BK Hacken’s recent three-game winning streak fuels optimism for a home victory, while Vasteras SK FK’s return from a draw suggests they will fight hard. The model predicts a 61% chance of a home win, a 21% draw probability and a 19% chance of an away win, making a BK Hacken win the favoured result. With an expected total of 3.6 goals, the most likely total is three, but the single most probable scoreline is 2-1 for the home side, carrying a 9.5% chance. BK Hacken averages 1.91 goals scored and 1.55 conceded at home against similar opposition, whereas Vasteras SK FK averages 1.62 goals scored and 1.62 conceded away. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.9%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.7% with a 3% edge, Under 7.5 at 97.0%, Away under 3.5 goals at 96.2% with a 1% edge, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 95.5% with a 7% edge, Under 6.5 at 92.9%, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 92.4% with a 3% edge, and Home +2 handicap at 92.3%.
Results analysis
The upset came early, with Vasteras SK FK snatching a 3-1 win over BK Hacken, a result that stunned the model’s pre-match favourite, Home win, which had a 61% chance. The final score of 1-3 confirmed the away side’s triumph, while the model’s pick was wrong. The game’s narrative was shaped by the home team’s recent form, coming off a defeat, and the away side’s momentum after a win. The model’s selections performed impressively: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit with 99.3%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 98.0%, Under 7.5 hit at 97.0%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 96.2%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 95.2%, Under 6.5 hit at 92.9%. The only misses were Away under 1.5 HT goals at 92.8% and Home +2 handicap at 92.3%.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
BK Hacken win✗ Miss
60.6%
Avg Implied 64.6% · @ 1.44
Edge
-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.50
1xBet
1.47
Unibet
1.46
Superbet
1.45
Betano
1.45
Draw✗ Miss
20.8%
Avg Implied 19.8% · @ 4.68
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
5.16
Dafabet
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Marathonbet
4.85
Superbet
4.80
Vasteras SK FK win✓ Hit
18.6%
Avg Implied 15.6% · @ 5.95
Edge
+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
6.60
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Pinnacle
6.48
Dafabet
6.40
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
BK Hacken
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.50
1.80
1.47
1.40
1.53
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (22)
1.55
1.55
1.91
1.55
1.18
1.55
vs Weaker (7)
1.86
1.29
1.67
1.00
2.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Vasteras SK FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vasteras SK FK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
1.40
1.86
1.07
1.62
1.69
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
2.50
-
-
1.50
2.50
vs Similar (26)
1.73
1.35
1.85
1.08
1.62
1.62
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (BK Hacken) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.0%
@ 1.11+4.3%
Under 1.5
12.0%
@ 5.72-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.13
Pinnacle
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Under
Betfair
6.50
Pinnacle
6.11
Bet365
6.00
BetVictor
5.75
Marathonbet
5.70
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
69.2%
@ 1.42+3.7%
Under 2.5
30.8%
@ 2.70-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.46
Betano
1.45
Pinnacle
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Under
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.81
Unibet
2.80
BetVictor
2.70
Bet365
2.70
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
47.9%
@ 2.09+3.0%
Under 3.5
52.1%
@ 1.70-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.20
1xBet
2.13
Superbet
2.12
Betano
2.12
Pinnacle
2.12
Under
Pinnacle
1.75
Unibet
1.75
Betfair
1.73
Marathonbet
1.72
Betano
1.70
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.1%
@ 1.56+5.8%
No
34.9%
@ 2.28-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.61
Betfair
1.60
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
No
Unibet
2.40
1xBet
2.32
BetVictor
2.30
Betfair
2.30
William Hil
2.30
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.5%@ 7.68+3.6%
1-1
9.0%@ 8.77+3.8%
2-0
7.6%@ 8.51+2.3%
3-1
7.3%@ 9.71+2.7%
2-2
5.9%@ 13.14+2.5%
3-0
5.9%@ 10.83+1.7%
1-0
5.7%@ 9.37+0.9%
1-2
5.1%@ 16.36+2.3%
BK Hacken goals ↓
Vasteras SK FK goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.6%
2.7%
2.2%
0.9%
0.3%
1
5.7%
9.0%
5.1%
2.1%
0.7%
2
7.6%
9.5%
5.9%
2.5%
0.8%
3
5.9%
7.3%
4.6%
1.9%
0.6%
4
3.4%
4.3%
2.7%
1.1%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = BK Hacken goals (down), columns = Vasteras SK FK goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sirius
2.21
Hammarby FF
1.89
Djurgardens IF
1.84
AIK Stockholm
1.72
BK Hacken
1.63
IF Elfsborg
1.63
Vasteras SK FK
1.53
Malmo FF
1.53
Gais
1.37
IF Brommapojkarna
1.26
IFK Goteborg
1.21
Mjallby AIF
1.11
Kalmar FF
1.00
Degerfors IF
0.84
Orgryte IS
0.74
Halmstad
0.58
BK Hacken is 0.11 points better than Vasteras SK FK in terms of average points per game (1.63 vs 1.53).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sirius
2.47
Hammarby FF
2.32
Djurgardens IF
2.26
BK Hacken
1.74
Malmo FF
1.74
AIK Stockholm
1.56
Vasteras SK FK
1.47
IF Elfsborg
1.42
IF Brommapojkarna
1.42
Mjallby AIF
1.33
Gais
1.32
IFK Goteborg
1.26
Orgryte IS
1.16
Kalmar FF
1.11
Degerfors IF
0.89
Halmstad
0.68
BK Hacken is 0.26 goals better than Vasteras SK FK in terms of goals scored per game (1.74 vs 1.47).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Gais
0.95
Hammarby FF
0.95
IF Elfsborg
1.00
Djurgardens IF
1.00
Sirius
1.42
AIK Stockholm
1.50
BK Hacken
1.53
Kalmar FF
1.53
Malmo FF
1.58
Mjallby AIF
1.61
IF Brommapojkarna
1.63
Degerfors IF
1.63
Vasteras SK FK
1.74
Halmstad
1.84
IFK Goteborg
2.05
Orgryte IS
2.21
BK Hacken is 0.21 goals better than Vasteras SK FK in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 1.74).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hammarby FF
61%
Djurgardens IF
56%
Malmo FF
56%
Mjallby AIF
53%
BK Hacken
52%
AIK Stockholm
52%
IFK Goteborg
51%
Gais
50%
Sirius
48%
IF Elfsborg
48%
Vasteras SK FK
48%
Kalmar FF
47%
IF Brommapojkarna
47%
Degerfors IF
46%
Orgryte IS
43%
Halmstad
41%
BK Hacken is 4.3 percentage points better than Vasteras SK FK in terms of average possession (52% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
BK Hacken
For 6.1 · Against 5.3 · Total 11.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 12.4 · Total 23.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Vasteras SK FK
For 3.6 · Against 4.8 · Total 8.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 13.8 · Total 27.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
BK Hacken
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
10.2
11.4
3.8
4.0
3.5
24.5
25.2
23.9
vs Stronger (3)
9.0
9.0
-
5.3
5.5
5.0
16.0
16.0
-
vs Similar (34)
11.0
10.3
11.9
4.0
4.1
3.9
25.0
25.7
23.9
vs Weaker (13)
10.7
10.5
10.8
2.8
2.7
2.8
24.1
25.5
23.8
% over line
68%
55%
80%
52%
50%
54%
72%
75%
70%
% under line
32%
45%
20%
48%
50%
46%
28%
25%
30%
This opponent (Vasteras SK FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vasteras SK FK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
8.7
9.8
2.3
2.3
2.3
26.3
26.9
25.8
vs Stronger (2)
6.0
-
6.0
3.5
-
3.5
26.5
-
26.5
vs Similar (39)
9.6
8.4
10.7
2.3
2.3
2.3
26.6
26.3
26.8
vs Weaker (9)
9.2
10.5
8.0
2.2
2.4
2.0
24.5
30.5
18.5
% over line
48%
50%
47%
30%
26%
33%
87%
100%
76%
% under line
52%
50%
53%
70%
74%
67%
13%
0%
24%
This opponent (BK Hacken) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
IFK Goteborg
11.5
Sirius
11.1
BK Hacken
10.8
IF Brommapojkarna
10.7
Orgryte IS
10.6
Djurgardens IF
10.5
AIK Stockholm
10.4
Gais
10.3
Degerfors IF
10.2
Kalmar FF
10.1
Vasteras SK FK
10.1
IF Elfsborg
10.0
Halmstad
10.0
Mjallby AIF
10.0
Hammarby FF
10.0
Malmo FF
9.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Djurgardens IF
4.4
BK Hacken
4.3
IFK Goteborg
4.3
AIK Stockholm
4.2
Degerfors IF
3.9
Malmo FF
3.8
Gais
3.8
Mjallby AIF
3.7
IF Brommapojkarna
