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Babrungas vs Žalgiris II Result & Analysis

Date: 12/10/2022
Time: 16:00
Final 1-0
Babrungas
Babrungas
Vs
58%
20%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Žalgiris II
Žalgiris II
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Babrungas win✓ Hit
58.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Žalgiris II win✗ Miss
21.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BabrungasBabrungas

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-711D71W21W20W23L41W12L21W02L01LA·TRA06/07H·ATM10/07A·FA 06/08A·BAN12/08A·PAN28/08H·ŠIL03/09A·NEV09/09H·DAI17/09A·GAR01/10H·BE108/10
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.881.212.731.091.151.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.171.331.671.000.671.67
vs Weaker (18)2.111.173.121.121.301.20
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Žalgiris II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L24L22D13L21W44D41W13L02L23LH·EKR02/07A·BFA06/07A·NEP10/07H·MIN05/08A·TRA12/08H·ATM27/08A·BAN02/09H·PAN18/09A·ŠIL30/09H·NEV08/10
Avg total
4.3
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
2.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.481.871.171.831.821.91
vs Stronger (10)1.102.000.831.671.502.50
vs Similar (9)1.671.671.251.502.001.80
vs Weaker (4)2.002.002.003.002.001.00
Clean sheet %22% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Babrungas) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%15%20%3%07%117%220%319%415%519%6+
The model estimates around 3.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
90.4%
Under 1.5
9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
73.9%
Under 2.5
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
53.7%
Under 3.5
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
70.2%
No
29.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
8.9%
1-1
8.1%
3-1
7.2%
2-2
6.4%
2-0
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
3-2
5.2%
3-0
5.0%
Babrungas goals ↓
Žalgiris II goals →
01234
02.9%2.3%2.2%1.1%0.4%
14.4%8.1%5.3%2.6%0.9%
26.2%8.9%6.4%3.1%1.1%
35.0%7.2%5.2%2.5%0.9%
43.0%4.3%3.1%1.5%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Babrungas goals (down), columns = Žalgiris II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dainava
2.23
Neptūną Klaipėda
2.07
Šiauliai II
2.00
Nevėžis
1.93
Be1 NFA
1.90
Šilas
1.77
Babrungas
1.53
Ekranas
1.37
BFA
1.27
Žalgiris II
1.20
Panevėžys II
1.20
Minija
1.10
Garliava
1.10
Trakai II
1.07
FA Šiauliai II
1.04
Atmosfera
0.80
Banga II
0.67
Babrungas is 0.33 points better than Žalgiris II in terms of average points per game (1.53 vs 1.20).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dainava
2.30
Neptūną Klaipėda
2.20
BFA
1.80
Babrungas
1.73
Nevėžis
1.73
Šilas
1.70
Ekranas
1.60
Panevėžys II
1.57
Šiauliai II
1.50
Žalgiris II
1.47
Atmosfera
1.37
Trakai II
1.37
Be1 NFA
1.30
FA Šiauliai II
1.07
Garliava
1.03
Minija
0.90
Banga II
0.87
Babrungas is 0.27 goals better than Žalgiris II in terms of goals scored per game (1.73 vs 1.47).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Šiauliai II
0.50
Be1 NFA
0.63
Nevėžis
0.87
Dainava
1.03
Babrungas
1.13
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.20
Minija
1.30
Šilas
1.37
BFA
1.57
Žalgiris II
1.60
Trakai II
1.60
Garliava
1.67
Ekranas
1.70
FA Šiauliai II
1.89
Panevėžys II
2.10
Banga II
2.23
Atmosfera
2.23
Babrungas is 0.47 goals better than Žalgiris II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.13 vs 1.60).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BabrungasBabrungas

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L30W00D20W11D10W00D01L01L00DA·TRA06/07H·ATM10/07A·FA 06/08A·BAN12/08A·PAN28/08H·ŠIL03/09A·NEV09/09H·DAI17/09A·GAR01/10H·BE108/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.521.180.450.580.58
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.400.200.670.330.000.00
vs Weaker (18)1.000.611.380.500.700.70
Clean sheet %61% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Žalgiris II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D22D11D02L11D22D11D11D01L01LH·EKR02/07A·BFA06/07A·NEP10/07H·MIN05/08A·TRA12/08H·ATM27/08A·BAN02/09H·PAN18/09A·ŠIL30/09H·NEV08/10
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.681.000.640.910.731.09
vs Stronger (10)0.401.000.500.670.251.50
vs Similar (8)0.751.250.671.330.801.20
vs Weaker (4)1.250.501.001.001.500.00
Clean sheet %36% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Babrungas) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Babrungas over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Babrungas over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Babrungas over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žalgiris II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žalgiris II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žalgiris II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BabrungasBabrungas

