PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Benfica vs Tirsense Result & Analysis

Date: 23/04/2025
Time: 19:15
Final 4-0
Benfica
Benfica
Vs
79%
15%
6%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Tirsense
Tirsense
Portugal: Taça de Portugal
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica win✓ Hit
78.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
14.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Tirsense win✗ Miss
6.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BenficaBenfica

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L30W13L32W30W32W41W50W22D30WH·BAR05/03H·NAC08/03A·BAR11/03A·RIO16/03A·GIL28/03H·FAR02/04A·FC 06/04A·TIR09/04H·ARO13/04A·GUI19/04
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.201.032.211.212.190.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.881.752.333.001.601.00
vs Weaker (22)2.320.772.180.732.450.82
Clean sheet %50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Tirsense) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TirsenseTirsense

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W21W10W10W20W05LH·VIE21/09A·CAL19/10H·BRI24/11H·REB21/12A·O E25/02H·BEN09/04
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.001.001.252.000.50
vs Stronger (1)0.005.000.005.00--
vs Similar (5)1.600.201.330.002.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%4%011%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.2%
Under 1.5
14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
64.7%
Under 2.5
35.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
42.7%
Under 3.5
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.1%
No
53.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.7%
3-0
11.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-0 ✓
7.5%
1-1
7.0%
4-1
5.0%
Benfica goals ↓
Tirsense goals →
01234
04.2%1.8%0.8%0.2%0.0%
18.9%7.0%2.1%0.5%0.1%
213%8.5%2.9%0.6%0.1%
311%7.5%2.5%0.6%0.1%
47.5%5.0%1.7%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Benfica goals (down), columns = Tirsense goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Benfica
2.71
Sporting CP
2.43
Rebordosa
2.40
Santa Clara
2.33
Alverca
2.33
Anadia
2.33
GIL Vicente
2.25
SC Braga
2.25
Amarante
2.25
Oliveira Hospital
2.25
São João Ver
2.17
Tirsense
2.14
Guimaraes
2.00
Moreirense
2.00
Chaves
2.00
Farense
2.00
Casa Pia
2.00
Penafiel
2.00
Torreense
2.00
União de Leiria
2.00
Leixoes
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
CF Os Belenenses
2.00
SC Covilha
2.00
Atlético CP
2.00
União Santarém
2.00
Moncarapachense
2.00
Maria da Fonte
2.00
Varzim
2.00
Alpendorada
2.00
Moura
2.00
Operário
2.00
Lusitânia
1.75
Vila Real
1.75
Cinfães
1.75
Brito
1.75
O Elvas
1.60
Arouca
1.50
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
Academica
1.50
Portimonense
1.50
Famalicao
1.50
AVS
1.50
FC Porto
1.50
Mafra
1.50
Vilaverdense
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
Vianense
1.50
Pevidem
1.50
Amora
1.50
Pombal
1.50
Os Limianos
1.50
Paredes
1.50
Pêro Pinheiro
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Guarda
1.50
Gondomar
1.50
Alcains
1.50
Lagoa
1.50
Sintrense
1.50
Sandinenses
1.50
Ferreira Zêzere
1.50
Machico
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
FC Serpa
1.50
Louletano
1.50
Sertanense
1.50
Régua
1.50
CF Benfica
1.50
Vieira
1.50
Estrela Vendas Novas
1.50
Arronches e Benfica
1.50
Aliança de Gandra
1.50
Atlético Arcos
1.50
Rio Ave
1.33
Sanjoanense
1.33
Caldas
1.33
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
Estoril
1.00
Academico Viseu
1.00
Lajense
1.00
Leça
1.00
AD Marco 09
1.00
Ovarense
1.00
Marinhense
1.00
Beira-Mar
1.00
Fátima
1.00
Joane
1.00
Estrela
0.50
União de Coimbra
0.50
Tondela
0.00
Boavista
0.00
Nacional
0.00
Maritimo
0.00
Feirense
0.00
Vizela
0.00
Felgueiras 1932
0.00
Oliveirense
0.00
Trofense
0.00
União Lamas
0.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
0.00
Fafe
0.00
Viana Alentejo
0.00
Dumiense
0.00
Olímpico do Montijo
0.00
Camacha
0.00
Tocha
0.00
Peniche
0.00
Coimbrões
0.00
Eléctrico
0.00
Monção
0.00
Castrense
0.00
Sacavenense
0.00
Bragança
0.00
Comércio Indústria
0.00
O Grandolense
0.00
Académico do Fundão
0.00
Maia Lidador
0.00
São Roque (Açores)
0.00
Macedo Cavaleiros
0.00
Juventude Gaula
0.00
Ginásio Figueirense
0.00
Estarreja
0.00
Valpaços
0.00
UD da Serra
0.00
Resende (Portugal)
0.00
Lagos
0.00
Cardielense
0.00
Praia Milfontes
0.00
Vinhais
0.00
Vila Cortez
0.00
Pedrógão São Pedro
0.00
Oliveira de Frades
0.00
Vieirense
0.00
Velense
0.00
Rabo Peixe
0.00
Ferreiras
0.00
Fabril Barreiro
0.00
FC Barreirense
0.00
Portel
0.00
Salgueiros
0.00
Abrantes e Benfica
0.00
Pedras Salgadas
0.00
Gavionenses
0.00
Madalena
0.00
Acad. Coimbra/S.Futebol
0.00
Benfica is 0.57 points better than Tirsense in terms of average points per game (2.71 vs 2.14).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Estarreja
4.00
Benfica
3.29
Arouca
3.00
Vizela
3.00
Casa Pia
3.00
Penafiel
3.00
Amarante
3.00
SC Covilha
3.00
Comércio Indústria
3.00
Valpaços
3.00
Alverca
2.67
Anadia
2.67
Vilaverdense
2.50
Os Limianos
2.50
Guarda
2.50
Alcains
2.50
FC Serpa
2.50
CF Benfica
2.50
Farense
2.33
Sanjoanense
2.33
Moncarapachense
2.33
Cinfães
2.25
Sporting CP
2.14
Guimaraes
2.00
Portimonense
2.00
AVS
2.00
FC Porto
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
Dumiense
2.00
Coimbrões
2.00
Paredes
2.00
Atlético CP
2.00
Oliveira Hospital
2.00
São João Ver
2.00
Rebordosa
2.00
Leça
2.00
Castrense
2.00
Alpendorada
2.00
Louletano
2.00
Beira-Mar
2.00
Sertanense
2.00
Vila Cortez
2.00
FC Barreirense
2.00
CF Os Belenenses
1.67
União Santarém
1.67
Varzim
1.67
Moura
1.67
Rio Ave
1.50
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
SC Braga
1.50
Torreense
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
Vianense
1.50
Pombal
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Lusitânia
1.50
Ferreira Zêzere
1.50
Machico
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
Régua
1.50
Estrela Vendas Novas
1.50
Arronches e Benfica
1.50
Moreirense
1.33
Chaves
1.33
União de Leiria
1.33
GIL Vicente
1.25
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
O Elvas
1.20
Tirsense
1.14
Tondela
1.00
Nacional
1.00
Maritimo
1.00
Academica
1.00
Santa Clara
1.00
Famalicao
1.00
Academico Viseu
1.00
Leixoes
1.00
Oliveirense
1.00
Mafra
1.00
União Lamas
1.00
Fafe
1.00
Viana Alentejo
1.00
Pevidem
1.00
Olímpico do Montijo
1.00
Tocha
1.00
Lajense
1.00
Maria da Fonte
1.00
Lagoa
1.00
Sintrense
1.00
Sandinenses
1.00
AD Marco 09
1.00
Monção
1.00
Ovarense
1.00
Bragança
1.00
Maia Lidador
1.00
São Roque (Açores)
1.00
União de Coimbra
1.00
Cardielense
1.00
Vinhais
1.00
Pedrógão São Pedro
1.00
Vieirense
1.00
Velense
1.00
Vieira
1.00
Fabril Barreiro
1.00
Operário
1.00
Aliança de Gandra
1.00
Atlético Arcos
1.00
Salgueiros
1.00
Acad. Coimbra/S.Futebol
1.00
Vila Real
0.75
Brito
0.75
Caldas
0.67
Estrela
0.50
Amora
0.50
Pêro Pinheiro
0.50
Gondomar
0.50
Estoril
0.00
Boavista
0.00
Feirense
0.00
Felgueiras 1932
0.00
Trofense