3.7
Hammarby FF
3.6
Halmstad
3.6
Vasteras SK FK
3.6
IF Elfsborg
3.5
Sirius
3.5
Kalmar FF
3.4
Orgryte IS
2.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Malmo FF
25.9
Djurgardens IF
25.7
IFK Goteborg
25.7
Degerfors IF
25.4
Sirius
25.4
Gais
25.1
Vasteras SK FK
25.0
Mjallby AIF
25.0
BK Hacken
24.7
Hammarby FF
24.6
IF Brommapojkarna
24.3
IF Elfsborg
24.0
AIK Stockholm
23.9
Halmstad
23.7
Kalmar FF
23.5
Orgryte IS
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
57.5%
@ 1.52-3.3%
Under 9.5
42.5%
@ 2.35+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.57
Superbet
1.55
Betano
1.52
Pinnacle
1.50
Marathonbet
1.48
Under
Pinnacle
2.45
Betano
2.45
Marathonbet
2.36
1xBet
2.36
Superbet
2.30
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
48.7%
Under 3.5
51.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
76.8%
Under 21.5
23.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
BK Hacken or Draw✗ Miss
81.4%
Avg Implied 83.7% · @ 1.12
Edge
-2.3%
61%
21%
19%
covers BK Hacken + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.15
BetVictor
1.14
William Hil
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Superbet
1.12
BK Hacken or Vasteras SK FK✓ Hit
79.2%
Avg Implied 80.7% · @ 1.16
Edge
-1.5%
61%
21%
19%
covers BK Hacken + Vasteras SK FK
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Draw or Vasteras SK FK✓ Hit
39.4%
Avg Implied 35.6% · @ 2.62
Edge
+3.8%
61%
21%
19%
covers Draw + Vasteras SK FK
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.00
Betano
2.80
Marathonbet
2.80
Superbet
2.62
Bet365
2.62
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
BK Hacken over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
90.2%
@ 1.06+2.1%
Under
9.8%
@ 7.88-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Under
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.50
Superbet
7.60
1xBet
7.50
Betano
6.80
BK Hacken over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
67.4%
@ 1.38+0.2%
Under
32.6%
@ 2.84-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.42
1xBet
1.41
Superbet
1.41
BetVictor
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Under
Pinnacle
3.07
Betfair
3.00
Marathonbet
2.90
Unibet
2.88
Betano
2.80
BK Hacken over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
41.0%
@ 2.22-1.0%
Under
59.0%
@ 1.61+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.30
1xBet
2.28
BetVictor
2.25
Bet365
2.25
Superbet
2.25
Under
Pinnacle
1.68
Marathonbet
1.66
Betano
1.62
Unibet
1.62
Betfair
1.62
BK Hacken over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
20.5%
@ 4.15-1.9%
Under
79.5%
@ 1.20+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.50
BetVictor
4.33
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.30
Pinnacle
4.26
Under
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Unibet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
Vasteras SK FK over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
71.3%
@ 1.43+6.6%
Under
28.7%
@ 2.63-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.50
Superbet
1.47
Betano
1.47
Marathonbet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Under
Unibet
2.75
10Bet
2.70
BetVictor
2.70
Betfair
2.63
Pinnacle
2.63
Vasteras SK FK over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
35.5%
@ 3.14+5.8%
Under
64.5%
@ 1.33-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.42
Marathonbet
3.28
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.25
Superbet
3.20
Under
Unibet
1.37
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Vasteras SK FK over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
13.1%
@ 8.29+1.9%
Under
86.9%
@ 1.05-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.40
Bet365
9.00
1xBet
8.60
Betfair
8.50
Superbet
8.30
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Vasteras SK FK over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.8%
@ 20.67-0.9%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.01+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
26.00
Superbet
