This opponent (Aves) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
A
Aves
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.57
1.13
1.47
1.00
1.67
vs Stronger (19)
0.74
1.74
0.78
1.44
0.70
2.00
vs Similar (11)
1.64
1.27
1.67
1.50
1.60
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.9%
Under 1.5
13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
67.7%
Under 2.5
32.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
46.1%
Under 3.5
53.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.8%
No
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0 ✓
12.3%
3-0
11.6%
4-0
8.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-1
7.6%
1-1
6.3%
4-1
5.4%
Benfica goals ↓
Aves goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.6%
1.4%
0.7%
0.1%
0.0%
1
8.1%
6.3%
1.9%
0.4%
0.1%
2
12%
8.1%
2.6%
0.6%
0.1%
3
12%
7.6%
2.5%
0.5%
0.1%
4
8.2%
5.4%
1.8%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Benfica goals (down), columns = Aves goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Benfica
2.56
FC Porto
2.50
Sporting CP
2.18
SC Braga
1.97
Moreirense
1.53
Guimaraes
1.53
Rio Ave
1.32
Boavista
1.29
Belenenses
1.26
Santa Clara
1.24
Maritimo
1.15
Portimonense
1.15
Aves
1.06
Setubal
1.06
Tondela
1.03
Chaves
0.94
Nacional
0.82
Feirense
0.59
Benfica is 1.50 points better than Aves in terms of average points per game (2.56 vs 1.06).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Benfica
3.03
FC Porto
2.18
Sporting CP
2.12
SC Braga
1.65
Rio Ave
1.47
Guimaraes
1.35
Portimonense
1.29
Santa Clara
1.26
Belenenses
1.24
Tondela
1.18
Moreirense
1.15
Aves
1.03
Chaves
1.00
Boavista
1.00
Nacional
0.97
Setubal
0.82
Feirense
0.79
Maritimo
0.76
Benfica is 2.00 goals better than Aves in terms of goals scored per game (3.03 vs 1.03).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Porto
0.59
Benfica
0.91
Sporting CP
0.97
Guimaraes
1.00
SC Braga
1.09
Setubal
1.15
Boavista
1.18
Maritimo
1.29
Moreirense
1.29
Santa Clara
1.32
Aves
1.44
Belenenses
1.50
Rio Ave
1.53
Tondela
1.59
Chaves
1.68
Portimonense
1.74
Feirense
1.88
Nacional
2.15
Benfica is 0.53 goals better than Aves in terms of goals conceded per game (0.91 vs 1.44).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Benfica
For 6.8 · Against 2.7 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 3.5 · Total 5.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.4 · Against 14.8 · Total 31.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
A
Aves
For 4.7 · Against 6.7 · Total 11.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.7 · Against 16.0 · Total 32.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Benfica
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.1
11.3
10.8
3.4
3.4
3.4
29.1
29.2
29.1
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
12.0
12.3
11.5
4.1
5.0
3.0
29.6
31.7
26.5
vs Weaker (43)
10.9
11.1
10.8
3.3
3.1
3.4
29.1
28.8
29.4
% over line
61%
63%
58%
58%
56%
60%
89%
89%
89%
% under line
39%
37%
42%
42%
44%
40%
11%
11%
11%
This opponent (Aves) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
A
Aves
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (38)
9.9
10.0
9.8
4.6
5.1
4.1
31.9
32.0
31.7
vs Stronger (23)
10.0
9.8
10.4
4.1
4.8
3.3
31.2
30.5
32.0
vs Similar (15)
9.7
10.4
9.1
5.3
5.6
5.1
32.9
34.6
31.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
58%
53%
63%
71%
79%
63%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
42%
47%
37%
29%
21%
37%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Santa Clara
11.8
Sporting CP
11.1
Benfica
11.1
Chaves
11.1
Feirense
10.9
Tondela
10.8
SC Braga
10.4
Moreirense
10.4
FC Porto
10.4
Boavista
10.4
Guimaraes
10.2
Aves
9.9
Portimonense
9.9
Rio Ave
9.7
Belenenses
9.7
Maritimo
9.5
Setubal
9.3
Nacional
7.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Feirense
5.8
Nacional
5.8
Rio Ave
5.7
Boavista
5.3
Moreirense
5.2
Santa Clara
5.2
Sporting CP
5.1
Setubal
5.0
Tondela
4.8
SC Braga
4.8
Chaves
4.7
FC Porto
4.7
Maritimo
4.6
Belenenses
4.6
Aves
4.6
Portimonense
4.6
Benfica
4.5
Guimaraes
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Setubal
36.0
Feirense
35.4
Rio Ave
33.7
Boavista
32.7
Guimaraes
32.4
Sporting CP
32.1
Aves
31.9
Portimonense
31.6
Belenenses
31.6
Moreirense
31.6
SC Braga
31.6
Maritimo
31.5
Tondela
31.5
Santa Clara
31.4
Nacional
31.2
FC Porto
30.9
Chaves
30.7
Benfica
29.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
63.3%
Under 9.5
36.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
70.7%
Under 3.5
29.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
96.3%
Under 21.5
3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Benfica
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.23
1.20
0.33
0.87
0.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.00
0.20
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (25)
1.24
0.24
1.50
0.33
1.00
0.15
Clean sheet %
80% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Aves) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
A
Aves
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.60
0.60
0.67
0.53
0.53
vs Stronger (19)
0.26
0.74
0.22
0.89
0.30
0.60
vs Similar (11)
1.09
0.36
1.17
0.33
1.00
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Benfica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aves over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aves over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aves over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Benfica
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
0.40
1.40
0.33
1.47
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.40
0.40
0.67
0.67
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (25)
1.64
0.40
1.58
0.25
1.69
0.54
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Aves) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
A
Aves
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.97
0.53
0.80
0.47
1.13
vs Stronger (19)
0.47
1.00
0.56
0.56
0.40
1.40
vs Similar (11)
0.55
0.91
0.50
1.17
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Benfica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aves over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aves over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aves over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
96.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
86.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
84.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home win
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Benfica · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Vangelis Pavlidis100%
Gianluca Prestianni67%
Clément Lenglet33%
Rafa Silva33%
Jhon Durán33%
Alexander Bah0%
Dodi Lukebakio0%
Leandro Barreiro0%
Samuel Dahl0%
Enzo Barrenechea0%
Tomás Araújo0%
Georgiy Sudakov0%
Samuel Soares0%
Andreas Schjelderup0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tomás Araújo33%
Georgiy Sudakov33%
Clément Lenglet0%
Rafa Silva0%
Jhon Durán0%
Alexander Bah0%
Dodi Lukebakio0%
Leandro Barreiro0%
Vangelis Pavlidis0%
Samuel Dahl0%
Enzo Barrenechea0%
Samuel Soares0%
Andreas Schjelderup0%
Gianluca Prestianni0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alexander Bah33%
Leandro Barreiro33%
Vangelis Pavlidis33%
Enzo Barrenechea33%
Tomás Araújo33%
Gianluca Prestianni33%
Clément Lenglet0%
Rafa Silva0%
Jhon Durán0%
Dodi Lukebakio0%
Samuel Dahl0%
Georgiy Sudakov0%
Samuel Soares0%
Andreas Schjelderup0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gianluca Prestianni100%
Vangelis Pavlidis67%
Clément Lenglet0%
Rafa Silva0%
Jhon Durán0%
Alexander Bah0%
Dodi Lukebakio0%
Leandro Barreiro0%
Samuel Dahl0%
Enzo Barrenechea0%
Tomás Araújo0%
Georgiy Sudakov0%
Samuel Soares0%
Andreas Schjelderup0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Benfica
FC Porto
Sporting CP
SC Braga
Guimaraes
Moreirense
Rio Ave
Boavista
Belenenses
Santa Clara
Portimonense
Maritimo
Tondela
Chaves
Nacional
Feirense