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BFA vs Ekranas Result & Analysis

Date: 23/07/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
BFA
BFA
Vs
59%
23%
18%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ekranas
Ekranas
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BFA win✓ Hit
59.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ekranas win✗ Miss
18.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BFABFA

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W10W14L12L30W32W02L22D01L10WA·FA 27/04H·MIN03/05A·ŽAL11/05H·TRA17/05H·BE124/05H·BAB31/05A·NEP13/06H·TAU18/06A·NEV21/06H·ATM28/06
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.471.361.431.381.50
vs Stronger (13)1.151.541.571.430.671.67
vs Similar (10)1.701.701.252.002.001.50
vs Weaker (7)1.291.001.000.671.501.25
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekranas) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EkranasEkranas

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D01L02L10W15L12L13L01L05L00DH·ŽAL04/05A·GAR07/05A·TRA10/05A·BE116/05A·BAB23/05H·NEP01/06A·TAU14/06H·NEV18/06A·ATM21/06H·JON27/06
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.671.141.361.941.94
vs Stronger (24)1.791.711.151.462.552.00
vs Similar (6)0.671.501.000.000.601.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (BFA) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%012%122%222%317%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
82.8%
Under 1.5
17.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
60.4%
Under 2.5
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.1%
Under 3.5
61.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.2%
No
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.3%
1-0 ✓
8.1%
3-1
6.8%
3-0
6.4%
0-0
5.4%
2-2
5.3%
BFA goals ↓
Ekranas goals →
01234
05.4%3.7%2.5%0.9%0.2%
18.1%11%5.1%1.8%0.5%
29.3%9.9%5.3%1.9%0.5%
36.4%6.8%3.6%1.3%0.3%
43.3%3.5%1.9%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = BFA goals (down), columns = Ekranas goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
TransINVEST Vilnius
2.63
Neptūną Klaipėda
2.23
Tauras
2.07
Babrungas
1.93
BFA
1.83
Atmosfera
1.60
Jonava
1.40
Žalgiris II
1.40
Minija
1.20
Hegelmann II
1.03
Be1 NFA
1.00
Ekranas
0.97
FA Šiauliai II
0.94
Kauno Žalgiris II
0.90
Nevėžis
0.87
Panevėžys II
0.70
Sveikata
0.50
BFA is 0.87 points better than Ekranas in terms of average points per game (1.83 vs 0.97).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
TransINVEST Vilnius
2.90
Neptūną Klaipėda
2.27
Babrungas
2.13
Tauras
1.87
Atmosfera
1.73
Žalgiris II
1.67
BFA
1.57
FA Šiauliai II
1.50
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.43
Ekranas
1.23
Be1 NFA
1.17
Hegelmann II
1.17
Nevėžis
1.07
Sveikata
1.00
Panevėžys II
1.00
Minija
0.90
Jonava
0.87
BFA is 0.33 goals better than Ekranas in terms of goals scored per game (1.57 vs 1.23).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
TransINVEST Vilnius
0.73
Tauras
0.73
Jonava
0.83
Neptūną Klaipėda
0.90
Atmosfera
1.13
BFA
1.20
Babrungas
1.43
Minija
1.53
Žalgiris II
1.60
Be1 NFA
1.70
Hegelmann II
1.70
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.90
Ekranas
1.93
Nevėžis
1.93
FA Šiauliai II
2.28
Panevėžys II
2.70
Sveikata
3.50
BFA is 0.73 goals better than Ekranas in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 1.93).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BFABFA

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W00D00D01L10W12L01L10W01L00DA·FA 27/04H·MIN03/05A·ŽAL11/05H·TRA17/05H·BE124/05H·BAB31/05A·NEP13/06H·TAU18/06A·NEV21/06H·ATM28/06
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.470.430.360.690.56
vs Stronger (13)0.460.540.570.570.330.50
vs Similar (10)0.900.300.250.001.330.50
vs Weaker (7)0.290.570.330.330.250.75
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekranas) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EkranasEkranas

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L00D00D13L01L10W00D01L00DH·ŽAL04/05A·GAR07/05A·TRA10/05A·BE116/05A·BAB23/05H·NEP01/06A·TAU14/06H·NEV18/06A·ATM21/06H·JON27/06
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.570.500.360.750.75
vs Stronger (24)0.790.500.540.381.090.64
vs Similar (6)0.000.830.000.000.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (BFA) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
BFA over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BFA over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BFA over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekranas over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekranas over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekranas over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BFABFA

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D10W14L11D20W20W01L12L00D10WA·FA 27/04H·MIN03/05A·ŽAL11/05H·TRA17/05H·BE124/05H·BAB31/05A·NEP13/06H·TAU18/06A·NEV21/06H·ATM28/06
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.000.931.070.690.94
vs Stronger (13)0.691.001.000.860.331.17
vs Similar (10)0.801.401.002.000.671.00
vs Weaker (7)1.000.430.670.331.250.50
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekranas) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EkranasEkranas