24.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to BK Hacken, so a minus line means BK Hacken give that many goals of a start and Vasteras SK FK receive them. At -1, BK Hacken must win by two or more to land; a one-goal BK Hacken win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (BK Hacken)Actual: Vasteras SK FK
BK Hacken -2
21.4%
@ 3.65-3.2%
Draw -2
18.2%
@ 4.34-2.5%
Vasteras SK FK +2
60.5%
@ 1.63+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
4.00
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.60
Unibet
3.55
Superbet
3.55
Draw
Marathonbet
4.55
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.33
10Bet
4.33
Superbet
4.25
Away
Betfair
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
Superbet
1.66
Bet365
1.62
Unibet
1.61
Handicap -1 (BK Hacken)Actual: Vasteras SK FK
BK Hacken -1
39.5%
@ 2.11-3.0%
Draw -1
21.0%
@ 3.77-2.8%
Vasteras SK FK +1
39.4%
@ 2.67+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.25
Bet365
2.20
Superbet
2.10
Unibet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.02
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.84
Betfair
3.75
Superbet
3.75
10Bet
3.65
Away
Betfair
2.88
Marathonbet
2.80
Superbet
2.65
Bet365
2.62
Unibet
2.55
Handicap +1 (BK Hacken)Actual: Vasteras SK FK
BK Hacken +1
81.4%
@ 1.11+2.4%
Draw +1
10.9%
@ 6.82-2.0%
Vasteras SK FK -1
7.7%
@ 10.87-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
Draw
Bet365
8.50
Unibet
7.00
Marathonbet
4.95
Away
Bet365
15.00
Unibet
10.50
Marathonbet
7.10
Handicap +2 (BK Hacken)Actual: Draw
BK Hacken +2
92.3%
@ 1.03+0.1%
Draw +2
5.3%
@ 19.00+0.3%
Vasteras SK FK -2
2.4%
@ 34.00-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.03
Draw
Bet365
19.00
Away
Bet365
34.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
BK Hacken
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.67
0.73
0.80
0.60
0.53
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.68
0.73
0.82
0.91
0.55
0.55
vs Weaker (7)
0.71
0.43
0.67
0.33
0.75
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Vasteras SK FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vasteras SK FK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.67
0.71
0.57
0.81
0.75
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
-
-
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (26)
0.77
0.69
0.77
0.54
0.77
0.85
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (BK Hacken) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
71.5%
@ 1.22-4.5%
Under 0.5
28.5%
@ 3.88+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.23
William Hil
1.22
10Bet
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.90
William Hil
3.90
BetVictor
3.80
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
36.1%
@ 2.08-8.7%
Under 1.5
63.9%
@ 1.69+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.18
1xBet
2.13
Marathonbet
2.11
Pinnacle
2.11
Betfair
2.10
Under
Unibet
1.75
Pinnacle
1.71
10Bet
1.70
Superbet
1.70
William Hil
1.70
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
14.3%
@ 4.49-6.4%
Under 2.5
85.7%
@ 1.17+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.80
BetVictor
4.75
1xBet
4.65
Marathonbet
4.55
Bet365
4.50
Under
Unibet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.18
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
BK Hacken over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
58.2%
@ 1.45-6.0%
Under
41.8%
@ 2.59+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.46
Superbet
1.45
10Bet
1.45
Pinnacle
1.43
Under
Pinnacle
2.81
Unibet
2.65
Superbet
2.55
10Bet
2.55
1xBet
2.50
BK Hacken over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
20.4%
@ 3.16-8.8%
Under
79.6%
@ 1.31+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.20
Betano
3.20
10Bet
3.20
1xBet
3.10
Superbet
3.10
Under
Superbet
1.32
Betano
1.32
10Bet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.29
BK Hacken over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.8%
@ 7.92-6.9%
Under
95.2%
@ 1.05+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.50
10Bet
8.00
Superbet
7.80
Betano
7.40
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Vasteras SK FK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
35.8%
@ 2.44-2.2%
Under
64.2%
@ 1.50+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.67