0.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
0.00
Camacha
0.00
Peniche
0.00
Eléctrico
0.00
Sacavenense
0.00
Marinhense
0.00
Fátima
0.00
O Grandolense
0.00
Académico do Fundão
0.00
Macedo Cavaleiros
0.00
Juventude Gaula
0.00
Ginásio Figueirense
0.00
UD da Serra
0.00
Resende (Portugal)
0.00
Lagos
0.00
Praia Milfontes
0.00
Joane
0.00
Oliveira de Frades
0.00
Rabo Peixe
0.00
Ferreiras
0.00
Portel
0.00
Abrantes e Benfica
0.00
Pedras Salgadas
0.00
Gavionenses
0.00
Madalena
0.00
Benfica is 2.14 goals better than Tirsense in terms of goals scored per game (3.29 vs 1.14).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Estoril
0.00
Marinhense
0.00
Fátima
0.00
Joane
0.00
Operário
0.00
GIL Vicente
0.25
Benfica
0.29
Santa Clara
0.33
Academica
0.50
Famalicao
0.50
Atlético CP
0.50
Gondomar
0.50
Vila Real
0.50
Brito
0.50
FC Serpa
0.50
Alpendorada
0.50
Arronches e Benfica
0.50
Sporting CP
0.57
Varzim
0.67
Caldas
0.67
SC Braga
0.75
São João Ver
0.83
Guimaraes
1.00
Moreirense
1.00
Arouca
1.00
Boavista
1.00
Feirense
1.00
Chaves
1.00
Casa Pia
1.00
FC Porto
1.00
Academico Viseu
1.00
Felgueiras 1932
1.00
Torreense
1.00
União de Leiria
1.00
Leixoes
1.00
CF Os Belenenses
1.00
Mafra
1.00
União Santarém
1.00
Anadia
1.00
Lagoa
1.00
Rebordosa
1.00
AD Marco 09
1.00
Ferreira Zêzere
1.00
Ovarense
1.00
Machico
1.00
Louletano
1.00
UD da Serra
1.00
Vieira
1.00
Moura
1.00
Estrela Vendas Novas
1.00
Aliança de Gandra
1.00
Portel
1.00
O Elvas
1.20
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
Oliveira Hospital
1.25
Alverca
1.33
Sanjoanense
1.33
Moncarapachense
1.33
Tirsense
1.43
Rio Ave
1.50
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
Portimonense
1.50
AVS
1.50
Penafiel
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
Pevidem
1.50
Pêro Pinheiro
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Alcains
1.50
Sandinenses
1.50
Lusitânia
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
Régua
1.50
Atlético Arcos
1.50
SC Covilha
1.67
Cinfães
1.75
Tondela
2.00
Nacional
2.00
Maritimo
2.00
Farense
2.00
Amarante
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
Oliveirense
2.00
União Lamas
2.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
2.00
Viana Alentejo
2.00
Vianense
2.00
Olímpico do Montijo
2.00
Camacha
2.00
Peniche
2.00
Eléctrico
2.00
Maria da Fonte
2.00
Sintrense
2.00
Leça
2.00
Monção
2.00
Sacavenense
2.00
Bragança
2.00
Beira-Mar
2.00
Sertanense
2.00
Académico do Fundão
2.00
Maia Lidador
2.00
São Roque (Açores)
2.00
União de Coimbra
2.00
Cardielense
2.00
Vinhais
2.00
Velense
2.00
Fabril Barreiro
2.00
Salgueiros
2.00
Abrantes e Benfica
2.00
Pedras Salgadas
2.00
Madalena
2.00
Acad. Coimbra/S.Futebol
2.00
Vilaverdense
2.50
Amora
2.50
Pombal
2.50
Os Limianos
2.50
Guarda
2.50
Lajense
2.67
Trofense
3.00
Dumiense
3.00
Coimbrões
3.00
Paredes
3.00
O Grandolense
3.00
Macedo Cavaleiros
3.00
Juventude Gaula
3.00
Resende (Portugal)
3.00
Lagos
3.00
Pedrógão São Pedro
3.00
Oliveira de Frades
3.00
Rabo Peixe
3.00
Ferreiras
3.00
FC Barreirense
3.00
Gavionenses
3.00
CF Benfica
3.50
Vizela
4.00
Estrela
4.00
Fafe
4.00
Tocha
4.00
Castrense
4.00
Comércio Indústria
4.00
Vila Cortez
4.00
Vieirense
4.00
Ginásio Figueirense
5.00
Estarreja
5.00
Valpaços
5.00
Praia Milfontes
5.00
Benfica is 1.14 goals better than Tirsense in terms of goals conceded per game (0.29 vs 1.43).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Sporting CP
59%
Rio Ave
42%
Benfica
41%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

