Austria Vienna are tipped to win this match, the model’s pick reflecting a 43% chance of a home victory against WSG Wattens’ 30% chance of triumph and a 27% draw probability. The expected total goals hover at 2.9, with the most likely total of two goals at 24%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, a 12.5% chance, indicating a tightly contested affair. Austria Vienna, playing at home against a weaker side, have yet to score or concede in recent outings, while WSG Wattens, facing a stronger opponent away, average one goal for and one against. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 at 99%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.1%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.4% with a 5% edge, Under 6.5 at 97.0% with a 2% edge, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.9% with a 6% edge, Away under 3.5 goals at 95.5%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 94.3% with a 6% edge, and Under 5.5 at 92.3% with a 2% edge. The home side’s recent draw and the away side’s recent win set the stage for a cautious, low-scoring encounter.
Results analysis
The upset came early as Austria Vienna, the pre-match favourite, fell to a 0-1 loss at home to WSG Wattens, ending a run that had seen two straight defeats. The model’s call of a home win at 43% was wrong, as the away side claimed victory. The model’s selections all hit: Under 7.5 at 98.9%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.5%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.5%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.3%, Under 6.5 at 96.9%, Away under 3.5 goals at 95.5%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 94.9%, and Under 5.5 at 92.1%. The final score of 0-1 confirmed the away win.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Austria Vienna win✗ Miss
43.5%
Avg Implied 47.8% · @ 1.96
Edge
-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
SBO
2.04
Bet365
2.00
BetVictor
2.00
William Hil
2.00
Unibet
1.97
Draw✗ Miss
26.5%
Avg Implied 26.0% · @ 3.60
Edge
+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.84
Betfair
3.70
Dafabet
3.70
Marathonbet
3.66
1xBet
3.62
WSG Wattens win✓ Hit
30.0%
Avg Implied 26.2% · @ 3.58
Edge
+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.87
Superbet
3.75
Dafabet
3.75
Betfair
3.70
Marathonbet
3.66
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Austria Vienna
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.50
1.29
1.50
1.56
1.50
vs Stronger (9)
1.22
2.11
1.50
2.25
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (18)
1.44
1.33
1.33
1.33
1.56
1.33
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
0.67
0.00
0.00
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
WSG Wattens
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.53
1.29
1.50
1.44
1.56
vs Stronger (13)
1.15
1.23
1.33
1.50
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (16)
1.25
1.88
1.25
1.50
1.25
2.25
vs Weaker (1)
6.00
0.00
-
-
6.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Vienna) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
80.4%
@ 1.23+4.5%
Under 1.5
19.6%
@ 3.86-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Under
Pinnacle
4.17
Betfair
4.10
Bet365
4.00
BetVictor
3.90
Superbet
3.80
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.5%
@ 1.77+3.2%
Under 2.5
43.5%
@ 2.02-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.80
10Bet
1.80
SBO
1.80
Pinnacle
1.78
Betano
1.78
Under
Pinnacle
2.11
Bet365
2.05
Marathonbet
2.04
SBO
2.04
Betano
2.02
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.1%
@ 2.84+1.4%
Under 3.5
65.9%
@ 1.38-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.96
10Bet
2.95
BetVictor
2.90
Unibet
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Under
Pinnacle
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.0%
@ 1.65+3.9%
No
40.0%
@ 2.11-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.73
William Hil
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Superbet
1.66
Betano
1.65
No
BetVictor
2.15
Betano
2.12
1xBet
2.11
Bet365
2.10
Unibet
2.10
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%@ 6.50+5.5%
2-1
9.2%@ 7.85+3.4%
1-2
7.5%@ 11.26+3.5%
1-0
7.4%@ 7.74+1.6%
2-0
6.9%@ 9.51+2.2%
0-0
6.4%@ 11.21+2.4%
2-2
6.1%@ 12.28+2.4%
0-1 ✓
5.8%@ 10.84+1.7%
Austria Vienna goals ↓
