38
3.3
90%
70%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.0
-
2Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda3062
63%
2.1
6636+30
3.4
90%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.2
-
3NevėžisNevėžis3058
57%
1.9
5226+26
2.6
67%
43%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.9
-
4Be1 NFABe1 NFA3057
50%
1.9
3919+20
1.9
73%
27%
3%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.6
-
5ŠilasŠilas3053
53%
1.8
5141+10
3.1
80%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.4
-
6BabrungasBabrungas3046
43%
1.5
5234+18
2.9
80%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.1
-
7EkranasEkranas3041
40%
1.4
4851-3
3.3
87%
53%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.7
-
8BFABFA3038
37%
1.3
5447+7
3.4
90%
70%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.6
-
9Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II3036
30%
1.2
4448-4
3.1
73%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.6
-
10Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II3036
33%
1.2
4763-16
3.7
97%
80%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.1
-
11MinijaMinija3033
30%
1.1
2739-12
2.2
67%
37%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.3
-
12GarliavaGarliava3033
30%
1.1
3150-19
2.7
73%
43%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
13Trakai IITrakai II3032
23%
1.1
4148-7
3.0
77%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
14FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II2829
32%
1.0
3053-23
3.0
82%
61%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.9
-
15AtmosferaAtmosfera3024
20%
0.8
4167-26
3.6
87%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.2
-
16Banga IIBanga II3020
17%
0.7
2667-41
3.1
73%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.2
-
17Šiauliai IIŠiauliai II24
50%
2.0
31+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.50.5
-
Lithuania: 1 Lyga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: 1 Lyga stats & trends →

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