This opponent (Lommel United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lommel United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.17
1.87
0.80
1.40
1.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
1.56
1.56
1.62
0.75
1.50
2.38
vs Weaker (14)
1.71
0.71
2.14
0.86
1.29
0.57
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Beerschot VA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.8%
Under 1.5
28.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.7%
Under 2.5
55.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.5%
Under 3.5
76.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.2%
No
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
1-0
9.9%
0-0
9.8%
2-1 ✓
8.5%
0-1
8.5%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
0-2
5.6%
Beerschot VA goals ↓
Lommel United goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.8%
8.5%
5.6%
2.1%
0.6%
1
9.9%
14%
7.4%
2.8%
0.8%
2
7.4%
8.5%
4.9%
1.9%
0.5%
3
3.3%
3.7%
2.1%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.1%
1.2%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Beerschot VA goals (down), columns = Lommel United goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Beerschot VA
1.87
Dender
1.80
Lommel United
1.76
Deinze
1.76
Liège
1.63
Zulte Waregem
1.62
Patro Eisden
1.59
SK Beveren
1.50
Oostende
1.27
Club Brugge II
1.23
KRC Genk II
1.23
K. Lierse S.K.
1.17
RSC Anderlecht II
1.13
Francs Borains
1.07
Seraing United
0.93
Standard Liège II
0.57
Beerschot VA is 0.10 points better than Lommel United in terms of average points per game (1.87 vs 1.76).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dender
1.83
Lommel United
1.65
Deinze
1.65
Liège
1.63
Zulte Waregem
1.62
KRC Genk II
1.53
Beerschot VA
1.53
SK Beveren
1.47
K. Lierse S.K.
1.47
Club Brugge II
1.33
RSC Anderlecht II
1.30
Patro Eisden
1.28
Francs Borains
1.27
Seraing United
1.10
Oostende
1.07
Standard Liège II
0.83
Beerschot VA is 0.11 goals worse than Lommel United in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.65).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Beerschot VA
0.97
Lommel United
1.00
Patro Eisden
1.06
Dender
1.07
Zulte Waregem
1.12
Deinze
1.21
Oostende
1.30
SK Beveren
1.33
Liège
1.37
RSC Anderlecht II
1.57
Club Brugge II
1.63
Seraing United
1.70
Francs Borains
1.73
KRC Genk II
1.73
K. Lierse S.K.
1.97
Standard Liège II
2.00
Beerschot VA is 0.03 goals better than Lommel United in terms of goals conceded per game (0.97 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Beerschot VA
61%
Lommel United
59%
SK Beveren
55%
Club Brugge II
54%
Zulte Waregem
54%
RSC Anderlecht II
51%
KRC Genk II
50%
Deinze
49%
Dender
49%
K. Lierse S.K.
49%
Seraing United
47%
Francs Borains
46%
Standard Liège II
46%
Liège
45%
Oostende
44%
Patro Eisden
41%
Beerschot VA is 2.3 percentage points better than Lommel United in terms of average possession (61% vs 59%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Beerschot VA
For 5.7 · Against 4.3 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.7 · Against 3.7 · Total 7.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.7 · Against 16.0 · Total 33.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lommel United
For 6.0 · Against 4.3 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.0 · Against 11.7 · Total 19.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Beerschot VA
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.0
9.9
1.4
1.0
1.8
26.2
24.2
28.0
vs Stronger (4)
8.3
7.5
10.0
4.2
3.5
5.0
23.7
22.5
26.0
vs Similar (41)
10.4
11.2
9.8
1.3
0.8
1.7
27.0
25.0
28.3
vs Weaker (5)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
54%
50%
57%
20%
16%
24%
77%
67%
86%
% under line
46%
50%
43%
80%
84%
76%
23%
33%
14%
This opponent (Lommel United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lommel United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (40)
10.3
9.0
13.0
0.3
0.3
0.3
19.7
20.0
19.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
13.0
-
13.0
0.3
0.0
0.5
19.0
-
19.0
vs Weaker (17)
