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Beltinci vs Bistrica Result & Analysis

Date: 07/10/2023
Time: 13:30
Final 3-0
Beltinci
Beltinci
Vs
51%
25%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Bistrica
Bistrica
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Beltinci win✓ Hit
51.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bistrica win✗ Miss
23.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BeltinciBeltinci

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D31W12L21W51W10W11D30W30W20WH·PRI30/07H·TOL12/08A·BRI19/08H·BIL03/09A·TAB06/09A·RUD09/09H·NAF15/09A·DEK21/09H·DRA24/09A·KRK29/09
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.201.791.361.751.06
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)1.741.221.751.421.731.07
vs Weaker (3)2.001.002.001.002.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Bistrica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BistricaBistrica

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D30W21W10W12L10W01L24L22D10WA·RUD30/07H·DRA14/08A·KRK20/08H·NAF29/08A·TRI03/09H·ILI08/09A·GOR15/09H·FUŽ20/09A·PRI23/09H·TAB30/09
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.271.600.931.201.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)1.381.241.600.931.141.57
vs Weaker (1)2.002.00--2.002.00
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Beltinci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.3%
Under 1.5
19.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.5%
Under 2.5
43.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.1%
Under 3.5
65.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.2%
No
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.4%
1-0
8.3%
0-0
6.3%
1-2
6.3%
3-1
5.8%
2-2
5.6%
Beltinci goals ↓
Bistrica goals →
01234
06.3%5.0%3.5%1.4%0.4%
18.3%12%6.3%2.4%0.7%
28.4%9.7%5.6%2.2%0.6%
35.0%5.8%3.4%1.3%0.4%
42.2%2.6%1.5%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Beltinci goals (down), columns = Bistrica goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Primorje
2.00
Nafta
1.93
Beltinci
1.87
Gorica
1.77
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.73
Triglav
1.60
Bistrica
1.47
Rudar
1.23
Dekani
1.20
Bilje
1.13
Tolmin
1.13
Dravinja
1.13
Krka
1.10
Tabor Sežana
1.00
Ilirija
1.00
Fužinar
0.80
Beltinci is 0.40 points better than Bistrica in terms of average points per game (1.87 vs 1.47).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Nafta
1.83
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.73
Gorica
1.70
Beltinci
1.63
Primorje
1.63
Bistrica
1.50
Bilje
1.47
Triglav
1.47
Krka
1.33
Tabor Sežana
1.27
Dekani
1.13
Tolmin
1.13
Fužinar
1.10
Rudar
1.10
Ilirija
1.03
Dravinja
0.97
Beltinci is 0.13 goals better than Bistrica in terms of goals scored per game (1.63 vs 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Beltinci
0.80
Primorje
0.83
Gorica
0.93
Nafta
1.03
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.17
Triglav
1.17
Dekani
1.23
Dravinja
1.40
Ilirija
1.47
Tolmin
1.50
Bistrica
1.53
Krka
1.63
Rudar
1.63
Bilje
1.70
Tabor Sežana
1.97
Fužinar
2.03
Beltinci is 0.73 goals better than Bistrica in terms of goals conceded per game (0.80 vs 1.53).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BeltinciBeltinci

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D20W02L20W30W10W01L20W10W10WH·PRI30/07H·TOL12/08A·BRI19/08H·BIL03/09A·TAB06/09A·RUD09/09H·NAF15/09A·DEK21/09H·DRA24/09A·KRK29/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.500.930.711.060.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.930.520.830.751.000.33
vs Weaker (3)1.670.331.500.502.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Bistrica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BistricaBistrica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D10W10W11D10W00D22D10W00DA·RUD30/07H·DRA14/08A·KRK20/08H·NAF29/08A·TRI03/09H·ILI08/09A·GOR15/09H·FUŽ20/09A·PRI23/09H·TAB30/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.530.800.270.800.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)0.760.480.800.270.710.71
vs Weaker (1)2.002.00--2.002.00
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Beltinci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Beltinci over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beltinci over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beltinci over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bistrica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bistrica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bistrica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BeltinciBeltinci

