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Bistrica vs Beltinci Result & Analysis

Date: 28/04/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
Bistrica
Bistrica
Vs
32%
28%
40%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Beltinci
Beltinci
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bistrica win✓ Hit
31.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Beltinci win✗ Miss
40.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BistricaBistrica

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-513L10W13L30W13L20W15L11D11D02LA·NAF13/11H·DEK19/11A·DRA03/03H·KRK09/03H·TRI17/03A·ILI23/03H·GOR30/03A·FUŽ06/04H·PRI13/04A·TAB21/04
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.502.001.331.401.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.701.502.001.331.401.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Beltinci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BeltinciBeltinci

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W12L21W11D00D10W01L10W20W01LH·TAB12/11A·TRI18/11A·TOL03/03H·BRI10/03A·BIL16/03H·RUD23/03A·NAF30/03H·DEK07/04A·DRA14/04H·KRK19/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.600.831.600.871.600.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)1.640.861.570.861.710.86
vs Weaker (2)1.000.502.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Bistrica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
75.6%
Under 1.5
24.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.6%
Under 2.5
50.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.6%
Under 3.5
72.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.0%
No
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
1-2
8.8%
0-1
8.7%
0-0
8.3%
2-1
7.6%
1-0 ✓
7.4%
0-2
7.1%
2-2
5.4%
Bistrica goals ↓
Beltinci goals →
01234
08.3%8.7%7.1%3.4%1.2%
17.4%14%8.8%4.1%1.5%
25.4%7.6%5.4%2.6%0.9%
32.2%3.1%2.2%1.1%0.4%
40.7%1.0%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bistrica goals (down), columns = Beltinci goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Primorje
2.00
Nafta
1.93
Beltinci
1.87
Gorica
1.77
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.73
Triglav
1.60
Bistrica
1.47
Rudar
1.23
Dekani
1.20
Bilje
1.13
Tolmin
1.13
Dravinja
1.13
Krka
1.10
Tabor Sežana
1.00
Ilirija
1.00
Fužinar
0.80
Bistrica is 0.40 points worse than Beltinci in terms of average points per game (1.47 vs 1.87).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Nafta
1.83
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.73
Gorica
1.70
Beltinci
1.63
Primorje
1.63
Bistrica
1.50
Bilje
1.47
Triglav
1.47
Krka
1.33
Tabor Sežana
1.27
Dekani
1.13
Tolmin
1.13
Fužinar
1.10
Rudar
1.10
Ilirija
1.03
Dravinja
0.97
Bistrica is 0.13 goals worse than Beltinci in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.63).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Beltinci
0.80
Primorje
0.83
Gorica
0.93
Nafta
1.03
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.17
Triglav
1.17
Dekani
1.23
Dravinja
1.40
Ilirija
1.47
Tolmin
1.50
Bistrica
1.53
Krka
1.63
Rudar
1.63
Bilje
1.70
Tabor Sežana
1.97
Fužinar
2.03
Bistrica is 0.73 goals worse than Beltinci in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 0.80).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BistricaBistrica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W01L10W01L10W12L01L10W02LA·NAF13/11H·DEK19/11A·DRA03/03H·KRK09/03H·TRI17/03A·ILI23/03H·GOR30/03A·FUŽ06/04H·PRI13/04A·TAB21/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.571.070.470.730.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.900.571.070.470.730.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Beltinci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BeltinciBeltinci

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W01L00D00D10W00D00D20W01LH·TAB12/11A·TRI18/11A·TOL03/03H·BRI10/03A·BIL16/03H·RUD23/03A·NAF30/03H·DEK07/04A·DRA14/04H·KRK19/04
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.370.800.531.070.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.930.390.710.571.140.21
vs Weaker (2)1.000.002.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %73% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Bistrica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bistrica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bistrica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bistrica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beltinci over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beltinci over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beltinci over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BistricaBistrica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L00D12L20W12L10W03L10W01L00DA·NAF13/11H·DEK19/11A·DRA03/03H·KRK09/03H·TRI17/03A·ILI23/03H·GOR30/03A·FUŽ06/04H·PRI13/04A·TAB21/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.930.930.870.671.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.800.930.930.870.671.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Beltinci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BeltinciBeltinci