WSG Wattens goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.4%
5.8%
4.6%
2.0%
0.7%
1
7.4%
12%
7.5%
3.3%
1.1%
2
6.9%
9.2%
6.1%
2.7%
0.9%
3
3.8%
5.0%
3.3%
1.4%
0.5%
4
1.5%
2.0%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Austria Vienna goals (down), columns = WSG Wattens goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lask Linz
3.00
Red Bull Salzburg
2.60
Rapid Vienna
2.40
Sturm Graz
1.60
WSG Wattens
1.40
TSV Hartberg
1.20
Wolfsberger AC
1.00
Austria Lustenau
1.00
Grazer AK
0.80
Ried
0.80
Austria Vienna
0.60
SCR Altach
0.60
Austria Vienna is 0.80 points worse than WSG Wattens in terms of average points per game (0.60 vs 1.40).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Rapid Vienna
3.00
Lask Linz
3.00
Red Bull Salzburg
2.80
WSG Wattens
1.40
Sturm Graz
1.20
Wolfsberger AC
1.20
Ried
1.20
TSV Hartberg
1.00
Austria Lustenau
1.00
SCR Altach
0.80
Austria Vienna
0.60
Grazer AK
0.40
Austria Vienna is 0.80 goals worse than WSG Wattens in terms of goals scored per game (0.60 vs 1.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lask Linz
0.40
Red Bull Salzburg
0.60
Sturm Graz
1.00
Wolfsberger AC
1.20
Rapid Vienna
1.40
WSG Wattens
1.40
TSV Hartberg
1.60
SCR Altach
1.60
Austria Lustenau
1.80
Austria Vienna
2.00
Ried
2.00
Grazer AK
2.60
Austria Vienna is 0.60 goals worse than WSG Wattens in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.40).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Red Bull Salzburg
66%
Lask Linz
58%
Rapid Vienna
56%
Sturm Graz
55%
Ried
52%
Grazer AK
50%
SCR Altach
49%
Austria Vienna
45%
WSG Wattens
45%
TSV Hartberg
42%
Wolfsberger AC
42%
Austria Lustenau
41%
Austria Vienna is 0.2 percentage points better than WSG Wattens in terms of average possession (45% vs 45%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Austria Vienna
For 3.8 · Against 6.0 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 12.1 · Total 24.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
WSG Wattens
For 4.8 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 12.0 · Total 24.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Austria Vienna
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.2
9.6
3.8
4.4
3.2
23.0
24.3
21.7
vs Stronger (11)
8.3
9.2
7.5
4.0
5.2
3.0
23.4
25.0
22.0
vs Similar (31)
10.6
10.7
10.5
4.1
4.6
3.6
22.7
23.8
21.5
vs Weaker (8)
9.2
9.0
9.5
2.1
2.0
2.2
24.5
26.5
22.5
% over line
46%
48%
43%
54%
62%
46%
50%
61%
39%
% under line
54%
52%
57%
46%
38%
54%
50%
39%
61%
This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
WSG Wattens
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.8
10.2
3.9
4.0
3.9
22.5
20.9
24.1
vs Stronger (19)
10.9
11.7
9.9
3.3
3.0
3.7
20.8
18.9
23.1
vs Similar (30)
9.4
8.4
10.3
4.4
4.7
4.2
23.6
22.4
24.6
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
48%
52%
43%
56%
57%
56%
54%
43%
65%
% under line
52%
48%
57%
44%
43%
44%
46%
57%
35%
This opponent (Austria Vienna) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lask Linz
10.3
Austria Vienna
10.1
WSG Wattens
10.0
Sturm Graz
10.0
TSV Hartberg
9.9
Austria Lustenau
9.8
Wolfsberger AC
9.7
Rapid Vienna
9.6
Red Bull Salzburg
9.3
Grazer AK
9.1
Ried
8.9
SCR Altach
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SCR Altach
5.0
Austria Lustenau
4.9
Sturm Graz
4.8
Wolfsberger AC
4.7
Ried
4.6
Grazer AK
4.6
TSV Hartberg
4.5
Austria Vienna
4.4
WSG Wattens
4.3
Rapid Vienna
4.2
Red Bull Salzburg
3.9
Lask Linz
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Rapid Vienna
24.0
Sturm Graz
23.8
Grazer AK
23.3
Austria Lustenau
23.3
SCR Altach
23.0
Austria Vienna
22.9
Wolfsberger AC
22.6
WSG Wattens
22.5
Ried
22.4
TSV Hartberg
21.7
Lask Linz
21.0
Red Bull Salzburg
19.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
57.5%
@ 1.85+7.0%
Under 9.5
42.5%
@ 1.88-7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.87
Superbet
1.85
Unibet
1.83
Pinnacle
1.83
Under
Pinnacle
1.96
1xBet
1.92
10Bet
1.90
Betano
1.87
Marathonbet
1.86
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
60.7%
@ 1.40-3.6%
Under 3.5
39.3%
@ 2.52+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.40
Under
Superbet
2.52
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
61.1%
Under 21.5
38.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Austria Vienna or Draw✗ Miss
70.0%
Avg Implied 74.0% · @ 1.27
Edge