BenficaBenfica

For 7.5 · Against 3.6 · Total 11.1

🚩 Corners

170371156254251136153134132101689714781715A·GUIH·AROA·FC H·FARA·GILA·RIOA·BARH·NACH·BARH·BOA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.1

🟨 Cards

60421313112414134246442651364A·GUIH·AROA·FC H·FARA·GILA·RIOA·BARH·NACH·BARH·BOA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 10.4 · Total 22.1

⚠️ Fouls

280121061211171313169121684111118510722182826252812222317A·GUIH·AROA·FC H·FARA·GILA·RIOA·BARH·NACH·BARH·BOA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

TirsenseTirsense

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

BenficaBenfica

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.910.39.54.13.84.322.421.723.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (14)8.98.39.44.95.24.620.620.720.6
vs Weaker (36)10.311.09.53.83.44.223.122.124.2
% over line53%55%52%56%50%62%60%59%61%
% under line47%45%48%44%50%38%40%41%39%
This opponent (Tirsense) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TirsenseTirsense

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (6)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (1)---0.00.0----
vs Similar (5)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Torreense
11.1
Farense
11.1
Oliveirense
11.1
Portimonense
11.0
Nacional
10.8
Tondela
10.8
Vilaverdense
10.8
Chaves
10.6
SC Covilha
10.6
Trofense
10.6
Academico Viseu
10.5
Pacos Ferreira
10.4
União de Leiria
10.4
Guimaraes
10.4
Penafiel
10.3
Estrela
10.2
Vizela
10.1
SC Braga
10.0
Benfica
10.0
Famalicao
9.9
Rio Ave
9.9
Arouca
9.9
Feirense
9.6
Mafra
9.6
Sporting CP
9.5
FC Porto
9.5
Casa Pia
9.4
Leixoes
9.4
CF Os Belenenses
9.3
Boavista
9.3
Estoril
9.3
AVS
9.2
Maritimo
9.2
Felgueiras 1932
9.0
GIL Vicente
8.9
Moreirense
8.4
Santa Clara
8.2
Alverca
7.7

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Trofense
7.1
FC Porto
6.0
Santa Clara
6.0
Guimaraes
5.8
Felgueiras 1932
5.7
Boavista
5.7
Famalicao
5.5
Oliveirense
5.5
Leixoes
5.5
SC Covilha
5.4
Maritimo
5.4
Chaves
5.3
AVS
5.3
Torreense
5.2
Penafiel
5.2
Rio Ave
5.2
SC Braga
5.1
Tondela
5.1
Arouca
5.1
União de Leiria
5.0
Sporting CP
5.0
Pacos Ferreira
5.0
Portimonense
4.9
Farense
4.9
Nacional
4.8
Vilaverdense
4.8
Casa Pia
4.8
Vizela
4.8
Moreirense
4.7
GIL Vicente
4.7
Estrela
4.6
Estoril
4.6
Feirense
4.5
Benfica
4.5
Lusitânia Lourosa
4.5
Academico Viseu
4.5
Alverca
4.3
CF Os Belenenses
4.1
Mafra
3.8

