This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liège
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.23
1.81
1.25
1.29
1.21
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.62
1.31
1.92
1.38
1.31
1.23
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
0.67
2.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Beerschot VA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.1%
Under 1.5
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
42.6%
Under 2.5
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.8%
Under 3.5
78.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.1%
No
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
1-0
11.1%
0-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.3%
2-0
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.0%
Beerschot VA goals ↓
Liège goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
8.3%
5.0%
1.7%
0.5%
1
11%
14%
6.7%
2.3%
0.6%
2
8.3%
8.6%
4.5%
1.6%
0.4%
3
3.7%
3.9%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.2%
1.3%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Beerschot VA goals (down), columns = Liège goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
SK Beveren
2.75
Kortrijk
2.06
Beerschot VA
2.00
Liège
1.66
Lommel United
1.66
Patro Eisden
1.59
AS Eupen
1.47
Lokeren-Temse
1.31
KAA Gent II
1.28
K. Lierse S.K.
1.19
Seraing United
1.13
RWDM
1.12
Francs Borains
1.09
RSC Anderlecht II
0.97
KRC Genk II
0.97
Club Brugge II
0.66
Olympic Charleroi
0.50
Beerschot VA is 0.34 points better than Liège in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.66).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
SK Beveren
2.31
Lommel United
1.84
Kortrijk
1.81
Beerschot VA
1.62
RWDM
1.56
Lokeren-Temse
1.50
RSC Anderlecht II
1.44
Liège
1.38
Patro Eisden
1.38
AS Eupen
1.38
KAA Gent II
1.31
KRC Genk II
1.31
Seraing United
1.19
K. Lierse S.K.
1.09
Francs Borains
1.03
Club Brugge II
1.03
Olympic Charleroi
0.81
Beerschot VA is 0.25 goals better than Liège in terms of goals scored per game (1.62 vs 1.38).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
SK Beveren
0.72
Beerschot VA
0.97
Kortrijk
1.06
AS Eupen
1.12
Liège
1.22
Patro Eisden
1.25
K. Lierse S.K.
1.31
Seraing United
1.32
Lokeren-Temse
1.41
Lommel United
1.44
Francs Borains
1.47
KAA Gent II
1.59
RWDM
1.69
Club Brugge II
1.72
RSC Anderlecht II
1.72
KRC Genk II
1.84
Olympic Charleroi
2.12
Beerschot VA is 0.25 goals better than Liège in terms of goals conceded per game (0.97 vs 1.22).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
KAA Gent II
57%
Club Brugge II
56%
SK Beveren
56%
Lommel United
55%
Lokeren-Temse
54%
Kortrijk
53%
Beerschot VA
53%
RSC Anderlecht II
52%
KRC Genk II
52%
AS Eupen
51%
Olympic Charleroi
48%
K. Lierse S.K.
47%
RWDM
47%
Francs Borains
45%
Liège
44%
Seraing United
41%
Patro Eisden
38%
Beerschot VA is 8.3 percentage points better than Liège in terms of average possession (53% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Beerschot VA
For 5.0 · Against 5.8 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 12.1 · Total 24.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Liège
For 6.5 · Against 5.8 · Total 12.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 12.6 · Total 24.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Beerschot VA
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
11.8
10.0
3.2
2.8
3.6
21.9
20.6
23.0
vs Stronger (11)
10.9
11.4
10.4
3.6
3.5
3.8
21.5
20.6
22.4
vs Similar (35)
10.9
11.9
10.1
3.1
2.7
3.4
21.3
20.7
21.8
vs Weaker (4)
9.0
-
9.0
3.2
0.0
4.3
33.0
-
33.0
% over line
64%
76%
55%
52%
46%
58%
49%
35%
59%
% under line
36%
24%
45%
48%
54%
42%
51%
65%
41%
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liège
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.2
11.3
11.1
3.8
3.6
4.1
25.7
27.3
24.3
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (45)
11.1
11.0
11.3
4.0
3.9
4.2
25.6
27.2
24.1
vs Weaker (4)
12.0
16.0
8.0
2.5
2.0
3.0
28.5
29.0
28.0
% over line
65%
56%
74%
56%
58%
54%
73%
78%
68%
% under line
35%
44%
26%
44%
42%
46%
27%
22%
32%
This opponent (Beerschot VA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Liège