-4.0%
43%
26%
30%
covers Austria Vienna + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Austria Vienna or WSG Wattens✓ Hit
73.5%
Avg Implied 74.5% · @ 1.26
Edge
-1.0%
43%
26%
30%
covers Austria Vienna + WSG Wattens
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Draw or WSG Wattens✓ Hit
56.5%
Avg Implied 51.5% · @ 1.82
Edge
+5.0%
43%
26%
30%
covers Draw + WSG Wattens
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.91
Bet365
1.91
Betano
1.88
Marathonbet
1.84
Superbet
1.83
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Austria Vienna over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
80.3%
@ 1.17+1.1%
Under
19.7%
@ 4.46-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
BetVictor
1.17
Betfair
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Under
Superbet
4.60
Bet365
4.50
BetVictor
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Austria Vienna over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
48.3%
@ 1.86-1.6%
Under
51.7%
@ 1.86+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.91
BetVictor
1.91
Pinnacle
1.89
Marathonbet
1.87
Betano
1.87
Under
Pinnacle
1.96
Marathonbet
1.90
Superbet
1.87
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.86
Austria Vienna over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
22.3%
@ 3.72-2.6%
Under
77.7%
@ 1.24+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.90
Pinnacle
3.83
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.75
Under
Pinnacle
1.27
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Austria Vienna over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.2%
@ 8.15-3.2%
Under
91.8%
@ 1.05+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
8.50
1xBet
8.10
Marathonbet
7.70
Superbet
7.50
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
WSG Wattens over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
73.3%
@ 1.37+5.8%
Under
26.7%
@ 2.85-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
10Bet
1.38
Superbet
1.38
Under
Pinnacle
3.02
BetVictor
3.00
Betfair
2.88
Marathonbet
2.83
Betano
2.82
WSG Wattens over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
38.1%
@ 2.83+5.2%
Under
61.9%
@ 1.39-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
Pinnacle
3.00
Betfair
2.88
Marathonbet
2.82
Superbet
2.80
Under
1xBet
1.41
Betano
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
Superbet
1.39
WSG Wattens over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.8%
@ 7.06+1.6%
Under
85.2%
@ 1.07-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.50
Marathonbet
7.00
BetVictor
7.00
10Bet
7.00
Under
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
WSG Wattens over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.5%
@ 17.42-1.0%
Under
95.5%
@ 1.01+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
23.00
Superbet
18.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Austria Vienna, so a minus line means Austria Vienna give that many goals of a start and WSG Wattens receive them. At -1, Austria Vienna must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Austria Vienna win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Austria Vienna)Actual: WSG Wattens
Austria Vienna -2
9.5%
@ 6.83-3.6%
Draw -2
13.4%
@ 5.38-3.1%
WSG Wattens +2
77.0%
@ 1.27+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
7.50
10Bet
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Unibet
6.75
Marathonbet
6.40
Draw
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.40
Unibet
5.25
Away
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.27
Betfair
1.25
Unibet
1.25
Handicap -1 (Austria Vienna)Actual: WSG Wattens
Austria Vienna -1
23.0%
@ 3.31-4.0%
Draw -1
20.5%
@ 3.69-3.7%
WSG Wattens +1
56.5%
@ 1.83+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
3.40
10Bet
3.40
Unibet
3.35
Betfair
3.30
Marathonbet
3.22
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.75
Superbet
3.70
10Bet
3.60
Marathonbet
3.56
Away
Superbet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.84
Betfair
1.83
Bet365
1.83
10Bet
1.83
Handicap +1 (Austria Vienna)Actual: Draw
Austria Vienna +1
70.0%
@ 1.25-1.5%
Draw +1
16.5%
@ 5.28-0.5%
WSG Wattens -1
13.6%
@ 7.77+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
Betfair
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Superbet
5.35
10Bet
5.25
Marathonbet
5.15
Away
