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AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen Result & Analysis

Date: 22/05/2025
Time: 16:45
Final 4-1
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
Vs
66%
21%
13%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Heerenveen
Heerenveen
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

AZ Alkmaar’s strong home form, scoring an average of 1.73 goals while conceding only 0.82 against weaker opposition, makes the model pick a home win. The probability of a home victory stands at 66%, a draw at 21%, and an away win at 13%. The expected total goals is 3.0, yet the most likely total is 2, with a 23% chance. The single most likely scoreline is 2-0 for AZ, carrying an 11.3% probability. Heerenveen, struggling away with a 0.5 goal average and conceding 2.5, is the clear underdog. Suggested picks include Under 5.5 cards at 89.2%, Over 1.5 goals at 81.4%, Under 25.5 fouls at 78.2%, Under 4.5 cards at 77.6%, and Under 11.5 corners at 76.3%. The match preview highlights AZ’s dominance at home, Heerenveen’s away weakness, and the model’s confidence in a 2-0 AZ victory.

Results analysis

AZ Alkmaar’s 4-1 victory over Heerenveen saw the model’s favourite, a home win, hit the mark, with the win extending their four-game winning run. The prediction of a 2-0 scoreline was missed, yet the final result still confirmed the home side’s dominance. The model’s pre-match pick, Home win, came with a 66% probability and proved correct. Every suggested selection was settled: Under 5.5 cards hit at 89.2%, Over 1.5 hit at 81.4%, Under 25.5 fouls hit at 78.2%, Under 4.5 cards hit at 77.6%, and Under 11.5 corners hit at 76.3%. The match delivered a clear home triumph.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AZ Alkmaar win✓ Hit
66.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
21.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen win✗ Miss
13.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-333D22D01L01L11D11D30W30W32W11DA·NEC29/03H·WAA01/04H·FEY05/04A·HER13/04H·GO 21/04H·NAC24/04A·GO 04/05H·GRO11/05A·TWE14/05H·ALM18/05
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.201.690.691.861.79
vs Stronger (1)2.002.00--2.002.00
vs Similar (10)1.601.301.600.401.602.20
vs Weaker (19)1.841.111.730.822.001.50
Clean sheet %33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Heerenveen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HeerenveenHeerenveen

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L11D02L31W13L21W10W13L01L20WA·PSV08/03H·HER15/03A·UTR30/03H·WIL04/04A·SPA12/04H·ALM19/04H·NEC27/04A·WAA10/05A·GO 14/05H·FEY18/05
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.501.640.931.002.00
vs Stronger (6)1.171.331.500.750.502.50
vs Similar (22)1.361.501.781.001.081.85
vs Weaker (2)1.002.001.001.001.003.00
Clean sheet %20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (AZ Alkmaar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.4%
Under 1.5
18.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.2%
Under 2.5
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
35.8%
Under 3.5
64.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.2%
No
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.3%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.6%
3-0
8.1%
3-1
7.1%
0-0
5.8%
4-0
4.4%
AZ Alkmaar goals ↓
Heerenveen goals →
01234
05.8%3.3%1.8%0.5%0.1%
19.6%10%3.9%1.1%0.2%
211%9.8%4.3%1.2%0.3%
38.1%7.1%3.1%0.9%0.2%
44.4%3.8%1.6%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AZ Alkmaar goals (down), columns = Heerenveen goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.32
Ajax
2.29
Feyenoord
2.00
Telstar
2.00
Utrecht
1.88
Dordrecht
1.75
AZ Alkmaar
1.75
Twente
1.53
Cambuur
1.50
GO Ahead Eagles
1.50
NEC Nijmegen
1.26
Den Bosch
1.25
Heerenveen
1.23
Fortuna Sittard
1.21
PEC Zwolle
1.21
Sparta Rotterdam
1.15
Groningen
1.15
Heracles
1.12
NAC Breda
0.97
Willem II
0.79
Waalwijk
0.74
Almere City FC
0.65
De Graafschap
0.50
ADO Den Haag
0.00
AZ Alkmaar is 0.52 points better than Heerenveen in terms of average points per game (1.75 vs 1.23).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
PSV Eindhoven
3.03
Feyenoord
2.24
Ajax
1.97
Twente
1.83
Utrecht
1.82
AZ Alkmaar
1.81
GO Ahead Eagles
1.68
NEC Nijmegen
1.51
Dordrecht
1.50
Telstar
1.50
Waalwijk
1.29
PEC Zwolle
1.26
Heracles
1.24
Heerenveen
1.23
Groningen
1.18
Sparta Rotterdam
1.15
Fortuna Sittard
1.09
Willem II
1.08
NAC Breda
1.00
Almere City FC
0.68
Cambuur
0.50
Den Bosch
0.50
ADO Den Haag
0.00
De Graafschap
0.00
AZ Alkmaar is 0.58 goals better than Heerenveen in terms of goals scored per game (1.81 vs 1.23).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Cambuur
0.50
Den Bosch
0.50
Telstar
0.67
Ajax
0.94
Dordrecht
1.00
De Graafschap
1.00
AZ Alkmaar
1.11
Feyenoord
1.12
PSV Eindhoven
1.15
Sparta Rotterdam
1.26
Utrecht
1.32
NEC Nijmegen
1.37
Twente
1.50
PEC Zwolle
1.50
ADO Den Haag
1.50
Groningen
1.56
Fortuna Sittard
1.59
GO Ahead Eagles
1.62
NAC Breda
1.71
Willem II
1.71
Heerenveen
1.74
Heracles
1.85
Almere City FC
1.88
Waalwijk
2.18
AZ Alkmaar is 0.63 goals better than Heerenveen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.11 vs 1.74).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
PSV Eindhoven
68%
Cambuur
66%
ADO Den Haag
64%
Ajax
58%
Feyenoord
58%
Heerenveen
53%
Twente
53%
AZ Alkmaar
52%
GO Ahead Eagles
51%
PEC Zwolle
50%
Dordrecht
50%
Sparta Rotterdam
49%
NEC Nijmegen
49%
De Graafschap
48%
Groningen
47%
Utrecht
46%
Telstar
46%
Heracles
45%
NAC Breda
45%
Willem II
45%
Fortuna Sittard
44%
Waalwijk
44%
Almere City FC
42%
Den Bosch
40%
AZ Alkmaar is 1.1 percentage points worse than Heerenveen in terms of average possession (52% vs 53%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar

For 7.7 · Against 4.3 · Total 12.0

🚩 Corners

1704493114961047336531257581215151410981712H·ALMA·TWEH·GROA·GO H·NACH·GO A·HERH·FEYH·WAAA·NEC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.8

🟨 Cards

60121124232312323331336353536H·ALMA·TWEH·GROA·GO H·NACH·GO A·HERH·FEYH·WAAA·NEC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 10.7 · Total 22.5

⚠️ Fouls

34014119891115591216181013171010109925172020213423272018H·ALMA·TWEH·GROA·GO H·NACH·GO A·HERH·FEYH·WAAA·NEC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

HeerenveenHeerenveen

For 4.9 · Against 4.1 · Total 9.0

🚩 Corners

15023522575431496541014857712751591112H·FEYA·GO A·WAAH·NECH·ALMA·SPAH·WILA·UTRH·HERA·PSV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 1.7 · Total 2.7

🟨 Cards

50121221421211112123145331223H·FEYA·GO A·WAAH·NECH·ALMA·SPAH·WILA·UTRH·HERA·PSV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 10.9 · Total 22.6

⚠️ Fouls

3101961181110131191111131271318815101025192124202419312320H·FEYA·GO A·WAAH·NECH·ALMA·SPAH·WILA·UTRH·HERA·PSV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.79.210.34.13.94.322.422.522.3
vs Stronger (2)7.53.012.01.51.02.015.516.015.0
vs Similar (18)8.98.29.44.25.03.324.525.523.6
vs Weaker (30)10.410.110.84.23.45.221.721.422.0
% over line48%38%59%56%52%61%54%54%55%
% under line52%62%41%44%48%39%46%46%45%
This opponent (Heerenveen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HeerenveenHeerenveen

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.59.59.52.53.11.921.521.121.9
vs Stronger (10)8.98.79.22.02.02.018.018.018.0
vs Similar (36)9.910.19.72.63.71.822.421.922.9
vs Weaker (4)8.07.58.52.21.53.022.824.021.5
% over line49%54%43%28%42%15%51%50%52%
% under line51%46%57%72%58%85%49%50%48%
This opponent (AZ Alkmaar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Waalwijk
11.4
Dordrecht
11.3
Heracles
10.8
Den Bosch
10.8
GO Ahead Eagles
10.8
NEC Nijmegen
10.7
Sparta Rotterdam
10.7
Willem II
10.7
PSV Eindhoven
10.5
Telstar
10.5
Almere City FC
10.2
Utrecht
10.2
Cambuur
10.1
Feyenoord
10.1
Twente
10.0
AZ Alkmaar
9.9
PEC Zwolle
9.9
De Graafschap
9.8
Fortuna Sittard
9.8
ADO Den Haag
9.5
Heerenveen
9.5
NAC Breda
9.4
Groningen
9.2
Ajax
8.6

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
AZ Alkmaar
4.5
Ajax
4.4
ADO Den Haag
4.3
Cambuur
4.1
Twente
3.8
Feyenoord
3.8
Dordrecht
3.7
NEC Nijmegen
3.6
Groningen
3.6
Fortuna Sittard
3.6
PEC Zwolle
3.5
Heracles
3.5
Den Bosch
3.5
NAC Breda
3.5
Utrecht
3.5
De Graafschap
3.5
PSV Eindhoven
3.4
Almere City FC
3.3
GO Ahead Eagles
3.3
Willem II
3.3
Sparta Rotterdam
3.2
Telstar
3.2
Waalwijk
3.2
Heerenveen
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
ADO Den Haag
25.8
Dordrecht
25.5
Cambuur
25.0
Telstar
24.8
Ajax
23.4
Heracles
22.4
AZ Alkmaar
22.3
Den Bosch
22.2
Fortuna Sittard
22.0
De Graafschap
22.0
Heerenveen
21.6
PEC Zwolle
21.5
Utrecht
21.1
NEC Nijmegen
21.1
Almere City FC
20.9
Twente
20.9
Groningen
20.8
Feyenoord
20.2
NAC Breda
20.1
Willem II
19.9
GO Ahead Eagles
19.5
Waalwijk
18.9
Sparta Rotterdam
18.2
PSV Eindhoven
17.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
46.4%
Under 9.5
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
40.3%
Under 3.5
59.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
52.2%
Under 21.5
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W10W01L00D00D00D20W20W22D01LA·NEC29/03H·WAA01/04H·FEY05/04A·HER13/04H·GO 21/04H·NAC24/04A·GO 04/05H·GRO11/05A·TWE14/05H·ALM18/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.500.620.310.860.71
vs Stronger (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
vs Similar (10)0.500.600.800.400.200.80
vs Weaker (19)0.840.470.550.271.250.75
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Heerenveen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HeerenveenHeerenveen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D01L20W01L21W00D11D00D20WA·PSV08/03H·HER15/03A·UTR30/03H·WIL04/04A·SPA12/04H·ALM19/04H·NEC27/04A·WAA10/05A·GO 14/05H·FEY18/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.601.000.500.310.69
vs Stronger (6)0.500.670.750.250.001.50
vs Similar (22)0.640.591.110.670.310.54
vs Weaker (2)1.000.501.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (AZ Alkmaar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L12L00D01L11D11D10W10W10W10WA·NEC29/03H·WAA01/04H·FEY05/04A·HER13/04H·GO 21/04H·NAC24/04A·GO 04/05H·GRO11/05A·TWE14/05H·ALM18/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.701.060.381.001.07
vs Stronger (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
vs Similar (10)1.100.700.800.001.401.40
vs Weaker (19)1.000.631.180.550.750.75
Clean sheet %57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Heerenveen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HeerenveenHeerenveen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D01L11D12L00D10W02L01L00DA·PSV08/03H·HER15/03A·UTR30/03H·WIL04/04A·SPA12/04H·ALM19/04H·NEC27/04A·WAA10/05A·GO 14/05H·FEY18/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.900.640.430.691.31
vs Stronger (6)0.670.670.750.500.501.00
vs Similar (22)0.730.910.670.330.771.31
vs Weaker (2)0.001.500.001.000.002.00
Clean sheet %33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (AZ Alkmaar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards89.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.581.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls78.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards77.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners76.3%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