Betano
2.50
Superbet
2.50
Marathonbet
2.49
10Bet
2.38
Under
1xBet
1.54
Unibet
1.54
10Bet
1.53
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.48
Vasteras SK FK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
7.2%
@ 8.66-3.5%
Under
92.8%
@ 1.04+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.50
Superbet
8.70
1xBet
8.20
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.90
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
Vasteras SK FK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.7%
@ 36.00-99.3%
Under
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
36.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
BK Hacken
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.83
1.07
0.67
0.80
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.86
0.82
1.09
0.64
0.64
1.00
vs Weaker (7)
1.14
0.86
1.00
0.67
1.25
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Vasteras SK FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vasteras SK FK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.73
1.14
0.50
0.81
0.94
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.00
-
-
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (26)
0.96
0.65
1.08
0.54
0.85
0.77
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
2.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (BK Hacken) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
81.6%
@ 1.12-1.4%
Under 0.5
18.4%
@ 5.45+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.09
Under
Marathonbet
5.80
1xBet
5.70
Bet365
5.50
Betano
5.40
Superbet
5.30
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
51.2%
@ 1.65-5.3%
Under 1.5
48.8%
@ 2.15+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.70
Superbet
1.68
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.65
Under
Betano
2.22
Marathonbet
2.20
Unibet
2.20
1xBet
2.16
Bet365
2.10
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
23.4%
@ 3.04-7.1%
Under 2.5
76.6%
@ 1.34+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
William Hil
3.20
Superbet
3.10
1xBet
2.93
Betano
2.90
Under
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.34
1xBet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
BK Hacken over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
65.1%
@ 1.30-6.0%
Under
34.9%
@ 3.21+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.32
Betano
1.30
10Bet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Under
Betano
3.30
10Bet
3.20
1xBet
3.20
Superbet
3.15
BK Hacken over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
32.0%
@ 2.40-6.7%
Under
68.0%
@ 1.51+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.50
Superbet
2.45
1xBet
2.42
Betano
2.32
Marathonbet
2.31
Under
Betano
1.57
Marathonbet
1.53
1xBet
1.50
Superbet
1.49
10Bet
1.48
BK Hacken over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
8.7%
@ 5.47-8.2%
Under
91.3%
@ 1.11+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
5.75
1xBet
5.70
Superbet
5.55
Betano
4.90
Under
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Vasteras SK FK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
45.2%
@ 2.02-0.6%
Under
54.8%
@ 1.71+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.07
Marathonbet
2.06
Betano
2.05
1xBet
1.97
10Bet
1.95
Under
10Bet
1.77
1xBet
1.74
Betano
1.72
Superbet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
Vasteras SK FK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
11.1%
@ 6.23-3.8%
Under
88.9%
@ 1.09+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.20
Superbet
6.40
1xBet
6.00
Betano
5.80
10Bet
5.75
Under
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
Vasteras SK FK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.0%
@ 18.25-3.3%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.01+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
22.00
10Bet
21.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.0%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
97.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+0.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.2%
1.05
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
