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Barrow vs Sutton Prediction & Stats

Date: 05/09/2026
Time: 14:00
Barrow
Barrow
Vs
31%
31%
38%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sutton
Sutton
England: National League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Sutton’s four-game winning streak and Barrow’s recent string of defeats set the stage for a tight contest, yet the model favours an away win at 38%. The expected goal total sits at 2.3, with the most likely total of two goals carrying a 28% probability. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 14.4% chance. Barrow, playing at home against a weaker side, averages one goal scored and two conceded, while Sutton, on the road against a stronger opponent, averages no goals scored and one conceded. The home win probability is 31%, the draw 31%, and the away win 38%. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.7%), Under 6.5 (99.0% with a 4% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.5% with a 7% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.4% with a 6% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (97.4% with a 7% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.8% with an 8% edge), Under 5.5 (96.7% with a 7% edge), and Away under 3.5 goals (96.2% with a 3% edge).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Barrow win
31.3%
Avg Implied 43.2% · @ 2.11
Edge
-11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.20
Pinnacle
2.17
Dafabet
2.17
Bet365
2.15
William Hil
2.15
Draw
30.6%
Avg Implied 27.1% · @ 3.37
Edge
+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.50
Dafabet
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Betano
3.50
BetVictor
3.40
Sutton win
38.1%
Avg Implied 29.7% · @ 3.07
Edge
+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.25
Pinnacle
3.21
BetVictor
3.13
1xBet
3.12
William Hil
3.10

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BarrowBarrow

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L23L32W13L03L12L02L22D12L11DH·CHE06/04A·BAR11/04H·OLD14/04H·WAL18/04A·CAM25/04H·NEW02/05A·HAR08/08A·HAR22/08H·YEO28/08A·KID31/08← League TwoNational League →
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.900.791.431.122.31
vs Stronger (3)0.331.000.001.000.501.00
vs Similar (26)1.042.000.831.421.212.50
vs Weaker (1)1.002.001.002.00--
Clean sheet %10% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Sutton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SuttonSutton

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D03L03L12L01L30W10W21W10W02LA·ALD03/04H·SOU06/04A·CAR11/04H·ALT18/04A·BOR25/04A·WOK08/08H·ALT15/08H·HAR22/08A·GAT28/08H·WEA31/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.430.931.601.271.27
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (29)1.141.450.931.601.361.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Barrow) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
69.3%
@ 1.23-5.5%
Under 1.5
30.7%
@ 3.66+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
Pinnacle
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
Under
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Unibet
3.85
Pinnacle
3.62
BetVictor
3.60
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
41.6%
@ 1.80-10.1%
Under 2.5
58.4%
@ 1.93+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.88
SBO
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Betano
1.82
Marathonbet
1.82
Under
Unibet
2.04
Bet365
2.00
Betano
1.95
Betfair
1.95
SBO
1.93
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
21.0%
@ 2.97-10.1%
Under 3.5
79.0%
@ 1.34+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.20
Pinnacle
3.09
Bet365
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Marathonbet
2.92
Under
Betano
1.38
Unibet
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Pinnacle
1.34
Betfair
1.33
Both teams to score
Yes
48.9%
@ 1.64-7.2%
No
51.1%
@ 2.10+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.67
BetVictor
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
1xBet
1.66
Betfair
1.65
No
William Hil
2.15
Unibet
2.12
Betfair
2.10
BetVictor
2.10
Bet365
2.10