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Trofense
32.3
Famalicao
30.2
Santa Clara
29.1
Estrela
29.1
Moreirense
29.0
Vilaverdense
28.5
Rio Ave
28.3
SC Covilha
28.2
Guimaraes
28.0
Nacional
28.0
Estoril
27.9
Farense
27.6
Boavista
27.5
AVS
27.5
FC Porto
26.9
GIL Vicente
26.7
Arouca
26.6
Casa Pia
26.1
SC Braga
25.4
Sporting CP
25.1
CF Os Belenenses
25.0
Leixoes
24.0
Benfica
22.5
Tondela
22.5
Feirense
20.5
Pacos Ferreira
20.2
Vizela
20.2
Chaves
20.0
União de Leiria
19.8
Portimonense
19.2
Oliveirense
19.2
Academico Viseu
18.8
Torreense
18.5
Maritimo
18.4
Penafiel
17.9
Mafra
17.1
Felgueiras 1932
7.0
Alverca
6.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
66.0%
Under 9.5
34.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
30.9%
Under 3.5
69.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
66.1%
Under 21.5
33.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Benfica or Draw✓ Hit
93.6%
Avg Implied -
79%
15%
6%
covers Benfica + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Benfica or Tirsense✓ Hit
85.3%
Avg Implied -
79%
15%
6%
covers Benfica + Tirsense
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Tirsense✗ Miss
21.1%
Avg Implied -
79%
15%
6%
covers Draw + Tirsense
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Benfica over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
93.0%
Under
7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
74.4%
Under
25.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
49.7%
Under
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
27.7%
Under
72.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirsense over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
48.9%
Under
51.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirsense over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
14.6%
Under
85.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirsense over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
3.1%
Under
96.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirsense over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.5%
Under
99.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Benfica, so a minus line means Benfica give that many goals of a start and Tirsense receive them. At -1, Benfica must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Benfica win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Benfica)Actual: Benfica
Benfica -2
36.6%
Draw -2
22.1%
Tirsense +2
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Benfica)Actual: Benfica
Benfica -1
58.6%
Draw -1
20.3%
Tirsense +1
21.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Benfica)Actual: Benfica
Benfica +1
93.6%
Draw +1
4.6%
Tirsense -1
1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Benfica)Actual: Benfica
Benfica +2
98.3%
Draw +2
1.4%
Tirsense -2
0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BenficaBenfica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D20W13L10W10W21W20W20W00D10WH·BAR05/03H·NAC08/03A·BAR11/03A·RIO16/03A·GIL28/03H·FAR02/04A·FC 06/04A·TIR09/04H·ARO13/04A·GUI19/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.431.210.430.940.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.000.751.330.670.800.80
vs Weaker (22)1.090.321.180.361.000.27
Clean sheet %67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Tirsense) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TirsenseTirsense

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W01L10W00D10W02LH·VIE21/09A·CAL19/10H·BRI24/11H·REB21/12A·O E25/02H·BEN09/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.500.750.500.500.50
vs Stronger (1)0.002.000.002.00--
vs Similar (5)0.800.201.000.000.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Benfica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirsense over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirsense over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirsense over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BenficaBenfica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W00D22D20W11D21W30W22D20WH·BAR05/03H·NAC08/03A·BAR11/03A·RIO16/03A·GIL28/03H·FAR02/04A·FC 06/04A·TIR09/04H·ARO13/04A·GUI19/04
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.601.000.791.250.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.881.001.002.330.800.20
vs Weaker (22)1.230.451.000.361.450.55
Clean sheet %63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Tirsense) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TirsenseTirsense