11.3
Lokeren-Temse
10.7
RWDM
10.5
Kortrijk
10.5
Seraing United
10.3
Beerschot VA
10.3
KRC Genk II
10.2
Olympic Charleroi
10.0
SK Beveren
9.9
Francs Borains
9.9
Patro Eisden
9.8
RSC Anderlecht II
9.7
Club Brugge II
9.5
K. Lierse S.K.
9.3
KAA Gent II
9.3
AS Eupen
9.3
Lommel United
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lokeren-Temse
6.3
Francs Borains
6.2
Patro Eisden
5.9
K. Lierse S.K.
5.5
Liège
5.2
Seraing United
5.2
SK Beveren
5.0
RSC Anderlecht II
4.9
Olympic Charleroi
4.8
Kortrijk
4.8
Lommel United
4.7
KRC Genk II
4.7
AS Eupen
4.6
Club Brugge II
4.4
RWDM
4.4
Beerschot VA
4.3
KAA Gent II
4.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
KAA Gent II
29.3
Lokeren-Temse
28.2
Francs Borains
27.9
Patro Eisden
27.8
K. Lierse S.K.
27.0
RSC Anderlecht II
26.1
Seraing United
26.1
KRC Genk II
25.8
Liège
25.5
Club Brugge II
25.3
Olympic Charleroi
24.8
AS Eupen
24.6
Lommel United
24.6
SK Beveren
24.5
RWDM
24.2
Beerschot VA
22.7
Kortrijk
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
68.9%
Under 9.5
31.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
71.4%
Under 3.5
28.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
75.3%
Under 21.5
24.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Beerschot VA
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.60
0.50
0.57
0.38
0.62
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.75
0.00
3.00
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (22)
0.41
0.50
0.50
0.42
0.30
0.60
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.67
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liège
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.50
1.00
0.50
0.79
0.50
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.88
0.54
1.00
0.62
0.77
0.46
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.33
1.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Beerschot VA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Beerschot VA over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beerschot VA over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beerschot VA over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Beerschot VA
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.67
1.00
0.64
0.94
0.69
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.25
0.00
1.00
1.00
1.33
vs Similar (22)
0.91
0.55
0.92
0.58
0.90
0.50
vs Weaker (4)
1.50
0.75
3.00
1.00
1.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Liège) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liège
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.73
0.81
0.75
0.50
0.71
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.73
0.77
0.92
0.77
0.54
0.77
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.33
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Beerschot VA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Beerschot VA over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beerschot VA over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beerschot VA over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liège over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Beerschot VA
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
D'Margio Wright-Phillips37%
Arnold Vula35%
Ensar Brahić25%
Rajiv Van La Parra17%
Genki Haraguchi15%
Ken Masui15%
Severin Sabri Guendouz12%
Bas Van den Eynden11%
Oscar Vargas10%
Loïc Mbe Soh8%
Brian Plat7%
Glenn Claes4%
Lukas Van Eenoo3%
Colin Dagba0%
Edisson Jordanov0%
Ryan Sanusi0%
Marco Weymans0%
Nick Shinton0%
Nilton Varela0%
Dennis Gyamfi0%
Cyril Khetir0%
Ayouba Kosiah0%
Axl Van Himbeeck0%
Emre Uzun0%
Andres Labie0%
Siviwe Magidigidi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cyril Khetir50%
Ayouba Kosiah33%
