Bandırmaspor’s defensive solidity is the story to open on, with a 0.47 average conceded at home and a 1.47 average scored. Antalyaspor, meanwhile, has struggled on the road, conceding 1.33 and scoring only 0.17 against similar opposition. The model favours a Bandırmaspor victory, assigning a 60% chance to a home win, a 29% chance to a draw and a 12% chance to an Antalyaspor win. The expected total is a tight 2.0 goals, with the most likely scoreline 1-0 for Bandırmaspor at 19.6%. The match is projected to be low-scoring, reflected in the model’s selections: Under 7.5 (99.9%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.8%), Under 6.5 (99.6%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.9%), Away under 2.5 goals (98.6%), Under 5.5 (98.5%), Home +2 handicap (97.4%) and Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.4%). The recent form notes that Bandırmaspor remain unbeaten in their last five, while Antalyaspor have endured two straight defeats, setting the stage for a cautious, defensive contest.
Results analysis
The upset came early as Antalyaspor snatched a 0-1 win, a result that broke Bandırmaspor’s recent run of defeats and left the pre-match favourite - the model’s Home win call at 60% - wrong. The match finished 0-1, an away victory that the model had not predicted. The model’s selection was therefore incorrect. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.9%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 99.8%, Under 6.5 hit at 99.6%, Away under 2.5 goals hit at 98.5%, Under 5.5 hit at 98.5%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.3%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.5%, and Home +2 handicap hit at 97.3%. All probabilities were expressed as percentages.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Bandırmaspor win✗ Miss
59.6%
Avg Implied 36.8% · @ 2.47
Edge
+22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.55
Superbet
2.55
Dafabet
2.55
Pinnacle
2.53
Betano
2.52
Draw✗ Miss
28.7%
Avg Implied 29.1% · @ 3.13
Edge
-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.34
Dafabet
3.25
10Bet
3.20
Betano
3.15
Superbet
3.15
Antalyaspor win✓ Hit
11.7%
Avg Implied 34.1% · @ 2.66
Edge
-22.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.81
William Hil
2.75
Betano
2.72
Dafabet
2.70
BetVictor
2.70
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Bandırmaspor
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.90
1.50
0.50
0.94
1.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
1.20
0.90
1.50
0.50
0.94
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Antalyaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Antalyaspor
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.73
1.38
1.75
0.43
1.71
vs Stronger (8)
1.38
2.25
1.40
2.00
1.33
2.67
vs Similar (22)
0.77
1.55
1.36
1.64
0.18
1.45
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Bandırmaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
59.2%
@ 1.33-10.3%
Under 1.5
40.8%
@ 3.03+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.36
Betano
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Unibet
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Under
Betfair
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.12
Superbet
3.10
10Bet
3.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
31.1%
@ 2.04-14.4%
Under 2.5
68.9%
@ 1.71+14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.12
Bet365
2.10
Betano
2.07
10Bet
2.05
Unibet
2.05
Under
SBO
1.78
Pinnacle
1.74
Betfair
1.73
Superbet
1.72
Betano
1.70
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
13.5%
@ 3.63-12.0%
Under 3.5
86.5%
@ 1.24+12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.80
BetVictor
3.80
Pinnacle
3.77
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Under
Pinnacle
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
31.3%
@ 1.78-20.5%
No
68.7%
@ 1.91+20.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.79
Marathonbet
1.79
No
Bet365
2.00
William Hil
1.95
Betfair
1.95
Superbet
1.92
Betano
1.90
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
19.5%@ 7.23+13.4%
0-0
15.2%@ 8.18+9.8%
2-0
14.9%@ 11.23+11.0%
1-1
11.4%@ 5.73+3.7%
2-1
7.5%@ 8.83+2.5%
3-0
7.2%@ 24.42+5.4%
0-1 ✓
6.1%@ 7.63+0.3%
3-1
3.6%@ 19.73+1.4%
Bandırmaspor goals ↓
Antalyaspor goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
15%
6.1%
1.8%
0.3%
0.0%
1
20%
11%
2.6%
0.4%
0.1%
2
15%
7.5%
1.9%
0.3%
0.0%
3
7.2%
3.6%
0.9%
0.2%
0.0%
4
2.6%
1.3%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bandırmaspor goals (down), columns = Antalyaspor goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Batman Petrolspor
2.60
Bursaspor
2.40
Sarıyer
2.00
Kayserispor
2.00
Iğdır FK
1.80
Mardin 1969
1.80
Keçiörengücü
1.60
Manisa F.K.
1.60
Fatih Karagümrük
1.60
Muğlaspor
1.60
Bandırmaspor
1.20
Antalyaspor
1.20
Pendikspor
1.00
Vanspor FK
0.80
Esenler Erokspor
0.80
Bodrum FK
0.80
Sivasspor
0.60
Ümraniyespor
0.60
İstanbulspor
0.40
Boluspor
0.00
Bandırmaspor and Antalyaspor are level in average points per game (both 1.20).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Keçiörengücü
2.40
Batman Petrolspor
2.00
Bursaspor
2.00
Manisa F.K.
2.00
Antalyaspor
1.60
Sarıyer
1.60
Mardin 1969
1.60
Iğdır FK
1.40
Pendikspor
1.40
Kayserispor
1.40
Fatih Karagümrük
1.20
Vanspor FK
1.00
Bandırmaspor
1.00
Sivasspor
1.00
İstanbulspor
1.00
Ümraniyespor
0.80
Muğlaspor
0.60
Esenler Erokspor
0.40
Bodrum FK
0.40
Boluspor
0.20
Bandırmaspor is 0.60 goals worse than Antalyaspor in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.60).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Muğlaspor
0.40
Bandırmaspor
0.60
Esenler Erokspor
0.60
Mardin 1969
0.60
Bursaspor
0.60
Kayserispor
0.60
Sarıyer
0.80
Batman Petrolspor
0.80
Iğdır FK
0.80
Bodrum FK
0.80
Ümraniyespor
1.20
Fatih Karagümrük
1.20
Keçiörengücü
1.60
Sivasspor
1.60
Manisa F.K.
1.60
Antalyaspor
2.00
Vanspor FK
2.20
Boluspor
2.20
Pendikspor
2.20
İstanbulspor
2.60
Bandırmaspor is 1.40 goals better than Antalyaspor in terms of goals conceded per game (0.60 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Esenler Erokspor
61%
Bandırmaspor
60%
Bursaspor
59%
Manisa F.K.
55%
Antalyaspor
55%
Kayserispor
53%
Batman Petrolspor
52%
Ümraniyespor
52%
Pendikspor
51%
Sarıyer
50%
Iğdır FK
49%
Mardin 1969
49%
Sivasspor
48%
Bodrum FK
46%
Keçiörengücü
45%
Fatih Karagümrük
45%
İstanbulspor
44%
Muğlaspor
43%
Vanspor FK
42%
Boluspor
41%
Bandırmaspor is 5.0 percentage points better than Antalyaspor in terms of average possession (60% vs 55%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Bandırmaspor
For 3.1 · Against 5.9 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 12.5 · Total 24.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Antalyaspor
For 4.5 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 3.2 · Total 6.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 16.2 · Total 28.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bandırmaspor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
8.6
9.6
4.6
4.8
4.3
24.1
24.4
23.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (50)
9.1
8.6
9.6
4.6
4.8
4.3
24.1
24.4
23.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
43%
44%
42%
66%
68%
64%
63%
72%
54%
% under line
57%
56%
58%
34%
32%
36%
37%
28%
46%
This opponent (Antalyaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Antalyaspor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.7
9.2
4.6
5.0
4.1
27.1
29.5
24.6
vs Stronger (14)
9.7
10.3
9.0
4.1
2.9
5.8
26.4
26.1
26.7
vs Similar (36)
9.4
9.4
9.3
4.8
6.0
3.6
27.5
30.9
23.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
55%
61%
48%
62%
65%
58%
89%
96%
81%
% under line
45%
39%
52%
38%
35%
42%
11%
4%
19%
This opponent (Bandırmaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Kayserispor
10.0
Sivasspor
9.5
Antalyaspor
9.2
Bodrum FK
9.1
Bandırmaspor
9.1
Bursaspor
9.1
Ümraniyespor
9.0
Iğdır FK
9.0
Esenler Erokspor
8.9
Fatih Karagümrük
8.9
Mardin 1969
8.8
Manisa F.K.