AZ Alkmaar
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Troy Parrott36%
Mexx Meerdink30%
Sven Mijnans23%
Ibrahim Sadiq22%
Ruben van Bommel18%
Ro-Zangelo Daal14%
Jayden Addai13%
Mayckel Lahdo11%
Denso Kasius11%
Zico Buurmeester10%
Ernest Poku8%
Kees Smit7%
David Möller Wolfe6%
Mees de Wit5%
Wouter Goes5%
Seiya Maikuma5%
Kristijan Belić4%
Peer Koopmeiners4%
Jordy Clasie3%
Alexandre Penetra2%
Jeroen Zoet0%
Bruno Martins Indi0%
Myron Van Brederode0%
Lequincio Zeefuik0%
Maxim Dekker0%
Dave Kwakman0%
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro0%
Elijah Dijkstra0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lequincio Zeefuik33%
Dave Kwakman30%
Kristijan Belić29%
Wouter Goes29%
Ro-Zangelo Daal29%
Ruben van Bommel18%
David Möller Wolfe17%
Jordy Clasie16%
Mees de Wit15%
Sven Mijnans14%
Kees Smit13%
Peer Koopmeiners13%
Maxim Dekker11%
Alexandre Penetra11%
Ernest Poku10%
Seiya Maikuma9%
Bruno Martins Indi8%
Mexx Meerdink8%
Ibrahim Sadiq7%
Denso Kasius7%
Jayden Addai4%
Troy Parrott2%
Jeroen Zoet0%
Mayckel Lahdo0%
Zico Buurmeester0%
Myron Van Brederode0%
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro0%
Elijah Dijkstra0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ruben van Bommel15%
David Möller Wolfe15%
Sven Mijnans14%
Ernest Poku12%
Peer Koopmeiners11%
Ibrahim Sadiq11%
Jordy Clasie11%
Dave Kwakman10%
Wouter Goes10%
Troy Parrott9%
Zico Buurmeester7%
Seiya Maikuma7%
Kees Smit7%
Denso Kasius7%
Mees de Wit5%
Mayckel Lahdo3%
Jeroen Zoet0%
Bruno Martins Indi0%
Kristijan Belić0%
Alexandre Penetra0%
Myron Van Brederode0%
Lequincio Zeefuik0%
Maxim Dekker0%
Ro-Zangelo Daal0%
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro0%
Mexx Meerdink0%
Jayden Addai0%
Elijah Dijkstra0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ruben van Bommel27%
Sven Mijnans25%
Troy Parrott21%
Mexx Meerdink20%
Ibrahim Sadiq19%
Ernest Poku18%
Denso Kasius7%
Mayckel Lahdo6%
Jayden Addai4%
Peer Koopmeiners4%
Zico Buurmeester2%
Jeroen Zoet0%
Bruno Martins Indi0%
Jordy Clasie0%
Mees de Wit0%
Kristijan Belić0%
Alexandre Penetra0%
Seiya Maikuma0%
David Möller Wolfe0%
Myron Van Brederode0%
Lequincio Zeefuik0%
Maxim Dekker0%
Wouter Goes0%
Ro-Zangelo Daal0%
Dave Kwakman0%
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro0%
Elijah Dijkstra0%
Kees Smit0%
Heerenveen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ion Nicolaescu36%
Jacob Trenskow26%
Miloš Luković21%
Eser Gürbüz17%
Alireza Jahanbakhsh15%
Hristiyan Petrov12%
Ilias Sebaoui12%
Marcus Linday12%
Luuk Brouwers12%
Levi Smans11%
Simon Olsson8%
Dimitris Rallis8%
Nikolai Soyset Hopland6%
Sam Kersten3%
Espen Van Ee3%
Jordy de Wijs0%
Mats Köhlert0%
Andries Noppert0%
Mickey van der Hart0%
Ché Nunnely0%
Paweł Bochniewicz0%
Amara Condé0%
Denzel Hall0%
Hussein Ali0%
Daniel Karlsbakk0%
Danilo Al-Saed0%
Mateja Milovanović0%
Oliver Braude0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Oliver Braude33%
Daniel Karlsbakk29%
Jordy de Wijs25%
Luuk Brouwers23%
Paweł Bochniewicz23%
Espen Van Ee18%
Alireza Jahanbakhsh15%
Marcus Linday12%
Denzel Hall11%
