The model favours a home win, with a 47% chance of B36 II taking the points, a 27% draw probability and a 26% chance of Hoyvík winning. The expected total of 2.8 goals suggests a moderately high scoring encounter, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.7% probability. B36 II, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.67 conceded, while Hoyvík on the road against a weaker side averages 1.33 scored and 2.17 conceded. The model’s selection over 1.5 goals carries a 78.4% chance of hitting. The recent form of both sides, each with a 3-game losing streak, hints at a cautious approach. The predicted outcome remains a home win, but the 1-1 scoreline and the over 1.5 selection stand out as the most probable elements of this match.
Results analysis
The upset came as B36 II, the pre-match favourite with a 47% chance of victory, could not hold the lead and the match finished 2-2, a draw. The model’s call was wrong, as the result did not match the predicted home win. The suggested pick Over 1.5 goals, with a 78.4% probability, hit, confirming the game’s high-scoring nature. B36 II’s recent form shows a streak of three losses before the 3-5 defeat to B71, while Hoyvík also endured three straight defeats, losing 0-3 to Suduroy. Both sides’ form highlights the difficulty of breaking through, and the final score reflected that parity.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
B36 II win✗ Miss
47.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
26.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík win✗ Miss
26.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
B36 II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.90
1.60
1.57
1.50
2.19
1.69
vs Stronger (18)
2.00
1.78
2.00
1.67
2.00
1.89
vs Similar (9)
1.33
1.56
0.75
1.25
1.80
1.80
vs Weaker (3)
3.00
0.67
1.00
1.00
4.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
17% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Hoyvík) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hoyvík
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.80
1.00
1.81
1.21
1.79
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.50
0.50
1.50
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (10)
0.90
2.00
0.50
2.75
1.17
1.50
vs Weaker (16)
1.31
1.75
1.30
1.50
1.33
2.17
Clean sheet %
20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (B36 II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.4%
Under 1.5
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.6%
Under 2.5
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.3%
Under 3.5
68.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.0%
No
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-0
8.0%
0-0
7.1%
1-2
6.8%
0-1
5.9%
2-2 ✓
5.6%
B36 II goals ↓
Hoyvík goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.1%
5.9%
4.1%
1.6%
0.5%
1
8.6%
13%
6.8%
2.7%
0.8%
2
8.0%
9.5%
5.6%
2.2%
0.6%
3
4.4%
5.2%
3.1%
1.2%
0.4%
4
1.8%
2.1%
1.3%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = B36 II goals (down), columns = Hoyvík goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Víkingur II
2.00
Suduroy
1.74
B71
1.63
TB
1.59
AB
1.52
B36 II
1.52
NSÍ II
1.22
KÍ II
1.11
Hoyvík
0.74
HB II
0.44
B36 II is 0.78 points better than Hoyvík in terms of average points per game (1.52 vs 0.74).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Víkingur II
2.67
Suduroy
2.07
B36 II
1.85
AB
1.74
B71
1.63
NSÍ II
1.44
TB
1.41
KÍ II
1.19
HB II
0.96
Hoyvík
0.89
B36 II is 0.96 goals better than Hoyvík in terms of goals scored per game (1.85 vs 0.89).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
TB
0.89
B71
1.07
AB
1.11
Suduroy
1.30
Víkingur II
1.30
B36 II
1.52
KÍ II
1.85
NSÍ II
1.89
Hoyvík
2.00
HB II
2.93
B36 II is 0.48 goals better than Hoyvík in terms of goals conceded per game (1.52 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
B36 II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.77
0.29
0.57
0.81
0.94
vs Stronger (18)
0.56
0.89
0.44
0.78
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (9)
0.44
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.80
1.20
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.33
0.00
1.00
1.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Hoyvík) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hoyvík
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.77
0.53
0.65
0.77
0.92
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.25
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (11)
0.36
1.00
0.00
1.20
0.67
0.83
vs Weaker (15)
0.93
0.73
0.80
0.50
1.20
1.20
Clean sheet %
40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (B36 II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
B36 II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B36 II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B36 II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
B36 II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
0.83
1.29
0.93
1.38
0.75
vs Stronger (18)
1.44
0.89
1.56
0.89
1.33
0.89
vs Similar (9)
0.89
0.89
0.75
1.25
1.00
0.60
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
0.33
1.00
0.00
2.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Hoyvík) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hoyvík
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
1.03
0.41
1.24
0.54
0.77
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.25
0.00
1.50
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (11)
0.45
1.09
0.40
1.60
0.50
0.67
vs Weaker (15)
0.47
0.93
0.50
1.00
0.40
0.80
Clean sheet %
43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (B36 II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
B36 II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B36 II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B36 II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild stats & trends →