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Babrungas vs Šilas Result & Analysis

Date: 03/09/2022
Time: 11:00
Final 4-1
Babrungas
Babrungas
Vs
59%
21%
20%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Šilas
Šilas
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Babrungas win✓ Hit
58.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Šilas win✗ Miss
20.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BabrungasBabrungas

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-700D23L30W30W02L11D71W21W20W23LA·BE103/06H·EKR10/06A·BFA18/06H·MIN24/06A·NEP01/07A·TRA06/07H·ATM10/07A·FA 06/08A·BAN12/08A·PAN28/08
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.001.163.001.121.271.18
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (3)0.671.331.001.000.501.50
vs Weaker (16)2.251.123.291.141.441.11
Clean sheet %42% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Šilas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ŠilasŠilas

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-550W13L02L22D11D20W15L20W21W21WH·FA 10/06A·NEV17/06H·DAI23/06A·GAR02/07H·BE106/07H·BFA09/07H·EKR06/08H·MIN15/08H·NEP18/08H·TRA25/08
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.951.252.181.001.671.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)1.602.202.001.001.004.00
vs Weaker (15)2.070.932.251.001.860.86
Clean sheet %35% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Babrungas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%16%21%3%08%118%221%319%414%517%6+
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
89.0%
Under 1.5
11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
71.2%
Under 2.5
28.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
50.3%
Under 3.5
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
67.7%
No
32.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.2%
1-1
8.7%
3-1
7.2%
2-0
6.9%
2-2
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
3-0
5.3%
1-0
5.1%
Babrungas goals ↓
Šilas goals →
01234
03.3%2.6%2.3%1.0%0.3%
15.1%8.7%5.3%2.4%0.8%
26.9%9.2%6.2%2.8%0.9%
35.3%7.2%4.9%2.2%0.7%
43.1%4.2%2.8%1.3%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Babrungas goals (down), columns = Šilas goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dainava
2.23
Neptūną Klaipėda
2.07
Šiauliai II
2.00
Nevėžis
1.93
Be1 NFA
1.90
Šilas
1.77
Babrungas
1.53
Ekranas
1.37
BFA
1.27
Žalgiris II
1.20
Panevėžys II
1.20
Minija
1.10
Garliava
1.10
Trakai II
1.07
FA Šiauliai II
1.04
Atmosfera
0.80
Banga II
0.67
Babrungas is 0.23 points worse than Šilas in terms of average points per game (1.53 vs 1.77).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dainava
2.30
Neptūną Klaipėda
2.20
BFA
1.80
Babrungas
1.73
Nevėžis
1.73
Šilas
1.70
Ekranas
1.60
Panevėžys II
1.57
Šiauliai II
1.50
Žalgiris II
1.47
Atmosfera
1.37
Trakai II
1.37
Be1 NFA
1.30
FA Šiauliai II
1.07
Garliava
1.03
Minija
0.90
Banga II
0.87
Babrungas is 0.03 goals better than Šilas in terms of goals scored per game (1.73 vs 1.70).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Šiauliai II
0.50
Be1 NFA
0.63
Nevėžis
0.87
Dainava
1.03
Babrungas
1.13
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.20
Minija
1.30
Šilas
1.37
BFA
1.57
Žalgiris II
1.60
Trakai II
1.60
Garliava
1.67
Ekranas
1.70
FA Šiauliai II
1.89
Panevėžys II
2.10
Banga II
2.23
Atmosfera
2.23
Babrungas is 0.23 goals better than Šilas in terms of goals conceded per game (1.13 vs 1.37).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BabrungasBabrungas

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D02L20W10W01L01L30W00D20W11DA·BE103/06H·EKR10/06A·BFA18/06H·MIN24/06A·NEP01/07A·TRA06/07H·ATM10/07A·FA 06/08A·BAN12/08A·PAN28/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.060.561.500.500.700.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)0.500.501.001.000.000.00
vs Weaker (16)1.120.561.570.430.780.67
Clean sheet %61% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Šilas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ŠilasŠilas

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W01L01L11D11D10W12L10W20W10WH·FA 10/06A·NEV17/06H·DAI23/06A·GAR02/07H·BE106/07H·BFA09/07H·EKR06/08H·MIN15/08H·NEP18/08H·TRA25/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.880.591.220.440.500.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.501.251.000.500.002.00
vs Weaker (13)1.000.381.290.430.670.33
Clean sheet %59% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Babrungas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Babrungas over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Babrungas over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Babrungas over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šilas over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šilas over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šilas over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BabrungasBabrungas

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D21W10W20W01L10W41W21W00D12LA·BE103/06H·EKR10/06A·BFA18/06H·MIN24/06A·NEP01/07A·TRA06/07H·ATM10/07A·FA 06/08A·BAN12/08A·PAN28/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.501.500.620.600.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Weaker (16)1.120.561.710.710.670.44
Clean sheet %61% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Šilas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ŠilasŠilas

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W12L01L11D00D10W03L10W01L11DH·FA 10/06A·NEV17/06H·DAI23/06A·GAR02/07H·BE106/07H·BFA09/07H·EKR06/08H·MIN15/08H·NEP18/08H·TRA25/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.120.761.110.671.120.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.751.250.500.501.002.00
vs Weaker (13)1.230.621.290.711.170.50
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Babrungas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Babrungas over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Babrungas over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Babrungas over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šilas over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šilas over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šilas over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.589.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.571.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽI (6)
€1m
MIN (3)
€0m
FŠI (4)
€0m
DAI (1)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
BFA (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NK (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
DAI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FŠI (2)
€0m
DAI (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽI (3)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
BFA (0)
€0m
DAI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
BAB wins
0
Draws
1
ŠIL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Babrungas vs Šilas · H/A from BAB
DateH/AGameScore
30/04/22AŠilas Vs BAB3-1

BabrungasBabrungas

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/22APanevėžys II Vs BAB3-2
12/08/22ABanga II Vs BAB0-2
06/08/22AFA Šiauliai II Vs BAB1-2
10/07/22HBAB Vs Atmosfera7-1
06/07/22ATrakai II Vs BAB1-1
01/07/22ANeptūną Klaipėda Vs BAB2-0
24/06/22HBAB Vs Minija3-0
18/06/22ABFA Vs BAB0-3
10/06/22HBAB Vs Ekranas2-3
03/06/22ABe1 NFA Vs BAB0-0

ŠilasŠilas

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/08/22HŠIL Vs Trakai II2-1
18/08/22HŠIL Vs Neptūną Klaipėda2-1
15/08/22HŠIL Vs Minija2-0
06/08/22HŠIL Vs Ekranas1-5
09/07/22HŠIL Vs BFA2-0
06/07/22HŠIL Vs Be1 NFA1-1
02/07/22AGarliava Vs ŠIL2-2
23/06/22HŠIL Vs Dainava0-2
17/06/22ANevėžis Vs ŠIL3-1
10/06/22HŠIL Vs FA Šiauliai II5-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Babrungas
Babrungas
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWL1.53
HomeDWLWW1.75
AwayLDWWL1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%50%36%
AVG goals3.164.122.45
Over 1.5 %84%100%73%
Over 2.5 %58%75%45%
Over 3.5 %37%50%27%
Scored2.003.001.27
Conceded1.161.121.18
BTTS53%62%45%
Clean Sheet42%38%45%
Corners---
Cards---
Šilas
Šilas
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW1.85
HomeWLWWW2.09
AwayLWLLD1.56
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %55%64%44%
AVG goals3.203.183.22
Over 1.5 %85%91%78%
Over 2.5 %60%55%67%
Over 3.5 %40%36%44%
Scored1.952.181.67
Conceded1.251.001.56
BTTS55%45%67%
Clean Sheet35%45%22%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DainavaDainava3067
70%
2.2
6931+38
3.3
90%
70%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.0
-
2Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda3062
63%
2.1
6636+30
3.4
90%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.2
-
3NevėžisNevėžis3058
57%
1.9
5226+26
2.6
67%
43%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.9
-
4Be1 NFABe1 NFA3057
50%
1.9
3919+20
1.9
73%
27%
3%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.6
-
5ŠilasŠilas3053
53%
1.8
5141+10
3.1
80%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.4
-
6BabrungasBabrungas3046
43%
1.5
5234+18
2.9
80%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.1
-
7EkranasEkranas3041
40%
1.4
4851-3
3.3
87%
53%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.7
-
8BFABFA3038
37%
1.3
5447+7
3.4
90%
70%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.6
-
9Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II3036
30%
1.2
4448-4
3.1
73%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.6
-
10Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II3036
33%
1.2
4763-16
3.7
97%
80%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.1
-
11MinijaMinija3033
30%
1.1
2739-12
2.2
67%
37%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.3
-
12GarliavaGarliava3033
30%
1.1
3150-19
2.7
73%
43%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
13Trakai IITrakai II3032
23%
1.1
4148-7
3.0
77%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
14FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II2829
32%
1.0
3053-23
3.0
82%
61%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.9
-
15AtmosferaAtmosfera3024
20%
0.8
4167-26
3.6
87%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.2
-
16Banga IIBanga II3020
17%
0.7
2667-41
3.1
73%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.2
-
17Šiauliai IIŠiauliai II24
50%
2.0
31+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.50.5
-
Lithuania: 1 Lyga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: 1 Lyga stats & trends →

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