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.50
10Bet
7.50
Superbet
7.40
Marathonbet
7.20
Handicap +2 (Austria Vienna)Actual: Austria Vienna
Austria Vienna +2
86.4%
@ 1.06-1.2%
Draw +2
8.9%
@ 11.50+0.8%
WSG Wattens -2
4.7%
@ 22.00+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Draw
Bet365
12.00
Betfair
11.00
Away
Betfair
23.00
Bet365
21.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Austria Vienna
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.87
0.64
0.64
0.75
1.06
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
1.22
0.75
1.25
0.60
1.20
vs Similar (18)
0.72
0.72
0.67
0.44
0.78
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.67
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
WSG Wattens
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.83
0.64
0.93
0.44
0.75
vs Stronger (13)
0.23
0.85
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.71
vs Similar (16)
0.69
0.88
0.75
0.88
0.62
0.88
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Vienna) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
67.9%
@ 1.33-2.1%
Under 0.5
32.1%
@ 3.11+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.39
BetVictor
1.35
1xBet
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Under
Pinnacle
3.33
Betfair
3.30
Bet365
3.25
William Hil
3.20
10Bet
3.10
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
33.7%
@ 2.55-2.6%
Under 1.5
66.3%
@ 1.45+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.66
Betano
2.65
Bet365
2.62
Betfair
2.60
1xBet
2.57
Under
10Bet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.48
Superbet
1.47
Betano
1.47
Marathonbet
1.46
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.7%
@ 6.26-3.1%
Under 2.5
88.3%
@ 1.09+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
BetVictor
7.00
Betfair
7.00
William Hil
6.00
Betano
5.80
Under
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Austria Vienna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
51.8%
@ 1.76-1.1%
Under
48.2%
@ 1.97+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.82
Pinnacle
1.78
Marathonbet
1.75
Superbet
1.75
1xBet
1.74
Under
Pinnacle
2.05
10Bet
2.00
1xBet
1.98
Superbet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.94
Austria Vienna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
13.7%
@ 4.65-6.2%
Under
86.3%
@ 1.15+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.85
Betano
4.75
1xBet
4.60
Superbet
4.55
10Bet
4.50
Under
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
Austria Vienna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.5%
@ 12.50-5.0%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.02+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
10Bet
13.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
WSG Wattens over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
41.5%
@ 2.31+1.3%
Under
58.5%
@ 1.55-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.44
Betano
2.35
1xBet
2.32
Superbet
2.32
Marathonbet
2.26
Under
10Bet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.57
Unibet
1.56
Betano
1.55
Marathonbet
1.55
WSG Wattens over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.0%
@ 7.68-2.0%
Under
90.0%
@ 1.05+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.20
Marathonbet
7.90
Superbet
7.60
10Bet
7.50
Betano
7.20
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
10Bet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
WSG Wattens over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.5%
@ 30.00-98.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
30.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Austria Vienna
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.63
0.64
0.86
0.81
0.44
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
0.89
0.75
1.00
0.40
0.80
vs Similar (18)
0.72
0.61
0.67
0.89
0.78
0.33
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
WSG Wattens
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.70
0.64
0.57
1.00
0.81
vs Stronger (13)
0.92
0.38
0.83
0.50
1.00
0.29
vs Similar (16)
0.56
1.00
0.50
0.62
0.62
1.38
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
0.00
-
-
4.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Vienna) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
77.4%
@ 1.20-0.1%
Under 0.5
22.6%
@ 4.13+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
Under
