Bilje vs Dekani Result & Analysis

Bilje’s recent form has been uneven, with two straight defeats before a win and a loss to Rudar, while Dekani has slipped from a draw to two victories. The model favours an away win, giving Dekani a 44% chance, Bilje 27% and a draw 29%. The expected total of 2.5 goals points to a modestly open game, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 13.8% probability. Bilje, at home against a similar-strength opponent, averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.38 conceded; Dekani, on the road, averages 1.27 scored and 0.73 conceded. Suggested picks include an 76.1% chance of Under 3.5 goals and a 72.2% chance of Over 1.5 goals. The model’s selection for the match result is an away win, and the only scoreline highlighted is 1-1.

The upset came early as the pre-match favourite, an away win for Dekani with a 44% probability, fell short, the match ending in a 2-2 draw. Bilje’s recent form, after two straight defeats, had been shaky, while Dekani’s run of a draw and a win had kept them in the hunt. The model’s call was wrong, but its other selections told a different story: the Under 3.5 total, with a 76.1% chance, missed, whereas the Over 1.5, at 72.2%, hit. The most likely score of 1-1 had a 13.8% chance, yet the actual score of 2-2 surprised the model and the fans alike.