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%@ 6.11+7.4%
0-0
10.9%@ 9.71+6.4%
0-1
10.6%@ 9.37+6.0%
1-0
9.2%@ 7.59+3.6%
1-2
8.2%@ 9.87+3.8%
0-2
7.4%@ 14.95+4.5%
2-1
7.2%@ 7.89+1.8%
2-0
5.8%@ 10.01+1.5%
Barrow goals ↓
Sutton goals →
01234
011%11%7.4%3.1%1.0%
19.2%14%8.2%3.4%1.1%
25.8%7.2%4.5%1.9%0.6%
32.1%2.7%1.7%0.7%0.2%
40.6%0.7%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Barrow goals (down), columns = Sutton goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Barrow
2.18
Harrogate
2.08
Carlisle
2.04
Boreham Wood
1.90
Scunthorpe
1.77
Forest Green
1.74
Southend
1.72
Halifax
1.52
Hartlepool
1.48
Fylde
1.38
Kidderminster
1.38
Woking
1.37
Tamworth
1.35
Boston Utd
1.28
Altrincham
1.24
Wealdstone
1.22
Solihull
1.22
Yeovil
1.11
Eastleigh
1.09
Gateshead
1.09
Sutton
1.02
Aldershot
1.00
Barrow is 1.16 points better than Sutton in terms of average points per game (2.18 vs 1.02).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Barrow
2.30
Harrogate
2.20
Boreham Wood
2.00
Carlisle
1.87
Southend
1.77
Forest Green
1.74
Scunthorpe
1.69
Solihull
1.54
Halifax
1.50
Aldershot
1.50
Woking
1.50
Wealdstone
1.48
Fylde
1.45
Kidderminster
1.45
Boston Utd
1.37
Tamworth
1.37
Sutton
1.28
Eastleigh
1.24
Altrincham
1.20
Hartlepool
1.17
Gateshead
1.17
Yeovil
1.04
Barrow is 1.02 goals better than Sutton in terms of goals scored per game (2.30 vs 1.28).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Barrow
0.92
Harrogate
0.96
Southend
1.02
Carlisle
1.11
Forest Green
1.11
Woking
1.17
Boreham Wood
1.24
Hartlepool
1.28
Scunthorpe
1.35
Altrincham
1.41
Halifax
1.43
Boston Utd
1.46
Fylde
1.46
Kidderminster
1.46
Yeovil
1.48
Tamworth
1.54
Solihull
1.57
Wealdstone
1.65
Sutton
1.72
Eastleigh
1.74
Aldershot
1.89
Gateshead
1.96
Barrow is 0.80 goals better than Sutton in terms of goals conceded per game (0.92 vs 1.72).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Boreham Wood
58%
Wealdstone
57%
Sutton
54%
Aldershot
54%
Forest Green
53%
Southend
52%
Altrincham
52%
Gateshead
50%
Woking
50%
Scunthorpe
49%
Carlisle
49%
Solihull
48%
Halifax
48%
Hartlepool
47%
Yeovil
47%
Eastleigh
41%
Tamworth
38%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Barrow or Draw
61.9%
Avg Implied 70.2% · @ 1.31
Edge
-8.3%
31%
31%
38%
covers Barrow + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.36
Betfair
1.33
William Hil
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Barrow or Sutton
69.4%
Avg Implied 73.2% · @ 1.26
Edge
-3.7%
31%
31%
38%
covers Barrow + Sutton
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
BetVictor
1.25
Draw or Sutton
68.7%
Avg Implied 56.7% · @ 1.63
Edge
+12.0%
31%
31%
38%
covers Draw + Sutton
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.70
Betfair
1.67
William Hil
1.65
Bet365
1.62
Unibet
1.62

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Barrow over/under 0.5
Over
66.8%
@ 1.21-9.7%
Under
33.2%
@ 3.96+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.20
1xBet
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Under
Pinnacle
4.08
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
1xBet
3.90
Betano
3.80
Barrow over/under 1.5
Over
30.2%
@ 2.02-15.6%
Under
69.8%
@ 1.71+15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.12
Betfair
2.10
Betano
2.05
Marathonbet
2.04
1xBet
2.04
Under
Unibet
1.78
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.69
Barrow over/under 2.5
Over
10.0%
@ 4.29-11.5%
Under
90.0%
@ 1.18+11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.25
Marathonbet
4.25
Betano
4.10
Under
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
Barrow over/under 3.5
Over
2.6%
@ 9.62-7.1%
Under
97.4%
@ 1.04+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
1xBet
10.00
Betfair
9.50
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Sutton over/under 0.5
Over
71.2%
@ 1.33+1.3%
Under
28.8%
@ 3.08-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Under
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
Betano
3.10
Pinnacle
3.07
Marathonbet
2.93
Sutton over/under 1.5
Over
35.3%
@ 2.60-0.3%
Under
64.7%
@ 1.44+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.79
1xBet
2.64
Marathonbet
2.64
Betfair
2.63
Betano
2.55
Under
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.47
Betfair
1.44
Unibet
1.42
1xBet
1.41
Sutton over/under 2.5
Over
13.0%
@ 6.10-2.2%
Under
87.0%
@ 1.09+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
1xBet
6.15
Marathonbet
6.15
Betfair
6.00
Betano
5.70
Under
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
Sutton over/under 3.5
Over
3.8%
@ 13.75-3.2%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.02+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Barrow, so a minus line means Barrow give that many goals of a start and Sutton receive them. At -1, Barrow must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Barrow win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Barrow)
Barrow -2
4.0%
@ 7.85-7.2%
Draw -2
9.0%
@ 5.65-6.5%
Sutton +2
87.0%
@ 1.20+13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
10.00
Marathonbet
7.80
Unibet
5.75
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
5.95
Unibet
4.50
Away
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.18
Handicap -1 (Barrow)
Barrow -1
13.0%
@ 3.74-10.2%
Draw -1
18.4%
@ 3.65-5.3%
Sutton +1
68.7%
@ 1.62+15.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.85
Unibet
3.10
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.65
Unibet
3.20
Away
Bet365
1.67
Unibet
1.62
Betfair
1.62
Marathonbet
1.59
Handicap +1 (Barrow)
Barrow +1
61.9%
@ 1.29-4.8%
Draw +1
20.8%
@ 4.55+1.9%
Sutton -1
17.3%
@ 5.98+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.28
Unibet
1.24
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.65
Unibet
4.00
Away
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.25
Unibet
5.20
Handicap +2 (Barrow)
Barrow +2
82.7%
@ 1.11-1.4%
Draw +2
11.4%
@ 9.00+1.0%
Sutton -2
5.9%
@ 17.00+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.11
Draw
Bet365
9.00
Away
Bet365
17.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BarrowBarrow