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W00D02L10W02L11D03L01L04L00DH·ŽAL04/05A·GAR07/05A·TRA10/05A·BE116/05A·BAB23/05H·NEP01/06A·TAU14/06H·NEV18/06A·ATM21/06H·JON27/06
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.100.641.001.191.19
vs Stronger (24)1.001.210.621.081.451.36
vs Similar (6)0.670.671.000.000.600.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (BFA) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
BFA over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BFA over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BFA over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekranas over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekranas over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekranas over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.8%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (24)
€5m
ŽI (6)
€1m
HI (4)
€0m
MIN (3)
€0m
FŠI (4)
€0m
TAU (2)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
BFA (2)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
BFA and Ekranas have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (8)
€2m
TAU (1)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (2)
€0m
HI (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
BFA and Ekranas have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (5)
€1m
FŠI (2)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
HI (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
TAU (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
BFA and Ekranas have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (11)
€2m
ŽI (3)
€0m
HI (2)
€0m
TAU (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
BFA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
3
BFA wins
2
Draws
2
EKR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

BFA vs Ekranas · H/A from BFA
DateH/AGameScore
09/03/25AEkranas Vs BFA0-2
04/08/24AEkranas Vs BFA1-1
09/03/24HBFA Vs Ekranas1-1
12/08/23AEkranas Vs BFA1-0
26/03/23HBFA Vs Ekranas2-1
10/09/22HBFA Vs Ekranas4-1
14/05/22AEkranas Vs BFA2-0

BFABFA

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/06/25HBFA Vs Atmosfera1-0
21/06/25ANevėžis Vs BFA1-0
18/06/25HBFA Vs Tauras2-2
13/06/25ANeptūną Klaipėda Vs BFA2-0
31/05/25HBFA Vs Babrungas3-2
24/05/25HBFA Vs Be1 NFA3-0
17/05/25HBFA Vs TransINVEST Vilnius1-2
11/05/25AŽalgiris II Vs BFA4-1
03/05/25HBFA Vs Minija1-0
27/04/25AFA Šiauliai II Vs BFA0-4

EkranasEkranas

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/06/25HEKR Vs Jonava0-0
21/06/25AAtmosfera Vs EKR5-0
18/06/25HEKR Vs Nevėžis0-1
14/06/25ATauras Vs EKR3-1
01/06/25HEKR Vs Neptūną Klaipėda1-2
23/05/25ABabrungas Vs EKR5-1
16/05/25ABe1 NFA Vs EKR0-1
10/05/25ATransINVEST Vilnius Vs EKR2-0
07/05/25AGarliava Vs EKR1-0
04/05/25HEKR Vs Žalgiris II1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

BFA
BFA
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLW1.44
HomeLWWDW1.75
AwayLWLLL1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%50%31%
AVG goals3.123.173.08
Over 1.5 %82%79%85%
Over 2.5 %56%54%58%
Over 3.5 %44%42%46%
Scored1.581.881.31
Conceded1.541.291.77
BTTS50%46%54%
Clean Sheet26%33%19%
Corners---
Cards---
Ekranas
Ekranas
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLD1.18
HomeWDLLD1.18
AwayLWLLL1.18
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%32%32%
AVG goals3.362.863.75
Over 1.5 %76%77%75%
Over 2.5 %50%50%50%
Over 3.5 %38%36%39%
Scored1.761.412.04
Conceded1.601.451.71
BTTS52%55%50%
Clean Sheet24%23%25%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius3079
87%
2.6
8722+65
3.6
90%
77%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.90.7
-
2Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda3067
70%
2.2
6827+41
3.2
80%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.30.9
-
3TaurasTauras3062
60%
2.1
5622+34
2.6
73%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.90.7
-
4BabrungasBabrungas3058
57%
1.9
6443+21
3.6
83%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.4
-
5BFABFA3055
53%
1.8
4736+11
2.8
70%
53%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.2
-
6AtmosferaAtmosfera3048
47%
1.6
5234+18
2.9
70%
53%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.1
-
7Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II3042
37%
1.4
5048+2
3.3
83%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.6
-
8JonavaJonava3042
37%
1.4
2625+1
1.7
57%
23%
7%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.90.8
-
9MinijaMinija3036
37%
1.2
2746-19
2.4
67%
47%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
10Hegelmann IIHegelmann II3031
27%
1.0
3551-16
2.9
80%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.7
-
11Be1 NFABe1 NFA3030
27%
1.0
3551-16
2.9
80%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.7
-
12FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II3230
28%
0.9
4873-25
3.8
91%
78%
59%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.3
-
13EkranasEkranas3029
30%
1.0
3758-21
3.2
83%
60%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.9
-
14Kauno Žalgiris IIKauno Žalgiris II3027
27%
0.9
4357-14
3.3
83%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.9
-
15NevėžisNevėžis3026
23%
0.9
3258-26
3.0
73%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.9
-
16Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II3021
20%
0.7
3081-51
3.7
90%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.7
-
17SveikataSveikata21
0%
0.5
27-5
4.5
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.5
-
Lithuania: 1 Lyga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: 1 Lyga stats & trends →

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