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AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior Result & Analysis

Date: 21/01/2026
Time: 17:45
Final 1-1
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
Vs
69%
17%
14%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Excelsior
Excelsior
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AZ Alkmaar win✗ Miss
69.1%
Avg Implied 73.1% · @ 1.28
Edge
-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
17.0%
Avg Implied 16.1% · @ 5.82
Edge
+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Excelsior win✗ Miss
13.9%
Avg Implied 10.8% · @ 8.64
Edge
+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-620W01L31W22D30W00D34L10W60W13LH·SHE27/11A·TWE30/11A·PEC03/12H·GO 07/12A·DRI11/12H·JAG18/12A·FOR21/12H·FC 10/01H·AJA14/01A·PEC17/01
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.971.332.501.141.501.50
vs Stronger (1)1.005.001.005.00--
vs Similar (8)2.881.003.601.001.671.00
vs Weaker (21)1.671.292.000.751.461.62
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L00D22D12L21W10W02L21W15L22DA·GO 26/10A·EXC29/10A·TEL01/11H·HER08/11A·AJA22/11H·NAC29/11H·GRO05/12H·PEC20/12A·PSV10/01H·TEL17/01
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.431.620.881.362.07
vs Stronger (7)1.002.711.001.331.003.75
vs Similar (22)1.641.091.750.831.501.40
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %27% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (AZ Alkmaar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%2%06%115%219%320%416%522%6+
The model estimates around 4.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
91.8%
Under 1.5
8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
76.9%
@ 1.35+8.3%
Under 2.5
23.1%
@ 2.96-8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
57.7%
Under 3.5
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
67.6%
No
32.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
8.6%
3-1
8.0%
2-0
6.8%
1-1 ✓
6.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-2
5.0%
AZ Alkmaar goals ↓
Excelsior goals →
01234
02.4%1.6%1.4%0.6%0.2%
14.3%6.7%3.8%1.6%0.5%
26.8%8.6%5.3%2.2%0.7%
36.4%8.0%5.0%2.1%0.7%
44.5%5.6%3.5%1.5%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AZ Alkmaar goals (down), columns = Excelsior goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.47
Feyenoord
1.91
NEC Nijmegen
1.74
Twente
1.71
Ajax
1.67
Utrecht
1.58
AZ Alkmaar
1.53
Heerenveen
1.42
Groningen
1.37
Sparta Rotterdam
1.26
Fortuna Sittard
1.15
GO Ahead Eagles
1.12
Excelsior
1.12
PEC Zwolle
1.09
Telstar
1.09
FC Volendam
0.94
NAC Breda
0.91
Heracles
0.56
AZ Alkmaar is 0.41 points better than Excelsior in terms of average points per game (1.53 vs 1.12).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.97
NEC Nijmegen
2.26
Feyenoord
2.06
Ajax
1.78
Twente
1.74
AZ Alkmaar
1.71
Heerenveen
1.64
Utrecht
1.61
GO Ahead Eagles
1.59
Fortuna Sittard
1.44
Telstar
1.44
Groningen
1.40
PEC Zwolle
1.29
Excelsior
1.26
Sparta Rotterdam
1.18
NAC Breda
1.06
FC Volendam
1.03
Heracles
1.03
AZ Alkmaar is 0.44 goals better than Excelsior in terms of goals scored per game (1.71 vs 1.26).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Ajax
1.14
Twente
1.18
Utrecht
1.22
Feyenoord
1.29
PSV Eindhoven
1.32
Groningen
1.34
AZ Alkmaar
1.50
NEC Nijmegen
1.56
GO Ahead Eagles
1.56
Heerenveen
1.61
FC Volendam
1.62
Telstar
1.62
Excelsior
1.65
NAC Breda
1.66
Sparta Rotterdam
1.82
Fortuna Sittard
1.85
PEC Zwolle
2.09
Heracles
2.50
AZ Alkmaar is 0.15 goals better than Excelsior in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.65).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
PSV Eindhoven
61%
NEC Nijmegen
57%
Ajax
56%
Twente
54%
AZ Alkmaar
53%
Feyenoord
53%
Heerenveen
51%
Groningen
50%
GO Ahead Eagles
49%
NAC Breda
49%
Excelsior
48%
Sparta Rotterdam
47%
Utrecht
47%
Telstar
45%
PEC Zwolle
45%
FC Volendam
45%
Fortuna Sittard
45%
Heracles
45%
AZ Alkmaar is 5.6 percentage points better than Excelsior in terms of average possession (53% vs 48%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar

For 6.7 · Against 3.6 · Total 10.3

🚩 Corners

1507343728585641145232861079131310157514A·PECH·AJAH·FC A·FORH·JAGA·DRIH·GO A·PECA·TWEH·SHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.9

🟨 Cards

702112134223211143243313653276A·PECH·AJAH·FC A·FORH·JAGA·DRIH·GO A·PECA·TWEH·SHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 12.0 · Total 22.6

⚠️ Fouls

2901412101010911181311111088141191361826201929242116252224A·PECH·AJAH·FC A·FORH·JAGA·DRIH·GO A·PECA·TWEH·SHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ExcelsiorExcelsior

For 5.0 · Against 5.8 · Total 10.8

🚩 Corners

1903746315516296135311410410104107111981514H·TELA·PSVH·PECH·GROH·NACA·AJAH·HERA·TELA·EXCA·GO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.5

🟨 Cards

703111134411212214213227533253H·TELA·PSVH·PECH·GROH·NACA·AJAH·HERA·TELA·EXCA·GO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 9.8 · Total 22.6

⚠️ Fouls

34011871013710922121341413158112012719172019341727233119H·TELA·PSVH·PECH·GROH·NACA·AJAH·HERA·TELA·EXCA·GO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.010.39.74.24.04.422.122.322.0
vs Stronger (1)10.010.0-3.03.0-19.019.0-
vs Similar (12)8.79.77.24.74.74.623.122.424.0
vs Weaker (37)10.510.610.44.13.84.321.922.521.4
% over line53%60%46%58%56%60%47%48%46%
% under line47%40%54%42%44%40%53%52%54%
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ExcelsiorExcelsior

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.99.710.03.23.13.222.922.723.1
vs Stronger (8)9.07.010.51.82.31.420.720.720.8
vs Similar (41)9.910.09.93.53.33.623.323.023.6
vs Weaker (1)12.012.0-1.01.0-23.023.0-
% over line51%50%52%40%36%44%60%58%61%
% under line49%50%48%60%64%56%40%42%39%
This opponent (AZ Alkmaar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
GO Ahead Eagles
10.9
PSV Eindhoven
10.7
Sparta Rotterdam
10.7
Heracles
10.5
Fortuna Sittard
10.4
FC Volendam
10.3
Telstar
10.3
AZ Alkmaar
10.1
NEC Nijmegen
10.0
Feyenoord
9.9
Excelsior
9.9
Heerenveen
9.8
Utrecht
9.7
Ajax
9.6
NAC Breda
9.5
Twente
9.4
Groningen
9.4
PEC Zwolle
9.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
AZ Alkmaar
4.2
Twente
4.2
Ajax
4.1
NEC Nijmegen
3.9
Fortuna Sittard
3.9
Utrecht
3.8
NAC Breda
3.8
Groningen
3.8
Heracles
3.7
Sparta Rotterdam
3.7
Feyenoord
3.6
PEC Zwolle
3.6
Excelsior
3.6
FC Volendam
3.5
GO Ahead Eagles
3.4
Telstar
3.4
PSV Eindhoven
3.3
Heerenveen
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Fortuna Sittard
24.0
Telstar
23.8
NEC Nijmegen
23.5
Heracles
23.3
Utrecht
23.2
Ajax
22.9
Excelsior
22.7
FC Volendam
22.5
PEC Zwolle
22.5
AZ Alkmaar
22.4
NAC Breda
22.0
Heerenveen
22.0
Twente
21.9
Feyenoord
21.5
Groningen
20.6
GO Ahead Eagles
19.5
Sparta Rotterdam
18.8
PSV Eindhoven
18.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
58.0%
Under 9.5
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
51.0%
Under 3.5
49.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
47.2%
Under 21.5
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D01L21W10W00D22D10W30W02LH·SHE27/11A·TWE30/11A·PEC03/12H·GO 07/12A·DRI11/12H·JAG18/12A·FOR21/12H·FC 10/01H·AJA14/01A·PEC17/01
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.671.570.500.440.81
vs Stronger (1)1.003.001.003.00--
vs Similar (8)1.500.382.000.200.670.67
vs Weaker (21)0.760.671.380.380.380.85
Clean sheet %53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D00D12L10W10W10W00D10W14L00DA·GO 26/10A·EXC29/10A·TEL01/11H·HER08/11A·AJA22/11H·NAC29/11H·GRO05/12H·PEC20/12A·PSV10/01H·TEL17/01
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.600.810.310.640.93
vs Stronger (7)0.571.430.671.000.501.75
vs Similar (22)0.770.360.830.170.700.60
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (AZ Alkmaar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W01L30W01L20W00D12L00D30W11DH·SHE27/11A·TWE30/11A·PEC03/12H·GO 07/12A·DRI11/12H·JAG18/12A·FOR21/12H·FC 10/01H·AJA14/01A·PEC17/01
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.670.930.641.060.69
vs Stronger (1)0.002.000.002.00--
vs Similar (8)1.380.621.600.801.000.33
vs Weaker (21)0.900.620.620.381.080.77
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D10W02L11D00D02L11D01L22DA·GO 26/10A·EXC29/10A·TEL01/11H·HER08/11A·AJA22/11H·NAC29/11H·GRO05/12H·PEC20/12A·PSV10/01H·TEL17/01
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.830.810.560.711.14
vs Stronger (7)0.431.290.330.330.502.00
vs Similar (22)0.860.730.920.670.800.80
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (AZ Alkmaar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.591.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards82.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls81.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.576.9%1.35-----+8.3%✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards71.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners70.1%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

AZ Alkmaar
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Troy Parrott50%
Sven Mijnans36%
Ernest Poku25%
Mexx Meerdink25%
Ibrahim Sadiq19%
Isak Steiner Jensen13%
Mees De Wit12%
Matěj Šín11%
Kees Smit11%
Denso Kasius10%
Peer Koopmeiners8%
Billy van Duijl8%
Lequincio Zeefuik7%
Ro-Zangelo Daal7%
Jordy Clasie6%
Weslley Patati5%
Alexandre Penetra4%
Mateo Chávez3%
Wouter Goes2%
Jeroen Zoet0%
Jizz Hornkamp0%
Seiya Maikuma0%
Zico Buurmeester0%
Maxim Dekker0%
Dave Kwakman0%
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro0%
Elijah Dijkstra0%
Rion Ichihara0%
Wassim Bouziane0%
Ayoub Oufkir0%
Rio Robbemond0%
Kasper Boogaard0%
Bendegúz Kovács0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Zico Buurmeester33%
Rio Robbemond33%
Mateo Chávez31%
Wouter Goes30%
Jordy Clasie29%
Mees De Wit25%
Ibrahim Sadiq22%
Kasper Boogaard18%
Kees Smit17%
Denso Kasius17%
Troy Parrott17%
Peer Koopmeiners12%
Alexandre Penetra11%
Ro-Zangelo Daal10%
Mexx Meerdink9%
Dave Kwakman8%
Elijah Dijkstra8%
Ayoub Oufkir8%
Billy van Duijl8%
Weslley Patati8%
Isak Steiner Jensen7%
Lequincio Zeefuik7%
Sven Mijnans6%
Matěj Šín4%
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro3%
Jeroen Zoet0%
Jizz Hornkamp0%
Seiya Maikuma0%
Maxim Dekker0%
Ernest Poku0%
Rion Ichihara0%
Wassim Bouziane0%
Bendegúz Kovács0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ernest Poku50%
Bendegúz Kovács25%
Mees De Wit23%
Wassim Bouziane20%
Troy Parrott19%
Kees Smit17%
Denso Kasius17%
Sven Mijnans16%
Isak Steiner Jensen13%
Kasper Boogaard12%
Jizz Hornkamp11%
Mexx Meerdink9%
Mateo Chávez6%
Jordy Clasie6%
Jeroen Zoet5%
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro5%
Weslley Patati5%
Ro-Zangelo Daal5%
Peer Koopmeiners4%
Matěj Šín4%
Elijah Dijkstra3%
Alexandre Penetra2%
Ibrahim Sadiq0%
Seiya Maikuma0%
Zico Buurmeester0%
Lequincio Zeefuik0%
Maxim Dekker0%
Wouter Goes0%
Dave Kwakman0%
Billy van Duijl0%
Rion Ichihara0%
Ayoub Oufkir0%
Rio Robbemond0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Troy Parrott46%
Sven Mijnans34%
Ernest Poku25%
Mexx Meerdink19%
Denso Kasius14%
Weslley Patati12%
Ibrahim Sadiq11%
Ro-Zangelo Daal7%
Kees Smit7%
Isak Steiner Jensen4%
Peer Koopmeiners2%
Alexandre Penetra2%
Jeroen Zoet0%
Jizz Hornkamp0%
Jordy Clasie0%
Mees De Wit0%
Seiya Maikuma0%
Zico Buurmeester0%
Lequincio Zeefuik0%
Maxim Dekker0%
Wouter Goes0%
Dave Kwakman0%
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro0%
Matěj Šín0%
Billy van Duijl0%
Elijah Dijkstra0%
Mateo Chávez0%
Rion Ichihara0%
Wassim Bouziane0%
Ayoub Oufkir0%
Rio Robbemond0%
Kasper Boogaard0%
Bendegúz Kovács0%
Excelsior
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Noah Naujoks29%
Miliano Jonathans22%
Irakli Yegoian16%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes15%
Yoon Do-young14%
Szymon Włodarczyk13%
Arthur Zagre13%
Gyan de Regt9%
Emil Hansson8%
Ilias Bronkhorst6%
Lennard Hartjes5%
Lewis Schouten4%
Mike van Duinen3%
Casper Widell3%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Simon Janssen0%
Adam Carlén0%
Calvin Raatsie0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Rick Meissen0%
Chris-Kévin Nadje0%
Zach Booth0%
Mathijs Tielemans0%
Stan Henderikx0%
Nolan Martens0%
Jerolldino Bergraaf0%
Stijn Middendorp0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Calvin Raatsie33%
Chris-Kévin Nadje29%
Arthur Zagre19%
Ilias Bronkhorst18%
Adam Carlén15%
Yoon Do-young14%
Rick Meissen12%
Miliano Jonathans11%
Noah Naujoks10%
Gyan de Regt9%
Emil Hansson8%
Mike van Duinen7%
Irakli Yegoian6%
Casper Widell6%
Lennard Hartjes5%
Szymon Włodarczyk4%
Lewis Schouten4%
Jerolldino Bergraaf4%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Simon Janssen0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes0%
Zach Booth0%
Mathijs Tielemans0%
Stan Henderikx0%
Nolan Martens0%
Stijn Middendorp0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gyan de Regt17%
Nolan Martens10%
Rick Meissen9%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes9%
Emil Hansson8%
Simon Janssen8%
Mike van Duinen7%
Arthur Zagre6%
Irakli Yegoian6%
Szymon Włodarczyk4%
Adam Carlén4%
Noah Naujoks3%
Stijn van Gassel3%
Casper Widell3%
Ilias Bronkhorst0%
Calvin Raatsie0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Chris-Kévin Nadje0%
Zach Booth0%
Mathijs Tielemans0%
Lennard Hartjes0%
Stan Henderikx0%
Lewis Schouten0%
Miliano Jonathans0%
Yoon Do-young0%
Jerolldino Bergraaf0%
Stijn Middendorp0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Noah Naujoks26%
Irakli Yegoian19%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes15%
Jerolldino Bergraaf12%
Gyan de Regt9%
Lennard Hartjes5%
Szymon Włodarczyk4%
Casper Widell3%
Arthur Zagre0%
Emil Hansson0%
Mike van Duinen0%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Simon Janssen0%
Ilias Bronkhorst0%
Adam Carlén0%
Calvin Raatsie0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Rick Meissen0%
Chris-Kévin Nadje0%
Zach Booth0%
Mathijs Tielemans0%
Stan Henderikx0%
Lewis Schouten0%
Nolan Martens0%
Miliano Jonathans0%
Yoon Do-young0%
Stijn Middendorp0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
EXC (24)
€16m
NB (23)
€10m
HER (28)
€8m
TEL (21)
€8m
FV (20)
€6m
AZ Alkmaar's squad is €119m more valuable than Excelsior's (€136m vs €16m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
GAE (9)
€9m
PZ (8)
€8m
EXC (9)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
NB (10)
€4m
HER (13)
€4m
TEL (7)
€3m
FV (6)
€2m
AZ Alkmaar's attack is €54m more valuable than Excelsior's (€61m vs €7m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
PZ (5)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EXC (4)
€3m
NB (3)
€2m
TEL (4)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
HER (4)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
AZ Alkmaar's midfield is €19m more valuable than Excelsior's (€21m vs €3m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
GAE (12)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
EXC (11)
€6m
NB (10)
€4m
TEL (10)
€3m
HER (11)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
AZ Alkmaar's defence is €47m more valuable than Excelsior's (€54m vs €6m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
AA wins
1
Draws
3
EXC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior · H/A from AA
DateH/AGameScore
10/03/24HAA Vs Excelsior4-0
04/11/23AExcelsior Vs AA1-1
10/02/23HAA Vs Excelsior5-0
23/10/22AExcelsior Vs AA2-1
15/05/19AExcelsior Vs AA4-2
15/12/18HAA Vs Excelsior2-1
03/03/18AExcelsior Vs AA1-2
24/09/17HAA Vs Excelsior0-2

AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/01/26APEC Zwolle Vs AA3-1
14/01/26HAA Vs Ajax6-0
10/01/26HAA Vs FC Volendam1-0
21/12/25AFortuna Sittard Vs AA4-3
18/12/25HAA Vs Jagiellonia0-0
11/12/25ADrita Vs AA0-3
07/12/25HAA Vs GO Ahead Eagles2-2
03/12/25APEC Zwolle Vs AA1-3
30/11/25ATwente Vs AA1-0
27/11/25HAA Vs Shelbourne2-0

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/01/26HEXC Vs Telstar2-2
10/01/26APSV Eindhoven Vs EXC5-1
20/12/25HEXC Vs PEC Zwolle2-1
05/12/25HEXC Vs Groningen0-2
29/11/25HEXC Vs NAC Breda1-0
22/11/25AAjax Vs EXC1-2
08/11/25HEXC Vs Heracles1-2
01/11/25ATelstar Vs EXC2-2
29/10/25AExcelsior Maassluis Vs EXC0-0
26/10/25AGO Ahead Eagles Vs EXC2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWL1.74
HomeWDDWW2.12
AwayLWWLL1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%60%40%
AVG goals3.363.283.44
Over 1.5 %78%76%80%
Over 2.5 %66%60%72%
Over 3.5 %52%48%56%
Scored1.982.281.68
Conceded1.381.001.76
BTTS58%56%60%
Clean Sheet34%40%28%
Corners10.0210.329.71
Cards4.314.044.58
Excelsior
Excelsior
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLD1.64
HomeLWLWD1.84
AwayLDDWL1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%56%40%
AVG goals2.722.243.20
Over 1.5 %76%68%84%
Over 2.5 %56%40%72%
Over 3.5 %28%16%40%
Scored1.501.441.56
Conceded1.220.801.64
BTTS56%40%72%
Clean Sheet32%48%16%
Corners9.859.7110.00
Cards3.513.393.64

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven3484
79%
2.5
10145+56
4.3
97%
85%
59%
11.6
79%
3.4
29%
18.6
21%
280
106601153.01.3
61%
2FeyenoordFeyenoord3465
56%
1.9
7044+26
3.4
85%
59%
38%
10.6
56%
3.6
45%
21.6
50%
229
9343932.11.3
53%
3AjaxAjax3660
42%
1.7
6441+23
2.9
92%
56%
39%
10.0
53%
3.7
44%
22.4
58%
173
9515631.81.1
56%
4NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen3459
47%
1.7
7753+24
3.8
97%
74%
56%
10.1
53%
4.1
47%
24.1
65%
54
225262.31.6
57%
5TwenteTwente3458
44%
1.7
5940+19
2.9
85%
50%
32%
9.5
38%
3.6
38%
20.6
41%
87
3413391.71.2
54%
6UtrechtUtrecht3657
44%
1.6
5844+14
2.8
81%
50%
33%
9.9
58%
3.4
46%
21.9
47%
61
3314151.61.2
47%
7AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar3452
41%
1.5
5851+7
3.2
82%
65%
44%
10.3
56%
3.6
39%
21.6
50%
136
6121541.71.5
53%
8HeerenveenHeerenveen3651
39%
1.4
5958+1
3.2
94%
69%
39%
10.6
61%
3.1
37%
20.4
42%
50
246201.61.6
51%
9GroningenGroningen3548
40%
1.4
4947+2
2.7
89%
54%
23%
11.0
60%
3.5
45%
20.8
51%
32
126141.41.3
50%
10Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam3443
35%
1.3
4062-22
3.0
76%
53%
38%
11.2
68%
4.1
68%
20.7
44%
28
142121.21.8
47%
11Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard3439
32%
1.1
4963-14
3.3
88%
68%
38%
11.1
59%
3.6
42%
23.9
65%
17
6471.41.9
45%
12GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles3438
24%
1.1
5453+1
3.1
85%
62%
47%
11.6
71%
3.5
39%
19.1
24%
22
9481.61.6
49%
13ExcelsiorExcelsior3438
29%
1.1
4356-13
2.9
82%
62%
29%
9.3
44%
3.3
40%
21.0
41%
16
7361.31.6
48%
14TelstarTelstar3437
26%
1.1
4955-6
3.1
88%
59%
38%
11.1
65%
3.5
41%
21.6
47%
8
3231.41.6
45%
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle3437
26%
1.1
4471-27
3.4
85%
62%
44%
9.7
50%
3.5
47%
23.3
68%
21
84101.32.1
45%
16FC VolendamFC Volendam3432
24%
0.9
3555-20
2.6
85%
59%
18%
10.3
62%
3.8
50%
21.8
50%
6
2131.01.6
45%
17NAC BredaNAC Breda3532
20%
0.9
3758-21
2.7
71%
49%
26%
10.1
57%
3.8
50%
23.7
69%
10
4241.11.7
49%
18HeraclesHeracles3419
15%
0.6
3585-50
3.5
91%
71%
38%
10.5
50%
3.9
53%
24.8
74%
8
4131.02.5
45%
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches