This opponent (Barnsley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Barnsley
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.57
1.40
1.47
1.93
1.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
1.67
1.67
1.42
1.58
1.92
1.75
vs Weaker (6)
1.67
1.17
1.33
1.00
2.00
1.33
Clean sheet %
10% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Blackpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.1%
Under 1.5
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.1%
@ 1.75-0.3%
Under 2.5
46.9%
@ 2.01+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.9%
Under 3.5
69.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.0%
No
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-0
7.8%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
7.0%
0-1
6.1%
2-2
5.6%
Blackpool goals ↓
Barnsley goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.2%
6.1%
4.4%
1.8%
0.5%
1
8.5%
13%
7.0%
2.8%
0.8%
2
7.8%
9.3%
5.6%
2.2%
0.7%
3
4.1%
5.0%
3.0%
1.2%
0.4%
4
1.7%
2.0%
1.2%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Blackpool goals (down), columns = Barnsley goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Portsmouth
2.11
Derby
2.00
Bolton
1.89
Peterboro
1.83
Oxford
1.67
Barnsley
1.65
Lincoln
1.61
Blackpool
1.59
Stevenage
1.54
Wigan
1.52
Leyton Orient
1.41
Wycombe
1.41
Exeter
1.33
Northampton
1.30
Reading
1.28
Bristol Rvs
1.24
Charlton
1.15
Cambridge
1.04
Shrewsbury
1.04
Burton
1.00
Cheltenham
0.96
Fleetwood Town
0.93
Port Vale
0.89
Carlisle
0.65
Blackpool is 0.07 points worse than Barnsley in terms of average points per game (1.59 vs 1.65).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Peterboro
1.93
Bolton
1.87
Barnsley
1.78
Oxford
1.72
Derby
1.70
Portsmouth
1.70
Reading
1.48
Lincoln
1.41
Blackpool
1.41
Charlton
1.39
Wigan
1.37
Wycombe
1.30
Northampton
1.24
Stevenage
1.24
Leyton Orient
1.15
Bristol Rvs
1.13
Fleetwood Town
1.07
Exeter
1.00
Port Vale
0.89
Carlisle
0.89
Cheltenham
0.89
Cambridge
0.85
Burton
0.85
Shrewsbury
0.76
Blackpool is 0.37 goals worse than Barnsley in terms of goals scored per game (1.41 vs 1.78).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Derby
0.80
Lincoln
0.87
Portsmouth
0.89
Stevenage
1.00
Blackpool
1.04
Bolton
1.11
Leyton Orient
1.20
Wycombe
1.20
Oxford
1.22
Wigan
1.22
Cambridge
1.33
Exeter
1.33
Peterboro
1.33
Barnsley
1.39
Charlton
1.41
Cheltenham
1.41
Northampton
1.43
Shrewsbury
1.46
Burton
1.46
Bristol Rvs
1.48
Reading
1.52
Fleetwood Town
1.57
Port Vale
1.61
Carlisle
1.76
Blackpool is 0.35 goals better than Barnsley in terms of goals conceded per game (1.04 vs 1.39).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Peterboro
62%
Bolton
60%
Portsmouth
59%
Exeter
54%
Barnsley
54%
Wigan
53%
Blackpool
53%
Reading
53%
Oxford
52%
Leyton Orient
52%
Charlton
52%
Derby
51%
Port Vale
49%
Northampton
49%
Fleetwood Town
47%
Wycombe
46%
Carlisle
46%
Stevenage
45%
Cambridge
44%
Cheltenham
44%
Lincoln
43%
Shrewsbury
41%
Burton
41%
Blackpool is 1.1 percentage points worse than Barnsley in terms of average possession (53% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Blackpool
For 4.4 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.3 · Against 13.2 · Total 22.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Barnsley
For 5.2 · Against 5.4 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.2 · Against 10.9 · Total 20.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Blackpool
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.6
9.6
4.1
3.9
4.3
22.2
21.4
23.0
vs Stronger (3)
12.3
10.0
13.5
3.3
6.0
2.0
24.7
28.0
23.0
vs Similar (39)
9.2
9.6
8.8
4.3
4.0
4.6
21.9
20.8
23.2
vs Weaker (8)
10.5
9.8
11.2
3.4
2.8
4.0
22.8
23.2
22.2
% over line
62%
60%
64%
58%
60%
56%
62%
44%
80%
% under line
38%
40%
36%
42%
40%
44%
38%
56%
20%
This opponent (Barnsley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Barnsley
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
9.8
10.7
4.0
4.0
3.9
20.2
20.5
19.8
vs Stronger (1)
5.0
5.0
-
6.0
6.0
-
35.0
35.0
-
vs Similar (40)
10.2
9.9
10.4
4.1
4.2
4.0
20.3
20.2
20.3
vs Weaker (9)
11.2
10.5
11.8
3.2
2.5
3.8
18.0
18.0
18.0
% over line
54%
52%
56%
64%
68%
60%
34%
36%
32%
% under line
46%
48%
44%
36%
32%
40%
66%
64%
68%
This opponent (Blackpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Fleetwood Town
11.6
Exeter
11.5
Derby
11.4
Port Vale
11.3
Charlton
11.0
Peterboro
10.9
Wycombe
10.7
Bolton
10.7
Bristol Rvs
10.6
Shrewsbury
10.6
Reading
10.5
Oxford
10.3
Barnsley
10.2
Carlisle
10.1
Portsmouth
10.0
Leyton Orient
10.0
Stevenage
9.7
Cambridge
9.6
Blackpool
9.6
Cheltenham
9.6
Lincoln
9.3
Wigan
9.2
Northampton
8.9
Burton
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Wigan
5.3
Portsmouth
4.8
Lincoln
4.7
Bristol Rvs
4.6
Oxford
4.3
Bolton
4.3
Exeter
4.3
Fleetwood Town
4.3
Stevenage
4.2
Port Vale
4.2
Shrewsbury
4.2
Blackpool
4.1
Charlton
4.1
Cheltenham
4.1
Leyton Orient
4.0
Barnsley
4.0
Cambridge
3.9
Reading
3.9
Wycombe
3.8
Burton
3.7
Derby
3.7
Peterboro
3.6
Carlisle
3.5
Northampton
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Wigan
24.6
Stevenage
24.6
Portsmouth
24.3
Bristol Rvs
23.1
Cheltenham
23.1
Bolton
22.9
Cambridge
22.6
Fleetwood Town
22.4
Blackpool
22.2
Lincoln
22.0
Oxford
21.9
Burton
21.6
Shrewsbury
21.5
Reading
21.4
Derby
21.3
Exeter
21.2
Wycombe
20.8
Port Vale
20.7
Charlton
20.5
Leyton Orient
20.5
Barnsley
20.2
Northampton
20.1
Peterboro
20.0
Carlisle
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
57.1%
Under 9.5
42.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
65.9%
Under 3.5
34.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
51.0%
Under 21.5
49.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Blackpool
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.53
0.79
0.36
0.38
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.48
0.57
0.64
0.45
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (7)
0.86
0.43
1.33
0.00
0.50
0.75
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Barnsley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Barnsley
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.80
0.53
0.73
0.93
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.79
0.75
0.58
0.67
1.00
0.83
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Blackpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Blackpool over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Blackpool over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Blackpool over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barnsley over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barnsley over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barnsley over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Blackpool
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.3
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.40
1.00
0.36
0.62
0.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.70
0.43
0.91
0.45
0.50
0.42
vs Weaker (7)
1.14
0.29
1.33
0.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Barnsley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Barnsley
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.77
0.87
0.73
1.00
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.88
0.92
0.83
0.92
0.92
0.92
vs Weaker (6)
1.17
0.17
1.00
0.00
1.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Blackpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Blackpool over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Blackpool over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Blackpool over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barnsley over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barnsley over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Barnsley over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
82.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Blackpool · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Josh Bowler50%
Tom Bloxham33%
Kylian Kouassi33%
Karoy Anderson33%
Jordan Lee Williams25%
Leighton Clarkson25%
CJ Hamilton0%
Hayden Coulson0%
Bailey Peacock-Farrell0%
Albie Morgan0%
George Honeyman0%
Andy Lyons0%
Oliver Casey0%
Zachary Ashworth0%
Finley Munroe0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Hayden Coulson33%
Zachary Ashworth33%
Finley Munroe33%
Jordan Lee Williams25%
Josh Bowler25%
CJ Hamilton0%
Bailey Peacock-Farrell0%
Albie Morgan0%
George Honeyman0%
Andy Lyons0%
Leighton Clarkson0%
Oliver Casey0%
Tom Bloxham0%
Kylian Kouassi0%
Karoy Anderson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bailey Peacock-Farrell25%
George Honeyman25%
Oliver Casey25%
CJ Hamilton0%
Hayden Coulson0%
Jordan Lee Williams0%
Albie Morgan0%
Andy Lyons0%
Josh Bowler0%
Leighton Clarkson0%
Tom Bloxham0%
Zachary Ashworth0%
Finley Munroe0%
Kylian Kouassi0%
Karoy Anderson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Josh Bowler25%
CJ Hamilton0%
Hayden Coulson0%
Bailey Peacock-Farrell0%
Jordan Lee Williams0%
Albie Morgan0%
George Honeyman0%
Andy Lyons0%
Leighton Clarkson0%
Oliver Casey0%
Tom Bloxham0%
Zachary Ashworth0%
Finley Munroe0%
Kylian Kouassi0%
Karoy Anderson0%
Barnsley · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Cameron McGeehan50%
Reyes Cleary50%
Tyrese Noslin33%
Makenzie Kirk25%
Amani Richards0%
Patrick Kelly0%
Sam Gale0%
Jonathan Bland0%
Luke Alker0%
Rogan Ravenhill0%
Arley Kay0%
Noah Philip Town0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jonathan Bland67%
Tyrese Noslin33%
Cameron McGeehan25%
Sam Gale25%
Rogan Ravenhill25%
Reyes Cleary0%
Amani Richards0%
Patrick Kelly0%
Makenzie Kirk0%
Luke Alker0%
Arley Kay0%
Noah Philip Town0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Reyes Cleary50%
Cameron McGeehan0%
Amani Richards0%
Patrick Kelly0%
Makenzie Kirk0%
Sam Gale0%
Tyrese Noslin0%
Jonathan Bland0%
Luke Alker0%
Rogan Ravenhill0%
Arley Kay0%
Noah Philip Town0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tyrese Noslin67%
Reyes Cleary25%
Makenzie Kirk25%
Cameron McGeehan0%
Amani Richards0%
Patrick Kelly0%
Sam Gale0%
Jonathan Bland0%
Luke Alker0%
Rogan Ravenhill0%
Arley Kay0%
Noah Philip Town0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DER (25)
€57m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
OXF (24)
€20m
BOL (22)
€17m
LIN (24)
€12m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
PV (23)
€7m
BR (24)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
SHR (17)
€3m
NOR (18)
€3m
CHE (19)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
FT (18)
€3m
CAR (1)
€0m
Blackpool's squad is €3m more valuable than Barnsley's (€11m vs €8m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DER (8)
€25m
CHA (13)
€18m
POR (12)
€13m
OXF (8)
€6m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
LIN (7)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
STE (6)
€2m
BR (10)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
FT (6)
€1m
SHR (3)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
Blackpool's attack is €2m more valuable than Barnsley's (€4m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DER (6)
€14m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
BOL (4)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
PV (7)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
SHR (4)
€1m
CHE (6)
€1m
FT (4)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
BR (4)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
Blackpool and Barnsley have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DER (11)
€18m
POR (13)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
OXF (12)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
PV (11)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
BR (10)
€3m
CAM (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
FT (8)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
CAR (1)
€0m
Blackpool and Barnsley have a similar defence value (both €4m).
England: League One 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →
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Portsmouth
Derby
Bolton
Peterboro
Oxford
Lincoln
Stevenage
Wigan
Wycombe
Leyton Orient
Exeter
Northampton
Reading
Bristol Rvs
Charlton
Cambridge
Shrewsbury
Burton
Cheltenham
Fleetwood Town
Port Vale
Carlisle