9.0
9.0
-
0.4
0.7
0.0
20.0
20.0
-
% over line
67%
50%
100%
5%
5%
5%
33%
50%
0%
% under line
33%
50%
0%
95%
95%
95%
67%
50%
100%
This opponent (Beerschot VA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
K. Lierse S.K.
15.3
Deinze
15.3
Liège
13.7
Standard Liège II
12.7
Club Brugge II
11.7
RSC Anderlecht II
11.7
Beerschot VA
11.0
Patro Eisden
11.0
Lommel United
10.3
SK Beveren
10.2
Oostende
10.1
Seraing United
10.0
Dender
10.0
Zulte Waregem
9.9
KRC Genk II
9.7
Francs Borains
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
K. Lierse S.K.
9.0
Seraing United
7.7
Dender
7.3
RSC Anderlecht II
7.0
KRC Genk II
6.3
Francs Borains
6.3
Liège
6.0
Patro Eisden
6.0
Deinze
5.3
Beerschot VA
4.8
Oostende
4.4
Club Brugge II
4.3
SK Beveren
4.1
Zulte Waregem
4.1
Lommel United
4.0
Standard Liège II
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
K. Lierse S.K.
31.3
Seraing United
30.7
Deinze
30.3
Dender
30.0
KRC Genk II
29.3
Patro Eisden
28.7
RSC Anderlecht II
26.7
SK Beveren
25.7
Francs Borains
25.7
Beerschot VA
24.7
Liège
24.7
Oostende
23.5
Zulte Waregem
22.4
Club Brugge II
21.7
Standard Liège II
21.3
Lommel United
19.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
77.7%
Under 9.5
22.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
84.1%
Under 3.5
15.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
83.0%
Under 21.5
17.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Beerschot VA
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.63
0.47
0.47
0.53
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.52
0.70
0.50
0.58
0.53
0.80
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.00
0.33
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Lommel United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lommel United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.40
0.73
0.33
0.73
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.75
0.44
0.38
0.12
1.12
0.75
vs Weaker (14)
0.71
0.36
1.14
0.57
0.29
0.14
Clean sheet %
67% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Beerschot VA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Beerschot VA over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beerschot VA over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beerschot VA over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lommel United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lommel United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lommel United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Beerschot VA
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.57
0.80
0.40
1.07
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.85
0.59
0.58
0.42
1.07
0.73
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
0.33
1.67
0.33
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Lommel United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lommel United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.77
1.13
0.47
0.67
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.81
1.12
1.25
0.62
0.38
1.62
vs Weaker (14)
1.00
0.36
1.00
0.29
1.00
0.43
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Beerschot VA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Beerschot VA over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beerschot VA over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beerschot VA over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lommel United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lommel United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lommel United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
93.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
91.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 4.5 cards
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Beerschot VA
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
D'Margio Wright-Phillips36%
Tom Reyners35%
Mardochee Nzita22%
Simion Michez20%
Thibaud Verlinden17%
Sekou Diawara17%
Charly Keita12%
Apostolos Konstantopoulos12%
Marco Weymans11%
Ryan Sanusi5%
Welat Cagro4%
Luca Meisl0%
Katuku Derrick Tshimanga0%
Davor Matijaš0%
Robin Simovic0%
Herve Matthys0%
Ibrahim Alhassan Abdullahi0%
Dean Huiberts0%
Félix Nzouango Bikien0%
Jerrel Hak0%
Axl Van Himbeeck0%
