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Babrungas vs Trakai II Result & Analysis

Date: 12/11/2022
Time: 13:00
Final 0-0
Babrungas
Babrungas
Vs
58%
23%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Trakai II
Trakai II
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Babrungas win✗ Miss
58.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
22.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Trakai II win✗ Miss
18.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BabrungasBabrungas

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W12L21W02L01L10W20W11D13L21WH·ŠIL03/09A·NEV09/09H·DAI17/09A·GAR01/10H·BE108/10H·ŽAL12/10A·EKR17/10A·MIN29/10H·NEP05/11H·BFA09/11
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.791.172.431.141.201.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.171.331.671.000.671.67
vs Weaker (23)1.961.132.641.181.331.08
Clean sheet %34% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Trakai II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Trakai IITrakai II

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-714L31W00D11D02L13L00D31W27L12LH·NEV04/09H·DAI09/09H·GAR16/09A·BE102/10H·EKR07/10A·BFA15/10H·BAN18/10H·MIN23/10H·NEP28/10A·FA 07/11
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.411.661.601.671.211.64
vs Stronger (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (10)1.901.802.401.601.402.00
vs Weaker (18)1.171.611.221.781.111.44
Clean sheet %21% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Babrungas) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
83.7%
Under 1.5
16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
61.9%
Under 2.5
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
39.6%
Under 3.5
60.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.9%
No
40.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
8.8%
1-0
7.6%
3-1
6.8%
3-0
6.1%
2-2
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
Babrungas goals ↓
Trakai II goals →
01234
05.1%3.6%2.6%1.0%0.3%
17.6%10%5.3%2.0%0.6%
28.8%9.9%5.5%2.1%0.6%
36.1%6.8%3.8%1.4%0.4%
43.2%3.5%2.0%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Babrungas goals (down), columns = Trakai II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dainava
2.23
Neptūną Klaipėda
2.07
Šiauliai II
2.00
Nevėžis
1.93
Be1 NFA
1.90
Šilas
1.77
Babrungas
1.53
Ekranas
1.37
BFA
1.27
Žalgiris II
1.20
Panevėžys II
1.20
Minija
1.10
Garliava
1.10
Trakai II
1.07
FA Šiauliai II
1.04
Atmosfera
0.80
Banga II
0.67
Babrungas is 0.47 points better than Trakai II in terms of average points per game (1.53 vs 1.07).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dainava
2.30
Neptūną Klaipėda
2.20
BFA
1.80
Babrungas
1.73
Nevėžis
1.73
Šilas
1.70
Ekranas
1.60
Panevėžys II
1.57
Šiauliai II
1.50
Žalgiris II
1.47
Atmosfera
1.37
Trakai II
1.37
Be1 NFA
1.30
FA Šiauliai II
1.07
Garliava
1.03
Minija
0.90
Banga II
0.87
Babrungas is 0.37 goals better than Trakai II in terms of goals scored per game (1.73 vs 1.37).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Šiauliai II
0.50
Be1 NFA
0.63
Nevėžis
0.87
Dainava
1.03
Babrungas
1.13
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.20
Minija
1.30
Šilas
1.37
BFA
1.57
Žalgiris II
1.60
Trakai II
1.60
Garliava
1.67
Ekranas
1.70
FA Šiauliai II
1.89
Panevėžys II
2.10
Banga II
2.23
Atmosfera
2.23
Babrungas is 0.47 goals better than Trakai II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.13 vs 1.60).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BabrungasBabrungas

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D01L01L00D00D20W10W12L10WH·ŠIL03/09A·NEV09/09H·DAI17/09A·GAR01/10H·BE108/10H·ŽAL12/10A·EKR17/10A·MIN29/10H·NEP05/11H·BFA09/11
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.890.501.070.500.710.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.400.200.670.330.000.00
vs Weaker (23)1.000.571.180.550.830.58
Clean sheet %64% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Trakai II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Trakai IITrakai II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W21W00D01L00D11D00D20W22D02LH·NEV04/09H·DAI09/09H·GAR16/09A·BE102/10H·EKR07/10A·BFA15/10H·BAN18/10H·MIN23/10H·NEP28/10A·FA 07/11
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.860.720.930.530.790.93
vs Stronger (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Similar (10)1.000.901.200.400.801.40
vs Weaker (18)0.780.670.780.670.780.67
Clean sheet %48% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Babrungas) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Babrungas over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Babrungas over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Babrungas over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trakai II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trakai II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trakai II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BabrungasBabrungas

