

B71 is the clear favourite to win this match, with a 63% chance of securing a home win. The model rates them highly due to their strong home form against weaker opponents, averaging 2.5 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Meanwhile, HB II have struggled on the road against stronger teams, averaging just 0.69 goals scored and 2.85 conceded.
The expected total goals is 3.6, with the most likely total being 3 goals. The model's most likely score is 2-1 in favour of B71, with a probability of 9.4%.
B71's home form against weaker teams suggests they should be able to score against HB II, who have struggled to find the net on the road. The model's selection is the home win, with a 63% chance of occurring. The home win percentage is 63%, the draw percentage is 20%, and the away win percentage is 17%. The model's suggested picks include Over 1.5 at 88.3%, which has already hit.
The draw extends B71's run of 3 straight wins at home, where they've been averaging 2.5 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. In contrast, HB II's away form has been struggling, with an average of 0.69 goals scored and 2.85 conceded. Despite being the pre-match favourite with a 63% probability of winning, B71 failed to secure the win, as the match ended in a 2-2 draw, contradicting the model's call for a home win. The model's selection, home win, was wrong. The model's other selection, Over 1.5, hit, with an 88.3% probability.
B71| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 2.23 | 1.27 | 2.50 | 0.93 | 2.00 | 1.56 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Weaker (30) | 2.23 | 1.27 | 2.50 | 0.93 | 2.00 | 1.56 |
| Clean sheet % | 30% (+8pp vs league) | |||||
HB II| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.97 | 2.80 | 1.13 | 2.87 | 0.80 | 2.73 |
| vs Stronger (27) | 0.81 | 2.78 | 0.93 | 2.71 | 0.69 | 2.85 |
| vs Similar (3) | 2.33 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 0% (-22pp vs league) | |||||
| HB II goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 7.8% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| 3 | 6.3% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 88.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/24 | H | 7-0 | |
| 25/08/24 | H | 3-0 | |
| 15/03/24 | A | 0-1 | |
| 07/10/23 | A | 1-1 | |
| 03/10/23 | H | 4-1 | |
| 29/04/23 | H | 1-1 | |
| 03/09/22 | H | 4-0 | |
| 13/08/22 | A | 2-1 |
B71| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/26 | A | 1-6 | |
| 20/06/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 25/10/25 | H | 3-0 | |
| 18/10/25 | A | 2-1 | |
| 03/10/25 | A | 2-1 | |
| 27/09/25 | H | 7-1 | |
| 20/09/25 | H | 2-1 | |
| 13/09/25 | H | 5-2 | |
| 28/08/25 | H | 4-2 | |
| 23/08/25 | A | 3-3 |
HB II| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/26 | A | 3-1 | |
| 24/06/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 20/06/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 25/10/24 | H | 1-2 | |
| 19/10/24 | A | 7-0 | |
| 06/10/24 | A | 4-1 | |
| 28/09/24 | H | 1-4 | |
| 22/09/24 | A | 5-0 | |
| 14/09/24 | A | 3-0 | |
| 31/08/24 | H | 1-1 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Víkingur II | 6 | 18 | 100% | 3.0 | 23 | 7 | +16 | 5.0 | 100% | 83% | 83% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 2 | B71 | 6 | 16 | 83% | 2.7 | 23 | 5 | +18 | 4.7 | 100% | 100% | 67% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.8 | 0.8 | - |
| 3 | Suduroy | 6 | 13 | 67% | 2.2 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 3.5 | 83% | 67% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.7 | 0.8 | - |
| 4 | TB | 7 | 10 | 43% | 1.4 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 4.6 | 100% | 100% | 71% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 2.6 | - |
| 5 | ÍF II | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 4.4 | 100% | 100% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.4 | 2.0 | - |
| 6 | Hoyvík | 6 | 9 | 50% | 1.5 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 2.3 | 67% | 50% | 17% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | - |
| 7 | B36 II | 6 | 6 | 33% | 1.0 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 3.5 | 83% | 83% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.7 | 1.8 | - |
| 8 | HB II | 7 | 4 | 14% | 0.6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 3.4 | 86% | 86% | 57% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 2.4 | - |
| 9 | NSÍ II | 5 | 3 | 20% | 0.6 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 4.4 | 80% | 80% | 80% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 3.4 | - |
| 10 | EB / Streymur II | 6 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 4.7 | 100% | 83% | 83% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 3.8 | - |