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D20W00D10W10W03LH·VIE21/09A·CAL19/10H·BRI24/11H·REB21/12A·O E25/02H·BEN09/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.500.250.751.500.00
vs Stronger (1)0.003.000.003.00--
vs Similar (5)0.800.000.330.001.500.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %83% (+52pp vs league)
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Benfica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirsense over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirsense over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tirsense over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Away under 3.5 goals99.5%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap98.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 7.597.9%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals96.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.594.7%-------✓ Hit
Home or Draw93.6%-------✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap93.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards93.5%--------
Home over 0.5 goals93.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.587.9%-------✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals85.4%-------✓ Hit
Home or Away85.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.585.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards84.7%--------
Over 19.5 fouls80.1%--------
Home win78.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners76.8%--------
Under 4.575.7%-------✓ Hit
Home over 1.5 goals74.4%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals72.3%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Benfica
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Vangelis Pavlidis42%
Marcos Leonardo33%
Kerem Aktürkoğlu27%
Ángel Di María26%
Tiago Gouveia25%
Orkun Kökçü24%
Zeki Amdouni20%
Arthur Cabral16%
Andrea Belotti15%
Nicolás Otamendi14%
Andreas Schjelderup9%
Bruma8%
Álvaro Carreras8%
Alexander Bah7%
Fredrik Aursnes6%
Benjamín Rollheiser6%
Florentino Luís5%
António Silva3%
Leandro Barreiro2%
Tomás Araújo2%
Renato Sanches0%
Anatoliy Trubin0%
Jan-Niklas Beste0%
Samuel Dahl0%
Issa Kaboré0%
Samuel Soares0%
Manuel Silva0%
João Rêgo0%
Gianluca Prestianni0%
Leandro Santos0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Álvaro Carreras35%
Issa Kaboré33%
Manuel Silva33%
Florentino Luís25%
Tiago Gouveia25%
Leandro Santos25%
Orkun Kökçü22%
Leandro Barreiro18%
Jan-Niklas Beste14%
Nicolás Otamendi14%
Alexander Bah14%
Ángel Di María13%
António Silva13%
Gianluca Prestianni12%
Benjamín Rollheiser12%
Renato Sanches11%
João Rêgo11%
Kerem Aktürkoğlu8%
Vangelis Pavlidis8%
Zeki Amdouni8%
Arthur Cabral6%
Fredrik Aursnes6%
Samuel Dahl6%
Tomás Araújo2%
Anatoliy Trubin2%
Bruma0%
Andrea Belotti0%
Samuel Soares0%
Marcos Leonardo0%
Andreas Schjelderup0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Manuel Silva33%
Samuel Dahl25%
Tiago Gouveia25%
Vangelis Pavlidis21%
Ángel Di María21%
Kerem Aktürkoğlu18%
Bruma17%
Orkun Kökçü16%
Fredrik Aursnes15%
Álvaro Carreras10%
Jan-Niklas Beste10%
Tomás Araújo7%
Alexander Bah7%
Nicolás Otamendi6%
Benjamín Rollheiser6%
Andreas Schjelderup6%
António Silva5%
Leandro Barreiro5%
Zeki Amdouni5%
Florentino Luís2%
Renato Sanches0%
Anatoliy Trubin0%
Arthur Cabral0%
Andrea Belotti0%
Issa Kaboré0%
Samuel Soares0%
Marcos Leonardo0%
João Rêgo0%
Gianluca Prestianni0%
Leandro Santos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Vangelis Pavlidis31%
Ángel Di María28%
Tiago Gouveia25%
Kerem Aktürkoğlu20%
Bruma17%
Andrea Belotti15%
Arthur Cabral13%
Zeki Amdouni12%
Gianluca Prestianni12%
Orkun Kökçü12%
Andreas Schjelderup3%
António Silva3%
Leandro Barreiro2%
Fredrik Aursnes2%
Álvaro Carreras2%
Renato Sanches0%
Florentino Luís0%
Nicolás Otamendi0%
Anatoliy Trubin0%
Alexander Bah0%
Jan-Niklas Beste0%
Benjamín Rollheiser0%
Samuel Dahl0%
Issa Kaboré0%
Tomás Araújo0%
Samuel Soares0%
Marcos Leonardo0%
Manuel Silva0%
João Rêgo0%
Leandro Santos0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
ALV (30)
€39m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
TOR (32)
€19m
AV (27)
€16m
MAR (27)
€16m
VIZ (29)
€12m
TON (20)
€10m
UDL (25)
€10m
CHA (22)
€9m
FAR (24)
€8m
AVS (20)
€7m
POR (20)
€6m
LEI (21)
€6m
PEN (23)
€5m
F1 (20)
€5m
LL (19)
€5m
FEI (17)
€4m
ACA (11)
€2m
PF (13)
€2m
OLI (7)
€1m
AMA (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ALV (8)
€15m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
AV (11)
€8m
TOR (12)
€7m
MAR (10)
€7m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
VIZ (13)
€5m
MOR (5)
€5m
UDL (9)
€4m
FAR (10)
€3m
AVS (8)
€3m
CHA (5)
€3m
TON (7)
€2m
POR (7)
€2m
LEI (7)
€2m
PEN (8)
€1m
F1 (4)
€1m
ACA (6)
€1m
FEI (6)
€1m
LL (6)
€1m
PF (3)
€1m
AMA (1)
€0m
OLI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
ALV (8)
€6m
CP (7)
€6m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
MAR (6)
€3m
EST (5)
€3m
AV (6)
€3m
CHA (5)
€2m
TOR (5)
€2m
VIZ (5)
€2m
UDL (7)
€2m
FAR (3)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
TON (4)
€1m
F1 (6)
€1m
LEI (3)
€1m
POR (5)
€1m
LL (2)
€1m
AMA (3)
€1m
FEI (3)
€1m
PF (2)
€0m
PEN (2)
€0m
ACA (1)
€0m
OLI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
ALV (14)
€18m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
TOR (15)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
TON (9)
€6m
MAR (11)
€6m
AV (10)
€6m
VIZ (11)
€4m
CHA (12)
€4m
UDL (9)
€4m
FAR (11)
€4m
PEN (13)
€3m
LL (11)
€3m
AVS (10)
€3m
FEI (8)
€3m
LEI (11)
€3m
POR (8)
€3m
F1 (10)
€2m
OLI (5)
€1m
ACA (4)
€1m
PF (8)
€1m
AMA (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
BEN wins
0
Draws
0
TIR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Benfica vs Tirsense · H/A from BEN
DateH/AGameScore
09/04/25ATirsense Vs BEN0-5