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W41W21W00D12L31W12L20W01L01LA·TRA06/07H·ATM10/07A·FA 06/08A·BAN12/08A·PAN28/08H·ŠIL03/09A·NEV09/09H·DAI17/09A·GAR01/10H·BE108/10
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.040.611.550.640.580.58
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.800.801.000.670.501.00
vs Weaker (18)1.110.561.750.620.600.50
Clean sheet %52% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Žalgiris II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L02L11D11D10W22D30W02L01L22DH·EKR02/07A·BFA06/07A·NEP10/07H·MIN05/08A·TRA12/08H·ATM27/08A·BAN02/09H·PAN18/09A·ŠIL30/09H·NEV08/10
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.860.910.641.001.090.82
vs Stronger (10)0.701.000.331.001.251.00
vs Similar (8)1.120.501.000.331.200.60
vs Weaker (4)0.751.501.002.000.501.00
Clean sheet %45% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Babrungas) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Babrungas over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Babrungas over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Babrungas over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žalgiris II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žalgiris II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žalgiris II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.590.4%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.573.9%-------✗ Miss
BTTS Yes70.2%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽI (6)
€1m
MIN (3)
€0m
FŠI (4)
€0m
DAI (1)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
BFA (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NK (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
DAI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FŠI (2)
€0m
DAI (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽI (3)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
BFA (0)
€0m
DAI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
BAB wins
1
Draws
0
ŽI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Babrungas vs Žalgiris II · H/A from BAB
DateH/AGameScore
08/04/22AŽalgiris II Vs BAB0-0

BabrungasBabrungas

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/10/22HBAB Vs Be1 NFA0-1
01/10/22AGarliava Vs BAB2-0
17/09/22HBAB Vs Dainava2-1
09/09/22ANevėžis Vs BAB2-1
03/09/22HBAB Vs Šilas4-1
28/08/22APanevėžys II Vs BAB3-2
12/08/22ABanga II Vs BAB0-2
06/08/22AFA Šiauliai II Vs BAB1-2
10/07/22HBAB Vs Atmosfera7-1
06/07/22ATrakai II Vs BAB1-1

Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/10/22HŽI Vs Nevėžis2-3
30/09/22AŠilas Vs ŽI2-0
18/09/22HŽI Vs Panevėžys II1-3
02/09/22ABanga II Vs ŽI1-4
27/08/22HŽI Vs Atmosfera4-4
12/08/22ATrakai II Vs ŽI1-2
05/08/22HŽI Vs Minija1-3
10/07/22ANeptūną Klaipėda Vs ŽI2-2
06/07/22ABFA Vs ŽI4-2
02/07/22HŽI Vs Ekranas0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Babrungas
Babrungas
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLL1.46
HomeWWWWL1.82
AwayWWLLL1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%55%31%
AVG goals3.083.822.46
Over 1.5 %83%91%77%
Over 2.5 %58%73%46%
Over 3.5 %33%45%23%
Scored1.882.731.15
Conceded1.211.091.31
BTTS54%64%46%
Clean Sheet33%27%38%
Corners---
Cards---
Žalgiris II
Žalgiris II
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLL1.09
HomeLLDLL0.75
AwayLDWWL1.45
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%17%36%
AVG goals3.353.003.73
Over 1.5 %83%75%91%
Over 2.5 %65%58%73%
Over 3.5 %43%33%55%
Scored1.481.171.82
Conceded1.871.831.91
BTTS61%50%73%
Clean Sheet22%25%18%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DainavaDainava3067
70%
2.2
6931+38
3.3
90%
70%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.0
-
2Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda3062
63%
2.1
6636+30
3.4
90%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.2
-
3NevėžisNevėžis3058
57%
1.9
5226+26
2.6
67%
43%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.9
-
4Be1 NFABe1 NFA3057
50%
1.9
3919+20
1.9
73%
27%
3%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.6
-
5ŠilasŠilas3053
53%
1.8
5141+10
3.1
80%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.4
-
6BabrungasBabrungas3046
43%
1.5
5234+18
2.9
80%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.1
-
7EkranasEkranas3041
40%
1.4
4851-3
3.3
87%
53%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.7
-
8BFABFA3038
37%
1.3
5447+7
3.4
90%
70%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.6
-
9Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II3036
30%
1.2
4448-4
3.1
73%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.6
-
10Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II3036
33%
1.2
4763-16
3.7
97%
80%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.1
-
11MinijaMinija3033
30%
1.1
2739-12
2.2
67%
37%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.3
-
12GarliavaGarliava3033
30%
1.1
3150-19
2.7
73%
43%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
13Trakai IITrakai II3032
23%
1.1
4148-7
3.0
77%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
14FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II2829
32%
1.0
3053-23
3.0
82%
61%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.9
-
15AtmosferaAtmosfera3024
20%
0.8
4167-26
3.6
87%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.2
-
16Banga IIBanga II3020
17%
0.7
2667-41
3.1
73%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.2
-
17Šiauliai IIŠiauliai II24
50%
2.0
31+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.50.5
-
Lithuania: 1 Lyga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: 1 Lyga stats & trends →

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