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Bilje vs Ilirija Result & Analysis

Date: 29/07/2023
Time: 16:00
Final 3-2
Bilje
Bilje
Vs
23%
25%
52%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ilirija
Ilirija
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilje win✓ Hit
22.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ilirija win✗ Miss
52.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BiljeBilje

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D00D11D00D02L13L13L31W12LH·DOB18/03A·RUD25/03A·PRI01/04H·KRK08/04A·KRŠ15/04H·ILI22/04A·ROG28/04H·ALU03/05A·BRI12/05H·NAF20/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.771.331.931.331.60
vs Stronger (12)1.421.831.001.671.832.00
vs Similar (18)1.281.721.562.111.001.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Ilirija) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IlirijaIlirija

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-504L23L11D01L52W20W10W23L31W31WA·BIS25/03H·BEL01/04H·FUŽ05/04A·DEK08/04H·DOB14/04A·BIL22/04H·PRI29/04A·KRK04/05H·KRŠ13/05A·RUD20/05
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.831.002.001.001.671.00
vs Stronger (10)1.400.802.000.800.800.80
vs Similar (20)2.051.102.001.102.101.10
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Bilje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.8%
Under 1.5
19.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.2%
Under 2.5
42.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
34.8%
Under 3.5
65.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.3%
No
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
8.5%
0-1
8.3%
0-0
6.2%
2-1
6.1%
1-3
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
Bilje goals ↓
Ilirija goals →
01234
06.2%8.3%8.5%5.2%2.4%
14.8%12%9.8%6.0%2.7%
23.3%6.1%5.6%3.4%1.6%
31.3%2.3%2.1%1.3%0.6%
40.4%0.7%0.6%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bilje goals (down), columns = Ilirija goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Primorje
2.00
Nafta
1.93
Beltinci
1.87
Gorica
1.77
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.73
Triglav
1.60
Bistrica
1.47
Rudar
1.23
Dekani
1.20
Bilje
1.13
Tolmin
1.13
Dravinja
1.13
Krka
1.10
Tabor Sežana
1.00
Ilirija
1.00
Fužinar
0.80
Bilje is 0.13 points better than Ilirija in terms of average points per game (1.13 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Nafta
1.83
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.73
Gorica
1.70
Beltinci
1.63
Primorje
1.63
Bistrica
1.50
Bilje
1.47
Triglav
1.47
Krka
1.33
Tabor Sežana
1.27
Dekani
1.13
Tolmin
1.13
Fužinar
1.10
Rudar
1.10
Ilirija
1.03
Dravinja
0.97
Bilje is 0.43 goals better than Ilirija in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 1.03).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Beltinci
0.80
Primorje
0.83
Gorica
0.93
Nafta
1.03
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.17
Triglav
1.17
Dekani
1.23
Dravinja
1.40
Ilirija
1.47
Tolmin
1.50
Bistrica
1.53
Krka
1.63
Rudar
1.63
Bilje
1.70
Tabor Sežana
1.97
Fužinar
2.03
Bilje is 0.23 goals worse than Ilirija in terms of goals conceded per game (1.70 vs 1.47).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BiljeBilje

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D01L00D01L02L12L00D10WH·DOB18/03A·RUD25/03A·PRI01/04H·KRK08/04A·KRŠ15/04H·ILI22/04A·ROG28/04H·ALU03/05A·BRI12/05H·NAF20/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.830.530.870.200.80
vs Stronger (12)0.420.830.330.830.500.83
vs Similar (18)0.330.830.670.890.000.78
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Ilirija) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IlirijaIlirija

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L11D11D01L20W10W00D11D31W11DA·BIS25/03H·BEL01/04H·FUŽ05/04A·DEK08/04H·DOB14/04A·BIL22/04H·PRI29/04A·KRK04/05H·KRŠ13/05A·RUD20/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.501.000.400.600.60
vs Stronger (10)0.400.300.800.200.000.40
vs Similar (20)1.000.601.100.500.900.70
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Bilje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bilje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bilje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bilje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilirija over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilirija over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilirija over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BiljeBilje

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D00D10W00D01L11D01L31W02LH·DOB18/03A·RUD25/03A·PRI01/04H·KRK08/04A·KRŠ15/04H·ILI22/04A·ROG28/04H·ALU03/05A·BRI12/05H·NAF20/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.930.801.071.130.80
vs Stronger (12)1.001.000.670.831.331.17
vs Similar (18)0.940.890.891.221.000.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Ilirija) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IlirijaIlirija