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D10W01L21W00D10W10W20W10WH·PRI30/07H·TOL12/08A·BRI19/08H·BIL03/09A·TAB06/09A·RUD09/09H·NAF15/09A·DEK21/09H·DRA24/09A·KRK29/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.700.860.640.690.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.810.700.920.670.730.73
vs Weaker (3)0.330.670.500.500.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Bistrica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BistricaBistrica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D30W11D00D01L00D01L02L12L10WA·RUD30/07H·DRA14/08A·KRK20/08H·NAF29/08A·TRI03/09H·ILI08/09A·GOR15/09H·FUŽ20/09A·PRI23/09H·TAB30/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.730.800.670.400.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)0.620.760.800.670.430.86
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Beltinci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Beltinci over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beltinci over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beltinci over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bistrica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bistrica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bistrica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (24)
€3m
NAF (18)
€2m
TRI (19)
€2m
TS (17)
€2m
BEL (17)
€2m
ILI (15)
€1m
DRA (16)
€1m
DEK (18)
€1m
BIL (17)
€1m
RUD (17)
€1m
KRK (12)
€1m
BIS (14)
€1m
PRI (10)
€1m
Beltinci and Bistrica have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAF (8)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
ILI (7)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
BIL (5)
€1m
KRK (5)
€0m
BIS (6)
€0m
DRA (4)
€0m
DEK (3)
€0m
RUD (3)
€0m
PRI (3)
€0m
Beltinci and Bistrica have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (7)
€1m
TS (5)
€1m
RUD (8)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
DEK (6)
€0m
BEL (3)
€0m
PRI (2)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
ILI (2)
€0m
DRA (2)
€0m
BIL (4)
€0m
KRK (1)
€0m
Beltinci and Bistrica have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (10)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
DRA (10)
€1m
TS (8)
€1m
KRK (6)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
BIL (8)
€1m
DEK (9)
€1m
RUD (6)
€0m
ILI (6)
€0m
PRI (5)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
Beltinci and Bistrica have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
BEL wins
1
Draws
0
BIS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Beltinci vs Bistrica · H/A from BEL
DateH/AGameScore
20/05/23HBEL Vs Bistrica3-3
05/11/22ABistrica Vs BEL1-2

BeltinciBeltinci

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/09/23AKrka Vs BEL0-2
24/09/23HBEL Vs Dravinja3-0
21/09/23ADekani Vs BEL0-3
15/09/23HBEL Vs Nafta1-1
09/09/23ARudar Vs BEL0-1
06/09/23ATabor Sežana Vs BEL1-5
03/09/23HBEL Vs Bilje2-1
19/08/23ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs BEL2-1
12/08/23HBEL Vs Tolmin3-1
30/07/23HBEL Vs Primorje1-1

BistricaBistrica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/09/23HBIS Vs Tabor Sežana1-0
23/09/23APrimorje Vs BIS2-2
20/09/23HBIS Vs Fužinar2-4
15/09/23AGorica Vs BIS1-0
08/09/23HBIS Vs Ilirija1-0
03/09/23ATriglav Vs BIS2-1
29/08/23HBIS Vs Nafta1-0
20/08/23AKrka Vs BIS1-2
14/08/23HBIS Vs Dravinja3-0
30/07/23ARudar Vs BIS0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Beltinci
Beltinci
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWW1.68
HomeDWWDW1.65
AwayLWWWW1.70
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%45%50%
AVG goals3.023.102.95
Over 1.5 %90%95%85%
Over 2.5 %60%55%65%
Over 3.5 %28%25%30%
Scored1.731.751.70
Conceded1.301.351.25
BTTS62%65%60%
Clean Sheet25%20%30%
Corners---
Cards---
Bistrica
Bistrica
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDW1.35
HomeWWWLW1.65
AwayDWLLD1.05
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %35%45%25%
AVG goals2.552.402.70
Over 1.5 %72%70%75%
Over 2.5 %50%45%55%
Over 3.5 %25%20%30%
Scored1.301.451.15
Conceded1.250.951.55
BTTS55%50%60%
Clean Sheet28%40%15%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PrimorjePrimorje3060
57%
2.0
4925+24
2.5
70%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.60.8
-
2NaftaNafta3058
60%
1.9
5531+24
2.9
77%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.81.0
-
3BeltinciBeltinci3056
57%
1.9
4924+25
2.4
67%
47%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.60.8
-
4GoricaGorica3053
50%
1.8
5128+23
2.6
67%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.9
-
5Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje3052
50%
1.7
5235+17
2.9
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.71.2
-
6TriglavTriglav3048
47%
1.6
4435+9
2.6
80%
60%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.2
-
7BistricaBistrica3044
43%
1.5
4546-1
3.0
73%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.5
-
8RudarRudar3037
33%
1.2
3349-16
2.7
67%
43%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.11.6
-
9DekaniDekani3036
30%
1.2
3437-3
2.4
60%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.2
-
10BiljeBilje3034
30%
1.1
4451-7
3.2
83%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.51.7
-
11TolminTolmin3034
27%
1.1
3445-11
2.6
73%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
12DravinjaDravinja3034
30%
1.1
2942-13
2.4
63%
50%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.4
-
13KrkaKrka3033
30%
1.1
4049-9
3.0
80%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.31.6
-
14IlirijaIlirija3030
23%
1.0
3144-13
2.5
77%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.01.5
-
15Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana3030
23%
1.0
3859-21
3.2
83%
60%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.32.0
-
16FužinarFužinar3024
20%
0.8
3361-28
3.1
80%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.0
-
Slovenia: 2. SNL 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

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