Edisson Jordanov29%
Marco Weymans20%
Loïc Mbe Soh17%
Severin Sabri Guendouz17%
Siviwe Magidigidi17%
Bas Van den Eynden16%
Genki Haraguchi15%
Arnold Vula15%
Ken Masui15%
Lukas Van Eenoo14%
Dennis Gyamfi14%
Rajiv Van La Parra12%
Nick Shinton10%
Nilton Varela10%
Andres Labie9%
Glenn Claes9%
Brian Plat7%
Axl Van Himbeeck6%
Ryan Sanusi5%
D'Margio Wright-Phillips5%
Colin Dagba5%
Emre Uzun0%
Ensar Brahić0%
Oscar Vargas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
D'Margio Wright-Phillips26%
Severin Sabri Guendouz17%
Arnold Vula15%
Colin Dagba15%
Lukas Van Eenoo14%
Edisson Jordanov12%
Oscar Vargas10%
Glenn Claes9%
Ryan Sanusi5%
Rajiv Van La Parra4%
Loïc Mbe Soh0%
Genki Haraguchi0%
Brian Plat0%
Marco Weymans0%
Nick Shinton0%
Nilton Varela0%
Dennis Gyamfi0%
Cyril Khetir0%
Bas Van den Eynden0%
Ken Masui0%
Ayouba Kosiah0%
Axl Van Himbeeck0%
Emre Uzun0%
Andres Labie0%
Ensar Brahić0%
Siviwe Magidigidi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Arnold Vula35%
Ken Masui31%
Rajiv Van La Parra25%
Glenn Claes13%
Bas Van den Eynden11%
Lukas Van Eenoo10%
Severin Sabri Guendouz8%
Genki Haraguchi8%
Ensar Brahić6%
D'Margio Wright-Phillips5%
Brian Plat4%
Colin Dagba0%
Loïc Mbe Soh0%
Edisson Jordanov0%
Ryan Sanusi0%
Marco Weymans0%
Nick Shinton0%
Nilton Varela0%
Dennis Gyamfi0%
Cyril Khetir0%
Ayouba Kosiah0%
Axl Van Himbeeck0%
Emre Uzun0%
Andres Labie0%
Siviwe Magidigidi0%
Oscar Vargas0%
Liège
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Frederic Soelle Soelle33%
Simon Paulet25%
Oumar Diouf20%
Kylian Hazard17%
Alexis Lefebvre14%
Alexis De Sart12%
Pierre-Yves Ngawa8%
Kays Ruiz-Atil8%
Lucca Lucker7%
Kevin Shkurti7%
Jonathan D'Ostilio6%
Abian Arslan6%
Damien Mouchamps6%
Benoit Bruggeman5%
Reno Wilmots0%
Victor Corneillie0%
Alexis Andre Jr.0%
Fadel Gobitaka0%
Darío Sarmiento0%
Jordan Bustin0%
Jordi Belin0%
Emrehan Gedikli0%
Flavio Da Silva0%
Martin Wasinski0%
Eric N'jo0%
Stephen Reynaerts0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jordan Bustin45%
Oumar Diouf30%
Reno Wilmots26%
Jonathan D'Ostilio25%
Stephen Reynaerts25%
Kevin Shkurti21%
Alexis Lefebvre19%
Kays Ruiz-Atil15%
Victor Corneillie14%
Pierre-Yves Ngawa8%
Simon Paulet8%
Martin Wasinski8%
Abian Arslan6%
Alexis De Sart6%
Damien Mouchamps6%
Kylian Hazard0%
Alexis Andre Jr.0%
Fadel Gobitaka0%
Darío Sarmiento0%
Benoit Bruggeman0%
Jordi Belin0%
Emrehan Gedikli0%
Flavio Da Silva0%
Lucca Lucker0%
Eric N'jo0%
Frederic Soelle Soelle0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Martin Wasinski21%
Benoit Bruggeman15%
Eric N'jo14%
Jonathan D'Ostilio12%
Kylian Hazard11%
Oumar Diouf10%
Pierre-Yves Ngawa8%
Simon Paulet8%
Kays Ruiz-Atil8%
Alexis De Sart6%
Reno Wilmots4%
Damien Mouchamps0%
Victor Corneillie0%
Alexis Andre Jr.0%
Fadel Gobitaka0%
Darío Sarmiento0%
Jordan Bustin0%
Jordi Belin0%
Emrehan Gedikli0%
Flavio Da Silva0%
Alexis Lefebvre0%
Lucca Lucker0%
Abian Arslan0%
Frederic Soelle Soelle0%
Stephen Reynaerts0%
Kevin Shkurti0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Frederic Soelle Soelle22%
Oumar Diouf20%
Kylian Hazard17%
Kays Ruiz-Atil15%
Benoit Bruggeman15%
Alexis Lefebvre10%
Reno Wilmots9%
Simon Paulet8%
Alexis De Sart0%
Pierre-Yves Ngawa0%
Damien Mouchamps0%
Victor Corneillie0%
Alexis Andre Jr.0%
Fadel Gobitaka0%
Darío Sarmiento0%
Jordan Bustin0%
Jonathan D'Ostilio0%
Jordi Belin0%
Emrehan Gedikli0%
Flavio Da Silva0%
Lucca Lucker0%
Martin Wasinski0%
Abian Arslan0%
Eric N'jo0%
Stephen Reynaerts0%
Kevin Shkurti0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
SK Beveren
Kortrijk
Lommel United
Patro Eisden
AS Eupen
Lokeren-Temse
KAA Gent II
K. Lierse S.K.
RWDM
Seraing United
Francs Borains
RSC Anderlecht II
KRC Genk II
Club Brugge II
Olympic Charleroi