Mats Köhlert10%
Simon Olsson8%
Sam Kersten6%
Amara Condé6%
Andries Noppert6%
Levi Smans6%
Mickey van der Hart5%
Dimitris Rallis4%
Ion Nicolaescu4%
Ché Nunnely0%
Hussein Ali0%
Hristiyan Petrov0%
Danilo Al-Saed0%
Jacob Trenskow0%
Nikolai Soyset Hopland0%
Mateja Milovanović0%
Ilias Sebaoui0%
Miloš Luković0%
Eser Gürbüz0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mats Köhlert23%
Alireza Jahanbakhsh15%
Danilo Al-Saed14%
Ché Nunnely12%
Amara Condé12%
Marcus Linday12%
Jacob Trenskow11%
Eser Gürbüz8%
Luuk Brouwers8%
Simon Olsson8%
Espen Van Ee6%
Levi Smans6%
Oliver Braude6%
Dimitris Rallis4%
Sam Kersten3%
Ion Nicolaescu0%
Jordy de Wijs0%
Andries Noppert0%
Mickey van der Hart0%
Paweł Bochniewicz0%
Denzel Hall0%
Hussein Ali0%
Daniel Karlsbakk0%
Hristiyan Petrov0%
Nikolai Soyset Hopland0%
Mateja Milovanović0%
Ilias Sebaoui0%
Miloš Luković0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alireza Jahanbakhsh25%
Miloš Luković21%
Ion Nicolaescu18%
Ilias Sebaoui16%
Jacob Trenskow15%
Levi Smans11%
Espen Van Ee9%
Luuk Brouwers8%
Simon Olsson8%
Oliver Braude3%
Jordy de Wijs0%
Mats Köhlert0%
Andries Noppert0%
Mickey van der Hart0%
Sam Kersten0%
Ché Nunnely0%
Paweł Bochniewicz0%
Amara Condé0%
Denzel Hall0%
Hussein Ali0%
Daniel Karlsbakk0%
Hristiyan Petrov0%
Danilo Al-Saed0%
Marcus Linday0%
Nikolai Soyset Hopland0%
Mateja Milovanović0%
Eser Gürbüz0%
Dimitris Rallis0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
ADH (23)
€13m
WI (24)
€13m
CAM (24)
€12m
NB (23)
€10m
ACF (27)
€10m
HER (28)
€8m
TEL (21)
€8m
WAA (22)
€8m
DG (21)
€6m
DOR (21)
€6m
DB (17)
€5m
AZ Alkmaar's squad is €85m more valuable than Heerenveen's (€136m vs €50m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
GAE (9)
€9m
PZ (8)
€8m
ADH (11)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
WI (8)
€4m
NB (10)
€4m
HER (13)
€4m
WAA (8)
€3m
CAM (10)
€3m
TEL (7)
€3m
DB (7)
€3m
DOR (8)
€2m
DG (8)
€2m
AZ Alkmaar's attack is €37m more valuable than Heerenveen's (€61m vs €24m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
PZ (5)
€4m
WI (4)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
NB (3)
€2m
ACF (5)
€2m
DOR (5)
€2m
DG (5)
€2m
TEL (4)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
HER (4)
€1m
ADH (3)
€1m
CAM (4)
€1m
DB (3)
€1m
WAA (3)
€1m
AZ Alkmaar's midfield is €15m more valuable than Heerenveen's (€21m vs €6m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
GAE (12)
€8m
CAM (10)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
WI (12)
€5m
ADH (9)
€5m
NB (10)
€4m
TEL (10)
€3m
WAA (11)
€3m
HER (11)
€3m
ACF (12)
€3m
DG (8)
€2m
DOR (8)
€2m
DB (7)
€1m
AZ Alkmaar's defence is €33m more valuable than Heerenveen's (€54m vs €20m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
AA wins
2
Draws
1
HEE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen · H/A from AA
DateH/AGameScore
02/03/25AHeerenveen Vs AA3-1
14/09/24HAA Vs Heerenveen9-1
28/01/24AHeerenveen Vs AA2-2
21/10/23HAA Vs Heerenveen3-0
01/04/23HAA Vs Heerenveen1-1
14/01/23AHeerenveen Vs AA0-2
23/04/22HAA Vs Heerenveen2-1
29/08/21AHeerenveen Vs AA1-3

AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/05/25HAA Vs Almere City FC1-1
14/05/25ATwente Vs AA2-3
11/05/25HAA Vs Groningen3-0
04/05/25AGO Ahead Eagles Vs AA0-3
24/04/25HAA Vs NAC Breda1-1
21/04/25HAA Vs GO Ahead Eagles1-1
13/04/25AHeracles Vs AA1-0
05/04/25HAA Vs Feyenoord0-1
01/04/25HAA Vs Waalwijk2-2
29/03/25ANEC Nijmegen Vs AA3-3

HeerenveenHeerenveen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/05/25HHEE Vs Feyenoord2-0
14/05/25AGO Ahead Eagles Vs HEE1-0
10/05/25AWaalwijk Vs HEE3-1
27/04/25HHEE Vs NEC Nijmegen1-0
19/04/25HHEE Vs Almere City FC2-1
12/04/25ASparta Rotterdam Vs HEE3-1
04/04/25HHEE Vs Willem II3-1
30/03/25AUtrecht Vs HEE2-0
15/03/25HHEE Vs Heracles1-1
08/03/25APSV Eindhoven Vs HEE2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWD1.66
HomeLDDWD2.00
AwayDDLWW1.26
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%59%30%
AVG goals3.002.853.17
Over 1.5 %76%74%78%
Over 2.5 %60%52%70%
Over 3.5 %38%30%48%
Scored1.781.931.61
Conceded1.220.931.57
BTTS62%63%61%
Clean Sheet28%33%22%
Corners9.749.2110.32
Cards4.534.334.76
Heerenveen
Heerenveen
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLW1.24
HomeDWWWW1.67
AwayLLLLL0.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%46%23%
AVG goals3.123.213.04
Over 1.5 %86%88%85%
Over 2.5 %54%50%58%
Over 3.5 %34%42%27%
Scored1.341.671.04
Conceded1.781.542.00
BTTS54%58%50%
Clean Sheet20%29%12%
Corners9.519.509.52
Cards3.023.522.50

