This opponent (Belenenses) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Belenenses
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.90
1.07
2.07
1.33
1.73
vs Stronger (15)
1.13
2.27
1.25
2.62
1.00
1.86
vs Similar (15)
1.27
1.53
0.86
1.43
1.62
1.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Benfica B) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
88.8%
Under 1.5
11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
70.8%
Under 2.5
29.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
49.8%
Under 3.5
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
68.0%
No
32.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.2%
1-1
8.9%
3-1
7.0%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.1%
1-0
5.1%
Benfica B goals ↓
Belenenses goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.4%
2.7%
2.4%
1.1%
0.4%
1
5.1%
8.9%
5.6%
2.6%
0.9%
2
6.7%
9.2%
6.4%
2.9%
1.0%
3
5.1%
7.0%
4.8%
2.2%
0.8%
4
2.9%
4.0%
2.8%
1.3%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Benfica B goals (down), columns = Belenenses goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Moreirense
2.32
Farense
2.03
Vilaverdense
2.00
Estrela
1.85
Academico Viseu
1.56
FC Porto B
1.50
Mafra
1.38
Vilafranquense
1.35
Feirense
1.35
Torreense
1.29
Oliveirense
1.26
Tondela
1.18
Penafiel
1.15
Leixoes
1.15
Nacional
1.15
Benfica B
1.12
Belenenses
1.00
Trofense
0.94
SC Covilha
0.82
Benfica B is 0.12 points better than Belenenses in terms of average points per game (1.12 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Moreirense
2.26
Farense
1.68
Estrela
1.62
Benfica B
1.53
Oliveirense
1.50
Academico Viseu
1.50
FC Porto B
1.41
Mafra
1.35
Feirense
1.26
Vilafranquense
1.24
Belenenses
1.17
Leixoes
1.12
Torreense
1.12
Penafiel
1.06
Tondela
1.03
Nacional
1.03
Vilaverdense
1.00
SC Covilha
0.91
Trofense
0.91
Benfica B is 0.36 goals better than Belenenses in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Vilaverdense
0.50
Farense
1.00
Tondela
1.03
Estrela
1.03
Vilafranquense
1.06
Feirense
1.09
Moreirense
1.12
FC Porto B
1.18
Torreense
1.21
Academico Viseu
1.32
Nacional
1.35
Penafiel
1.38
Leixoes
1.44
Mafra
1.44
Oliveirense
1.47
Trofense
1.50
SC Covilha
1.68
Belenenses
1.69
Benfica B
1.71
Benfica B is 0.01 goals worse than Belenenses in terms of goals conceded per game (1.71 vs 1.69).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Oliveirense
56%
Estrela
54%
Farense
53%
Mafra
53%
Moreirense
53%
Benfica B
52%
Vilafranquense
52%
Academico Viseu
51%
Torreense
51%
Penafiel
50%
FC Porto B
50%
Tondela
48%
Feirense
47%
SC Covilha
47%
Leixoes
46%
Belenenses
46%
Nacional
46%
Trofense
40%
Benfica B is 6.2 percentage points better than Belenenses in terms of average possession (52% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Benfica B
For 6.1 · Against 6.2 · Total 12.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 15.7 · Total 28.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Belenenses
For 5.5 · Against 4.9 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 3.6 · Total 6.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 13.8 · Total 28.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Benfica B
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (26)
10.9
11.7
10.3
3.5
3.5
3.5
26.7
28.0
25.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
10.5
10.7
10.3
2.9
2.4
3.5
25.7
23.0
28.3
vs Weaker (17)
11.2
12.5
10.3
3.8
4.2
3.4
27.3
31.8
24.3
% over line
56%
71%
44%
46%
38%
54%
69%
86%
56%
% under line
44%
29%
56%
54%
62%
46%
31%
14%
44%
This opponent (Belenenses) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Belenenses
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.6
10.0
5.4
5.6
5.2
30.5
29.8
31.2
vs Stronger (27)
9.4
9.3
9.5
5.6
5.4
5.9
29.7
27.4
32.1
vs Similar (23)
11.5
12.1
10.8
5.1
5.8
4.4
31.4
32.5
30.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
55%
57%
53%
74%
76%
72%
92%
86%
100%
% under line
45%
43%
47%
26%
24%
28%
8%
14%
0%
This opponent (Benfica B) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Estrela
12.3
Leixoes
11.9
FC Porto B
11.2
Academico Viseu
11.1
Nacional
11.1
SC Covilha
11.0
Benfica B
10.9
Oliveirense
10.7
Trofense
10.6
Farense
10.6
Vilafranquense
10.4
Belenenses
10.2
Moreirense
10.0
Feirense
9.9
Penafiel
9.8
Tondela
9.5
Mafra
9.4
Torreense
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Oliveirense
7.4
Trofense
7.2
Leixoes
6.9
Belenenses
6.6
Tondela
6.6
Academico Viseu
6.4
Moreirense
6.4
Estrela
6.2
Farense
6.2
FC Porto B
6.2
Torreense
6.1
Vilafranquense
6.1
SC Covilha
5.9
Penafiel
5.8
Benfica B
5.7
Mafra
5.5
Nacional
5.5
Feirense
5.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Feirense
35.0
Oliveirense
33.4
Farense
32.8
Trofense
32.2
Penafiel
31.8
Vilafranquense
31.6
Belenenses
30.8
Nacional
30.7
Tondela
30.6
Torreense
30.2
SC Covilha
29.6
Leixoes
29.2
Estrela
29.0
Moreirense
28.7
Academico Viseu
28.0
Mafra
27.8
FC Porto B
27.6
Benfica B