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D00D02L01L10W01L11D00D11DH·CHE06/04A·BAR11/04H·OLD14/04H·WAL18/04A·CAM25/04H·NEW02/05A·HAR08/08A·HAR22/08H·YEO28/08A·KID31/08← League TwoNational League →
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.730.140.500.810.94
vs Stronger (3)0.330.330.000.000.500.50
vs Similar (26)0.540.810.170.580.861.00
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Sutton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SuttonSutton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L00D03L10W01L10W10W21W00D01LA·ALD03/04H·SOU06/04A·CAR11/04H·ALT18/04A·BOR25/04A·WOK08/08H·ALT15/08H·HAR22/08A·GAT28/08H·WEA31/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.700.530.730.330.67
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (29)0.450.690.530.730.360.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Barrow) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
68.9%
@ 1.35+0.1%
Under 0.5
31.1%
@ 2.97-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
BetVictor
1.37
William Hil
1.35
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
Under
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
Pinnacle
3.08
William Hil
2.90
Betano
2.90
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
31.0%
@ 2.61-4.4%
Under 1.5
69.0%
@ 1.43+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.76
Betano
2.72
William Hil
2.70
Bet365
2.62
Marathonbet
2.62
Under
Unibet
1.47
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Betfair
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
9.4%
@ 6.60-4.6%
Under 2.5
90.6%
@ 1.08+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.50
William Hil
7.00
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
6.50
1xBet
6.15
Under
Bet365
1.11
Betano
1.11
William Hil
1.08
Betfair
1.07
1xBet
1.06

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Barrow over/under 0.5 HT
Over
44.2%
@ 1.85-5.5%
Under
55.8%
@ 1.83+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.93
Pinnacle
1.89
1xBet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.87
Unibet
1.70
Under
Unibet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.85
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.79
Marathonbet
1.79
Barrow over/under 1.5 HT
Over
12.0%
@ 5.47-4.9%
Under
88.0%
@ 1.11+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.55
1xBet
5.55
Betano
5.30
Under
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Barrow over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.8%
@ 11.25-6.5%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.02+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Sutton over/under 0.5 HT
Over
42.3%
@ 2.19+0.4%
Under
57.7%
@ 1.58-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.29
Betano
2.22
Marathonbet
2.19
1xBet
2.19
Unibet
2.08
Under
Betano
1.62
Pinnacle
1.58
Marathonbet
1.57
Unibet
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Sutton over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.9%
@ 7.17-2.9%
Under
90.1%
@ 1.06+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.40
1xBet
7.40
Betano
6.70
Under
Betano
1.09
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Sutton over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.7%
@ 12.50-5.8%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.01+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BarrowBarrow