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven3479
74%
2.3
10339+64
4.2
97%
85%
65%
10.5
59%
3.0
34%
16.5
9%
280
106601153.01.1
68%
2AjaxAjax3478
71%
2.3
6732+35
2.9
88%
56%
32%
8.7
29%
3.8
47%
22.2
47%
173
9515632.00.9
58%
3FeyenoordFeyenoord3468
59%
2.0
7638+38
3.4
91%
59%
38%
9.6
56%
3.6
53%
20.8
41%
229
9343932.21.1
58%
4UtrechtUtrecht3464
53%
1.9
6245+17
3.1
76%
59%
44%
9.9
53%
3.6
45%
21.8
44%
61
3314151.81.3
46%
5AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar3663
50%
1.8
6540+25
2.9
72%
61%
31%
9.8
50%
4.4
57%
21.0
42%
136
6121541.81.1
52%
6TwenteTwente3655
42%
1.5
6654+12
3.3
89%
56%
39%
9.5
53%
3.3
42%
20.8
50%
87
3413391.81.5
53%
7GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles3451
41%
1.5
5755+2
3.3
82%
62%
41%
10.7
47%
3.4
47%
19.2
29%
22
9481.71.6
51%
8NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen3544
34%
1.3
5348+5
2.9
77%
60%
26%
10.6
63%
3.6
55%
21.7
40%
54
225261.51.4
49%
9HeerenveenHeerenveen3543
34%
1.2
4361-18
3.0
83%
54%
29%
9.1
43%
3.2
39%
21.7
54%
50
246201.21.7
53%
10PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle3441
29%
1.2
4351-8
2.8
76%
44%
32%
9.4
53%
3.5
48%
22.4
56%
21
84101.31.5
50%
11Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard3441
32%
1.2
3754-17
2.7
71%
50%
29%
10.0
53%
3.7
50%
22.8
62%
17
6471.11.6
44%
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam3439
26%
1.1
3943-4
2.4
85%
41%
15%
10.1
47%
3.5
35%
18.4
24%
28
142121.11.3
49%
13GroningenGroningen3439
29%
1.1
4053-13
2.7
71%
50%
35%
8.8
32%
3.8
50%
20.3
41%
32
126141.21.6
47%
14HeraclesHeracles3438
26%
1.1
4263-21
3.1
79%
56%
38%
10.1
50%
3.4
37%
23.5
65%
8
4131.21.9
45%
15NAC BredaNAC Breda3433
24%
1.0
3458-24
2.7
79%
50%
26%
9.8
38%
3.6
45%
20.3
41%
10
4241.01.7
45%
16Willem IIWillem II3830
18%
0.8
4165-24
2.8
82%
50%
29%
10.8
61%
3.2
43%
20.1
42%
13
4451.11.7
45%
17WaalwijkWaalwijk3425
18%
0.7
4474-30
3.5
97%
68%
41%
11.2
62%
3.1
31%
17.9
29%
8
3131.32.2
44%
18Almere City FCAlmere City FC3422
12%
0.6
2364-41
2.6
68%
47%
26%
10.4
56%
3.2
35%
19.5
38%
10
5230.71.9
42%
19TelstarTelstar612
50%
2.0
94+5
2.2
67%
33%
33%
9.7
50%
2.8
33%
27.2
67%
8
3231.50.7
46%
20DordrechtDordrecht47
50%
1.8
64+2
2.5
75%
50%
25%
13.0
75%
3.7
67%
32.0
100%
6
2221.51.0
50%
21Den BoschDen Bosch45
25%
1.2
22+0
1.0
25%
0%
0%
12.5
100%
5.5
50%
29.8
75%
5
3110.50.5
40%
22CambuurCambuur23
50%
1.5
11+0
1.0
0%
0%
0%
13.0
100%
10.0
100%
33.0
100%
12
3180.50.5
66%
23De GraafschapDe Graafschap21
0%
0.5
02-2
1.0
50%
0%
0%
7.5
50%
4.0
100%
30.5
100%
6
2220.01.0
48%
24ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag20
0%
0.0
03-3
1.5
50%
0%
0%
7.5
0%
4.0
50%
29.5
100%
13
7150.01.5
64%
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches