This opponent (York) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
York
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.03
0.97
2.53
0.80
1.53
1.13
vs Stronger (10)
2.90
0.80
3.60
0.80
2.20
0.80
vs Similar (20)
1.60
1.05
2.00
0.80
1.20
1.30
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Barnet) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.0%
Under 1.5
22.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.1%
@ 2.05+7.4%
Under 2.5
46.9%
@ 1.72-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.8%
Under 3.5
69.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.0%
No
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-0
8.6%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
6.4%
0-1
5.7%
2-2
5.4%
Barnet goals ↓
York goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.2%
5.7%
3.8%
1.4%
0.4%
1
9.1%
13%
6.4%
2.4%
0.7%
2
8.6%
9.6%
5.4%
2.0%
0.6%
3
4.8%
5.4%
3.0%
1.1%
0.3%
4
2.0%
2.3%
1.3%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Barnet goals (down), columns = York goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Barnet
2.22
York
2.09
Forest Green
1.80
Rochdale
1.61
Oldham
1.59
Halifax
1.52
Southend
1.48
Gateshead
1.46
Tamworth
1.39
Altrincham
1.39
Sutton
1.30
Hartlepool
1.30
Eastleigh
1.28
Solihull
1.26
Woking
1.26
Aldershot
1.24
Braintree Town
1.22
Yeovil
1.22
Boston Utd
1.20
Wealdstone
1.15
Dag and Red
1.13
Maidenhead
1.13
Fylde
0.87
Ebbsfleet
0.48
Barnet is 0.13 points better than York in terms of average points per game (2.22 vs 2.09).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Barnet
2.11
York
2.07
Gateshead
1.65
Forest Green
1.50
Aldershot
1.50
Rochdale
1.50
Altrincham
1.48
Tamworth
1.41
Oldham
1.39
Dag and Red
1.33
Solihull
1.33
Sutton
1.28
Southend
1.28
Hartlepool
1.28
Eastleigh
1.26
Maidenhead
1.24
Wealdstone
1.22
Boston Utd
1.17
Woking
1.13
Braintree Town
1.11
Yeovil
1.11
Halifax
1.09
Fylde
1.09
Ebbsfleet
0.83
Barnet is 0.04 goals better than York in terms of goals scored per game (2.11 vs 2.07).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Barnet
0.83
Forest Green
0.91
York
0.91
Rochdale
0.96
Halifax
1.00
Oldham
1.04
Southend
1.04
Braintree Town
1.28
Woking
1.28
Yeovil
1.30
Eastleigh
1.33
Dag and Red
1.35
Altrincham
1.35
Hartlepool
1.35
Sutton
1.39
Boston Utd
1.46
Solihull
1.46
Gateshead
1.48
Tamworth
1.57
Maidenhead
1.63
Wealdstone
1.65
Aldershot
1.80
Fylde
1.85
Ebbsfleet
2.13
Barnet is 0.09 goals better than York in terms of goals conceded per game (0.83 vs 0.91).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
York
63%
Barnet
62%
Gateshead
60%
Rochdale
55%
Southend
53%
Altrincham
51%
Oldham
51%
Aldershot
51%
Woking
50%
Forest Green
50%
Solihull
50%
Yeovil
49%
Sutton
49%
Wealdstone
49%
Halifax
49%
Fylde
46%
Eastleigh
46%
Hartlepool
45%
Braintree Town
45%
Ebbsfleet
44%
Maidenhead
41%
Tamworth
40%
Barnet is 1.2 percentage points worse than York in terms of average possession (62% vs 63%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Barnet
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.50
1.33
0.33
0.67
0.67
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.67
0.83
0.33
0.00
1.00
1.67
vs Weaker (23)
1.04
0.43
1.55
0.45
0.58
0.42
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (York) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
York
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.43
1.07
0.33
0.60
0.53
vs Stronger (10)
1.20
0.50
1.40
0.40
1.00
0.60
vs Similar (20)
0.65
0.40
0.90
0.30
0.40
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Barnet) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Barnet over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barnet over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barnet over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
York over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
York over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
York over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Barnet
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.57
1.40
0.33
0.87
0.80
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (6)
1.50
1.00
1.33
0.00
1.67
2.00
vs Weaker (23)
1.00
0.48
1.36
0.45
0.67
0.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (York) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
York
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.53
1.47
0.47
0.93
0.60
vs Stronger (10)
1.70
0.30
2.20
0.40
1.20
0.20
vs Similar (20)
0.95
0.65
1.10
0.50
0.80
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Barnet) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Barnet over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barnet over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barnet over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
York over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
York over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
York over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Barnet · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Charlie Lakin67%
Kabongo Tshimanga67%
Tom Knowles33%
Idris Kanu0%
Nnamdi Ofoborh0%
Myles Kenlock0%
Nikola Tavares0%
Adam Senior0%
Danny Collinge0%
Matthew Cox0%
Zac Williams0%
Oisin Gallagher0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Idris Kanu33%
Matthew Cox33%
Zac Williams33%
Tom Knowles0%
Nnamdi Ofoborh0%
Charlie Lakin0%
Myles Kenlock0%
Nikola Tavares0%
Kabongo Tshimanga0%
Adam Senior0%
Danny Collinge0%
Oisin Gallagher0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kabongo Tshimanga67%
Charlie Lakin33%
Tom Knowles0%
Idris Kanu0%
Nnamdi Ofoborh0%
Myles Kenlock0%
Nikola Tavares0%
Adam Senior0%
Danny Collinge0%
Matthew Cox0%
Zac Williams0%
Oisin Gallagher0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Charlie Lakin33%
Tom Knowles0%
Idris Kanu0%
Nnamdi Ofoborh0%
Myles Kenlock0%
Nikola Tavares0%
Kabongo Tshimanga0%
Adam Senior0%
Danny Collinge0%
Matthew Cox0%
Zac Williams0%
Oisin Gallagher0%
York · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alex Newby67%
Ollie Banks0%
Alex Hunt0%
Morgan Williams0%
Ollie Pearce0%
Joe Grey0%
Alfie McNally0%
Joe Felix0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Morgan Williams33%
Alfie McNally33%
Ollie Banks0%
Alex Hunt0%
Alex Newby0%
Ollie Pearce0%
Joe Grey0%
Joe Felix0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ollie Banks0%
Alex Hunt0%
Morgan Williams0%
Alex Newby0%
Ollie Pearce0%
Joe Grey0%
Alfie McNally0%
Joe Felix0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alex Newby67%
Ollie Banks0%
Alex Hunt0%
Morgan Williams0%
Ollie Pearce0%
Joe Grey0%
Alfie McNally0%
Joe Felix0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (15)
€4m
OLD (21)
€3m
ROC (10)
€2m
YOR (8)
€1m
FG (4)
€1m
BU (6)
€1m
EAS (5)
€1m
SOU (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€1m
SOL (3)
€0m
ALT (5)
€0m
ALD (4)
€0m
BT (4)
€0m
WOK (3)
€0m
YEO (3)
€0m
TAM (4)
€0m
WEA (2)
€0m
HAL (2)
€0m
GAT (1)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
Barnet's squad is €3m more valuable than York's (€4m vs €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLD (7)
€1m
ROC (3)
€1m
BAR (2)
€0m
FG (2)
€0m
YOR (2)
€0m
ALD (3)
€0m
ALT (3)
€0m
SOL (2)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
GAT (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
TAM (2)
€0m
BT (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
WOK (1)
€0m
SOU (0)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
WEA (0)
€0m
Barnet and York have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLD (7)
€1m
BAR (4)
€1m
ROC (3)
€1m
YOR (2)
€0m
SOU (2)
€0m
BU (2)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
TAM (2)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
FG (0)
€0m
GAT (0)
€0m
ALD (0)
€0m
SOL (0)
€0m
BT (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
WOK (0)
€0m
Barnet and York have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (9)
€3m
OLD (7)
€1m
ROC (4)
€1m
YOR (4)
€1m
BU (3)
€0m
EAS (3)
€0m
FG (2)
€0m
BT (3)
€0m
WOK (2)
€0m
SOL (1)
€0m
SOU (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
ALD (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
GAT (0)
€0m
TAM (0)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
Barnet's defence is €2m more valuable than York's (€3m vs €1m).
England: National League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: National League stats & trends →