8.5
Pendikspor
8.5
İstanbulspor
8.4
Keçiörengücü
8.3
Vanspor FK
8.3
Boluspor
8.2
Batman Petrolspor
8.0
Sarıyer
7.9
Muğlaspor
7.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Muğlaspor
6.7
Batman Petrolspor
6.5
Antalyaspor
5.3
Vanspor FK
5.1
Sarıyer
5.1
Pendikspor
5.1
Boluspor
5.0
Manisa F.K.
5.0
Esenler Erokspor
5.0
Sivasspor
5.0
Iğdır FK
4.8
Bandırmaspor
4.6
İstanbulspor
4.6
Keçiörengücü
4.6
Kayserispor
4.5
Bursaspor
4.4
Fatih Karagümrük
4.3
Ümraniyespor
4.2
Bodrum FK
4.2
Mardin 1969
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Muğlaspor
33.0
Bursaspor
29.1
Fatih Karagümrük
28.8
Vanspor FK
27.8
Antalyaspor
27.2
Pendikspor
26.8
Batman Petrolspor
25.8
Boluspor
25.7
Kayserispor
24.9
Bandırmaspor
24.1
Bodrum FK
24.1
Iğdır FK
23.6
Sarıyer
23.6
Manisa F.K.
23.6
Keçiörengücü
23.5
Sivasspor
23.4
İstanbulspor
23.3
Ümraniyespor
23.1
Mardin 1969
23.0
Esenler Erokspor
22.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
34.6%
@ 2.05-10.7%
Under 9.5
65.4%
@ 1.70+10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.15
1xBet
2.08
Marathonbet
2.07
Bet365
2.02
Superbet
2.00
Under
Bet365
1.78
Superbet
1.73
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.65
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
69.0%
Under 3.5
31.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
70.4%
Under 21.5
29.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Bandırmaspor or Draw✗ Miss
88.3%
Avg Implied 66.0% · @ 1.39
Edge
+22.3%
60%
29%
12%
covers Bandırmaspor + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.41
BetVictor
1.40
William Hil
1.40
Bandırmaspor or Antalyaspor✓ Hit
71.3%
Avg Implied 70.9% · @ 1.30
Edge
+0.4%
60%
29%
12%
covers Bandırmaspor + Antalyaspor
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Betfair
1.30
Draw or Antalyaspor✓ Hit
40.4%
Avg Implied 63.1% · @ 1.46
Edge
-22.7%
60%
29%
12%
covers Draw + Antalyaspor
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.52
William Hil
1.50
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.50
BetVictor
1.47
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Bandırmaspor over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
76.5%
@ 1.30+5.8%
Under
23.5%
@ 3.15-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.31
Pinnacle
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.30
Betfair
3.25
BetVictor
3.20
Superbet
3.15
Bandırmaspor over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
42.5%
@ 2.49+5.2%
Under
57.5%
@ 1.48-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.62
BetVictor
2.55
Betano
2.50
Betfair
2.50
Superbet
2.47
Under
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
Superbet
1.48
Bandırmaspor over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
17.9%
@ 5.73+1.7%
Under
82.1%
@ 1.10-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
BetVictor
5.75
Superbet
5.70
Marathonbet
5.60
Under
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.11
BetVictor
1.10
Bandırmaspor over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.9%
@ 13.62-1.0%
Under
94.1%
@ 1.02+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Antalyaspor over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
39.6%
@ 1.33-29.9%
Under
60.4%
@ 3.03+29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.36
Pinnacle
1.34
10Bet
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Under
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.15
Superbet
3.10
Betfair
3.00
Betano
3.00
Antalyaspor over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
9.1%
@ 2.65-25.8%
Under
90.9%
@ 1.42+25.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.78
Betfair
2.75
BetVictor
2.75
Betano
2.65
1xBet
2.64
Under
Superbet
1.47
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
Marathonbet
1.41
Antalyaspor over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
1.5%
@ 6.25-13.3%
Under
98.5%
@ 1.09+13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.50
BetVictor
6.50
1xBet
6.20
Marathonbet
6.15
Under
Bet365
1.11
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.08
BetVictor
1.08
Antalyaspor over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.2%
@ 15.00-6.2%
Under
99.8%
@ 1.02+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Bet365
1.02
Betano
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Bandırmaspor, so a minus line means Bandırmaspor give that many goals of a start and Antalyaspor receive them. At -1, Bandırmaspor must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Bandırmaspor win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Bandırmaspor)Actual: Antalyaspor
Bandırmaspor -2
12.7%
@ 10.58+4.5%
Draw -2
18.9%
@ 6.53+5.5%
Antalyaspor +2
68.4%
@ 1.12-10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
13.00
Bet365
12.00
Marathonbet
6.75
