Beerschot VA are tipped to lift the match, with a 54% chance of victory, 26% for a draw and 20% for Patro Eisden to win. The expected total of 2.7 goals points to a moderate scoring game, and the model’s most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, a 12.3% probability. Beerschot’s home form shows they average 1.77 goals scored and 1.38 conceded against similar opposition, while Patro Eisden’s away numbers are 1.5 scored and 1.42 conceded. The suggested picks include an 99.4% chance of “Away under 2.5 HT goals”, 99.3% for “Under 7.5”, 98.3% for “Away under 2.5 2H goals” with a 4% edge, 98.2% for “Away under 3.5 goals” with a 6% edge, 97.8% for “Under 6.5” with a 6% edge, 95.2% for “Over 19.5 fouls”, 95.1% for “Home under 2.5 HT goals” with a 3% edge, and 94.0% for “Away under 1.5 HT goals” with a 4% edge. Beerschot’s recent win over RSC Anderlecht II gives them a positive start, whereas Patro Eisden are still recovering from two straight defeats.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Beerschot VA win
52.5%
Avg Implied 52.0% · @ 1.76
Edge
+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.85
Superbet
1.85
William Hil
1.83
Pinnacle
1.83
SBO
1.82
Draw
27.1%
Avg Implied 26.6% · @ 3.44
Edge
+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Betano
3.55
Pinnacle
3.53
Bet365
3.50
Patro Eisden win
20.5%
Avg Implied 21.5% · @ 4.26
Edge
-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
4.90
Betfair
4.60
Betano
4.60
Marathonbet
4.60
Bet365
4.50
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Beerschot VA
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.27
1.67
1.27
1.40
1.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.54
1.38
1.77
1.38
1.31
1.38
vs Weaker (4)
1.50
0.50
1.00
0.50
2.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Patro Eisden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Patro Eisden
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.50
1.40
1.40
1.20
1.60
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
5.00
-
-
0.00
5.00
vs Similar (24)
1.33
1.50
1.17
1.58
1.50
1.42
vs Weaker (5)
1.40
0.80
2.33
0.67
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Beerschot VA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
73.8%
@ 1.28+1.4%
Under 1.5
26.2%
@ 3.36-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.30
Betano
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Pinnacle
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Under
Pinnacle
3.54
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.50
BetVictor
3.40
Unibet
3.30
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
47.3%
@ 1.90-1.6%
Under 2.5
52.7%
@ 1.83+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.95
SBO
1.93
10Bet
1.93
Unibet
1.92
Under
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathonbet
1.85
Betfair
1.85
Bet365
1.85
Betano
1.85
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
25.7%
@ 3.23-3.1%
Under 3.5
74.3%
@ 1.30+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.40
Unibet
3.35
10Bet
3.35
Pinnacle
3.32
Bet365
3.25
Under
Betfair
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.30
Both teams to score
Yes
50.1%
@ 1.80-1.0%
No
49.9%
@ 1.88+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.87
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.82
Unibet
1.81
Marathonbet
1.80
No
BetVictor
1.93
William Hil
1.91
10Bet
1.90
Superbet
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%@ 6.15+5.9%
1-0
11.3%@ 6.27+4.5%
2-0
10.2%@ 7.59+4.5%
2-1
9.6%@ 7.45+3.8%
0-0
8.8%@ 8.90+4.0%
0-1
6.0%@ 10.44+1.9%
3-0
5.5%@ 12.69+2.1%
1-2
5.5%@ 12.45+2.0%
Beerschot VA goals ↓
Patro Eisden goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.8%
6.0%
3.4%
1.1%
0.2%
1
11%
13%
5.5%
1.7%
0.4%
2
10%
9.6%
4.5%
1.4%
0.3%
3
5.5%
5.2%
2.4%
0.8%
0.2%
4
2.3%
2.1%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Beerschot VA goals (down), columns = Patro Eisden goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Beerschot VA
