This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liège
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.50
1.50
1.50
1.50
1.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
1.55
1.45
1.50
1.50
1.60
1.40
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Beerschot VA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.6%
Under 1.5
28.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.4%
Under 2.5
55.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.2%
Under 3.5
76.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.2%
No
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
0-0
9.9%
1-0
9.6%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.1%
Beerschot VA goals ↓
Liège goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.9%
8.9%
6.1%
2.4%
0.7%
1
9.6%
14%
7.7%
3.0%
0.9%
2
6.9%
8.2%
4.9%
1.9%
0.6%
3
2.9%
3.5%
2.0%
0.8%
0.2%
4
0.9%
1.1%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Beerschot VA goals (down), columns = Liège goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Beerschot VA
1.87
Dender
1.80
Lommel United
1.76
Deinze
1.76
Liège
1.63
Zulte Waregem
1.62
Patro Eisden
1.59
SK Beveren
1.50
Oostende
1.27
Club Brugge II
1.23
KRC Genk II
1.23
K. Lierse S.K.
1.17
RSC Anderlecht II
1.13
Francs Borains
1.07
Seraing United
0.93
Standard Liège II
0.57
Beerschot VA is 0.23 points better than Liège in terms of average points per game (1.87 vs 1.63).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dender
1.83
Lommel United
1.65
Deinze
1.65
Liège
1.63
Zulte Waregem
1.62
KRC Genk II
1.53
Beerschot VA
1.53
SK Beveren
1.47
K. Lierse S.K.
1.47
Club Brugge II
1.33
RSC Anderlecht II
1.30
Patro Eisden
1.28
Francs Borains
1.27
Seraing United
1.10
Oostende
1.07
Standard Liège II
0.83
Beerschot VA is 0.10 goals worse than Liège in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.63).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Beerschot VA
0.97
Lommel United
1.00
Patro Eisden
1.06
Dender
1.07
Zulte Waregem
1.12
Deinze
1.21
Oostende
1.30
SK Beveren
1.33
Liège
1.37
RSC Anderlecht II
1.57
Club Brugge II
1.63
Seraing United
1.70
Francs Borains
1.73
KRC Genk II
1.73
K. Lierse S.K.
1.97
Standard Liège II
2.00
Beerschot VA is 0.40 goals better than Liège in terms of goals conceded per game (0.97 vs 1.37).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Beerschot VA
61%
Lommel United
59%
SK Beveren
55%
Club Brugge II
54%
Zulte Waregem
54%
RSC Anderlecht II
51%
KRC Genk II
50%
Deinze
49%
Dender
49%
K. Lierse S.K.
49%
Seraing United
47%
Francs Borains
46%
Standard Liège II
46%
Liège
45%
Oostende
44%
Patro Eisden
41%
Beerschot VA is 16.2 percentage points better than Liège in terms of average possession (61% vs 45%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Beerschot VA
For 6.0 · Against 4.6 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 3.4 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.0 · Against 18.0 · Total 33.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Liège
For 5.6 · Against 7.0 · Total 12.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 3.0 · Total 6.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.1 · Against 11.4 · Total 25.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Beerschot VA
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.3
9.6
1.5
1.0
1.9
28.2
25.5
30.4
vs Stronger (4)
8.3
7.5
10.0
4.2
3.5
5.0
23.7
22.5
26.0
vs Similar (40)
9.8
10.2
9.4
1.2
0.9
1.6
28.8
27.0
30.2
vs Weaker (6)
10.0
-
10.0
1.0
0.0
2.0
36.0
-
36.0
% over line
46%
33%
57%
18%
16%
20%
77%
67%
86%
% under line
54%
67%
43%
82%
84%
80%
23%
33%
14%
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liège
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (12)
