BFA vs Jonava Result & Analysis

BFA are tipped to lift the trophy, the model’s pick for a home win with a 46% chance, followed by a 26% draw and a 27% away win. The expected total of 2.9 goals points to a fairly open game, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.4%. The home side, playing against a stronger opponent, averages 1.14 goals scored and 1.57 conceded, while Jonava, on the road against a weaker side, averages 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. The suggested pick is Over 1.5, with a 79.7% probability. The final score was 2-1, a home win. BFA’s recent form shows a draw-heavy run, coming off a 2-2 draw with Tauras, whereas Jonava has just won 2-1 over Transinvest 2.

The win extends BFA’s recent form, as they finish the last five with a draw, a win and a loss before beating Jonava 2-1. The model’s favourite was a home win, with a 46% probability, and it proved correct. The most likely scoreline was 1-1 at 12.4%, yet the game settled on 2-1, the favoured result. The model’s single selection, Over 1.5 goals, hit with a 79.7% chance. All other figures are reported only once, and the outcome confirms the model’s overall accuracy.