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W12L20W01L01L10W00D01L01L11DH·ŠIL03/09A·NEV09/09H·DAI17/09A·GAR01/10H·BE108/10H·ŽAL12/10A·EKR17/10A·MIN29/10H·NEP05/11H·BFA09/11
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.611.360.640.500.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.800.801.000.670.501.00
vs Weaker (23)0.960.571.450.640.500.50
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Trakai II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Trakai IITrakai II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-504L10W00D10W02L02L00D11D05L10WH·NEV04/09H·DAI09/09H·GAR16/09A·BE102/10H·EKR07/10A·BFA15/10H·BAN18/10H·MIN23/10H·NEP28/10A·FA 07/11
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.550.930.671.130.430.71
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (10)0.900.901.201.200.600.60
vs Weaker (18)0.390.940.441.110.330.78
Clean sheet %48% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Babrungas) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Babrungas over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Babrungas over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Babrungas over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trakai II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trakai II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trakai II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.7%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽI (6)
€1m
MIN (3)
€0m
FŠI (4)
€0m
DAI (1)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
BFA (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NK (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
DAI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FŠI (2)
€0m
DAI (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽI (3)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
BFA (0)
€0m
DAI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
BAB wins
1
Draws
0
TI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Babrungas vs Trakai II · H/A from BAB
DateH/AGameScore
06/07/22ATrakai II Vs BAB1-1

BabrungasBabrungas

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/11/22HBAB Vs BFA2-1
05/11/22HBAB Vs Neptūną Klaipėda1-3
29/10/22AMinija Vs BAB1-1
17/10/22AEkranas Vs BAB0-2
12/10/22HBAB Vs Žalgiris II1-0
08/10/22HBAB Vs Be1 NFA0-1
01/10/22AGarliava Vs BAB2-0
17/09/22HBAB Vs Dainava2-1
09/09/22ANevėžis Vs BAB2-1
03/09/22HBAB Vs Šilas4-1

Trakai IITrakai II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/11/22AFA Šiauliai II Vs TI2-1
28/10/22HTI Vs Neptūną Klaipėda2-7
23/10/22HTI Vs Minija3-1
18/10/22HTI Vs Banga II0-0
15/10/22ABFA Vs TI3-1
07/10/22HTI Vs Ekranas0-2
02/10/22ABe1 NFA Vs TI1-1
16/09/22HTI Vs Garliava0-0
09/09/22HTI Vs Dainava3-1
04/09/22HTI Vs Nevėžis1-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Babrungas
Babrungas
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLW1.55
HomeWLWLW1.86
AwayLLLWD1.27
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %45%57%33%
AVG goals2.973.572.40
Over 1.5 %83%86%80%
Over 2.5 %55%71%40%
Over 3.5 %31%43%20%
Scored1.792.431.20
Conceded1.171.141.20
BTTS55%64%47%
Clean Sheet34%29%40%
Corners---
Cards---
Trakai II
Trakai II
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLL1.07
HomeDLDWL1.33
AwayLLDLL0.79
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%33%14%
AVG goals3.073.272.86
Over 1.5 %79%87%71%
Over 2.5 %59%60%57%
Over 3.5 %34%40%29%
Scored1.411.601.21
Conceded1.661.671.64
BTTS72%73%71%
Clean Sheet21%20%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DainavaDainava3067
70%
2.2
6931+38
3.3
90%
70%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.0
-
2Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda3062
63%
2.1
6636+30
3.4
90%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.2
-
3NevėžisNevėžis3058
57%
1.9
5226+26
2.6
67%
43%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.9
-
4Be1 NFABe1 NFA3057
50%
1.9
3919+20
1.9
73%
27%
3%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.6
-
5ŠilasŠilas3053
53%
1.8
5141+10
3.1
80%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.4
-
6BabrungasBabrungas3046
43%
1.5
5234+18
2.9
80%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.1
-
7EkranasEkranas3041
40%
1.4
4851-3
3.3
87%
53%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.7
-
8BFABFA3038
37%
1.3
5447+7
3.4
90%
70%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.6
-
9Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II3036
30%
1.2
4448-4
3.1
73%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.6
-
10Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II3036
33%
1.2
4763-16
3.7
97%
80%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.1
-
11MinijaMinija3033
30%
1.1
2739-12
2.2
67%
37%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.3
-
12GarliavaGarliava3033
30%
1.1
3150-19
2.7
73%
43%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
13Trakai IITrakai II3032
23%
1.1
4148-7
3.0
77%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
14FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II2829
32%
1.0
3053-23
3.0
82%
61%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.9
-
15AtmosferaAtmosfera3024
20%
0.8
4167-26
3.6
87%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.2
-
16Banga IIBanga II3020
17%
0.7
2667-41
3.1
73%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.2
-
17Šiauliai IIŠiauliai II24
50%
2.0
31+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.50.5
-
Lithuania: 1 Lyga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: 1 Lyga stats & trends →

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