12.6
13.0
12.2
3.6
3.8
3.3
25.6
26.7
24.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
12.6
13.0
12.2
3.9
3.8
4.0
25.6
26.7
24.8
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
86%
100%
75%
50%
50%
50%
57%
67%
50%
% under line
14%
0%
25%
50%
50%
50%
43%
33%
50%
This opponent (Beerschot VA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
K. Lierse S.K.
13.3
Liège
12.6
Deinze
11.5
Club Brugge II
11.2
Beerschot VA
11.0
SK Beveren
10.8
KRC Genk II
10.7
Zulte Waregem
10.2
Oostende
10.1
Francs Borains
10.0
Lommel United
9.8
RSC Anderlecht II
9.8
Standard Liège II
9.6
Seraing United
9.4
Dender
9.2
Patro Eisden
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
K. Lierse S.K.
7.3
KRC Genk II
6.4
Seraing United
6.4
RSC Anderlecht II
6.4
Liège
6.1
Dender
6.1
Standard Liège II
5.9
Patro Eisden
5.8
Francs Borains
5.4
Beerschot VA
5.0
Oostende
4.8
Club Brugge II
4.5
Zulte Waregem
4.3
Lommel United
4.2
Deinze
4.2
SK Beveren
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Dender
30.6
Patro Eisden
30.4
Seraing United
29.9
KRC Genk II
28.7
Deinze
28.1
RSC Anderlecht II
27.6
K. Lierse S.K.
27.6
Standard Liège II
27.6
Francs Borains
27.0
Liège
25.6
Beerschot VA
25.4
Club Brugge II
25.1
SK Beveren
24.9
Oostende
24.2
Lommel United
22.9
Zulte Waregem
22.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
66.9%
Under 9.5
33.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
77.8%
Under 3.5
22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
88.1%
Under 21.5
11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Beerschot VA
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.57
0.53
0.40
0.47
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.48
0.63
0.54
0.46
0.43
0.79
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liège
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.75
0.42
0.83
0.50
0.67
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.82
0.45
0.83
0.50
0.80
0.40
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
58% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Beerschot VA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Beerschot VA over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beerschot VA over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beerschot VA over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Beerschot VA
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.60
0.60
0.47
1.07
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.81
0.59
0.54
0.46
1.07
0.71
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liège
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.75
1.08
0.67
1.00
0.83
1.17
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.73
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.80
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
42% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Beerschot VA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Beerschot VA over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beerschot VA over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beerschot VA over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
94.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
90.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Beerschot VA
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
D'Margio Wright-Phillips36%
Tom Reyners35%
Mardochee Nzita22%
Simion Michez20%
Thibaud Verlinden17%
Sekou Diawara17%
Charly Keita12%
Apostolos Konstantopoulos12%
Marco Weymans11%
Ryan Sanusi5%
Welat Cagro4%
Luca Meisl0%
Katuku Derrick Tshimanga0%