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Betfair
7.50
Marathonbet
4.60
Away
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Handicap -1 (Bandırmaspor)Actual: Antalyaspor
Bandırmaspor -1
31.6%
@ 4.87+13.8%
Draw -1
28.0%
@ 3.91+5.8%
Antalyaspor +1
40.4%
@ 1.45-19.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.85
Unibet
4.50
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.95
Marathonbet
3.92
Unibet
3.35
Away
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Betfair
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
Unibet
1.37
Handicap +1 (Bandırmaspor)Actual: Draw
Bandırmaspor +1
88.3%
@ 1.42+26.7%
Draw +1
9.1%
@ 4.08-12.3%
Antalyaspor -1
2.7%
@ 5.09-14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.50
Bet365
1.44
Unibet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
4.15
Unibet
3.45
Away
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.50
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
4.35
Handicap +2 (Bandırmaspor)Actual: Bandırmaspor
Bandırmaspor +2
97.3%
@ 1.12+19.0%
Draw +2
2.3%
@ 6.57-11.1%
Antalyaspor -2
0.4%
@ 10.50-7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.00
Marathonbet
4.70
Away
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
12.00
Marathonbet
6.50
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Bandırmaspor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.37
0.57
0.14
0.50
0.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.53
0.37
0.57
0.14
0.50
0.56
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
73% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Antalyaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Antalyaspor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.67
0.50
0.31
0.29
1.07
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
0.62
0.80
0.40
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.27
0.68
0.36
0.27
0.18
1.09
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Bandırmaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
65.4%
@ 1.41-0.1%
Under 0.5
34.6%
@ 2.67+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.43
BetVictor
1.43
Marathonbet
1.42
1xBet
1.42
Under
William Hil
2.90
Pinnacle
2.83
Bet365
2.75
10Bet
2.75
Betfair
2.75
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
29.2%
@ 2.92-2.6%
Under 1.5
70.8%
@ 1.36+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.15
Betano
3.05
Betfair
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Marathonbet
2.91
Under
William Hil
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Superbet
1.37
Pinnacle
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
8.2%
@ 7.39-4.4%
Under 2.5
91.8%
@ 1.06+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
BetVictor
8.00
William Hil
7.50
Betfair
7.50
1xBet
7.20
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.08
William Hil
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bandırmaspor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
41.2%
@ 2.14-2.1%
Under
58.8%
@ 1.64+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.21
Betano
2.18
Superbet
2.12
1xBet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.10
Under
Superbet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.65
1xBet
1.65
Betano
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
Bandırmaspor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.6%
@ 6.85-3.9%
Under
90.4%
@ 1.07+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.50
Marathonbet
6.85
Betano
6.20
Under
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
Bandırmaspor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.5%
@ 11.00-5.9%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.01+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.01
Antalyaspor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
36.2%
@ 2.19-5.9%
Under
63.8%
@ 1.59+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.27
Betano
2.25
Marathonbet
2.19
Superbet
2.15
1xBet
2.10
Under
Pinnacle
1.62
Superbet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Betano
1.57
Antalyaspor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.7%
@ 7.33-4.9%
Under
92.3%
@ 1.06+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.00
Marathonbet
7.40
Betano
6.60
Under
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
Antalyaspor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.7%
@ 11.25-6.5%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.01+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Bandırmaspor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.53
0.93
0.36
0.44
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.67
0.53
0.93
0.36
0.44
0.69
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Antalyaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Antalyaspor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