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L12L00D00D32W10W10W12L00D20WA·BIS25/03H·BEL01/04H·FUŽ05/04A·DEK08/04H·DOB14/04A·BIL22/04H·PRI29/04A·KRK04/05H·KRŠ13/05A·RUD20/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.501.000.601.070.40
vs Stronger (10)1.000.501.200.600.800.40
vs Similar (20)1.050.500.900.601.200.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Bilje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bilje over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bilje over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bilje over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilirija over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilirija over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilirija over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (24)
€3m
NAF (18)
€2m
TRI (19)
€2m
TS (17)
€2m
BEL (17)
€2m
ILI (15)
€1m
DRA (16)
€1m
DEK (18)
€1m
BIL (17)
€1m
RUD (17)
€1m
KRK (12)
€1m
BIS (14)
€1m
PRI (10)
€1m
Bilje and Ilirija have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAF (8)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
ILI (7)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
BIL (5)
€1m
KRK (5)
€0m
BIS (6)
€0m
DRA (4)
€0m
DEK (3)
€0m
RUD (3)
€0m
PRI (3)
€0m
Bilje and Ilirija have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (7)
€1m
TS (5)
€1m
RUD (8)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
DEK (6)
€0m
BEL (3)
€0m
PRI (2)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
ILI (2)
€0m
DRA (2)
€0m
BIL (4)
€0m
KRK (1)
€0m
Bilje and Ilirija have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (10)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
DRA (10)
€1m
TS (8)
€1m
KRK (6)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
BIL (8)
€1m
DEK (9)
€1m
RUD (6)
€0m
ILI (6)
€0m
PRI (5)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
Bilje and Ilirija have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
BIL wins
0
Draws
2
ILI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bilje vs Ilirija · H/A from BIL
DateH/AGameScore
22/04/23HBIL Vs Ilirija0-2
08/10/22AIlirija Vs BIL2-1

BiljeBilje

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/05/23HBIL Vs Nafta1-2
12/05/23ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs BIL1-3
03/05/23HBIL Vs Aluminij1-3
28/04/23ARogaška Vs BIL3-1
22/04/23HBIL Vs Ilirija0-2
15/04/23AKrško Vs BIL0-0
08/04/23HBIL Vs Krka1-1
01/04/23APrimorje Vs BIL0-0
25/03/23ARudar Vs BIL0-0
18/03/23HBIL Vs Dob1-0

IlirijaIlirija

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/05/23ARudar Vs ILI1-3
13/05/23HILI Vs Krško3-1
04/05/23AKrka Vs ILI3-2
29/04/23HILI Vs Primorje1-0
22/04/23ABilje Vs ILI0-2
14/04/23HILI Vs Dob5-2
08/04/23ADekani Vs ILI1-0
05/04/23HILI Vs Fužinar1-1
01/04/23HILI Vs Beltinci2-3
25/03/23ABistrica Vs ILI4-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bilje
Bilje
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWL1.23
HomeWDLLL1.00
AwayDDDLW1.47
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%27%40%
AVG goals3.103.272.93
Over 1.5 %77%87%67%
Over 2.5 %63%60%67%
Over 3.5 %40%33%47%
Scored1.331.331.33
Conceded1.771.931.60
BTTS63%67%60%
Clean Sheet23%13%33%
Corners---
Cards---
Ilirija
Ilirija
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWW1.80
HomeLDWWW1.87
AwayLLWLW1.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %53%53%53%
AVG goals2.833.002.67
Over 1.5 %77%80%73%
Over 2.5 %50%53%47%
Over 3.5 %40%40%40%
Scored1.832.001.67
Conceded1.001.001.00
BTTS43%60%27%
Clean Sheet43%40%47%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PrimorjePrimorje3060
57%
2.0
4925+24
2.5
70%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.60.8
-
2NaftaNafta3058
60%
1.9
5531+24
2.9
77%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.81.0
-
3BeltinciBeltinci3056
57%
1.9
4924+25
2.4
67%
47%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.60.8
-
4GoricaGorica3053
50%
1.8
5128+23
2.6
67%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.9
-
5Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje3052
50%
1.7
5235+17
2.9
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.71.2
-
6TriglavTriglav3048
47%
1.6
4435+9
2.6
80%
60%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.2
-
7BistricaBistrica3044
43%
1.5
4546-1
3.0
73%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.5
-
8RudarRudar3037
33%
1.2
3349-16
2.7
67%
43%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.11.6
-
9DekaniDekani3036
30%
1.2
3437-3
2.4
60%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.2
-
10BiljeBilje3034
30%
1.1
4451-7
3.2
83%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.51.7
-
11TolminTolmin3034
27%
1.1
3445-11
2.6
73%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
12DravinjaDravinja3034
30%
1.1
2942-13
2.4
63%
50%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.4
-
13KrkaKrka3033
30%
1.1
4049-9
3.0
80%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.31.6
-
14IlirijaIlirija3030
23%
1.0
3144-13
2.5
77%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.01.5
-
15Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana3030
23%
1.0
3859-21
3.2
83%
60%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.32.0
-
16FužinarFužinar3024
20%
0.8
3361-28
3.1
80%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.0
-
Slovenia: 2. SNL 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

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