-
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
92.9%
1.04
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.03
-
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.8%
1.04
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
+3.5%
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
92.3%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+0.1%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 2H goals
91.3%
1.11
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
-
+8.2%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
90.2%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.03
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
88.9%
1.09
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
88.0%
1.11
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.13
Pinnacle
1.13
Bet365
1.12
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
86.9%
1.05
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
-1.9%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.7%
1.17
Unibet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.18
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
84.8%
1.10
Betano
1.12
Pinnacle
1.12
Unibet
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-0.2%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
81.6%
1.12
William Hil
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.09
-1.4%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
81.4%
1.12
Betano
1.15
BetVictor
1.14
William Hil
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Superbet
1.12
-2.3%
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
81.4%
1.11
Unibet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
+2.4%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
79.6%
1.31
Superbet
1.32
Betano
1.32
10Bet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.29
+8.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
79.5%
1.20
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Unibet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
79.2%
1.16
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
-1.5%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
76.6%
1.34
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.34
1xBet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
+7.1%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.5%
1.22
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.23
William Hil
1.22
10Bet
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
-4.5%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
71.3%
1.43
Pinnacle
1.50
Superbet
1.47
Betano
1.47
Marathonbet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
+6.6%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
71.2%
1.28
Pinnacle
1.31
Unibet
1.30
Betano
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
-1.8%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
BK Hacken
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Silas Andersen33%
Gustav Lindgren32%
Julius Lindberg29%
Adrian Svanback21%
Bamir Sadiku14%
Jeremy Agbonifo12%
Mikkel Rygaard11%
Amor Layouni11%
Abdoulaye Doumbia11%
Harry Hilvenius8%
Filip Helander6%
Etrit Berisha0%
Leo Väisänen0%
Andreas Linde0%
Johan Hammar0%
Adam Lundqvist0%
Brice Wembangomo0%
Simen Hestnes0%
David Seger0%
Harun Ibrahim0%
Markus Haaland0%
Sanders Ngabo0%
Olle Samuelsson0%
Pontus Dahbo0%
David Andersson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Silas Andersen44%
Jeremy Agbonifo38%
Etrit Berisha33%
Abdoulaye Doumbia33%
Mikkel Rygaard28%
Harun Ibrahim25%
Filip Helander22%
Amor Layouni22%
Adam Lundqvist18%
Julius Lindberg18%
Gustav Lindgren16%
David Seger12%
Pontus Dahbo11%
Brice Wembangomo11%
Adrian Svanback11%
Andreas Linde9%
Leo Väisänen0%
Johan Hammar0%
Simen Hestnes0%
Markus Haaland0%
Sanders Ngabo0%
Olle Samuelsson0%
David Andersson0%
Harry Hilvenius0%
Bamir Sadiku0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Amor Layouni44%
Mikkel Rygaard28%
Adrian Svanback26%
Julius Lindberg24%
Adam Lundqvist18%
Jeremy Agbonifo12%
Abdoulaye Doumbia11%
Brice Wembangomo11%
Filip Helander0%
Etrit Berisha0%
Leo Väisänen0%
Andreas Linde0%
Johan Hammar0%