1.07
0.88
1.44
0.14
0.64
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
1.62
0.60
1.60
0.67
1.67
vs Similar (22)
0.50
0.86
1.00
1.36
0.00
0.36
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Bandırmaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
75.0%
@ 1.25+1.5%
Under 0.5
25.0%
@ 3.46-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Under
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.55
Betano
3.40
William Hil
3.40
Marathonbet
3.34
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
42.1%
@ 2.21+0.2%
Under 1.5
57.9%
@ 1.59-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.30
1xBet
2.24
Marathonbet
2.24
Superbet
2.22
William Hil
2.20
Under
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.60
William Hil
1.60
Superbet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.57
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
16.7%
@ 4.79-2.5%
Under 2.5
83.3%
@ 1.15+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.80
Marathonbet
4.75
1xBet
4.75
Under
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.15
William Hil
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bandırmaspor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
44.6%
@ 1.79-6.6%
Under
55.4%
@ 1.89+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.80
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.79
Marathonbet
1.79
Under
Superbet
1.90
Betano
1.90
Marathonbet
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Bandırmaspor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.3%
@ 4.85-4.6%
Under
85.7%
@ 1.13+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.00
1xBet
4.95
Betano
4.60
Under
Betano
1.16
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Bandırmaspor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.8%
@ 9.50-7.0%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.03+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Antalyaspor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
46.9%
@ 1.84-3.2%
Under
53.1%
@ 1.84+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Superbet
1.83
Betano
1.83
Under
Superbet
1.88
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.81
Marathonbet
1.81
Antalyaspor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
20.6%
@ 5.20+3.0%
Under
79.4%
@ 1.12-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.40
Marathonbet
5.40
Betano
4.80
Under
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Antalyaspor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.3%
@ 10.00-6.0%
Under
96.7%
@ 1.02+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.02
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
99.8%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
+6.2%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.6%
1.01
-
-
-
-
-
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
98.5%
1.09
Bet365
1.11
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.08
BetVictor
1.08
+13.3%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
98.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.3%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+6.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.5%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+5.9%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
97.3%
1.12
Betfair
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
-
-
+19.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.2%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+7.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.7%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+6.0%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
95.1%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.07
BetVictor
1.05
+8.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
94.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.3%
1.06
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
-
-
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
91.8%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.08
William Hil
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
90.4%
1.07
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
-
-
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
86.5%
1.24
Pinnacle
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
+12.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
85.7%
1.13
Betano
1.16
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
-
-
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
85.0%
1.22
Superbet
1.30
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
-
-
+10.1%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
83.3%
1.15
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.15
William Hil
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