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W02L20W11D00D00D01L10W00D00DH·TAB12/11A·TRI18/11A·TOL03/03H·BRI10/03A·BIL16/03H·RUD23/03A·NAF30/03H·DEK07/04A·DRA14/04H·KRK19/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.470.800.330.530.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.710.460.860.290.570.64
vs Weaker (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Bistrica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bistrica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bistrica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bistrica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beltinci over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beltinci over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beltinci over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.6%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.572.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (24)
€3m
NAF (18)
€2m
TRI (19)
€2m
TS (17)
€2m
BEL (17)
€2m
ILI (15)
€1m
DRA (16)
€1m
DEK (18)
€1m
BIL (17)
€1m
RUD (17)
€1m
KRK (12)
€1m
BIS (14)
€1m
PRI (10)
€1m
Bistrica and Beltinci have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAF (8)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
ILI (7)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
BIL (5)
€1m
KRK (5)
€0m
BIS (6)
€0m
DRA (4)
€0m
DEK (3)
€0m
RUD (3)
€0m
PRI (3)
€0m
Bistrica and Beltinci have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (7)
€1m
TS (5)
€1m
RUD (8)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
DEK (6)
€0m
BEL (3)
€0m
PRI (2)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
ILI (2)
€0m
DRA (2)
€0m
BIL (4)
€0m
KRK (1)
€0m
Bistrica and Beltinci have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (10)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
DRA (10)
€1m
TS (8)
€1m
KRK (6)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
BIL (8)
€1m
DEK (9)
€1m
RUD (6)
€0m
ILI (6)
€0m
PRI (5)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
Bistrica and Beltinci have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
BIS wins
1
Draws
2
BEL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bistrica vs Beltinci · H/A from BIS
DateH/AGameScore
07/10/23ABeltinci Vs BIS3-0
20/05/23ABeltinci Vs BIS3-3
05/11/22HBIS Vs Beltinci1-2

BistricaBistrica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/04/24ATabor Sežana Vs BIS2-0
13/04/24HBIS Vs Primorje1-1
06/04/24AFužinar Vs BIS1-1
30/03/24HBIS Vs Gorica1-5
23/03/24AIlirija Vs BIS0-2
17/03/24HBIS Vs Triglav1-3
09/03/24HBIS Vs Krka3-0
03/03/24ADravinja Vs BIS3-1
19/11/23HBIS Vs Dekani1-0
13/11/23ANafta Vs BIS3-1

BeltinciBeltinci

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/04/24HBEL Vs Krka0-1
14/04/24ADravinja Vs BEL0-2
07/04/24HBEL Vs Dekani1-0
30/03/24ANafta Vs BEL1-0
23/03/24HBEL Vs Rudar1-0
16/03/24ABilje Vs BEL0-0
10/03/24HBEL Vs Brinje-Grosuplje1-1
03/03/24ATolmin Vs BEL1-2
18/11/23ATriglav Vs BEL2-1
12/11/23HBEL Vs Tabor Sežana2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bistrica
Bistrica
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDDL1.34
HomeWWLLD1.64
AwayLLWDL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%48%24%
AVG goals2.922.922.92
Over 1.5 %80%72%88%
Over 2.5 %54%52%56%
Over 3.5 %34%32%36%
Scored1.461.681.24
Conceded1.461.241.68
BTTS58%52%64%
Clean Sheet24%36%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Beltinci
Beltinci
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWL1.68
HomeWDWWL1.79
AwayLWDLW1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%50%46%
AVG goals2.642.672.62
Over 1.5 %78%83%73%
Over 2.5 %52%46%58%
Over 3.5 %22%17%27%
Scored1.521.581.46
Conceded1.121.081.15
BTTS54%58%50%
Clean Sheet34%29%38%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PrimorjePrimorje3060
57%
2.0
4925+24
2.5
70%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.60.8
-
2NaftaNafta3058
60%
1.9
5531+24
2.9
77%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.81.0
-
3BeltinciBeltinci3056
57%
1.9
4924+25
2.4
67%
47%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.60.8
-
4GoricaGorica3053
50%
1.8
5128+23
2.6
67%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.9
-
5Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje3052
50%
1.7
5235+17
2.9
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.71.2
-
6TriglavTriglav3048
47%
1.6
4435+9
2.6
80%
60%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.2
-
7BistricaBistrica3044
43%
1.5
4546-1
3.0
73%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.5
-
8RudarRudar3037
33%
1.2
3349-16
2.7
67%
43%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.11.6
-
9DekaniDekani3036
30%
1.2
3437-3
2.4
60%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.2
-
10BiljeBilje3034
30%
1.1
4451-7
3.2
83%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.51.7
-
11TolminTolmin3034
27%
1.1
3445-11
2.6
73%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
12DravinjaDravinja3034
30%
1.1
2942-13
2.4
63%
50%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.4
-
13KrkaKrka3033
30%
1.1
4049-9
3.0
80%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.31.6
-
14IlirijaIlirija3030
23%
1.0
3144-13
2.5
77%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.01.5
-
15Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana3030
23%
1.0
3859-21
3.2
83%
60%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.32.0
-
16FužinarFužinar3024
20%
0.8
3361-28
3.1
80%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.0
-
Slovenia: 2. SNL 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

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