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L12L32W11D02L02L01L11D12L00DH·CHE06/04A·BAR11/04H·OLD14/04H·WAL18/04A·CAM25/04H·NEW02/05A·HAR08/08A·HAR22/08H·YEO28/08A·KID31/08← League TwoNational League →
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.471.170.640.930.311.38
vs Stronger (3)0.000.670.001.000.000.50
vs Similar (26)0.501.190.670.830.361.50
vs Weaker (1)1.002.001.002.00--
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Sutton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SuttonSutton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W03L00D02L00D20W00D00D10W01LA·ALD03/04H·SOU06/04A·CAR11/04H·ALT18/04A·BOR25/04A·WOK08/08H·ALT15/08H·HAR22/08A·GAT28/08H·WEA31/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.730.400.870.930.60
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (29)0.690.760.400.871.000.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Barrow) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
77.5%
@ 1.20+0.7%
Under 0.5
22.5%
@ 3.99-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
Under
Bet365
4.33
Betano
4.10
William Hil
3.90
Marathonbet
3.80
1xBet
3.80
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
40.5%
@ 1.98-6.2%
Under 1.5
59.5%
@ 1.74+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.02
Bet365
2.00
William Hil
2.00
Betano
1.98
Under
Betano
1.80
William Hil
1.75
Unibet
1.74
Bet365
1.73
1xBet
1.70
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
17.6%
@ 4.11-4.9%
Under 2.5
82.4%
@ 1.19+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.40
Marathonbet
4.10
1xBet
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Betano
3.95
Under
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Barrow over/under 0.5 2H
Over
53.0%
@ 1.61-4.5%
Under
47.0%
@ 2.19+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.61
Under
Betano
2.20
1xBet
2.17
Barrow over/under 1.5 2H
Over
16.1%
@ 3.89-7.6%
Under
83.9%
@ 1.21+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.98
1xBet
3.90
Betano
3.80
Under
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
Barrow over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.3%
@ 9.28-5.7%
Under
95.7%
@ 1.03+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.80
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
Sutton over/under 0.5 2H
Over
49.9%
@ 1.85-0.3%
Under
50.1%
@ 1.86+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.85
Betano
1.82
Under
Betano
1.93
1xBet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.81
Sutton over/under 1.5 2H
Over
18.2%
@ 5.17+0.4%
Under
81.8%
@ 1.12-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.40
Marathonbet
5.35
Betano
4.75
Under
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Sutton over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.9%
@ 10.50-5.0%
Under
96.1%
@ 1.03+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.7%-------
Under 6.599.0%1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
--+4.0%
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.3%1.01
Betano
1.01
----+5.8%
Home under 2.5 HT goals98.2%1.02
Betano
1.02
----+6.5%
Home under 3.5 goals97.4%1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-+7.1%
Under 5.596.7%1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Betfair
1.01
-+5.7%
Away under 3.5 goals96.2%1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
---+3.2%
Away under 2.5 2H goals96.1%1.03
Betano
1.03
----+5.0%
Home under 2.5 2H goals95.7%1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
---+5.7%
Under 4.591.1%1.11
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.12
Pinnacle
1.12
Betfair
1.11
+7.9%
Under 2.5 HT goals90.6%1.08
Bet365
1.11
Betano
1.11
William Hil
1.08
Betfair
1.07
1xBet
1.06
+4.6%
Away under 1.5 HT goals90.1%1.06
Betano
1.09
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
--+2.9%
Home under 2.5 goals90.0%1.18
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
+11.5%
Home under 1.5 HT goals88.0%1.11
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
--+4.9%
Away +2 handicap87.0%1.20
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.18
--+13.7%
Away under 2.5 goals87.0%1.09
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
+2.2%
Home under 1.5 2H goals83.9%1.21
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
--+7.6%
Home +2 handicap82.7%1.11
Bet365
1.11
-----1.4%
Under 2.5 2H goals82.4%1.19
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
+4.9%
Away under 1.5 2H goals81.8%1.12
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
---0.4%
Under 5.5 cards81.5%-------
Over 19.5 fouls81.3%-------
Under 3.579.0%1.34
Betano
1.38
Unibet
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Pinnacle
1.34
Betfair
1.33
+10.1%
Over 0.5 2H goals77.5%1.20
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
+0.7%
Over 2.5 cards73.2%-------
Under 11.5 corners73.0%-------
Away over 0.5 goals71.2%1.33
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
+1.3%