Davor Matijaš0%
Robin Simovic0%
Herve Matthys0%
Ibrahim Alhassan Abdullahi0%
Dean Huiberts0%
Félix Nzouango Bikien0%
Jerrel Hak0%
Axl Van Himbeeck0%
Benjamin Pauwels0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mardochee Nzita39%
D'Margio Wright-Phillips27%
Ryan Sanusi26%
Welat Cagro22%
Thibaud Verlinden21%
Herve Matthys17%
Charly Keita16%
Marco Weymans16%
Apostolos Konstantopoulos12%
Simion Michez12%
Davor Matijaš12%
Dean Huiberts10%
Katuku Derrick Tshimanga8%
Axl Van Himbeeck7%
Tom Reyners4%
Luca Meisl0%
Robin Simovic0%
Ibrahim Alhassan Abdullahi0%
Sekou Diawara0%
Félix Nzouango Bikien0%
Jerrel Hak0%
Benjamin Pauwels0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Thibaud Verlinden33%
Tom Reyners15%
Mardochee Nzita13%
Charly Keita12%
Simion Michez12%
D'Margio Wright-Phillips9%
Herve Matthys9%
Apostolos Konstantopoulos8%
Ryan Sanusi5%
Ibrahim Alhassan Abdullahi5%
Welat Cagro4%
Luca Meisl0%
Katuku Derrick Tshimanga0%
Davor Matijaš0%
Robin Simovic0%
Marco Weymans0%
Dean Huiberts0%
Sekou Diawara0%
Félix Nzouango Bikien0%
Jerrel Hak0%
Axl Van Himbeeck0%
Benjamin Pauwels0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Thibaud Verlinden38%
Sekou Diawara33%
Simion Michez24%
Tom Reyners23%
Ryan Sanusi11%
Charly Keita8%
Benjamin Pauwels7%
Marco Weymans5%
Ibrahim Alhassan Abdullahi5%
Mardochee Nzita4%
Apostolos Konstantopoulos4%
Luca Meisl0%
Katuku Derrick Tshimanga0%
Davor Matijaš0%
Robin Simovic0%
Herve Matthys0%
Welat Cagro0%
Dean Huiberts0%
D'Margio Wright-Phillips0%
Félix Nzouango Bikien0%
Jerrel Hak0%
Axl Van Himbeeck0%
Liège
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adriano Bertaccini42%
Benoit Bruggeman22%
Benoit Nyssen21%
Abian Arslan17%
Yanick Loemba13%
Alessio Cascio12%
Damien Mouchamps11%
Zakaria Atteri10%
Reno Wilmots9%
Mohamed Mouhli9%
Jordan Bustin9%
Ryan Merlen9%
Maxime Cavelier6%
Benjamin Lambot4%
Jonathan D'Ostilio4%
Kevin Debaty0%
Benjamin Van den Ackerveken0%
Jérémie Lioka0%
Jesse Mputu0%
Tom Panepinto0%
Lucca Lucker0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Benoit Nyssen33%
Yanick Loemba30%
Zakaria Atteri30%
Reno Wilmots27%
Jonathan D'Ostilio25%
Jordan Bustin22%
Benjamin Lambot17%
Adriano Bertaccini17%
Alessio Cascio16%
Ryan Merlen13%
Maxime Cavelier12%
Kevin Debaty12%
Jérémie Lioka10%
Abian Arslan8%
Lucca Lucker7%
Mohamed Mouhli4%
Damien Mouchamps0%
Benjamin Van den Ackerveken0%
Benoit Bruggeman0%
Jesse Mputu0%
Tom Panepinto0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Benoit Nyssen21%
Maxime Cavelier19%
Ryan Merlen17%
Reno Wilmots9%
Benjamin Lambot9%
Yanick Loemba9%
Mohamed Mouhli9%
Abian Arslan8%
Alessio Cascio8%
Lucca Lucker7%
Benoit Bruggeman6%
Zakaria Atteri5%
Kevin Debaty0%
Damien Mouchamps0%
Adriano Bertaccini0%
Jordan Bustin0%
Jonathan D'Ostilio0%
Benjamin Van den Ackerveken0%
Jérémie Lioka0%
Jesse Mputu0%
Tom Panepinto0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adriano Bertaccini33%
Benoit Bruggeman28%
Zakaria Atteri25%
Alessio Cascio16%
Mohamed Mouhli13%
Benoit Nyssen8%
Abian Arslan8%
Jérémie Lioka5%
Reno Wilmots5%
Yanick Loemba4%
Ryan Merlen4%
Benjamin Lambot0%
Kevin Debaty0%
Damien Mouchamps0%
Jordan Bustin0%
Jonathan D'Ostilio0%
Benjamin Van den Ackerveken0%
Jesse Mputu0%
Tom Panepinto0%
Lucca Lucker0%
Maxime Cavelier0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →
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Lommel United
Deinze
Dender
Zulte Waregem
Patro Eisden
SK Beveren
Oostende
KRC Genk II
Club Brugge II
K. Lierse S.K.
RSC Anderlecht II
Francs Borains
Seraing United
Standard Liège II