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Be1 NFA vs Panevėžys II Result & Analysis

Date: 03/07/2022
Time: 09:00
Final 2-1
Be1 NFA
Be1 NFA
Vs
57%
24%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Panevėžys II
Panevėžys II
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Be1 NFA win✓ Hit
57.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys II win✗ Miss
19.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Be1 NFABe1 NFA

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W11D32W00D21W11D20W00D21W30WA·FA 09/04A·EKR16/04H·BFA01/05A·MIN14/05H·NEP22/05A·TRA28/05A·ATM31/05H·BAB03/06H·BAN19/06A·ŽAL24/06
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.380.541.290.711.500.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (3)0.330.330.000.001.001.00
vs Weaker (10)1.700.601.801.001.600.20
Clean sheet %54% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Panevėžys II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-622D11D13L23L03L25L06L04L22D52WH·TRA11/04A·BAB18/04H·ATM01/05A·BAN16/05H·ŽAL23/05H·FA 29/05A·ŠIL03/06H·NEV12/06A·DAI20/06H·GAR26/06
Avg total
4.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
3.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.312.691.252.621.402.80
vs Stronger (2)0.503.50--0.503.50
vs Similar (5)1.202.600.672.672.002.50
vs Weaker (6)1.672.501.602.602.002.00
Clean sheet %8% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Be1 NFA) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.0%
Under 1.5
19.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.5%
Under 2.5
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.1%
Under 3.5
64.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.7%
No
43.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.3%
2-1 ✓
9.9%
2-0
9.5%
1-0
8.7%
3-1
6.4%
3-0
6.1%
0-0
6.0%
1-2
5.4%
Be1 NFA goals ↓
Panevėžys II goals →
01234
06.0%4.2%2.8%1.0%0.3%
18.7%11%5.4%1.9%0.5%
29.5%9.9%5.2%1.8%0.5%
36.1%6.4%3.4%1.2%0.3%
43.0%3.1%1.6%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Be1 NFA goals (down), columns = Panevėžys II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dainava
2.23
Neptūną Klaipėda
2.07
Šiauliai II
2.00
Nevėžis
1.93
Be1 NFA
1.90
Šilas
1.77
Babrungas
1.53
Ekranas
1.37
BFA
1.27
Žalgiris II
1.20
Panevėžys II
1.20
Minija
1.10
Garliava
1.10
Trakai II
1.07
FA Šiauliai II
1.04
Atmosfera
0.80
Banga II
0.67
Be1 NFA is 0.70 points better than Panevėžys II in terms of average points per game (1.90 vs 1.20).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dainava
2.30
Neptūną Klaipėda
2.20
BFA
1.80
Babrungas
1.73
Nevėžis
1.73
Šilas
1.70
Ekranas
1.60
Panevėžys II
1.57
Šiauliai II
1.50
Žalgiris II
1.47
Atmosfera
1.37
Trakai II
1.37
Be1 NFA
1.30
FA Šiauliai II
1.07
Garliava
1.03
Minija
0.90
Banga II
0.87
Be1 NFA is 0.27 goals worse than Panevėžys II in terms of goals scored per game (1.30 vs 1.57).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Šiauliai II
0.50
Be1 NFA
0.63
Nevėžis
0.87
Dainava
1.03
Babrungas
1.13
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.20
Minija
1.30
Šilas
1.37
BFA
1.57
Žalgiris II
1.60
Trakai II
1.60
Garliava
1.67
Ekranas
1.70
FA Šiauliai II
1.89
Panevėžys II
2.10
Banga II
2.23
Atmosfera
2.23
Be1 NFA is 1.47 goals better than Panevėžys II in terms of goals conceded per game (0.63 vs 2.10).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Be1 NFABe1 NFA

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D01L11D00D11D00D00D00D10W10WA·FA 09/04A·EKR16/04H·BFA01/05A·MIN14/05H·NEP22/05A·TRA28/05A·ATM31/05H·BAB03/06H·BAN19/06A·ŽAL24/06
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.380.310.570.430.170.17
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (3)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Weaker (10)0.500.400.800.600.200.20
Clean sheet %69% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Panevėžys II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D01L13L11D00D02L02L03L01L20WH·TRA11/04A·BAB18/04H·ATM01/05A·BAN16/05H·ŽAL23/05H·FA 29/05A·ŠIL03/06H·NEV12/06A·DAI20/06H·GAR26/06
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.541.380.621.500.401.20
vs Stronger (2)0.001.50--0.001.50
vs Similar (5)0.601.800.672.330.501.00
vs Weaker (6)0.671.000.601.001.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Be1 NFA) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Be1 NFA over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Be1 NFA over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Be1 NFA over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Be1 NFABe1 NFA