🎽 13. Player market rates

Barrow · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Josh Gordon26%
Isaac Fletcher23%
Danny Rose19%
Charlie McCann15%
Lewis Shipley12%
Ben Whitfield11%
Tyler Walker9%
Jovan Malcolm8%
Niall Canavan7%
Rekeem Harper6%
Scott Smith3%
Jack Earing3%
Charlie Raglan3%
Connor Mahoney3%
Elliot Newby2%
Ben Jackson2%
Sam Foley0%
David Worrall0%
Kane Hemmings0%
Regan Booty0%
Angus MacDonald0%
Tom Barkhuizen0%
MJ Williams0%
Innes Cameron0%
Benjamin Winterbottom0%
Joseph Anderson0%
Jack Thompson0%
Brandon Powell0%
Wyll Stanway0%
Michael Adu-Poku0%
Freddie Anderson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Freddie Anderson50%
Scott Smith33%
Josh Gordon32%
Jack Thompson30%
Niall Canavan21%
Joseph Anderson21%
Danny Rose19%
Regan Booty18%
Charlie McCann18%
MJ Williams16%
Angus MacDonald15%
Rekeem Harper15%
Kane Hemmings14%
Isaac Fletcher13%
Lewis Shipley12%
Charlie Raglan11%
Elliot Newby10%
Ben Jackson9%
Tom Barkhuizen9%
Wyll Stanway7%
Tyler Walker5%
Ben Whitfield4%
Connor Mahoney3%
Sam Foley0%
David Worrall0%
Jack Earing0%
Innes Cameron0%
Benjamin Winterbottom0%
Jovan Malcolm0%
Brandon Powell0%
Michael Adu-Poku0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ben Whitfield11%
Tom Barkhuizen9%
Angus MacDonald8%
Kane Hemmings7%
Niall Canavan7%
Joseph Anderson7%
Jack Earing6%
Isaac Fletcher6%
Connor Mahoney5%
Elliot Newby5%
Danny Rose5%
MJ Williams4%
Rekeem Harper3%
Charlie McCann3%
Charlie Raglan3%
Tyler Walker0%
Sam Foley0%
David Worrall0%
Regan Booty0%
Josh Gordon0%
Innes Cameron0%
Ben Jackson0%
Benjamin Winterbottom0%
Scott Smith0%
Jovan Malcolm0%
Lewis Shipley0%
Jack Thompson0%
Brandon Powell0%
Wyll Stanway0%
Michael Adu-Poku0%
Freddie Anderson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Freddie Anderson25%
Josh Gordon16%
Isaac Fletcher10%
Charlie McCann9%
Danny Rose5%
MJ Williams4%
Scott Smith3%
Rekeem Harper3%
Charlie Raglan3%
Connor Mahoney3%
Tyler Walker0%
Sam Foley0%
Ben Whitfield0%
David Worrall0%
Kane Hemmings0%
Regan Booty0%
Angus MacDonald0%
Tom Barkhuizen0%
Jack Earing0%
Niall Canavan0%
Elliot Newby0%
Innes Cameron0%
Ben Jackson0%
Benjamin Winterbottom0%
Joseph Anderson0%
Jovan Malcolm0%
Lewis Shipley0%
Jack Thompson0%
Brandon Powell0%
Wyll Stanway0%
Michael Adu-Poku0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (11)
€2m
HAR (14)
€1m
FG (4)
€1m
BU (6)
€1m
EAS (5)
€1m
SOU (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€1m
SOL (3)
€0m
ALT (5)
€0m
ALD (4)
€0m
WOK (3)
€0m
YEO (3)
€0m
SCU (2)
€0m
TAM (4)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
WEA (2)
€0m
HAL (2)
€0m
GAT (1)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
Barrow's squad is €2m more valuable than Sutton's (€2m vs €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (3)
€0m
FG (2)
€0m
ALD (3)
€0m
HAR (4)
€0m
ALT (3)
€0m
SOL (2)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
SCU (1)
€0m
GAT (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
TAM (2)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
WOK (1)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
SOU (0)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
WEA (0)
€0m
Barrow and Sutton have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (5)
€1m
HAR (4)
€1m
SOU (2)
€0m
BU (2)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
TAM (2)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
SCU (0)
€0m
FG (0)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
GAT (0)
€0m
ALD (0)
€0m
SOL (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
WOK (0)
€0m
Barrow and Sutton have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€0m
BU (3)
€0m
EAS (3)
€0m
FG (2)
€0m
WOK (2)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
SOL (1)
€0m
SOU (1)
€0m
SCU (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
ALD (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
GAT (0)
€0m
TAM (0)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
Barrow and Sutton have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
2
BAR wins
2
Draws
2
SUT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Barrow vs Sutton · H/A from BAR
DateH/AGameScore
13/01/24ASutton Vs BAR2-2
12/08/23HBAR Vs Sutton2-1
11/03/23HBAR Vs Sutton0-0
13/08/22ASutton Vs BAR1-0
23/04/22HBAR Vs Sutton1-0
27/11/21ASutton Vs BAR1-0