26.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
62.9%
Under 9.5
37.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
89.9%
Under 3.5
10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
91.5%
Under 21.5
8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Benfica B
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.69
0.92
0.46
0.54
0.92
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.44
0.78
0.40
0.80
0.50
0.75
vs Weaker (17)
0.88
0.65
1.25
0.25
0.56
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Belenenses) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Belenenses
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.67
0.47
0.67
0.60
0.67
vs Stronger (15)
0.53
0.80
0.62
0.62
0.43
1.00
vs Similar (15)
0.53
0.53
0.29
0.71
0.75
0.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Benfica B) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Benfica B over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica B over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica B over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Belenenses over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Belenenses over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Belenenses over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Benfica B
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.85
0.96
1.08
1.15
0.62
0.77
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.67
1.11
1.00
0.80
0.25
1.50
vs Weaker (17)
0.94
0.88
1.12
1.38
0.78
0.44
Clean sheet %
46% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Belenenses) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Belenenses
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
1.23
0.60
1.40
0.73
1.07
vs Stronger (15)
0.60
1.47
0.62
2.00
0.57
0.86
vs Similar (15)
0.73
1.00
0.57
0.71
0.88
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Benfica B) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Benfica B over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica B over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica B over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Belenenses over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Belenenses over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Belenenses over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
96.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
91.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
88.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 4.5 cards
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 25.5 fouls
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Benfica B · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Henrique Araújo33%
João Veloso33%
Gonçalo Moreira33%
José Neto17%
João Rêgo14%
Tiago Freitas14%
Miguel Figueiredo12%
Diogo Prioste11%
Ivan Lima0%
Tomas de Sousa Moreira0%
Diogo Ferreira0%
João Fonseca0%
Gonçalo Oliveira0%
Martim Ferreira0%
Tiago Parente0%
Rodrigo Rego0%
Eduardo Fernandes0%
Francisco Silva0%
Daniel Banjaqui0%
Olívio Tomé0%
Jelani Trevisan Dumas0%
Kevin Pinto0%
Anísio Cabral0%
Osayande Peter Edokpolor0%
Rui Silva0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tiago Parente40%
Miguel Figueiredo38%
Ivan Lima33%
Rui Silva33%
Eduardo Fernandes25%
Gonçalo Moreira22%
Martim Ferreira20%
Kevin Pinto20%
Rodrigo Rego17%
João Rêgo14%
Tomas de Sousa Moreira14%
Osayande Peter Edokpolor14%
Gonçalo Oliveira12%
Daniel Banjaqui12%
Diogo Prioste11%
Jelani Trevisan Dumas11%
Diogo Ferreira10%
Henrique Araújo0%
João Veloso0%
Tiago Freitas0%
João Fonseca0%
Francisco Silva0%
Olívio Tomé0%
José Neto0%
Anísio Cabral0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Henrique Araújo67%
Rodrigo Rego17%
Diogo Prioste11%
Gonçalo Moreira11%
Martim Ferreira10%
Ivan Lima0%
João Veloso0%
João Rêgo0%
Tomas de Sousa Moreira0%
Diogo Ferreira0%
Tiago Freitas0%
João Fonseca0%
Gonçalo Oliveira0%
Tiago Parente0%
Eduardo Fernandes0%
Miguel Figueiredo0%
Francisco Silva0%
Daniel Banjaqui0%
Olívio Tomé0%
Jelani Trevisan Dumas0%
Kevin Pinto0%
José Neto0%
Anísio Cabral0%
Osayande Peter Edokpolor0%
Rui Silva0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Henrique Araújo33%
João Veloso33%
Francisco Silva33%
Diogo Prioste11%
Gonçalo Moreira11%
Jelani Trevisan Dumas11%
Ivan Lima0%
João Rêgo0%
Tomas de Sousa Moreira0%
Diogo Ferreira0%
Tiago Freitas0%
João Fonseca0%
Gonçalo Oliveira0%
Martim Ferreira0%
Tiago Parente0%
Rodrigo Rego0%
Eduardo Fernandes0%
Miguel Figueiredo0%
Daniel Banjaqui0%
Olívio Tomé0%
Kevin Pinto0%
José Neto0%
Anísio Cabral0%
Osayande Peter Edokpolor0%
Rui Silva0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Portugal: Segunda Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Segunda Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Moreirense
Farense
Estrela
Academico Viseu
FC Porto B
Mafra
Feirense
Vilafranquense
Torreense
Oliveirense
Tondela
Leixoes
Penafiel
Nacional
Trofense
SC Covilha
Vilaverdense