2.00
Dender
1.77
Liège
1.66
Patro Eisden
1.59
AS Eupen
1.47
Lokeren-Temse
1.31
KAA Gent II
1.28
K. Lierse S.K.
1.19
Seraing United
1.13
Francs Borains
1.09
Sporting Hasselt
1.01
RSC Anderlecht II
0.97
KRC Genk II
0.97
Excelsior Virton
0.95
Club Brugge II
0.66
Beerschot VA is 0.41 points better than Patro Eisden in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.59).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dender
1.82
Beerschot VA
1.62
Lokeren-Temse
1.50
RSC Anderlecht II
1.44
Patro Eisden
1.38
Liège
1.38
AS Eupen
1.38
KAA Gent II
1.31
KRC Genk II
1.31
Seraing United
1.19
K. Lierse S.K.
1.09
Sporting Hasselt
1.04
Club Brugge II
1.03
Francs Borains
1.03
Excelsior Virton
0.97
Beerschot VA is 0.25 goals better than Patro Eisden in terms of goals scored per game (1.62 vs 1.38).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Beerschot VA
0.97
Dender
1.09
AS Eupen
1.12
Liège
1.22
Patro Eisden
1.25
K. Lierse S.K.
1.31
Seraing United
1.32
Lokeren-Temse
1.41
Francs Borains
1.47
KAA Gent II
1.59
Club Brugge II
1.72
RSC Anderlecht II
1.72
KRC Genk II
1.84
Sporting Hasselt
1.92
Excelsior Virton
2.05
Beerschot VA is 0.28 goals better than Patro Eisden in terms of goals conceded per game (0.97 vs 1.25).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
KAA Gent II
57%
Club Brugge II
56%
Lokeren-Temse
54%
Beerschot VA
53%
RSC Anderlecht II
52%
KRC Genk II
52%
AS Eupen
51%
K. Lierse S.K.
47%
Francs Borains
45%
Liège
44%
Seraing United
41%
Patro Eisden
38%
Beerschot VA is 14.5 percentage points better than Patro Eisden in terms of average possession (53% vs 38%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Beerschot VA
For 5.2 · Against 3.3 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 3.0 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 16.1 · Total 27.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Patro Eisden
For 3.8 · Against 3.5 · Total 7.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 2.7 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.8 · Against 12.5 · Total 28.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Beerschot VA
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.9
10.0
3.6
3.0
4.2
25.6
24.9
26.1
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (43)
10.2
10.2
10.1
3.5
2.9
4.1
25.1
24.9
25.2
vs Weaker (7)
8.8
8.0
9.3
4.4
4.0
4.8
29.2
25.5
31.7
% over line
55%
56%
55%
60%
48%
72%
71%
62%
77%
% under line
45%
44%
45%
40%
52%
28%
29%
38%
23%
This opponent (Patro Eisden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Patro Eisden
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.4
8.5
8.3
4.0
4.3
3.7
28.9
28.3
29.5
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (43)
8.7
8.9
8.4
3.9
4.4
3.5
29.0
28.7
29.3
vs Weaker (6)
6.8
5.0
8.0
5.0
3.7
6.3
28.4
25.0
30.7
% over line
22%
21%
24%
58%
58%
58%
86%
84%
88%
% under line
78%
79%
76%
42%
42%
42%
14%
16%
12%
This opponent (Beerschot VA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lokeren-Temse
