This opponent (Cosenza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cosenza
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.13
1.19
1.25
1.21
1.00
vs Stronger (21)
1.14
1.10
1.31
1.15
0.88
1.00
vs Similar (9)
1.33
1.22
0.67
1.67
1.67
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Bari) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
65.9%
Under 1.5
34.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
37.8%
@ 2.25-4.1%
Under 2.5
62.2%
@ 1.62+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.1%
Under 3.5
81.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.8%
No
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.7%
0-0
12.4%
1-0
11.3%
0-1
10.4%
2-1
7.7%
2-0
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
6.2%
Bari goals ↓
Cosenza goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
10%
6.2%
2.2%
0.6%
1
11%
15%
7.1%
2.5%
0.7%
2
7.2%
7.7%
4.0%
1.4%
0.4%
3
2.8%
2.9%
1.5%
0.5%
0.1%
4
0.8%
0.8%
0.4%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bari goals (down), columns = Cosenza goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sassuolo
2.16
Pisa
1.95
Spezia
1.74
Cremonese
1.62
Juve Stabia
1.49
Catanzaro
1.37
Cesena
1.36
Palermo
1.33
Bari
1.26
Sudtirol
1.21
Modena
1.18
Carrarese
1.18
Reggiana
1.16
Mantova
1.16
Brescia
1.13
Frosinone
1.13
Sampdoria
1.13
Salernitana
1.08
Cittadella
1.05
Cosenza
0.89
Bari is 0.37 points better than Cosenza in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 0.89).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sassuolo
2.05
Cremonese
1.64
Pisa
1.63
Spezia
1.55
Palermo
1.33
Sudtirol
1.32
Catanzaro
1.29
Modena
1.26
Mantova
1.24
Cesena
1.18
Brescia
1.11
Reggiana
1.11
Juve Stabia
1.10
Bari
1.08
Carrarese
1.03
Sampdoria
1.03
Frosinone
0.97
Salernitana
0.95
Cosenza
0.84
Cittadella
0.82
Bari is 0.24 goals better than Cosenza in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 0.84).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Spezia
0.88
Pisa
0.97
Sassuolo
1.00
Bari
1.05
Juve Stabia
1.10
Palermo
1.13
Cremonese
1.14
Catanzaro
1.20
Cesena
1.23
Salernitana
1.26
Sampdoria
1.26
Brescia
1.26
Carrarese
1.29
Frosinone
1.32
Modena
1.32
Reggiana
1.37
Cittadella
1.42
Cosenza
1.47
Mantova
1.47
Sudtirol
1.50
Bari is 0.42 goals better than Cosenza in terms of goals conceded per game (1.05 vs 1.47).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Mantova
62%
Cremonese
60%
Catanzaro
55%
Sassuolo
52%
Salernitana
52%
Juve Stabia
52%
Bari
51%
Spezia
50%
Palermo
49%
Carrarese
49%
Cosenza
49%
Cesena
49%
Modena
48%
Sampdoria
48%
Frosinone
47%
Brescia
46%
Pisa
46%
Cittadella
45%
Reggiana
44%
Sudtirol
44%
Bari is 1.7 percentage points better than Cosenza in terms of average possession (51% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Bari
For 6.3 · Against 3.2 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.1 · Against 13.3 · Total 30.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cosenza
For 4.0 · Against 8.7 · Total 12.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.4 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.8 · Against 13.8 · Total 28.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bari
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
10.7
8.6
5.4
5.2
5.6
29.7
29.6
29.8
vs Stronger (5)
9.8
11.3
7.5
4.6
4.3
5.0
27.2
27.7
26.5
vs Similar (35)
10.1
11.0
9.2
5.1
5.2
5.1
29.7
29.8
29.6
vs Weaker (10)
8.3
9.6
7.0
6.7
5.6
7.8
31.1
30.2
32.0
% over line
46%
65%
26%
76%
68%
84%
98%
100%
96%
% under line
54%
35%
74%
24%
32%
16%
2%
0%
4%
This opponent (Cosenza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cosenza
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
10.1
11.1
5.6
5.5
5.7
27.5
27.2
27.9
vs Stronger (32)
10.4
10.2
10.6
5.8
5.4
6.3
28.1
27.9
28.3
vs Similar (18)
11.0
9.9
12.1
5.2
5.6
4.9
26.3
25.6
27.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
59%
48%
71%
80%
85%
75%
82%
87%
76%
% under line
41%
52%
29%
20%
15%
25%
18%
13%
24%
This opponent (Bari) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Juve Stabia
10.8
Salernitana
10.7
Palermo
10.6
Sassuolo
10.5
Cosenza
10.3
Cremonese
10.0
Frosinone
10.0
Brescia
10.0
Spezia
9.9
Cesena
9.6
Bari
9.6
Modena
9.4
Catanzaro
9.2
Cittadella
9.0
Reggiana
9.0
Sudtirol
8.9
Pisa
8.8
Sampdoria
8.7
Carrarese
8.3
Mantova
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Juve Stabia
6.6
Cosenza
6.1
Spezia
6.0
Pisa
6.0
Bari
5.9
Sampdoria
5.7
Modena
5.6
Reggiana
5.5
Mantova
5.3
Sudtirol
5.3
Cittadella
5.3
Catanzaro
5.1
Cremonese
5.1
Brescia
5.0
Palermo
5.0
Salernitana
4.7
Frosinone
4.7
Carrarese
4.5
Cesena
4.2
Sassuolo
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Mantova
37.5
Juve Stabia
32.9
Spezia
31.2
Cittadella
31.1
Reggiana
29.9
Sampdoria
29.9
Sudtirol
29.7
Bari
29.4
Cesena
29.1
Modena
28.8
Catanzaro
28.4
Brescia
28.4
Carrarese
28.3
Pisa
28.1
Palermo
27.5
Cosenza
27.4
Cremonese
26.8
Salernitana
25.7
Frosinone
24.9
Sassuolo
21.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Bari
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.50
0.33
0.40
0.53
0.60
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.40
0.55
0.25
0.62
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (7)
0.71
0.29
0.60
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cosenza
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.53
0.62
0.56
0.71
0.50
vs Stronger (21)
0.62
0.57
0.69
0.62
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (9)
0.78
0.44
0.33
0.33
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Bari) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bari over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bari over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bari over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Bari
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.77
0.87
0.60
0.47
0.93
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.50
0.80
0.75
0.62
0.33
0.92
vs Weaker (7)
1.00
0.71
1.00
0.60
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cosenza
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.60
0.56
0.69
0.50
0.50
vs Stronger (21)
0.52
0.52
0.62
0.54
0.38
0.50
vs Similar (9)
0.56
0.78
0.33
1.33
0.67
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Bari) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bari over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bari over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bari over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Bari
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Giacomo Ricci33%
Giulio Maggiore23%
Andrea Favilli23%
Kevin Lasagna20%
Lorenco Šimić14%
Nicholas Bonfanti12%
Gastón Pereiro11%
Mehdi Dorval11%
Andrija Novakovich10%
Giacomo Manzari8%
Nunzio Lella8%
Raffaele Maiello7%
Nicola Bellomo5%
Giuseppe Sibilli5%
César Falletti4%
Costantino Favasuli3%
Raffaele Pucino3%
Valerio Mantovani3%
Ahmad Benali3%
Mattia Maita3%
Francesco Vicari0%
Alessandro Tripaldelli0%
Boris Radunović0%
Lorenzo Sgarbi0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Nosa Edward Obaretin0%
Coli Saco0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ahmad Benali40%
Mattia Maita28%
Andrea Favilli27%
Costantino Favasuli27%
Nosa Edward Obaretin23%
Raffaele Pucino23%
Gastón Pereiro22%
Valerio Mantovani21%
Raffaele Maiello20%
Coli Saco18%
Nicola Bellomo16%
Giulio Maggiore15%
Francesco Vicari15%
Giuseppe Sibilli15%
Boris Radunović13%
Alessandro Tripaldelli12%
César Falletti11%
Mehdi Dorval11%
Andrija Novakovich10%
Andrea Oliveri10%
Giacomo Manzari8%
Nunzio Lella8%
Lorenco Šimić7%
Nicholas Bonfanti6%
Kevin Lasagna3%
Giacomo Ricci0%
Lorenzo Sgarbi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lorenzo Sgarbi22%
Giuseppe Sibilli20%
Raffaele Pucino13%
César Falletti11%
Mehdi Dorval11%
Andrija Novakovich7%
Andrea Oliveri7%
Nicholas Bonfanti6%
Ahmad Benali6%
Mattia Maita6%
Nicola Bellomo5%
Andrea Favilli5%
Nosa Edward Obaretin4%
Costantino Favasuli3%
Gastón Pereiro0%
Nunzio Lella0%
Kevin Lasagna0%
Giulio Maggiore0%
Lorenco Šimić0%
Francesco Vicari0%
Alessandro Tripaldelli0%
Raffaele Maiello0%
Boris Radunović0%
Valerio Mantovani0%
Giacomo Ricci0%
Giacomo Manzari0%
Coli Saco0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Andrea Favilli14%
Kevin Lasagna11%
Gastón Pereiro11%
Giacomo Manzari8%
Nunzio Lella8%
Giulio Maggiore8%
César Falletti7%
Lorenco Šimić7%
Nicola Bellomo5%
Mehdi Dorval5%
Giuseppe Sibilli5%
Andrija Novakovich3%
Raffaele Pucino3%
Francesco Vicari0%
Alessandro Tripaldelli0%
Ahmad Benali0%
Raffaele Maiello0%
Boris Radunović0%
Valerio Mantovani0%
Giacomo Ricci0%
Mattia Maita0%
Lorenzo Sgarbi0%
Nicholas Bonfanti0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Nosa Edward Obaretin0%
Coli Saco0%
Costantino Favasuli0%
Cosenza
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gabriele Artistico29%
Tommaso Fumagalli16%
Manuel Ricciardi12%
Simone Mazzocchi12%
Massimo Zilli12%
Tommaso D'Orazio8%
Aldo Florenzi7%
Andrea Rizzo Pinna6%
Luca Strizzolo6%
Mario Gargiulo6%
Andrea Hristov5%
Michael Venturi4%
Charlys4%
Riccardo Ciervo3%
José Mauri0%
Luca Garritano0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Christian Kouan0%
Michele Camporese0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Giacomo Ricci0%
Alessandro Caporale0%
Juan Manuel Cruz0%
Christian Dalle Mura0%
Mohamed Sankoh0%
Baldovino Cimino0%
Pietro Martino0%
Christos Kourfalidis0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aldo Florenzi40%
Tommaso D'Orazio35%
Pietro Martino29%
Charlys29%
Christian Kouan26%
Luca Strizzolo25%
Mario Gargiulo24%
Gabriele Artistico24%
Giacomo Ricci23%
Christian Dalle Mura22%
Luca Garritano20%
Filippo Sgarbi20%
Christos Kourfalidis20%
Manuel Ricciardi19%
Michael Venturi18%
Alessandro Caporale18%
Juan Manuel Cruz17%
Tommaso Fumagalli16%
Simone Mazzocchi15%
José Mauri13%
Michele Camporese12%
Mohamed Sankoh11%
Alessandro Micai11%
Andrea Hristov10%
Massimo Zilli8%
Riccardo Ciervo6%
Andrea Rizzo Pinna0%
Baldovino Cimino0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Baldovino Cimino14%
Luca Strizzolo12%
Aldo Florenzi7%
Riccardo Ciervo6%
Mario Gargiulo6%
Gabriele Artistico6%
Andrea Hristov5%
Christian Dalle Mura4%
Tommaso Fumagalli4%
Massimo Zilli4%
Tommaso D'Orazio4%
Michael Venturi4%
Alessandro Caporale4%
Charlys4%
Andrea Rizzo Pinna3%
Manuel Ricciardi3%
Christian Kouan3%
José Mauri0%
Simone Mazzocchi0%
Luca Garritano0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Michele Camporese0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Giacomo Ricci0%
Juan Manuel Cruz0%
Mohamed Sankoh0%
Pietro Martino0%
Christos Kourfalidis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gabriele Artistico29%
Tommaso Fumagalli20%
Simone Mazzocchi12%
Tommaso D'Orazio12%
Aldo Florenzi10%
Andrea Rizzo Pinna6%
Luca Strizzolo6%
Charlys4%
Manuel Ricciardi3%
Christian Kouan3%
José Mauri0%
Andrea Hristov0%
Luca Garritano0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Michele Camporese0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Giacomo Ricci0%
Mario Gargiulo0%
Michael Venturi0%
Alessandro Caporale0%
Juan Manuel Cruz0%
Christian Dalle Mura0%
Riccardo Ciervo0%
Mohamed Sankoh0%
Baldovino Cimino0%
Massimo Zilli0%
Pietro Martino0%
Christos Kourfalidis0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
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Sassuolo
Pisa
Spezia
Cremonese
Juve Stabia
Catanzaro
Cesena
Palermo
Sudtirol
Modena
Carrarese
Mantova
Sampdoria
Reggiana
Brescia
Frosinone
Salernitana
Cittadella