Auda vs Tukums Result & Analysis

Auda are tipped to lift the trophy at home, with a 56% chance of victory, while the draw sits at 24% and Tukums a 21% chance of triumph. The match is expected to see 3.1 goals on average, but the most probable total is 2 goals, a 22% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with an 11% chance. Auda have been strong at home against weaker opposition, averaging 1.83 goals scored and only 0.83 conceded, whereas Tukums, playing away against stronger sides, have managed just 0.62 goals and given up 3.0. The model’s selection includes Over 1.5 goals at 82.8%. Auda’s recent form shows a draw in their last outing, while Tukums come off three straight defeats. The overall shape points to a tight contest with Auda likely to edge out a win.

Auda’s win extends a modest run, coming off a draw against Super Nova, while Tukums, after three straight defeats, fell short at home. The match finished 1-0, a Home win that matched the model’s pick and its 56% probability. The model had expected a total of 3.1 goals, with 2 goals the most likely outcome at 22%, yet the game produced only one goal, well below the forecast. The only suggested pick was Over 1.5 goals at 82.8%, which missed. All selections were settled, and the model’s prediction of a home victory proved correct.