Bet365
4.33
Betano
4.25
Marathonbet
4.15
Superbet
4.10
1xBet
4.05
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
44.1%
@ 1.97-3.1%
Under 1.5
55.9%
@ 1.76+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.00
William Hil
2.00
1xBet
1.98
Marathonbet
1.96
Unibet
1.96
Under
Betano
1.83
Marathonbet
1.79
1xBet
1.77
Superbet
1.76
William Hil
1.73
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.5%
@ 4.03-5.6%
Under 2.5
82.5%
@ 1.21+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
William Hil
4.20
Superbet
4.00
1xBet
3.96
Marathonbet
3.90
Under
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.21
William Hil
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Austria Vienna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
53.8%
@ 1.53-6.7%
Under
46.2%
@ 2.35+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.55
Superbet
1.53
Betano
1.53
1xBet
1.52
Under
Betano
2.40
1xBet
2.37
Superbet
2.35
10Bet
2.30
Austria Vienna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
20.4%
@ 3.51-5.9%
Under
79.6%
@ 1.25+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.70
Superbet
3.55
Marathonbet
3.48
Betano
3.40
1xBet
3.40
Under
Betano
1.29
1xBet
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
10Bet
1.22
Austria Vienna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.1%
@ 9.05-5.1%
Under
94.9%
@ 1.03+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.60
10Bet
9.50
Superbet
9.30
Betano
7.80
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
WSG Wattens over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
47.9%
@ 1.93-0.2%
Under
52.1%
@ 1.78+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.97
Superbet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.92
Betano
1.91
10Bet
1.91
Under
Betano
1.83
10Bet
1.80
Superbet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.77
1xBet
1.74
WSG Wattens over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.6%
@ 5.67-1.7%
Under
85.4%
@ 1.10+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Marathonbet
5.75
Superbet
5.65
Betano
5.20
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
WSG Wattens over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.7%
@ 16.42-3.1%
Under
97.3%
@ 1.01+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
19.00
10Bet
19.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
95.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.9%
1.03
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
92.1%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.04
BetVictor
1.02
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
91.8%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.0%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
10Bet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.3%
1.09
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
86.4%
1.06
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
-
-
-
-1.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
86.3%
1.15
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
+6.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
85.4%
1.10
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
85.2%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
-1.6%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.5%
1.21
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.21
William Hil
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
82.4%
1.13
Pinnacle
1.16
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
-0.2%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
80.4%
1.23
Betano
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.22
+4.5%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
80.3%
1.17
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
BetVictor
1.17
Betfair
1.17
10Bet
1.17
+1.1%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
79.6%
1.25
Betano
1.29
1xBet
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
10Bet
1.22
+5.9%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
77.7%
1.24
Pinnacle
1.27
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.4%
1.20
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
-0.1%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
77.0%
1.27
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.27
Betfair
1.25
Unibet
1.25
+6.7%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