10.9
Liège
10.5
Beerschot VA
10.3
KRC Genk II
10.2
RSC Anderlecht II
9.9
Francs Borains
9.7
Dender
9.7
AS Eupen
9.5
KAA Gent II
9.5
Club Brugge II
9.3
K. Lierse S.K.
9.1
Seraing United
9.1
Excelsior Virton
9.0
Patro Eisden
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lokeren-Temse
5.9
K. Lierse S.K.
5.8
Patro Eisden
5.6
Francs Borains
5.5
Seraing United
5.1
Beerschot VA
4.8
AS Eupen
4.7
RSC Anderlecht II
4.6
Liège
4.6
Club Brugge II
4.4
KAA Gent II
4.0
KRC Genk II
3.7
Dender
3.4
Excelsior Virton
2.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Lokeren-Temse
28.5
Patro Eisden
28.4
K. Lierse S.K.
27.7
RSC Anderlecht II
27.2
Club Brugge II
27.1
Francs Borains
26.7
KAA Gent II
26.3
AS Eupen
25.8
Seraing United
25.7
KRC Genk II
25.4
Liège
24.9
Beerschot VA
24.5
Dender
21.3
Excelsior Virton
13.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
44.2%
@ 2.19+1.8%
Under 9.5
55.8%
@ 1.61-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.37
1xBet
2.27
Marathonbet
2.21
Pinnacle
2.11
Unibet
1.97
Under
Unibet
1.72
Pinnacle
1.68
Marathonbet
1.56
1xBet
1.55
Betano
1.52
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
72.7%
Under 3.5
27.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
89.4%
Under 21.5
10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Beerschot VA or Draw
79.5%
Avg Implied 78.3% · @ 1.18
Edge
+1.2%
52%
27%
20%
covers Beerschot VA + Draw
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
1.22
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.20
Beerschot VA or Patro Eisden
72.9%
Avg Implied 74.0% · @ 1.25
Edge
-1.1%
52%
27%
20%
covers Beerschot VA + Patro Eisden
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.33
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Betano
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
Draw or Patro Eisden
47.5%
Avg Implied 47.7% · @ 1.93
Edge
-0.2%
52%
27%
20%
covers Draw + Patro Eisden
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.10
Betfair
2.10
Bet365
2.00
Marathonbet
1.99
SBO
1.91
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Beerschot VA over/under 0.5
Over
80.4%
@ 1.17+1.2%
Under
19.6%
@ 4.44-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.18
BetVictor
1.17
Under
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
4.50
BetVictor
4.50
Betano
4.45
1xBet
4.40
Beerschot VA over/under 1.5
Over
48.5%
@ 1.86-1.3%
Under
51.5%
@ 1.85+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.95
Pinnacle
1.92
Superbet
1.92
BetVictor
1.91
Unibet
1.88
Under
Betfair
2.00
Betano
1.91
Marathonbet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.88
1xBet
1.83
Beerschot VA over/under 2.5
Over
22.5%
@ 3.70-2.5%
Under
77.5%
@ 1.23+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.00
Pinnacle
3.93
BetVictor
3.90
Superbet
3.85
Bet365
3.75
Under
Betano
1.28
Betfair
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.23
Beerschot VA over/under 3.5
Over
8.3%
@ 8.32-2.9%
Under
91.7%
@ 1.05+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
7.50
Betano
6.80
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.01
Patro Eisden over/under 0.5
Over
60.8%
@ 1.51-0.6%
Under
39.2%
@ 2.40+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.55
Betfair
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.51
Under
Pinnacle
2.57
10Bet
2.50
BetVictor
2.50
Superbet
2.45
Betfair
2.38
Patro Eisden over/under 1.5
Over
24.1%
@ 3.48-2.5%
Under
75.9%
@ 1.26+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Pinnacle
3.59
Marathonbet
3.56
Betano
3.55
Under
BetVictor
1.29
Superbet
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Betano
1.27
Patro Eisden over/under 2.5
Over
6.9%
@ 9.26-3.2%
Under
93.1%
@ 1.04+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
10.00
Marathonbet
9.20
1xBet
8.70
Superbet
8.40
Under
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Patro Eisden over/under 3.5
Over
1.5%
@ 23.25-2.6%
Under
98.5%
@ 1.01+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
34.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Beerschot VA, so a minus line means Beerschot VA give that many goals of a start and Patro Eisden receive them. At -1, Beerschot VA must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Beerschot VA win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Beerschot VA)
Beerschot VA -2
12.3%
@ 6.26-1.9%
Draw -2
16.5%
@ 4.92-1.6%
Patro Eisden +2
71.2%
@ 1.32+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
7.00
Bet365
6.50
Unibet
6.40
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
5.40
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.80
Unibet
4.80
Away
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.34
Betfair
1.33
Unibet
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Handicap -1 (Beerschot VA)
Beerschot VA -1
28.8%
@ 3.01-0.7%
Draw -1
23.7%
@ 3.48-1.8%
Patro Eisden +1
47.5%
@ 1.97+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
3.35
Unibet
3.10
Bet365
3.00
Betfair
2.80
Marathonbet
2.78
Draw
Bet365
3.60
10Bet
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Marathonbet
3.42
Unibet
3.40
Away
Betfair
2.10
Bet365
2.00
Marathonbet
1.99
Unibet
1.91
10Bet
1.85
Handicap +1 (Beerschot VA)
Beerschot VA +1
79.5%
@ 1.17+5.2%
Draw +1
13.1%
@ 5.45-2.9%
Patro Eisden -1
7.4%
@ 8.92-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.12
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Unibet
5.40
Marathonbet
4.45
Away
Bet365
11.00
Unibet
9.00
Marathonbet
6.75
Handicap +2 (Beerschot VA)
Beerschot VA +2
92.6%
@ 1.04+2.2%
Draw +2
5.4%
@ 15.00-0.8%
Patro Eisden -2
1.9%
@ 29.00-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.04
Draw
Bet365
15.00
Away
Bet365
29.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Beerschot VA
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.40
0.67
0.27
0.73
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.69
0.46
0.69
0.31
0.69
0.62
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Patro Eisden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Patro Eisden
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.47
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.53
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.42
0.50
0.33
0.50
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (5)
0.40
0.20
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Beerschot VA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
69.9%
@ 1.38+2.7%
Under 0.5
30.1%
@ 2.82-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
BetVictor
1.39
1xBet
1.38
Superbet
1.38
Under
Pinnacle
3.04
Betfair
3.00
William Hil
2.88
10Bet
2.88
Superbet
2.82
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
35.6%
@ 2.73+1.7%
Under 1.5
64.4%
@ 1.40-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.89
Betano
2.82
William Hil
2.80
Unibet
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Under
10Bet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
BetVictor
1.41
Marathonbet
1.40
Superbet
1.40
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
11.0%
@ 6.88-2.5%
Under 2.5
89.0%
@ 1.07+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
BetVictor
8.00
William Hil
7.50
Betfair
6.50
Superbet
6.50
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Superbet
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Beerschot VA over/under 0.5 HT
Over
57.9%
@ 1.76+5.3%
Under
42.1%
@ 1.95-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.78
Pinnacle
1.78
Superbet
1.78
Unibet
1.77
1xBet
1.75
Under
Pinnacle
2.02
10Bet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.95
1xBet
1.95
Betano
1.93
Beerschot VA over/under 1.5 HT
Over
19.1%
@ 4.76-0.3%
Under
80.9%
@ 1.15+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.50
Marathonbet
4.55
Betano
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Under
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Beerschot VA over/under 2.5 HT
Over
5.1%
@ 11.25-3.2%
Under
94.9%