BenficaBenfica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/04/25AGuimaraes Vs BEN0-3
13/04/25HBEN Vs Arouca2-2
09/04/25ATirsense Vs BEN0-5
06/04/25AFC Porto Vs BEN1-4
02/04/25HBEN Vs Farense3-2
28/03/25AGIL Vicente Vs BEN0-3
16/03/25ARio Ave Vs BEN2-3
11/03/25ABarcelona Vs BEN3-1
08/03/25HBEN Vs Nacional3-0
05/03/25HBEN Vs Barcelona0-1

TirsenseTirsense

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/04/25HTIR Vs Benfica0-5
25/02/25AO Elvas Vs TIR0-2
21/12/24HTIR Vs Rebordosa1-0
24/11/24HTIR Vs Brito1-0
19/10/24ACaldas Vs TIR1-2
21/09/24HTIR Vs Vieira2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Benfica
Benfica
Portugal: Taça de Portugal
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDW2.16
HomeWLWWD2.25
AwayWWWWW2.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %68%71%65%
AVG goals3.343.882.85
Over 1.5 %82%79%85%
Over 2.5 %64%79%50%
Over 3.5 %44%58%31%
Scored2.382.921.88
Conceded0.960.960.96
BTTS44%42%46%
Clean Sheet46%54%38%
Corners9.8710.279.48
Cards4.564.184.91
Tirsense
Tirsense
Portugal: Taça de Portugal
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWL2.50
HomeWWWL2.25
AwayWW3.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %83%75%100%
AVG goals2.332.252.50
Over 1.5 %67%50%100%
Over 2.5 %33%25%50%
Over 3.5 %17%25%0%
Scored1.331.002.00
Conceded1.001.250.50
BTTS17%0%50%
Clean Sheet67%75%50%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