75.1%
1.38
Superbet
1.38
-
-
-
-
+10.0%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
73.5%
1.26
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
-1.0%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
73.3%
1.37
Pinnacle
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
10Bet
1.38
Superbet
1.38
+5.8%
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Austria Vienna
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kelvin Boateng20%
Jonas Feddersen14%
Daniel Nnodim12%
S. Saljic11%
V. Markovic11%
R. Ranftl10%
M. Fischer10%
Julian Hettwer10%
Aleksandar Dragović0%
Johannes Handl0%
Johannes Eggestein0%
S. Şahin-Radlinger0%
Lee Kang-Hee0%
Lee Tae-Seok0%
F. Wustinger0%
I. Buhari0%
Moritz Wels0%
Matteo Schablas0%
Philipp Maybach0%
H. Deshihsku0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Matteo Schablas67%
R. Ranftl30%
Lee Tae-Seok29%
Kelvin Boateng20%
F. Wustinger20%
Philipp Maybach17%
Aleksandar Dragović14%
Lee Kang-Hee12%
Daniel Nnodim12%
Johannes Handl11%
M. Fischer10%
Johannes Eggestein0%
S. Şahin-Radlinger0%
Julian Hettwer0%
I. Buhari0%
Moritz Wels0%
S. Saljic0%
Jonas Feddersen0%
V. Markovic0%
H. Deshihsku0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
M. Fischer20%
Philipp Maybach17%
Lee Tae-Seok14%
Daniel Nnodim12%
F. Wustinger10%
Aleksandar Dragović0%
Johannes Handl0%
R. Ranftl0%
Johannes Eggestein0%
S. Şahin-Radlinger0%
Julian Hettwer0%
Lee Kang-Hee0%
Kelvin Boateng0%
I. Buhari0%
Moritz Wels0%
S. Saljic0%
Matteo Schablas0%
Jonas Feddersen0%
V. Markovic0%
H. Deshihsku0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Moritz Wels25%
Kelvin Boateng20%
M. Fischer10%
Julian Hettwer10%
Aleksandar Dragović0%
Johannes Handl0%
R. Ranftl0%
Johannes Eggestein0%
S. Şahin-Radlinger0%
Lee Kang-Hee0%
Lee Tae-Seok0%
F. Wustinger0%
I. Buhari0%
S. Saljic0%
Matteo Schablas0%
Philipp Maybach0%
Daniel Nnodim0%
Jonas Feddersen0%
V. Markovic0%
H. Deshihsku0%
WSG Wattens
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
M. Olakigbe40%
Marc Striednig25%
Husein Balić20%
Nikolai Frederiksen20%
Drew Murray20%
D. Gugganig0%
Murat Satin0%
Nemanja Čelić0%
Thomas Goiginger0%
Lukas Hinterseer0%
M. Boras0%
D. Kubatta0%
S. Hamzić0%
Raphael Gschösser0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Raphael Gschösser50%
Drew Murray40%
Marc Striednig25%
Nemanja Čelić20%
M. Olakigbe20%
D. Gugganig0%
Murat Satin0%
Thomas Goiginger0%
Husein Balić0%
Lukas Hinterseer0%
Nikolai Frederiksen0%
M. Boras0%
D. Kubatta0%
S. Hamzić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Raphael Gschösser25%
Thomas Goiginger20%
M. Boras20%
M. Olakigbe20%
D. Gugganig0%
Murat Satin0%
Nemanja Čelić0%
Husein Balić0%
Lukas Hinterseer0%
Nikolai Frederiksen0%
D. Kubatta0%
S. Hamzić0%
Drew Murray0%
Marc Striednig0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nikolai Frederiksen40%
Husein Balić20%
Lukas Hinterseer20%
D. Gugganig0%
Murat Satin0%
Nemanja Čelić0%
Thomas Goiginger0%
M. Boras0%
M. Olakigbe0%
D. Kubatta0%
S. Hamzić0%
Drew Murray0%
Marc Striednig0%
Raphael Gschösser0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (31)
€105m
SG (26)
€52m
RV (33)
€46m
LL (22)
€44m
AV (30)
€23m
WA (28)
€12m
TH (27)
€10m
GA (23)
€9m
SA (23)
€9m
RIE (24)
€7m
WW (22)
€7m
AL (22)
€5m
Austria Vienna's squad is €16m more valuable than WSG Wattens's (€23m vs €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (11)
€47m
SG (11)
€26m
RV (11)
€16m
LL (5)
€13m
AV (11)
€9m
SA (9)
€4m
WA (9)
€3m
WW (7)
€3m
TH (9)
€3m
AL (10)
€2m
RIE (7)
€2m
GA (7)
€2m
Austria Vienna's attack is €6m more valuable than WSG Wattens's (€9m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (6)
€29m
SG (4)
€14m
LL (6)
€11m
RV (6)
€10m
AV (5)
€7m
WA (5)
€3m
TH (7)
€3m
RIE (8)
€3m
WW (7)
€2m
SA (3)
€1m
GA (3)
€1m
AL (3)
€1m
Austria Vienna's midfield is €5m more valuable than WSG Wattens's (€7m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (14)
€29m
LL (11)
€20m
RV (16)
€19m
SG (11)
€13m
AV (14)
€7m
WA (14)
€6m
GA (13)
€6m
TH (11)
€5m
SA (11)
€4m
WW (8)
€3m
RIE (9)
€3m
AL (9)
€2m
Austria Vienna's defence is €5m more valuable than WSG Wattens's (€7m vs €3m).
Austria: Bundesliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Lask Linz
Red Bull Salzburg
Rapid Vienna
Sturm Graz
TSV Hartberg
Wolfsberger AC
Austria Lustenau
Ried
Grazer AK
SCR Altach