@ 1.02+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Patro Eisden over/under 0.5 HT
Over
31.4%
@ 2.62-3.9%
Under
68.6%
@ 1.43+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.75
Betano
2.67
Marathonbet
2.64
1xBet
2.60
Unibet
2.55
Under
Superbet
1.45
10Bet
1.45
Pinnacle
1.44
Unibet
1.43
Betano
1.42
Patro Eisden over/under 1.5 HT
Over
5.6%
@ 9.22-4.4%
Under
94.4%
@ 1.03+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Marathonbet
9.90
10Bet
9.00
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
Patro Eisden over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.6%
Under
99.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Beerschot VA
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.87
1.00
1.00
0.67
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.85
0.92
1.08
1.08
0.62
0.77
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.50
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Patro Eisden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Patro Eisden
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.03
1.00
1.00
0.80
1.07
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
4.00
-
-
0.00
4.00
vs Similar (24)
0.92
1.00
0.83
1.08
1.00
0.92
vs Weaker (5)
1.00
0.60
1.67
0.67
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Beerschot VA) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
78.9%
@ 1.24+4.2%
Under 0.5
21.1%
@ 3.64-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Betano
1.24
Under
Bet365
3.75
Betano
3.70
Superbet
3.65
10Bet
3.65
William Hil
3.60
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
44.7%
@ 2.10+0.7%
Under 1.5
55.3%
@ 1.65-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.15
William Hil
2.15
Superbet
2.12
Unibet
2.12
1xBet
2.10
Under
Betano
1.70
Bet365
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
1xBet
1.65
Superbet
1.64
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
17.6%
@ 4.47-3.1%
Under 2.5
82.4%
@ 1.17+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
William Hil
4.75
Superbet
4.50
1xBet
4.33
Marathonbet
4.25
Under
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Beerschot VA over/under 0.5 2H
Over
66.4%
@ 1.56+6.9%
Under
33.6%
@ 2.28-6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.62
Superbet
1.58
1xBet
1.53
Betano
1.50
Under
Betano
2.40
1xBet
2.33
Superbet
2.25
10Bet
2.15
Beerschot VA over/under 1.5 2H
Over
24.7%
@ 3.52-1.4%
Under
75.3%
@ 1.25+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.00
1xBet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.34
Betano
3.25
Under
Betano
1.30
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.24
10Bet
1.20
Beerschot VA over/under 2.5 2H
Over
8.3%
@ 9.03-2.0%
Under
91.7%
@ 1.03+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
10.00
1xBet
9.90
Betano
7.20
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Patro Eisden over/under 0.5 2H
Over
39.7%
@ 2.15-3.3%
Under
60.3%
@ 1.62+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.21
1xBet
2.20
Betano
2.15
Superbet
2.12
10Bet
2.05
Under
10Bet
1.70
Superbet
1.64
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.56
Patro Eisden over/under 1.5 2H
Over
8.6%
@ 6.84-4.8%
Under
91.4%
@ 1.06+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.50
Marathonbet
7.40
10Bet
6.25
Betano
6.20
Under
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
Patro Eisden over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.7%
@ 18.62-3.5%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.01+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
98.5%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.6%
Under 6.5
98.4%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+2.6%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.3%
1.01
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.5%
Under 5.5
95.3%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Betfair
1.02
-
+3.0%
Over 19.5 fouls
95.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