Benfica plays in Portugal - Primeira Liga
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sporting CPSporting CP3482
74%
2.4
8827+61
3.4
88%
68%
44%
9.2
44%
5.5
71%
26.2
76%
414
146911762.60.8
60%
2BenficaBenfica3480
74%
2.4
8428+56
3.3
88%
68%
38%
10.0
53%
4.5
68%
23.8
65%
357
172771082.50.8
58%
3FC PortoFC Porto3471
65%
2.1
6530+35
2.8
91%
53%
26%
8.8
41%
6.1
88%
27.6
91%
467
2141051481.90.9
62%
4SC BragaSC Braga3466
56%
1.9
5530+25
2.5
76%
47%
18%
9.9
56%
5.0
70%
26.6
82%
165
4156681.60.9
57%
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara3457
50%
1.7
3632+4
2.0
59%
29%
9%
8.1
24%
6.6
85%
29.9
88%
27
96121.10.9
44%
6GuimaraesGuimaraes3454
41%
1.6
4737+10
2.5
68%
47%
26%
10.6
65%
5.5
71%
28.8
100%
46
2211121.41.1
57%
7FamalicaoFamalicao3447
35%
1.4
4439+5
2.4
79%
53%
15%
10.4
50%
5.7
85%
30.2
88%
57
1620221.31.1
50%
8EstorilEstoril3446
35%
1.4
4853-5
3.0
79%
71%
41%
8.8
35%
4.4
62%
30.0
91%
42
248101.41.6
49%
9Casa PiaCasa Pia3445
35%
1.3
3944-5
2.4
74%
44%
26%
9.3
32%
5.5
73%
26.8
79%
27
96121.11.3
47%
10MoreirenseMoreirense3440
29%
1.2
4250-8
2.7
76%
53%
35%
8.3
26%
5.3
71%
30.5
97%
22
5891.21.5
47%
11AroucaArouca3438
26%
1.1
3549-14
2.5
71%
47%
29%
10.6
59%
5.4
76%
28.1
85%
28
11881.01.4
53%
12Rio AveRio Ave3438
26%
1.1
3955-16
2.8
82%
50%
29%
9.8
47%
4.7
65%
27.6
94%
37
88211.11.6
48%
13GIL VicenteGIL Vicente3434
24%
1.0
3447-13
2.4
71%
44%
18%
8.9
35%
4.7
71%
27.5
85%
29
118111.01.4
51%
14NacionalNacional3434
26%
1.0
3250-18
2.4
71%
44%
18%
10.2
53%
5.0
62%
27.3
85%
20
6590.91.5
47%
15AVSAVS3631
17%
0.9
3062-32
2.6
72%
44%
25%
8.6
36%
5.2
75%
26.9
78%
7
3230.81.7
43%
16EstrelaEstrela3429
21%
0.9
2450-26
2.2
59%
32%
18%
9.8
44%
5.2
76%
31.5
97%
20
63110.71.5
45%
17FarenseFarense3427
18%
0.8
2546-21
2.1
56%
41%
18%
11.0
53%
5.4
74%
28.7
94%
8
3240.71.4
41%
18BoavistaBoavista3424
18%
0.7
2459-35
2.4
65%
50%
26%
9.1
38%
5.7
76%
27.5
82%
0
0000.71.7
40%
19VizelaVizela21
0%
0.5
25-3
3.5
100%
100%
50%
12.0
100%
6.0
100%
26.0
100%
12
5241.02.5
71%
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →

← all matches