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W21W00D10W11D20W00D11D20WA·FA 09/04A·EKR16/04H·BFA01/05A·MIN14/05H·NEP22/05A·TRA28/05A·ATM31/05H·BAB03/06H·BAN19/06A·ŽAL24/06
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.230.710.291.330.17
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (3)0.330.330.000.001.001.00
vs Weaker (10)1.200.201.000.401.400.00
Clean sheet %77% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Panevėžys II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D10W00D12L03L23L04L01L21W32WH·TRA11/04A·BAB18/04H·ATM01/05A·BAN16/05H·ŽAL23/05H·FA 29/05A·ŠIL03/06H·NEV12/06A·DAI20/06H·GAR26/06
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.310.621.121.001.60
vs Stronger (2)0.502.00--0.502.00
vs Similar (5)0.600.800.000.331.501.50
vs Weaker (6)1.001.501.001.601.001.00
Clean sheet %38% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Be1 NFA) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Be1 NFA over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Be1 NFA over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Be1 NFA over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽI (6)
€1m
MIN (3)
€0m
FŠI (4)
€0m
DAI (1)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
BFA (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NK (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
DAI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FŠI (2)
€0m
DAI (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽI (3)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
BFA (0)
€0m
DAI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
BN wins
0
Draws
0
PI wins

Head-to-head

Be1 NFA vs Panevėžys II · H/A from BN
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Be1 NFABe1 NFA

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/06/22AŽalgiris II Vs BN0-3
19/06/22HBN Vs Banga II2-1
03/06/22HBN Vs Babrungas0-0
31/05/22AAtmosfera Vs BN0-2
28/05/22ATrakai II Vs BN1-1
22/05/22HBN Vs Neptūną Klaipėda2-1
14/05/22AMinija Vs BN0-0
01/05/22HBN Vs BFA3-2
16/04/22AEkranas Vs BN1-1
09/04/22AFA Šiauliai II Vs BN0-2

Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/06/22HPI Vs Garliava5-2
20/06/22ADainava Vs PI2-2
12/06/22HPI Vs Nevėžis0-4
03/06/22AŠilas Vs PI6-0
29/05/22HPI Vs FA Šiauliai II2-5
23/05/22HPI Vs Žalgiris II0-3
16/05/22ABanga II Vs PI3-2
01/05/22HPI Vs Atmosfera1-3
18/04/22ABabrungas Vs PI1-1
11/04/22HPI Vs Trakai II2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Be1 NFA
Be1 NFA
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDWW2.08
HomeDWWDW2.14
AwayDDDWW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%57%50%
AVG goals1.922.001.83
Over 1.5 %69%57%83%
Over 2.5 %31%43%17%
Over 3.5 %8%14%0%
Scored1.381.291.50
Conceded0.540.710.33
BTTS46%57%33%
Clean Sheet54%43%67%
Corners---
Cards---
Panevėžys II
Panevėžys II
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDW0.62
HomeLLLLW0.62
AwayDDLLD0.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %8%12%0%
AVG goals4.003.884.20
Over 1.5 %92%88%100%
Over 2.5 %77%75%80%
Over 3.5 %69%62%80%
Scored1.311.251.40
Conceded2.692.622.80
BTTS62%50%80%
Clean Sheet8%12%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DainavaDainava3067
70%
2.2
6931+38
3.3
90%
70%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.0
-
2Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda3062
63%
2.1
6636+30
3.4
90%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.2
-
3NevėžisNevėžis3058
57%
1.9
5226+26
2.6
67%
43%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.9
-
4Be1 NFABe1 NFA3057
50%
1.9
3919+20
1.9
73%
27%
3%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.6
-
5ŠilasŠilas3053
53%
1.8
5141+10
3.1
80%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.4
-
6BabrungasBabrungas3046
43%
1.5
5234+18
2.9
80%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.1
-
7EkranasEkranas3041
40%
1.4
4851-3
3.3
87%
53%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.7
-
8BFABFA3038
37%
1.3
5447+7
3.4
90%
70%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.6
-
9Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II3036
30%
1.2
4448-4
3.1
73%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.6
-
10Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II3036
33%
1.2
4763-16
3.7
97%
80%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.1
-
11MinijaMinija3033
30%
1.1
2739-12
2.2
67%
37%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.3
-
12GarliavaGarliava3033
30%
1.1
3150-19
2.7
73%
43%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
13Trakai IITrakai II3032
23%
1.1
4148-7
3.0
77%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
14FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II2829
32%
1.0
3053-23
3.0
82%
61%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.9
-
15AtmosferaAtmosfera3024
20%
0.8
4167-26
3.6
87%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.2
-
16Banga IIBanga II3020
17%
0.7
2667-41
3.1
73%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.2
-
17Šiauliai IIŠiauliai II24
50%
2.0
31+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.50.5
-
Lithuania: 1 Lyga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: 1 Lyga stats & trends →

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