Simen Hestnes0%
David Seger0%
Harun Ibrahim0%
Gustav Lindgren0%
Markus Haaland0%
Sanders Ngabo0%
Silas Andersen0%
Olle Samuelsson0%
Pontus Dahbo0%
David Andersson0%
Harry Hilvenius0%
Bamir Sadiku0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Julius Lindberg47%
Silas Andersen33%
Gustav Lindgren26%
Amor Layouni22%
Abdoulaye Doumbia11%
Adrian Svanback11%
Filip Helander0%
Mikkel Rygaard0%
Etrit Berisha0%
Leo Väisänen0%
Andreas Linde0%
Johan Hammar0%
Adam Lundqvist0%
Brice Wembangomo0%
Simen Hestnes0%
David Seger0%
Harun Ibrahim0%
Markus Haaland0%
Sanders Ngabo0%
Olle Samuelsson0%
Jeremy Agbonifo0%
Pontus Dahbo0%
David Andersson0%
Harry Hilvenius0%
Bamir Sadiku0%
Vasteras SK FK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mikkel Ladefoged43%
Bonaventure Lendambi29%
Taonsa Axel17%
Frédéric Nsabiyumva12%
Karl Gunnarsson11%
Jens Magnusson8%
Mattias Hellisdal7%
Marcus Baggesen6%
Simon Gefvert5%
Herman Magnusson5%
Philip Bonde5%
Abdelrahman Boudah0%
Victor Wernersson0%
Jonathan Ring0%
Ismet Lushaku0%
Elis Jäger0%
Madiou Keita0%
Mamadou Diagne0%
Jonathan Karlsson0%
Musab Abdi Mohamud0%
Jack Tagesson0%
Jonny Melvin Ljungqvist0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mikkel Ladefoged29%
Bonaventure Lendambi29%
Victor Wernersson18%
Jens Magnusson17%
Madiou Keita17%
Jonathan Ring14%
Frédéric Nsabiyumva12%
Taonsa Axel11%
Herman Magnusson11%
Mamadou Diagne11%
Ismet Lushaku8%
Mattias Hellisdal7%
Marcus Baggesen6%
Jonathan Karlsson6%
Simon Gefvert5%
Karl Gunnarsson5%
Elis Jäger5%
Abdelrahman Boudah0%
Philip Bonde0%
Musab Abdi Mohamud0%
Jack Tagesson0%
Jonny Melvin Ljungqvist0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ismet Lushaku25%
Marcus Baggesen25%
Jonathan Ring14%
Mattias Hellisdal14%
Simon Gefvert11%
Karl Gunnarsson11%
Abdelrahman Boudah8%
Jens Magnusson8%
Mikkel Ladefoged7%
Mamadou Diagne5%
Frédéric Nsabiyumva0%
Victor Wernersson0%
Herman Magnusson0%
Elis Jäger0%
Madiou Keita0%
Jonathan Karlsson0%
Philip Bonde0%
Taonsa Axel0%
Musab Abdi Mohamud0%
Jack Tagesson0%
Jonny Melvin Ljungqvist0%
Bonaventure Lendambi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Taonsa Axel22%
Mikkel Ladefoged21%
Jonathan Ring14%
Bonaventure Lendambi14%
Frédéric Nsabiyumva12%
Karl Gunnarsson11%
Mamadou Diagne5%
Abdelrahman Boudah0%
Victor Wernersson0%
Ismet Lushaku0%
Simon Gefvert0%
Herman Magnusson0%
Jens Magnusson0%
Elis Jäger0%
Mattias Hellisdal0%
Madiou Keita0%
Marcus Baggesen0%
Jonathan Karlsson0%
Philip Bonde0%
Musab Abdi Mohamud0%
Jack Tagesson0%
Jonny Melvin Ljungqvist0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (28)
€35m
HF (22)
€35m
SIR (24)
€28m
DI (22)
€27m
MA (24)
€26m
AS (27)
€21m
IG (25)
€18m
IE (26)
€17m
BH (22)
€16m
GAI (29)
€13m
KF (21)
€10m
VSF (24)
€10m
IB (25)
€9m
HAL (20)
€8m
OI (26)
€8m
DI (23)
€6m
BK Hacken's squad is €6m more valuable than Vasteras SK FK's (€16m vs €10m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (10)
€18m
HF (9)
€13m
MF (8)
€12m
IG (9)
€8m
AS (7)
€8m
DI (6)
€8m
MA (9)
€7m
BH (4)
€6m
IE (9)
€5m
GAI (10)
€5m
KF (8)
€4m
HAL (7)
€4m
IB (10)
€3m
VSF (8)
€3m
OI (7)
€2m
DI (5)
€1m
BK Hacken's attack is €2m more valuable than Vasteras SK FK's (€6m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DI (6)
€14m
HF (4)
€11m
MF (7)
€11m
MA (6)
€11m
AS (9)
€7m
SIR (5)
€5m
IE (5)
€4m
IG (4)
€3m
GAI (8)
€3m
BH (6)
€3m
VSF (6)
€3m
DI (7)
€3m
KF (5)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
IB (4)
€2m
HAL (4)
€1m
BK Hacken and Vasteras SK FK have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (13)
€12m
HF (9)
€10m
MA (9)
€8m
IE (12)
€7m
BH (12)
€7m
DI (10)
€6m
AS (11)
€6m
IG (12)
€6m
GAI (11)
€5m
OI (12)
€4m
SIR (9)
€4m
IB (11)
€4m
VSF (10)
€4m
KF (8)
€3m
HAL (9)
€3m
DI (11)
€3m
BK Hacken's defence is €3m more valuable than Vasteras SK FK's (€7m vs €4m).
Sweden: Allsvenskan 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Allsvenskan stats & trends →
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Sirius
Hammarby FF
Djurgardens IF
IF Elfsborg
AIK Stockholm
Malmo FF
Gais
IF Brommapojkarna
IFK Goteborg
Mjallby AIF
Kalmar FF
Degerfors IF
Orgryte IS
Halmstad