BarrowBarrow

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/26AKidderminster Vs BAR1-1
28/08/26HBAR Vs Yeovil1-2
22/08/26AHarrogate Vs BAR2-2
08/08/26AHartlepool Vs BAR2-0
02/05/26HBAR Vs Newport County1-2
25/04/26ACambridge Vs BAR3-0
18/04/26HBAR Vs Walsall1-3
14/04/26HBAR Vs Oldham3-2
11/04/26ABarnet Vs BAR3-2
06/04/26HBAR Vs Chesterfield0-1

SuttonSutton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/26HSUT Vs Wealdstone0-2
28/08/26AGateshead Vs SUT0-1
22/08/26HSUT Vs Hartlepool2-1
15/08/26HSUT Vs Altrincham1-0
08/08/26AWoking Vs SUT0-3
25/04/26ABoreham Wood Vs SUT1-0
18/04/26HSUT Vs Altrincham1-2
11/04/26ACarlisle Vs SUT3-0
06/04/26HSUT Vs Southend0-3
03/04/26AAldershot Vs SUT2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Barrow
Barrow
England: National League
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLD0.84
HomeLWLLL0.83
AwayLLLDD0.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%22%19%
AVG goals2.742.303.11
Over 1.5 %76%61%89%
Over 2.5 %64%52%74%
Over 3.5 %34%22%44%
Scored1.060.831.26
Conceded1.681.481.85
BTTS60%48%70%
Clean Sheet16%17%15%
Corners10.059.9510.14
Cards3.273.363.18
Sutton
Sutton
England: National League
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWL1.26
HomeLLWWL1.30
AwayDLLWW1.22
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%33%30%
AVG goals2.983.112.83
Over 1.5 %82%93%70%
Over 2.5 %60%67%52%
Over 3.5 %28%22%35%
Scored1.401.441.35
Conceded1.581.671.48
BTTS62%70%52%
Clean Sheet20%15%26%
Corners17.0017.00-
Cards4.885.414.30

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SuttonSutton512
80%
2.4
73+4
2.0
60%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.40.6
54%
2YeovilYeovil511
60%
2.2
105+5
3.0
100%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.0
47%
3Boreham WoodBoreham Wood410
75%
2.5
115+6
4.0
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.81.2
58%
4HarrogateHarrogate510
60%
2.0
139+4
4.4
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0102.61.8
-
5
F
Fylde		510
60%
2.0
117+4
3.6
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.4
-
6SouthendSouthend510
60%
2.0
96+3
3.0
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.81.2
52%
7EastleighEastleigh510
60%
2.0
75+2
2.4
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.0
41%
8
K
Kidderminster		48
50%
2.0
63+3
2.2
75%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.50.8
-
9AldershotAldershot58
40%
1.6
64+2
2.0
60%
20%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.8
54%
10Boston UtdBoston Utd46
50%
1.5
43+1
1.8
50%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.00.8
-
11HalifaxHalifax56
40%
1.2
99+0
3.6
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
48%
12HartlepoolHartlepool56
40%
1.2
44+0
1.6
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.80.8
47%
13AltrinchamAltrincham56
40%
1.2
57-2
2.4
60%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
52%
14CarlisleCarlisle35
33%
1.7
64+2
3.3
100%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.3
49%
15WealdstoneWealdstone45
25%
1.2
66+0
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.5
57%
16ScunthorpeScunthorpe54
20%
0.8
810-2
3.6
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.0
49%
17WokingWoking44
25%
1.0
48-4
3.0
100%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
50%
18GatesheadGateshead53
20%
0.6
48-4
2.4
80%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.6
50%
19Forest GreenForest Green43
25%
0.8
49-5
3.2
100%
75%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.2
53%
20BarrowBarrow42
0%
0.5
47-3
2.8
100%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.01.8
-
21TamworthTamworth41
0%
0.2
712-5
4.8
100%
100%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.83.0
38%
22SolihullSolihull50
0%
0.0
516-11
4.2
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.2
48%
England: National League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: National League stats & trends →

← all matches