94.9%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+3.2%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
94.4%
1.03
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
-
+4.4%
Away under 2.5 goals
93.1%
1.04
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.01
+3.2%
Home +2 handicap
92.6%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+2.2%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
91.7%
1.03
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+2.0%
Home under 3.5 goals
91.7%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.01
-
+2.9%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
91.4%
1.06
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
-
+4.8%
Over 21.5 fouls
89.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.0%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Superbet
1.08
+2.5%
Under 4.5
88.2%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Pinnacle
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.09
+3.2%
Over 2.5 cards
87.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.4%
1.17
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
+3.1%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
80.9%
1.15
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.11
-
+0.3%
Home over 0.5 goals
80.4%
1.17
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.18
BetVictor
1.17
+1.2%
Over 23.5 fouls
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
79.5%
1.18
BetVictor
1.22
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.20
+1.2%
Home +1 handicap
79.5%
1.17
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.12
-
-
+5.2%
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.9%
1.24
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Betano
1.24
+4.2%
Under 11.5 corners
78.1%
1.18
Unibet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.12
-
-
+1.1%
Home under 2.5 goals
77.5%
1.23
Betano
1.28
Betfair
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.23
+2.5%
Away under 1.5 goals
75.9%
1.26
BetVictor
1.29
Superbet
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Betano
1.27
+2.5%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
75.3%
1.25
Betano
1.30
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.24
10Bet
1.20
-
+1.4%
Under 3.5
74.3%
1.30
Betfair
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.30
+3.1%
Over 1.5
73.8%
1.28
10Bet
1.30
Betano
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Pinnacle
1.29
Betfair
1.29
+1.4%
Home or Away
72.9%
1.25
William Hil
1.33
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Betano
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
-1.1%
Over 3.5 cards
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
71.2%
1.32
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.34
Betfair
1.33
Unibet
1.29
10Bet
1.28
+3.6%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Beerschot VA · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
D'Margio Wright-Phillips37%
Arnold Vula35%
Ensar Brahić25%
Rajiv Van La Parra17%
Genki Haraguchi15%
Ken Masui15%
Severin Sabri Guendouz12%
Bas Van den Eynden11%
Oscar Vargas10%
Loïc Mbe Soh8%
Brian Plat7%
Glenn Claes4%
Lukas Van Eenoo3%
Colin Dagba0%
Edisson Jordanov0%
Ryan Sanusi0%
Marco Weymans0%
Nick Shinton0%
Nilton Varela0%
Dennis Gyamfi0%
Cyril Khetir0%
Ayouba Kosiah0%
Axl Van Himbeeck0%
Emre Uzun0%
Andres Labie0%
Siviwe Magidigidi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cyril Khetir50%
Ayouba Kosiah33%
Edisson Jordanov29%
Marco Weymans20%
Loïc Mbe Soh17%
Severin Sabri Guendouz17%
Siviwe Magidigidi17%
Bas Van den Eynden16%
Genki Haraguchi15%
Arnold Vula15%
Ken Masui15%
Lukas Van Eenoo14%
Dennis Gyamfi14%
Rajiv Van La Parra12%
Nick Shinton10%
Nilton Varela10%
Andres Labie9%
Glenn Claes9%
Brian Plat7%
Axl Van Himbeeck6%
Ryan Sanusi5%
D'Margio Wright-Phillips5%
Colin Dagba5%
Emre Uzun0%
Ensar Brahić0%
Oscar Vargas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
D'Margio Wright-Phillips26%
Severin Sabri Guendouz17%