82.1%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.11
BetVictor
1.10
-1.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
79.4%
1.12
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
-3.0%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
76.5%
1.30
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.31
Pinnacle
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
+5.8%
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
76.5%
1.40
Superbet
1.47
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.35
-
+11.0%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
75.0%
1.25
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.25
1xBet
1.24
+1.5%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
71.3%
1.30
William Hil
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Betfair
1.30
+0.4%
✓ Hit
Under 1.5 HT goals
70.8%
1.36
William Hil
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Superbet
1.37
Pinnacle
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Bandırmaspor
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gianni Bruno33%
Amidou Badji33%
Muhammed Gümüşkaya0%
R. Mulumba0%
Lucas Lima0%
Akin Alkan0%
A. Ülgen0%
Tosin Kehinde0%
D. Liço0%
Emirhan Acar0%
Yusuf Kocatürk0%
Enes Aydın0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
A. Ülgen67%
R. Mulumba33%
Lucas Lima33%
D. Liço33%
Yusuf Kocatürk33%
Muhammed Gümüşkaya0%
Gianni Bruno0%
Akin Alkan0%
Tosin Kehinde0%
Emirhan Acar0%
Enes Aydın0%
Amidou Badji0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Muhammed Gümüşkaya33%
Amidou Badji33%
R. Mulumba0%
Gianni Bruno0%
Lucas Lima0%
Akin Alkan0%
A. Ülgen0%
Tosin Kehinde0%
D. Liço0%
Emirhan Acar0%
Yusuf Kocatürk0%
Enes Aydın0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gianni Bruno33%
Muhammed Gümüşkaya0%
R. Mulumba0%
Lucas Lima0%
Akin Alkan0%
A. Ülgen0%
Tosin Kehinde0%
D. Liço0%
Emirhan Acar0%
Yusuf Kocatürk0%
Enes Aydın0%
Amidou Badji0%
Antalyaspor
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
N. Storm33%
Soner Dikmen33%
Ramzi Safouri33%
M. Şimşek33%
Ensar Bugra Tivsiz25%
Yohan Boli0%
S. van de Streek0%
Bünyamin Balcı0%
D. Sinik0%
E. Yeşilyurt0%
S. Karakoç0%
Hasan Yakub İlçin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Soner Dikmen67%
Yohan Boli33%
Ramzi Safouri33%
Bünyamin Balcı25%
S. Karakoç25%
N. Storm0%
S. van de Streek0%
D. Sinik0%
E. Yeşilyurt0%
Hasan Yakub İlçin0%
Ensar Bugra Tivsiz0%
M. Şimşek0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
S. van de Streek50%
Yohan Boli33%
N. Storm0%
Bünyamin Balcı0%
D. Sinik0%
E. Yeşilyurt0%
Soner Dikmen0%
Ramzi Safouri0%
S. Karakoç0%
Hasan Yakub İlçin0%
Ensar Bugra Tivsiz0%
M. Şimşek0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
M. Şimşek33%
Yohan Boli0%
N. Storm0%
S. van de Streek0%
Bünyamin Balcı0%
D. Sinik0%
E. Yeşilyurt0%
Soner Dikmen0%
Ramzi Safouri0%
S. Karakoç0%
Hasan Yakub İlçin0%
Ensar Bugra Tivsiz0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (27)
€19m
ANT (25)
€16m
BF (31)
€13m
FK (23)
€12m
KAY (23)
€12m
EE (23)
€11m
SIV (26)
€10m
IF (26)
€9m
MF (24)
€9m
BP (25)
€9m
İST (28)
€8m
BAN (29)
€7m
ÜMR (25)
€7m
PEN (26)
€6m
M1 (25)
€6m
VF (21)
€6m
KEÇ (25)
€6m
MUĞ (19)
€6m
SAR (20)
€5m
BOL (18)
€3m
Bandırmaspor's squad is €8m less valuable than Antalyaspor's (€7m vs €16m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (10)
€10m
BF (10)
€6m
FK (9)
€5m
KAY (9)
€5m
ANT (8)
€5m
EE (8)
€4m
SIV (10)
€4m
BP (10)
€4m
IF (7)
€4m
VF (10)
€3m
İST (10)
€3m
ÜMR (8)
€3m
MUĞ (8)
€3m
M1 (8)
€2m
SAR (7)
€2m
MF (7)
€2m
BAN (8)
€2m
KEÇ (7)
€2m
PEN (10)
€2m
BOL (5)
€1m
Bandırmaspor's attack is €2m less valuable than Antalyaspor's (€2m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (5)
€4m
ANT (6)
€4m
EE (6)
€3m
FK (3)
€3m
BF (10)
€3m
MF (7)
€3m
SIV (5)
€3m
M1 (8)
€2m
BP (5)
€2m
ÜMR (7)
€2m
IF (7)
€2m
BAN (6)
€2m
KAY (4)
€2m
PEN (5)
€2m
KEÇ (7)
€2m
MUĞ (7)
€2m
SAR (4)
€1m
VF (2)
€1m
İST (5)
€1m
BOL (5)
€1m
Bandırmaspor's midfield is €2m less valuable than Antalyaspor's (€2m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ANT (11)
€7m
KAY (10)
€5m
BUR (12)
€4m
BF (11)
€4m
FK (11)
€4m
MF (10)
€4m
İST (13)
€4m
IF (12)
€3m
BAN (15)
€3m
PEN (11)
€3m
EE (9)
€3m
BP (10)
€3m
KEÇ (11)
€3m
SIV (11)
€3m
VF (9)
€2m
M1 (9)
€2m
SAR (9)
€2m
ÜMR (10)
€2m
MUĞ (4)
€2m
BOL (8)
€1m
Bandırmaspor's defence is €4m less valuable than Antalyaspor's (€3m vs €7m).
Turkey: 1. Lig 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: 1. Lig stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Batman Petrolspor
Bursaspor
Sarıyer
Kayserispor
Mardin 1969
Iğdır FK
Keçiörengücü
Manisa F.K.
Muğlaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Pendikspor
Esenler Erokspor
Bodrum FK
Vanspor FK
Ümraniyespor
Sivasspor
İstanbulspor
Boluspor