Benjamin Pauwels0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mardochee Nzita39%
D'Margio Wright-Phillips27%
Ryan Sanusi26%
Welat Cagro22%
Thibaud Verlinden21%
Herve Matthys17%
Charly Keita16%
Marco Weymans16%
Apostolos Konstantopoulos12%
Simion Michez12%
Davor Matijaš12%
Dean Huiberts10%
Katuku Derrick Tshimanga8%
Axl Van Himbeeck7%
Tom Reyners4%
Luca Meisl0%
Robin Simovic0%
Ibrahim Alhassan Abdullahi0%
Sekou Diawara0%
Félix Nzouango Bikien0%
Jerrel Hak0%
Benjamin Pauwels0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Thibaud Verlinden33%
Tom Reyners15%
Mardochee Nzita13%
Charly Keita12%
Simion Michez12%
D'Margio Wright-Phillips9%
Herve Matthys9%
Apostolos Konstantopoulos8%
Ryan Sanusi5%
Ibrahim Alhassan Abdullahi5%
Welat Cagro4%
Luca Meisl0%
Katuku Derrick Tshimanga0%
Davor Matijaš0%
Robin Simovic0%
Marco Weymans0%
Dean Huiberts0%
Sekou Diawara0%
Félix Nzouango Bikien0%
Jerrel Hak0%
Axl Van Himbeeck0%
Benjamin Pauwels0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Thibaud Verlinden38%
Sekou Diawara33%
Simion Michez24%
Tom Reyners23%
Ryan Sanusi11%
Charly Keita8%
Benjamin Pauwels7%
Marco Weymans5%
Ibrahim Alhassan Abdullahi5%
Mardochee Nzita4%
Apostolos Konstantopoulos4%
Luca Meisl0%
Katuku Derrick Tshimanga0%
Davor Matijaš0%
Robin Simovic0%
Herve Matthys0%
Welat Cagro0%
Dean Huiberts0%
D'Margio Wright-Phillips0%
Félix Nzouango Bikien0%
Jerrel Hak0%
Axl Van Himbeeck0%
Lommel United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Arthur Sales38%
Igor Vetokele36%
Zalán Vancsa30%
Lucas Schoofs26%
Leon Lalić25%
Diego Rosa18%
Karim Dermane12%
Juho Talvitie11%
Dries Wouters8%
Amar Ahmed7%
Sam De Grand5%
Kluiverth Aguilar4%
Jari De Busser0%
Stijn Wuytens0%
Alex Granell0%
Rob Nizet0%
Yeboah Amankwah0%
Jesper Tolinsson0%
Jamal Baptiste0%
Nikola Ivezić0%
Henry Oware0%
Álvaro Santos0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Leon Lalić50%
Rob Nizet43%
Alex Granell33%
Henry Oware33%
Karim Dermane32%
Sam De Grand30%
Dries Wouters24%
Lucas Schoofs19%
Diego Rosa18%
Jesper Tolinsson13%
Zalán Vancsa11%
Yeboah Amankwah10%
Arthur Sales10%
Kluiverth Aguilar8%
Juho Talvitie7%
Jari De Busser0%
Igor Vetokele0%
Stijn Wuytens0%
Jamal Baptiste0%
Nikola Ivezić0%
Amar Ahmed0%
Álvaro Santos0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sam De Grand25%
Leon Lalić25%
Alex Granell21%
Lucas Schoofs19%
Diego Rosa18%
Zalán Vancsa11%
Karim Dermane8%
Juho Talvitie7%
Arthur Sales5%
Kluiverth Aguilar4%
Dries Wouters0%
Jari De Busser0%
Igor Vetokele0%
Stijn Wuytens0%
Rob Nizet0%
Yeboah Amankwah0%
Jesper Tolinsson0%
Jamal Baptiste0%
Nikola Ivezić0%
Amar Ahmed0%
Henry Oware0%
Álvaro Santos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Arthur Sales38%
Zalán Vancsa22%
Lucas Schoofs19%
Igor Vetokele18%
Diego Rosa9%
Juho Talvitie7%
Dries Wouters0%
Jari De Busser0%
Stijn Wuytens0%
Alex Granell0%
Kluiverth Aguilar0%
Rob Nizet0%
Yeboah Amankwah0%
Jesper Tolinsson0%
Jamal Baptiste0%
Nikola Ivezić0%
Karim Dermane0%
Sam De Grand0%
Amar Ahmed0%
Leon Lalić0%
Henry Oware0%
Álvaro Santos0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (25)
€26m
ZW (27)
€20m
SB (24)
€12m
BV (26)
€9m
DEN (19)
€8m
RAI (19)
€8m
KGI (18)
€7m
PE (25)
€7m
KLS (21)
€5m
FB (22)
€4m
SU (15)
€3m
Beerschot VA's squad is €18m less valuable than Lommel United's (€9m vs €26m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZW (10)
€8m
LU (10)
€8m
SB (9)
€4m
BV (13)
€4m
RAI (8)
€3m
KGI (9)
€2m
KLS (7)
€2m
FB (8)
€2m
DEN (4)
€1m
PE (7)
€1m
SU (4)
€1m
Beerschot VA's attack is €4m less valuable than Lommel United's (€4m vs €8m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (5)
€15m
ZW (4)
€4m
DEN (6)
€3m
SB (5)
€3m
PE (7)
€2m
KGI (1)
€2m
RAI (3)
€2m
FB (5)
€1m
SU (3)
€1m
KLS (3)
€1m
BV (2)
€0m
Beerschot VA's midfield is €14m less valuable than Lommel United's (€0m vs €15m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZW (13)
€9m
BV (11)
€5m
SB (10)
€5m
LU (10)
€4m
DEN (9)
€4m
PE (11)
€3m
RAI (8)
€3m
KLS (11)
€3m
KGI (8)
€2m
FB (9)
€2m
SU (8)
€2m
Beerschot VA and Lommel United have a similar defence value (both €5m).
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Deinze
Dender
Zulte Waregem
Patro Eisden
Liège
SK Beveren
Oostende
KRC Genk II
Club Brugge II
K. Lierse S.K.
RSC Anderlecht II
Francs Borains
Seraing United
Standard Liège II