Arnold Vula15%
Colin Dagba15%
Lukas Van Eenoo14%
Edisson Jordanov12%
Oscar Vargas10%
Glenn Claes9%
Ryan Sanusi5%
Rajiv Van La Parra4%
Loïc Mbe Soh0%
Genki Haraguchi0%
Brian Plat0%
Marco Weymans0%
Nick Shinton0%
Nilton Varela0%
Dennis Gyamfi0%
Cyril Khetir0%
Bas Van den Eynden0%
Ken Masui0%
Ayouba Kosiah0%
Axl Van Himbeeck0%
Emre Uzun0%
Andres Labie0%
Ensar Brahić0%
Siviwe Magidigidi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Arnold Vula35%
Ken Masui31%
Rajiv Van La Parra25%
Glenn Claes13%
Bas Van den Eynden11%
Lukas Van Eenoo10%
Severin Sabri Guendouz8%
Genki Haraguchi8%
Ensar Brahić6%
D'Margio Wright-Phillips5%
Brian Plat4%
Colin Dagba0%
Loïc Mbe Soh0%
Edisson Jordanov0%
Ryan Sanusi0%
Marco Weymans0%
Nick Shinton0%
Nilton Varela0%
Dennis Gyamfi0%
Cyril Khetir0%
Ayouba Kosiah0%
Axl Van Himbeeck0%
Emre Uzun0%
Andres Labie0%
Siviwe Magidigidi0%
Oscar Vargas0%
Patro Eisden · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Léandro Rousseau41%
Radja Nainggolan21%
Raymond Asante20%
Japhet Muanza15%
Nicolas Orye14%
Kéres Masangu9%
Vancy Mabanza8%
Jordan Renson7%
Amir Rais6%
Denis Prychynenko5%
Kjetil Borry4%
Stef Peeters4%
Milan Robberechts4%
Ridwane M'Barki0%
Julien Devriendt0%
Jimmy Kaparos0%
Aloïs Penin0%
Justin Munezero0%
Muhammad Carrim0%
Raphaël Sarfo0%
Arnaud Dony0%
Ilyas Lefrancq0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Denis Prychynenko42%
Vancy Mabanza42%
Muhammad Carrim33%
Milan Robberechts33%
Kéres Masangu32%
Japhet Muanza30%
Stef Peeters30%
Kjetil Borry29%
Justin Munezero25%
Radja Nainggolan21%
Aloïs Penin20%
Raymond Asante20%
Arnaud Dony16%
Léandro Rousseau15%
Jordan Renson14%
Ilyas Lefrancq11%
Amir Rais11%
Ridwane M'Barki10%
Nicolas Orye9%
Julien Devriendt8%
Jimmy Kaparos0%
Raphaël Sarfo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Radja Nainggolan36%
Stef Peeters26%
Milan Robberechts11%
Ilyas Lefrancq11%
Ridwane M'Barki10%
Japhet Muanza5%
Nicolas Orye5%
Kjetil Borry4%
Denis Prychynenko0%
Jordan Renson0%
Julien Devriendt0%
Jimmy Kaparos0%
Kéres Masangu0%
Aloïs Penin0%
Justin Munezero0%
Muhammad Carrim0%
Raphaël Sarfo0%
Arnaud Dony0%
Léandro Rousseau0%
Raymond Asante0%
Amir Rais0%
Vancy Mabanza0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Léandro Rousseau37%
Jimmy Kaparos33%
Raymond Asante30%
Radja Nainggolan29%
Kéres Masangu18%
Vancy Mabanza17%
Nicolas Orye9%
Stef Peeters7%
Milan Robberechts7%
Amir Rais6%
Japhet Muanza5%
Jordan Renson4%
Kjetil Borry0%
Denis Prychynenko0%
Ridwane M'Barki0%
Julien Devriendt0%
Aloïs Penin0%
Justin Munezero0%
Muhammad Carrim0%
Raphaël Sarfo0%
Arnaud Dony0%
Ilyas Lefrancq0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AE (26)
€12m
BV (26)
€9m
DEN (19)
€8m
RAI (19)
€8m
KGI (18)
€7m
PE (25)
€7m
KGI (19)
€6m
KLS (21)
€5m
LOK (16)
€5m
FB (22)
€4m
SU (15)
€3m
SH (8)
€2m
EV (11)
€2m
Beerschot VA's squad is €2m more valuable than Patro Eisden's (€9m vs €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AE (9)
€7m
BV (13)
€4m
RAI (8)
€3m
KGI (9)
€2m
KGI (7)
€2m
LOK (5)
€2m
KLS (7)
€2m
FB (8)
€2m
DEN (4)
€1m
PE (7)
€1m
SU (4)
€1m
EV (4)
€1m
SH (4)
€1m
Beerschot VA's attack is €2m more valuable than Patro Eisden's (€4m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DEN (6)
€3m
PE (7)
€2m
AE (9)
€2m
KGI (1)
€2m
RAI (3)
€2m
KGI (4)
€1m
FB (5)
€1m
LOK (3)
€1m
SU (3)
€1m
KLS (3)
€1m
BV (2)
€0m
SH (1)
€0m
EV (1)
€0m
Beerschot VA's midfield is €2m less valuable than Patro Eisden's (€0m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BV (11)
€5m
DEN (9)
€4m
PE (11)
€3m
RAI (8)
€3m
AE (8)
€3m
KLS (11)
€3m
KGI (8)
€3m
KGI (8)
€2m
LOK (8)
€2m
FB (9)
€2m
SU (8)
€2m
SH (3)
€1m
EV (6)
€1m
Beerschot VA's defence is €2m more valuable than Patro Eisden's (€5m vs €3m).
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Excelsior Virton
Club Brugge II
Dender
Lokeren-Temse
Francs Borains
Sporting Hasselt
K. Lierse S.K.
AS Eupen
Liège
KRC Genk II
KAA Gent II
Seraing United
RSC Anderlecht II